UNH Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 37 trades in period
-15.69%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,505.90
Current Value
49%
Win Rate
$8,902.27
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
10.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 10.2
30-Day Momentum
64
+19.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
5.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 86.1
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+54 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,066
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,902.27
Current Value
$7,505.90
Period P&L
$-1,396.39
Max Drawdown
-41.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
18 /
19
Best Trade
+9.49%
Worst Trade
-18.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.37%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$562,886.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,396.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,396.39
Gross Return
-15.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.69%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,902.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:45am ET | $315.46 | 28 | $8,832.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 2:55pm ET | $321.82 | 28 | $9,010.96 | $9,080.36 |
+$178.08 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $320.76 | 28 | $8,981.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:25pm ET | $327.19 | 28 | $9,161.32 | $9,260.40 |
+$180.04 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $339.07 | 27 | $9,154.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $325.20 | 27 | $8,780.40 | $8,885.91 |
$-374.49 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:55am ET | $326.63 | 27 | $8,819.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $315.12 | 27 | $8,508.11 | $8,575.01 |
$-310.91 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $310.64 | 27 | $8,387.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:10am ET | $317.03 | 27 | $8,559.81 | $8,747.67 |
+$172.66 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:30am ET | $320.13 | 27 | $8,643.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $327.37 | 27 | $8,838.99 | $8,943.15 |
+$195.48 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:45am ET | $329.68 | 27 | $8,901.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:45am ET | $326.59 | 27 | $8,817.80 | $8,859.59 |
$-83.57 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 11:15am ET | $325.89 | 27 | $8,799.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $333.06 | 27 | $8,992.62 | $9,053.18 |
+$193.59 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:30am ET | $333.86 | 27 | $9,014.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:15am ET | $323.74 | 27 | $8,740.98 | $8,780.07 |
$-273.10 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:35am ET | $323.07 | 27 | $8,722.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $331.10 | 27 | $8,939.74 | $8,996.92 |
+$216.85 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $342.38 | 26 | $8,901.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 1:05pm ET | $331.78 | 26 | $8,626.28 | $8,721.33 |
$-275.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:15pm ET | $331.69 | 26 | $8,623.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 1:15pm ET | $326.36 | 26 | $8,485.36 | $8,582.75 |
$-138.58 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 1:35pm ET | $325.12 | 26 | $8,452.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $331.87 | 26 | $8,628.62 | $8,758.38 |
+$175.63 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:35am ET | $334.22 | 26 | $8,689.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $338.58 | 26 | $8,803.08 | $8,871.74 |
+$113.36 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $348.78 | 25 | $8,719.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.81 | 25 | $8,370.13 | $8,522.36 |
$-349.37 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $337.82 | 25 | $8,445.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.91 | 25 | $8,247.75 | $8,324.59 |
$-197.78 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:25am ET | $345.97 | 24 | $8,303.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $353.20 | 24 | $8,476.80 | $8,498.11 |
+$173.52 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $353.78 | 24 | $8,490.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $289.19 | 24 | $6,940.56 | $6,948.07 |
$-1,550.04 (-18.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $287.65 | 24 | $6,903.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $293.80 | 24 | $7,051.20 | $7,095.69 |
+$147.62 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $291.87 | 24 | $7,004.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $282.92 | 24 | $6,790.08 | $6,880.86 |
$-214.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $276.01 | 24 | $6,624.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $267.61 | 24 | $6,422.52 | $6,679.21 |
$-201.66 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $276.95 | 24 | $6,646.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $276.54 | 24 | $6,636.96 | $6,669.36 |
$-9.84 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $288.39 | 23 | $6,632.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $288.41 | 23 | $6,633.43 | $6,669.93 |
+$0.57 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $274.91 | 24 | $6,597.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET | $280.62 | 24 | $6,734.88 | $6,806.97 |
+$137.04 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $291.43 | 23 | $6,702.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $285.54 | 23 | $6,567.42 | $6,671.50 |
$-135.47 (-2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:35am ET | $291.40 | 22 | $6,410.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $280.60 | 22 | $6,173.20 | $6,433.90 |
$-237.60 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $283.54 | 22 | $6,237.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $282.49 | 22 | $6,214.78 | $6,410.80 |
$-23.10 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $287.13 | 22 | $6,316.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:55pm ET | $278.49 | 22 | $6,126.78 | $6,220.72 |
$-190.08 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $270.77 | 22 | $5,956.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $261.83 | 22 | $5,760.26 | $6,024.04 |
$-196.68 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:30am ET | $259.24 | 23 | $5,962.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $265.27 | 23 | $6,101.21 | $6,162.73 |
+$138.69 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $271.01 | 22 | $5,962.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $276.50 | 22 | $6,083.00 | $6,283.62 |
+$120.89 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $281.83 | 22 | $6,200.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.79 | 22 | $6,771.38 | $6,854.85 |
+$571.23 (+9.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $309.07 | 22 | $6,799.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $307.23 | 22 | $6,759.06 | $6,814.48 |
$-40.37 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $318.37 | 21 | $6,685.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $324.91 | 21 | $6,823.11 | $6,951.82 |
+$137.34 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $323.21 | 21 | $6,787.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.89 | 21 | $7,431.69 | $7,596.07 |
+$644.25 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $355.27 | 21 | $7,460.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $349.67 | 21 | $7,343.07 | $7,478.37 |
$-117.70 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $368.21 | 20 | $7,364.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.59 | 20 | $7,391.80 | $7,505.90 |
+$27.53 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,505.90
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,494.10
Total Return:
-24.94%