VRTX Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 35 trades in period
+0.21%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,720.65
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,698.47
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
7.6/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
20.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 20.8
30-Day Momentum
6
-2.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,016
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,698.47
Current Value
$10,720.65
Period P&L
$22.19
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
19 /
16
Best Trade
+6.40%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$757,794.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$22.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$22.19
Gross Return
+0.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.21%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,698.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $413.70 | 25 | $10,342.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $422.51 | 25 | $10,562.63 | $10,918.61 |
+$220.13 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:30am ET | $438.56 | 24 | $10,525.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:30am ET | $436.73 | 24 | $10,481.52 | $10,874.69 |
$-43.92 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:35am ET | $428.08 | 25 | $10,702.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:35am ET | $431.30 | 25 | $10,782.50 | $10,955.19 |
+$80.50 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 3:45pm ET | $428.77 | 25 | $10,719.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $431.85 | 25 | $10,796.13 | $11,032.07 |
+$76.88 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:30am ET | $429.53 | 25 | $10,738.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $444.67 | 25 | $11,116.75 | $11,410.57 |
+$378.50 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:55am ET | $459.19 | 24 | $11,020.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:35am ET | $445.41 | 24 | $10,689.90 | $11,079.91 |
$-330.66 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 2:15pm ET | $441.44 | 25 | $11,036.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:55am ET | $450.61 | 25 | $11,265.13 | $11,309.03 |
+$229.13 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:30am ET | $451.34 | 25 | $11,283.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $456.72 | 25 | $11,418.00 | $11,443.46 |
+$134.43 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 10:15am ET | $458.58 | 24 | $11,005.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $462.75 | 24 | $11,106.00 | $11,543.54 |
+$100.08 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:25am ET | $455.62 | 25 | $11,390.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $448.78 | 25 | $11,219.50 | $11,372.54 |
$-171.00 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $467.42 | 24 | $11,218.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $477.92 | 24 | $11,470.08 | $11,624.54 |
+$252.00 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $483.73 | 24 | $11,609.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:30pm ET | $468.68 | 24 | $11,248.20 | $11,263.22 |
$-361.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:30pm ET | $467.50 | 24 | $11,219.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $452.73 | 24 | $10,865.52 | $10,908.86 |
$-354.36 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $444.51 | 24 | $10,668.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $435.40 | 24 | $10,449.48 | $10,690.10 |
$-218.76 (-2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $451.82 | 23 | $10,391.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $461.52 | 23 | $10,614.85 | $10,913.08 |
+$222.99 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $471.51 | 23 | $10,844.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $481.36 | 23 | $11,071.28 | $11,139.75 |
+$226.67 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:05pm ET | $477.41 | 23 | $10,980.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:05pm ET | $472.79 | 23 | $10,874.17 | $11,033.49 |
$-106.26 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $462.86 | 23 | $10,645.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $472.88 | 23 | $10,876.24 | $11,263.95 |
+$230.46 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $470.42 | 23 | $10,819.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $469.65 | 23 | $10,801.95 | $11,246.35 |
$-17.60 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $488.96 | 23 | $11,246.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $473.88 | 23 | $10,899.18 | $10,899.45 |
$-346.90 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $474.20 | 22 | $10,432.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:20am ET | $483.78 | 22 | $10,643.16 | $11,110.21 |
+$210.76 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $489.08 | 22 | $10,759.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $495.63 | 22 | $10,903.86 | $11,254.31 |
+$144.10 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $472.34 | 23 | $10,863.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $458.09 | 23 | $10,536.07 | $10,926.47 |
$-327.84 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $452.66 | 24 | $10,863.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $481.61 | 24 | $11,558.76 | $11,621.39 |
+$694.92 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $497.95 | 23 | $11,452.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $482.89 | 23 | $11,106.47 | $11,275.01 |
$-346.38 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $474.55 | 23 | $10,914.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $457.89 | 23 | $10,531.47 | $10,891.83 |
$-383.18 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:30am ET | $449.95 | 24 | $10,798.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:45pm ET | $459.36 | 24 | $11,024.64 | $11,117.67 |
+$225.84 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $454.06 | 24 | $10,897.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $439.86 | 24 | $10,556.64 | $10,776.87 |
$-340.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET | $441.32 | 24 | $10,591.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $451.98 | 24 | $10,847.52 | $11,032.83 |
+$255.96 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $446.49 | 24 | $10,715.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $429.89 | 24 | $10,317.36 | $10,634.43 |
$-398.40 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $437.85 | 24 | $10,508.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $443.48 | 24 | $10,643.52 | $10,769.67 |
+$135.24 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:00pm ET | $440.27 | 24 | $10,566.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $440.60 | 24 | $10,574.40 | $10,777.59 |
+$7.92 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $435.27 | 24 | $10,446.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $427.01 | 24 | $10,248.24 | $10,579.35 |
$-198.24 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $427.22 | 24 | $10,253.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $423.92 | 24 | $10,174.08 | $10,500.15 |
$-79.20 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $416.51 | 25 | $10,412.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $425.33 | 25 | $10,633.25 | $10,720.65 |
+$220.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,720.65
Net Profit/Loss:
+$720.65
Total Return:
+7.21%