Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:29

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.2/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 38.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 37.9

30-Day Momentum

14
-3.7%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,870
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,409.59
Current Value
$17,520.40
Period P&L
$5,110.82
Max Drawdown
-36.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
67
Winners / Losers
42 / 25
Best Trade
+7.87%
Worst Trade
-7.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.56%
Avg Hold Time
22.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,978,307.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,110.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,110.82
Gross Return
+41.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+41.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 67 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,409.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET $110.88 113 $12,529.44
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $114.49 113 $12,937.37 $12,985.86 +$407.93
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:35am ET $120.71 107 $12,915.97
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $116.96 107 $12,514.72 $12,584.61 $-401.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $115.41 109 $12,579.69
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $111.55 109 $12,158.95 $12,163.87 $-420.74
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:55am ET $111.17 109 $12,117.53
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET $107.69 109 $11,738.74 $11,785.09 $-378.79
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $102.33 115 $11,767.59
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $104.75 115 $12,046.25 $12,063.74 +$278.66
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $105.14 114 $11,985.96
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET $107.63 114 $12,269.25 $12,347.03 +$283.29
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:50am ET $109.16 113 $12,335.08
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $114.26 113 $12,911.38 $12,923.33 +$576.30
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:20am ET $119.93 107 $12,832.51
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $116.30 107 $12,444.10 $12,534.92 $-388.41
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:55am ET $114.65 109 $12,496.41
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $111.20 109 $12,120.91 $12,159.42 $-375.51
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $107.15 113 $12,107.95
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $106.10 113 $11,989.30 $12,040.77 $-118.65
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $103.56 116 $12,012.96
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET $106.20 116 $12,319.20 $12,347.01 +$306.24
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
48m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $112.44 109 $12,256.50
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $116.45 109 $12,692.65 $12,783.15 +$436.14
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET $121.29 105 $12,735.45
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:25am ET $123.76 105 $12,994.80 $13,042.50 +$259.35
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $129.08 101 $13,037.08
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $125.17 101 $12,642.17 $12,647.59 $-394.91
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $124.48 101 $12,572.48
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $128.42 101 $12,970.42 $13,045.53 +$397.94
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:10am ET $124.64 104 $12,962.56
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET $127.50 104 $13,260.00 $13,342.97 +$297.44
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:00am ET $123.77 107 $13,243.39
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $127.49 107 $13,640.90 $13,740.48 +$397.51
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:20am ET $130.80 105 $13,734.00
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $126.85 105 $13,319.25 $13,325.73 $-414.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $127.02 104 $13,210.08
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $122.83 104 $12,774.32 $12,889.97 $-435.76
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $117.04 110 $12,874.58
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:40am ET $120.76 110 $13,283.59 $13,298.98 +$409.01
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $124.69 106 $13,217.14
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET $120.40 106 $12,762.40 $12,844.24 $-454.74
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:10am ET $117.36 109 $12,792.78
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $113.61 109 $12,383.49 $12,434.95 $-409.29
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:15am ET $119.18 104 $12,394.72
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $121.61 104 $12,647.44 $12,687.67 +$252.72
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:55pm ET $119.94 105 $12,593.70
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:15am ET $116.10 105 $12,189.98 $12,283.94 $-403.73
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $116.74 105 $12,257.70
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $119.14 105 $12,509.70 $12,535.94 +$252.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:15am ET $126.20 99 $12,493.80
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $129.18 99 $12,788.33 $12,830.47 +$294.53
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:25am ET $127.77 100 $12,777.00
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $137.83 100 $13,783.00 $13,836.47 +$1,006.00
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:25am ET $136.52 101 $13,788.52
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $139.68 101 $14,108.18 $14,156.13 +$319.66
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:40pm ET $159.61 88 $14,045.69
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $154.63 88 $13,607.44 $13,717.88 $-438.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $142.37 96 $13,667.52
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $137.87 96 $13,235.76 $13,286.12 $-431.76
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 2:20pm ET $148.70 89 $13,234.39
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $155.98 89 $13,882.22 $13,933.95 +$647.83
(+4.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $148.18 94 $13,929.39
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:05am ET $151.18 94 $14,211.39 $14,215.95 +$282.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $147.59 96 $14,168.16
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $141.91 96 $13,623.84 $13,671.63 $-544.32
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $146.95 93 $13,665.89
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $149.93 93 $13,943.49 $13,949.23 +$277.60
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $148.40 93 $13,801.20
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $152.38 93 $14,171.80 $14,319.84 +$370.61
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $147.72 96 $14,181.12
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $150.90 96 $14,486.73 $14,625.45 +$305.61
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $158.18 92 $14,552.56
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:50am ET $161.41 92 $14,849.74 $14,922.63 +$297.18
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $158.04 94 $14,855.76
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:00am ET $162.93 94 $15,315.42 $15,382.29 +$459.66
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $164.37 93 $15,286.41
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET $167.86 93 $15,610.98 $15,706.86 +$324.57
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $173.88 90 $15,649.20
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $179.75 90 $16,177.50 $16,235.16 +$528.30
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:50am ET $206.97 78 $16,143.66
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $221.94 78 $17,311.44 $17,402.94 +$1,167.78
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $217.30 80 $17,384.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $201.41 80 $16,112.94 $16,131.88 $-1,271.06
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $196.07 82 $16,077.75
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:35am ET $200.95 82 $16,477.89 $16,532.02 +$400.14
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:25am ET $209.48 78 $16,339.28
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $214.01 78 $16,692.39 $16,885.13 +$353.11
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
45 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $212.68 79 $16,801.73
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $205.34 79 $16,221.86 $16,305.26 $-579.87
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
46 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $206.19 79 $16,289.13
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $211.12 79 $16,678.09 $16,694.22 +$388.96
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
47 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $237.08 70 $16,595.60
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $222.65 70 $15,585.15 $15,683.77 $-1,010.45
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
48 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:05am ET $218.39 71 $15,505.69
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:50am ET $211.62 71 $15,025.02 $15,203.10 $-480.67
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
49 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $210.88 72 $15,183.58
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:45am ET $216.00 72 $15,552.00 $15,571.52 +$368.42
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
50 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:50am ET $216.84 71 $15,395.64
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $221.29 71 $15,711.59 $15,887.47 +$315.95
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
51 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $223.13 71 $15,842.58
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $228.06 71 $16,192.26 $16,237.15 +$349.68
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
52 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:25am ET $206.10 78 $16,075.41
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $210.42 78 $16,412.76 $16,574.50 +$337.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
53 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $224.16 73 $16,363.68
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $240.38 73 $17,547.63 $17,758.45 +$1,183.95
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7h held
54 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $276.89 64 $17,720.82
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:05am ET $283.80 64 $18,163.20 $18,200.83 +$442.38
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
55 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:15am ET $310.76 58 $18,024.08
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:00am ET $317.93 58 $18,439.94 $18,616.69 +$415.86
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
56 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:25am ET $305.24 60 $18,314.70
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $317.99 60 $19,079.40 $19,381.39 +$764.70
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
57 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $350.37 55 $19,270.35
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $337.65 55 $18,570.75 $18,681.79 $-699.60
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:45am ET $418.55 44 $18,416.40
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $401.13 44 $17,649.72 $17,915.11 $-766.68
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $380.16 47 $17,867.52
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05am ET $389.61 47 $18,311.44 $18,359.03 +$443.92
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $368.93 49 $18,077.58
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:20am ET $376.81 49 $18,463.65 $18,745.11 +$386.08
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15m held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $358.13 52 $18,622.77
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $346.93 52 $18,040.36 $18,162.70 $-582.41
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $349.07 52 $18,151.64
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $336.98 52 $17,523.22 $17,534.28 $-628.42
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $321.28 54 $17,349.12
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $310.39 54 $16,761.33 $16,946.49 $-587.79
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $327.44 51 $16,699.44
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $334.28 51 $17,048.43 $17,295.48 +$348.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:15pm ET $383.29 45 $17,248.05
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:35am ET $393.37 45 $17,701.65 $17,749.08 +$453.60
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $407.36 43 $17,516.48
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $416.00 43 $17,888.00 $18,120.60 +$371.52
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:25am ET $443.65 40 $17,746.20
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $428.65 40 $17,146.00 $17,520.40 $-600.20
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,520.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,520.40
Total Return: +75.20%
Back to Rebel Contraire