VZ Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-22 to present • 33 trades in period
+1.27%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,500.07
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$10,368.50
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
6.5/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
19.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 19.3
30-Day Momentum
2
-1.9%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,848
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)
Market Closed (7 days)
2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,368.50
Current Value
$10,500.07
Period P&L
$131.59
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
18 /
15
Best Trade
+2.74%
Worst Trade
-3.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$710,081.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$131.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$131.59
Gross Return
+1.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,368.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 11:05am ET | $40.87 | 259 | $10,584.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.74 | 259 | $10,292.66 | $10,327.05 |
$-291.38 (-2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 11:05am ET | $40.11 | 257 | $10,306.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.57 | 257 | $10,426.49 | $10,446.56 |
+$119.51 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:50am ET | $40.47 | 258 | $10,439.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.35 | 258 | $10,409.01 | $10,415.60 |
$-30.96 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $40.18 | 259 | $10,405.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.63 | 259 | $10,264.17 | $10,274.44 |
$-141.15 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $39.61 | 259 | $10,259.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.72 | 259 | $10,028.48 | $10,043.23 |
$-231.21 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $39.01 | 257 | $10,024.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $39.71 | 257 | $10,204.19 | $10,223.13 |
+$179.90 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $39.40 | 259 | $10,204.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $40.23 | 259 | $10,418.28 | $10,436.81 |
+$213.68 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $43.63 | 239 | $10,426.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $44.50 | 239 | $10,635.50 | $10,645.93 |
+$209.13 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $44.66 | 238 | $10,628.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $45.56 | 238 | $10,842.09 | $10,859.46 |
+$213.53 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $46.62 | 232 | $10,814.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $46.69 | 232 | $10,830.92 | $10,875.70 |
+$16.24 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $47.31 | 229 | $10,833.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $47.60 | 229 | $10,899.26 | $10,940.97 |
+$65.26 (+0.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.87 | 223 | $10,899.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.56 | 223 | $11,050.77 | $11,092.72 |
+$151.75 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $49.60 | 223 | $11,059.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.01 | 223 | $11,152.23 | $11,185.26 |
+$92.54 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $50.11 | 223 | $11,174.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $51.13 | 223 | $11,401.97 | $11,412.70 |
+$227.44 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $51.03 | 223 | $11,380.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $50.70 | 223 | $11,306.86 | $11,338.75 |
$-73.95 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $50.32 | 225 | $11,320.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $51.35 | 225 | $11,553.75 | $11,571.60 |
+$232.85 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $50.87 | 227 | $11,546.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $49.23 | 227 | $11,175.21 | $11,200.45 |
$-371.15 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $50.23 | 222 | $11,151.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $51.28 | 222 | $11,384.16 | $11,432.73 |
+$232.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $50.60 | 225 | $11,383.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:35pm ET | $50.26 | 225 | $11,309.62 | $11,358.48 |
$-74.25 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET | $50.07 | 226 | $11,316.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.40 | 226 | $11,164.40 | $11,206.68 |
$-151.80 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $48.74 | 229 | $11,162.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $47.24 | 229 | $10,819.10 | $10,863.18 |
$-343.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $47.83 | 227 | $10,858.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $46.36 | 227 | $10,523.72 | $10,528.36 |
$-334.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:15pm ET | $45.62 | 230 | $10,491.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:35pm ET | $46.59 | 230 | $10,715.70 | $10,752.61 |
+$224.25 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $46.79 | 229 | $10,714.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $45.26 | 229 | $10,365.68 | $10,403.36 |
$-349.25 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $47.27 | 220 | $10,399.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $48.24 | 220 | $10,611.70 | $10,615.66 |
+$212.30 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $47.27 | 224 | $10,588.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.32 | 224 | $10,823.68 | $10,850.86 |
+$235.20 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $47.42 | 228 | $10,810.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.62 | 228 | $10,857.36 | $10,897.60 |
+$46.74 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $47.34 | 230 | $10,887.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.51 | 230 | $10,697.30 | $10,707.16 |
$-190.44 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.88 | 223 | $10,676.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.42 | 223 | $10,797.66 | $10,828.69 |
+$121.53 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $48.36 | 223 | $10,784.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $47.75 | 223 | $10,648.25 | $10,692.66 |
$-136.03 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $47.33 | 225 | $10,648.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $45.77 | 225 | $10,298.25 | $10,342.78 |
$-349.88 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $45.18 | 228 | $10,301.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.42 | 228 | $10,583.76 | $10,625.50 |
+$282.72 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 10:35am ET | $47.81 | 222 | $10,614.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $47.25 | 222 | $10,489.50 | $10,500.07 |
$-125.43 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,500.07
Net Profit/Loss:
+$500.07
Total Return:
+5.00%