VZ Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 34 trades in period
+6.49%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,850.86
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$10,189.22
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
22.7/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 22.3
30-Day Momentum
6
-3.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,569
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,189.22
Current Value
$10,850.86
Period P&L
$661.65
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
21 /
13
Best Trade
+2.28%
Worst Trade
-3.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$726,530.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$661.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$661.65
Gross Return
+6.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.49%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,189.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:50pm ET | $39.59 | 256 | $10,133.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 1:50pm ET | $39.77 | 256 | $10,181.12 | $10,181.46 |
+$47.36 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:35am ET | $40.81 | 249 | $10,162.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:35am ET | $41.19 | 249 | $10,255.66 | $10,274.86 |
+$93.40 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 1:15pm ET | $41.39 | 248 | $10,265.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.16 | 248 | $10,207.68 | $10,217.03 |
$-57.83 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 11:30am ET | $40.73 | 250 | $10,181.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.91 | 250 | $10,226.25 | $10,262.03 |
+$45.00 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:30am ET | $40.39 | 254 | $10,257.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $41.28 | 254 | $10,485.12 | $10,489.36 |
+$227.33 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:15am ET | $41.13 | 255 | $10,486.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $41.98 | 255 | $10,703.63 | $10,706.11 |
+$216.75 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 11:10am ET | $41.19 | 259 | $10,666.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $39.94 | 259 | $10,343.17 | $10,382.36 |
$-323.75 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $40.22 | 258 | $10,375.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.13 | 258 | $10,611.54 | $10,618.43 |
+$236.07 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 11:05am ET | $40.87 | 259 | $10,584.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.74 | 259 | $10,292.66 | $10,327.05 |
$-291.38 (-2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 11:05am ET | $40.11 | 257 | $10,306.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.57 | 257 | $10,426.49 | $10,446.56 |
+$119.51 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:50am ET | $40.47 | 258 | $10,439.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.35 | 258 | $10,409.01 | $10,415.60 |
$-30.96 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $40.18 | 259 | $10,405.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.63 | 259 | $10,264.17 | $10,274.44 |
$-141.15 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $39.61 | 259 | $10,259.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.72 | 259 | $10,028.48 | $10,043.23 |
$-231.21 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $39.01 | 257 | $10,024.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $39.71 | 257 | $10,204.19 | $10,223.13 |
+$179.90 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $39.40 | 259 | $10,204.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $40.23 | 259 | $10,418.28 | $10,436.81 |
+$213.68 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $43.63 | 239 | $10,426.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $44.50 | 239 | $10,635.50 | $10,645.93 |
+$209.13 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $44.66 | 238 | $10,628.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $45.56 | 238 | $10,842.09 | $10,859.46 |
+$213.53 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $46.62 | 232 | $10,814.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $46.69 | 232 | $10,830.92 | $10,875.70 |
+$16.24 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $47.31 | 229 | $10,833.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $47.60 | 229 | $10,899.26 | $10,940.97 |
+$65.26 (+0.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.87 | 223 | $10,899.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.56 | 223 | $11,050.77 | $11,092.72 |
+$151.75 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $49.60 | 223 | $11,059.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.01 | 223 | $11,152.23 | $11,185.26 |
+$92.54 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $50.11 | 223 | $11,174.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $51.13 | 223 | $11,401.97 | $11,412.70 |
+$227.44 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $51.03 | 223 | $11,380.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $50.70 | 223 | $11,306.86 | $11,338.75 |
$-73.95 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $50.32 | 225 | $11,320.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $51.35 | 225 | $11,553.75 | $11,571.60 |
+$232.85 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $50.87 | 227 | $11,546.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $49.23 | 227 | $11,175.21 | $11,200.45 |
$-371.15 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $50.23 | 222 | $11,151.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $51.28 | 222 | $11,384.16 | $11,432.73 |
+$232.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $50.60 | 225 | $11,383.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:35pm ET | $50.26 | 225 | $11,309.62 | $11,358.48 |
$-74.25 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET | $50.07 | 226 | $11,316.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.40 | 226 | $11,164.40 | $11,206.68 |
$-151.80 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $48.74 | 229 | $11,162.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $47.24 | 229 | $10,819.10 | $10,863.18 |
$-343.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $47.83 | 227 | $10,858.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $46.36 | 227 | $10,523.72 | $10,528.36 |
$-334.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:15pm ET | $45.62 | 230 | $10,491.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:35pm ET | $46.59 | 230 | $10,715.70 | $10,752.61 |
+$224.25 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $46.79 | 229 | $10,714.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $45.26 | 229 | $10,365.68 | $10,403.36 |
$-349.25 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $47.27 | 220 | $10,399.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $48.24 | 220 | $10,611.70 | $10,615.66 |
+$212.30 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $47.27 | 224 | $10,588.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.32 | 224 | $10,823.68 | $10,850.86 |
+$235.20 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,850.86
Net Profit/Loss:
+$850.86
Total Return:
+8.51%