Compendium › Rebel Contraire › BMY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BMY
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

+0.37%
Year to Date Return
$9,233.81
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$9,200.10
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:23:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 10.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.0

30-Day Momentum

2
-3.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,478
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,200.10
Current Value
$9,233.81
Period P&L
$33.75
Max Drawdown
-39.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
13 / 11
Best Trade
+2.58%
Worst Trade
-3.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$450,736.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$33.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$33.75
Gross Return
+0.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,200.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $54.00 170 $9,179.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $53.04 170 $9,016.80 $9,020.11 $-162.35
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:40am ET $54.33 166 $9,017.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $55.60 166 $9,229.60 $9,231.76 +$211.65
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $56.65 162 $9,176.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET $55.80 162 $9,039.60 $9,094.87 $-136.89
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $56.88 159 $9,043.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $55.15 159 $8,768.85 $8,820.59 $-274.28
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:35am ET $54.29 162 $8,794.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET $55.40 162 $8,974.82 $9,001.24 +$180.65
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET $54.77 164 $8,982.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:30am ET $55.89 164 $9,165.96 $9,184.92 +$183.68
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:10am ET $55.15 166 $9,154.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:10am ET $55.65 166 $9,237.90 $9,267.94 +$83.02
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $56.19 164 $9,215.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:55am ET $57.35 164 $9,404.58 $9,456.54 +$188.60
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $58.06 162 $9,405.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $59.43 162 $9,627.66 $9,678.48 +$221.94
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET $61.17 158 $9,665.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $60.65 158 $9,582.70 $9,595.53 $-82.95
(-0.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET $60.42 158 $9,546.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $61.01 158 $9,639.58 $9,688.75 +$93.22
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:25am ET $61.30 158 $9,685.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $62.53 158 $9,879.74 $9,883.09 +$194.34
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $62.08 159 $9,869.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $59.65 159 $9,485.14 $9,498.31 $-384.78
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:00am ET $59.65 159 $9,484.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $60.88 159 $9,680.71 $9,694.67 +$196.36
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $59.76 162 $9,681.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $59.66 162 $9,664.92 $9,677.66 $-17.01
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $60.53 159 $9,625.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:55am ET $58.69 159 $9,331.71 $9,384.30 $-293.36
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:55am ET $57.36 163 $9,349.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:15am ET $58.55 163 $9,543.65 $9,578.27 +$193.97
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:30am ET $59.24 161 $9,537.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:55am ET $60.77 161 $9,783.86 $9,824.49 +$246.22
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:10am ET $61.19 160 $9,790.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $59.29 160 $9,486.40 $9,520.49 $-304.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $59.19 160 $9,471.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $58.19 160 $9,309.60 $9,358.89 $-161.60
(-1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:30am ET $58.33 160 $9,332.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $59.51 160 $9,521.60 $9,548.49 +$189.60
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET $59.67 160 $9,547.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $58.26 160 $9,322.40 $9,323.69 $-224.80
(-2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $58.10 160 $9,296.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET $59.44 160 $9,509.60 $9,537.29 +$213.60
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:35am ET $58.94 161 $9,490.14 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:10am ET $57.06 161 $9,186.66 $9,233.81 $-303.48
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,233.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-766.19
Total Return: -7.66%
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