ACN Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 31 trades in period
-7.85%
Year to Date Return
$6,805.40
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$7,385.15
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
8
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
8.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 8.2
30-Day Momentum
37
+4.3%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.2
Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,941
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
88 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$7,385.15
Current Value
$6,805.40
Period P&L
$-579.73
Max Drawdown
-41.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
17 /
14
Best Trade
+3.09%
Worst Trade
-6.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$423,680.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-579.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-579.73
Gross Return
-7.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.85%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 88 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,385.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:45am ET | $271.27 | 27 | $7,324.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $262.26 | 27 | $7,081.02 | $7,171.84 |
$-243.29 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $263.34 | 27 | $7,110.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $268.72 | 27 | $7,255.44 | $7,317.10 |
+$145.26 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:55am ET | $272.51 | 26 | $7,085.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $278.47 | 26 | $7,240.22 | $7,472.19 |
+$155.09 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $280.62 | 26 | $7,295.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $286.42 | 26 | $7,446.90 | $7,623.10 |
+$150.91 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $287.32 | 26 | $7,470.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $284.38 | 26 | $7,393.75 | $7,546.46 |
$-76.63 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $283.06 | 26 | $7,359.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $288.89 | 26 | $7,511.14 | $7,698.04 |
+$151.58 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $281.26 | 27 | $7,594.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:00am ET | $273.29 | 27 | $7,378.83 | $7,482.85 |
$-215.19 (-2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $261.00 | 28 | $7,308.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $266.24 | 28 | $7,454.72 | $7,629.57 |
+$146.72 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $248.21 | 30 | $7,446.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:30pm ET | $240.45 | 30 | $7,213.50 | $7,396.77 |
$-232.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:55pm ET | $242.87 | 30 | $7,285.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $235.37 | 30 | $7,061.10 | $7,171.92 |
$-224.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $239.38 | 29 | $6,942.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $243.04 | 29 | $7,048.16 | $7,277.92 |
+$106.00 (+1.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $221.45 | 32 | $7,086.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.87 | 32 | $6,843.84 | $7,035.36 |
$-242.56 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $216.16 | 32 | $6,917.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $209.35 | 32 | $6,699.20 | $6,817.28 |
$-218.08 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $199.26 | 34 | $6,774.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.24 | 34 | $6,569.99 | $6,612.60 |
$-204.68 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $203.67 | 32 | $6,517.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $208.19 | 32 | $6,662.08 | $6,757.24 |
+$144.64 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $206.10 | 32 | $6,595.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $211.08 | 32 | $6,754.56 | $6,916.76 |
+$159.52 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:30am ET | $214.68 | 32 | $6,869.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 12:30pm ET | $208.95 | 32 | $6,686.40 | $6,733.56 |
$-183.20 (-2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $202.01 | 33 | $6,666.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 1:05pm ET | $195.82 | 33 | $6,462.06 | $6,529.29 |
$-204.27 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:05pm ET | $196.76 | 33 | $6,493.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.84 | 33 | $6,693.72 | $6,729.77 |
+$200.47 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $198.99 | 33 | $6,566.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:35am ET | $203.05 | 33 | $6,700.81 | $6,864.07 |
+$134.31 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:30am ET | $214.68 | 32 | $6,869.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.75 | 32 | $6,456.10 | $6,450.57 |
$-413.50 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.05 | 33 | $6,403.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $196.85 | 33 | $6,496.05 | $6,542.81 |
+$92.24 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET | $197.69 | 33 | $6,523.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.16 | 33 | $6,506.28 | $6,525.32 |
$-17.49 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $196.77 | 33 | $6,493.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.74 | 33 | $6,294.58 | $6,326.56 |
$-198.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $182.71 | 34 | $6,212.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $186.55 | 34 | $6,342.70 | $6,457.12 |
+$130.56 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:00pm ET | $190.47 | 33 | $6,285.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.71 | 33 | $6,425.27 | $6,596.88 |
+$139.76 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $191.91 | 34 | $6,524.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $195.86 | 34 | $6,659.24 | $6,731.18 |
+$134.30 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $197.36 | 34 | $6,710.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $190.67 | 34 | $6,482.78 | $6,503.72 |
$-227.46 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $178.27 | 36 | $6,417.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $178.80 | 36 | $6,436.80 | $6,522.80 |
+$19.08 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:20am ET | $177.48 | 36 | $6,389.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $181.53 | 36 | $6,535.08 | $6,668.60 |
+$145.80 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $173.85 | 38 | $6,606.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $177.45 | 38 | $6,743.10 | $6,805.40 |
+$136.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,805.40
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,194.60
Total Return:
-31.95%