Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
2.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 13.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 12.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-4.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,186
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
88 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,170.65
Current Value
$10,075.32
Period P&L
$-3,095.31
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
11 / 16
Best Trade
+2.79%
Worst Trade
-8.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.99%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$622,889.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,095.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,095.31
Gross Return
-23.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 88 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,170.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET $229.92 57 $13,105.16
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $225.70 57 $12,864.90 $13,016.73 $-240.26
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET $222.55 58 $12,907.90
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $227.16 58 $13,175.28 $13,284.11 +$267.38
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $226.56 58 $13,140.48
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $219.71 58 $12,743.18 $12,886.81 $-397.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $216.56 59 $12,777.04
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $222.60 59 $13,133.40 $13,243.17 +$356.36
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET $218.24 60 $13,094.10
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $210.38 60 $12,622.50 $12,771.57 $-471.60
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:15am ET $216.64 58 $12,565.12
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:15am ET $220.10 58 $12,765.80 $12,972.25 +$200.68
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:45am ET $224.59 57 $12,801.63
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $217.56 57 $12,400.92 $12,571.54 $-400.71
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $222.38 56 $12,453.28
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $226.97 56 $12,710.32 $12,828.58 +$257.04
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:25am ET $226.32 56 $12,673.92
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $207.65 56 $11,628.12 $11,782.78 $-1,045.80
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $216.85 54 $11,709.90
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $221.83 54 $11,978.82 $12,051.70 +$268.92
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:15am ET $222.71 54 $12,026.34
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $224.64 54 $12,130.56 $12,155.92 +$104.22
(+0.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET $232.10 52 $12,069.46
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 10:40am ET $224.78 52 $11,688.56 $11,775.02 $-380.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:15am ET $224.61 52 $11,679.72
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $229.81 52 $11,950.20 $12,045.50 +$270.48
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:15am ET $228.51 52 $11,882.26
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:10am ET $221.31 52 $11,508.12 $11,671.36 $-374.14
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $233.15 50 $11,657.50
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $227.33 50 $11,366.50 $11,380.36 $-291.00
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:55am ET $228.62 49 $11,202.14
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $221.72 49 $10,864.28 $11,042.50 $-337.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $221.12 49 $10,834.88
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET $212.40 49 $10,407.59 $10,615.21 $-427.29
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:25am ET $207.10 51 $10,562.10
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET $204.16 51 $10,412.16 $10,465.27 $-149.94
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:00am ET $207.61 50 $10,380.50
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET $211.80 50 $10,590.00 $10,674.77 +$209.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET $212.05 50 $10,602.50
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $216.50 50 $10,825.00 $10,897.27 +$222.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $217.43 50 $10,871.50
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET $210.79 50 $10,539.50 $10,565.27 $-332.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:10am ET $207.53 50 $10,376.50
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $212.04 50 $10,602.25 $10,791.02 +$225.75
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $211.64 50 $10,581.99
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET $204.66 50 $10,233.00 $10,442.03 $-348.99
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:45am ET $208.35 50 $10,417.50
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $206.57 50 $10,328.50 $10,353.03 $-89.00
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $202.33 51 $10,318.83
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $198.98 51 $10,147.98 $10,182.18 $-170.85
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:15am ET $198.76 51 $10,136.76
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET $202.82 51 $10,343.82 $10,389.24 +$207.06
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:50am ET $212.64 48 $10,206.72
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $206.10 48 $9,892.80 $10,075.32 $-313.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,075.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$75.32
Total Return: +0.75%
Back to Rebel Contraire