Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y Era All 🔄 Era 2 (93 days)

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,979
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-15
Trading Days
46 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$6,053.15
Current Value
$2,943.34
Period P&L
$-3,122.27
Max Drawdown
-99.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
72
Winners / Losers
36 / 36
Best Trade
+4.27%
Worst Trade
-4.81%
Avg Trade Return
-0.48%
Avg Hold Time
13.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$657,928.03
Estimated Fees
$1,644.82
Gross P&L
$-3,122.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,767.09
Gross Return
-51.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-78.75%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

💸 Capital Refund History

When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.

# Date Capital Before Trades Before Era Fees Paid Reason
1 Nov 13, 2025 $96.75 1,010 $13,720.20 CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.

📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures

Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.

💀 Era 1 — CRASHED
Jan 1, 2024 → Nov 13, 2025
Trades
1,010
Win Rate
61.2%
P&L
$-9,903.10
Fees Paid
$13,720.20
Return
-99.0%
Started
$10,000
Crashed At
$96.75
Crash Reason: CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 46 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 72 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,053.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 4:20am ET $2,968.26 2 $6,049.90
🔴 SELL Jan 1, 2026 10:45pm ET $3,028.20 2 $6,172.07 $6,141.52 +$91.61
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 1, 2026 11:45pm ET $3,009.92 2 $6,141.52
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET $3,082.70 2 $6,290.02 $6,258.94 +$117.42
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
10h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $3,062.90 2 $6,258.94
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET $3,136.63 2 $6,409.60 $6,377.93 +$118.99
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $3,114.40 2 $6,377.93
🔴 SELL Jan 4, 2026 8:05pm ET $3,186.70 2 $6,526.00 $6,493.74 +$115.80
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 4, 2026 8:55pm ET $3,192.80 2 $6,493.74
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $3,257.50 2 $6,625.33 $6,592.53 +$98.79
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 5:00pm ET $3,230.80 2 $6,592.53
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:20am ET $3,298.79 2 $6,731.26 $6,697.95 +$105.43
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET $3,274.66 2 $6,697.95
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $3,166.47 2 $6,476.66 $6,443.73 $-254.23
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:10am ET $3,164.94 2 $6,443.73
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $3,062.94 2 $6,236.06 $6,204.36 $-239.37
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:50am ET $3,089.39 2 $6,204.36
🔴 SELL Jan 11, 2026 9:45pm ET $3,161.00 2 $6,348.17 $6,316.79 +$112.43
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 11, 2026 10:00pm ET $3,155.60 2 $6,316.79
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 5:05pm ET $3,290.29 2 $6,586.41 $6,554.15 +$237.36
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 6:25pm ET $3,324.19 2 $6,554.15
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:35am ET $3,391.30 2 $6,686.47 $6,653.37 +$99.22
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:50am ET $3,373.60 2 $6,653.37
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET $3,270.00 2 $6,449.05 $6,416.29 $-237.07
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $3,274.30 2 $6,416.29
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 9:15am ET $3,339.80 2 $6,544.65 $6,512.24 +$95.95
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 9:45am ET $3,327.21 2 $6,512.24
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 7:10pm ET $3,218.40 2 $6,299.27 $6,267.24 $-245.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:15pm ET $3,214.70 2 $6,267.24
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:45am ET $3,117.70 2 $6,078.14 $6,047.27 $-219.97
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:00am ET $3,117.90 2 $6,047.27
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $3,001.60 2 $5,821.71 $5,792.03 $-255.24
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:45am ET $3,028.30 2 $5,792.03
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 6:15pm ET $2,934.20 2 $5,612.05 $5,583.54 $-208.49
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 6:45pm ET $2,935.40 2 $5,583.54
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:35am ET $2,994.50 2 $5,695.96 $5,667.76 +$84.22
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 1:55am ET $2,976.89 2 $5,667.76
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $2,886.14 2 $5,494.98 $5,467.07 $-200.69
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $2,890.23 2 $5,467.07
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $2,981.59 2 $5,639.89 $5,612.12 +$145.05
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $3,029.80 2 $5,612.12
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:55am ET $2,937.71 2 $5,441.54 $5,413.91 $-198.21
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:25am ET $2,908.41 2 $5,413.91
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:10pm ET $2,974.05 2 $5,536.09 $5,508.72 +$94.81
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:30am ET $2,942.30 2 $5,508.72
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $3,005.38 2 $5,626.82 $5,598.98 +$90.26
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $2,987.32 2 $5,598.98
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 11:15am ET $2,886.40 2 $5,409.83 $5,382.31 $-216.67
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $2,887.46 2 $5,382.31
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $2,794.52 2 $5,209.07 $5,182.59 $-199.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 25, 2026 5:20pm ET $2,797.64 2 $5,182.59
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 8:05pm ET $2,864.18 2 $5,305.85 $5,279.63 +$97.04
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 25, 2026 9:00pm ET $2,869.18 2 $5,279.63
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET $2,942.28 2 $5,414.15 $5,387.41 +$107.78
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:25am ET $2,919.78 2 $5,387.41
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:30am ET $2,985.10 2 $5,507.94 $5,480.70 +$93.29
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:50am ET $2,982.78 2 $5,480.70
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET $2,891.28 2 $5,312.57 $5,285.59 $-195.11
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $2,847.20 2 $5,285.59
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $2,757.89 2 $5,119.79 $5,093.78 $-191.81
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 6:10pm ET $2,811.05 2 $5,093.78
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET $2,725.30 2 $4,938.39 $4,913.31 $-180.46
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 8:45pm ET $2,724.72 2 $4,913.31
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 3:35am ET $2,635.60 2 $4,752.61 $4,728.44 $-184.87
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 3:40am ET $2,627.17 2 $4,728.44
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET $2,530.51 2 $4,554.47 $4,531.27 $-197.18
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 9:30am ET $2,527.19 2 $4,531.27
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $2,405.67 2 $4,313.38 $4,291.27 $-240.00
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $2,349.68 2 $4,291.27
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 2:05pm ET $2,409.18 2 $4,399.93 $4,378.21 +$86.94
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
36 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 3:00pm ET $2,378.15 2 $4,378.21
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 6:05pm ET $2,427.86 2 $4,469.72 $4,447.60 +$69.40
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 6:45pm ET $2,438.24 2 $4,447.60
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 9:25am ET $2,358.28 2 $4,301.75 $4,279.87 $-167.73
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 9:30am ET $2,341.59 2 $4,279.87
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 6:05pm ET $2,237.56 2 $4,089.73 $4,068.81 $-211.07
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.6h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 7:35pm ET $2,309.19 2 $4,068.81
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 10:10pm ET $2,229.63 2 $3,928.62 $3,908.63 $-160.18
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 10:20pm ET $2,189.20 2 $3,908.63
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 10:55pm ET $2,236.95 2 $3,993.88 $3,974.13 +$65.50
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
36m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 11:40pm ET $2,252.49 2 $3,974.13
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:30am ET $2,181.07 2 $3,848.12 $3,828.56 $-145.56
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:35am ET $2,165.39 2 $3,828.56
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:40am ET $2,218.83 2 $3,923.05 $3,903.67 +$75.11
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6m held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 4:05am ET $2,238.83 2 $3,903.67
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 4:35am ET $2,286.91 2 $3,987.50 $3,967.78 +$64.11
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 5:00am ET $2,289.14 2 $3,967.78
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $2,342.67 2 $4,060.56 $4,040.49 +$72.71
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET $2,343.06 2 $4,040.49
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 4:25am ET $2,271.90 2 $3,917.78 $3,897.88 $-142.61
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:10am ET $2,279.90 2 $3,897.88
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $2,203.80 2 $3,767.77 $3,748.61 $-149.27
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:00pm ET $2,179.90 2 $3,748.61
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $2,234.80 2 $3,843.02 $3,824.04 +$75.43
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 4:45pm ET $2,283.34 2 $3,824.04
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 8:35am ET $2,213.92 2 $3,707.78 $3,688.95 $-135.09
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.8h held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 8:40am ET $2,209.31 2 $3,688.95
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:05am ET $2,140.32 2 $3,573.75 $3,555.60 $-133.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $2,104.64 2 $3,555.60
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $2,151.06 2 $3,634.02 $3,616.04 +$60.45
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $2,143.16 2 $3,616.04
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:25am ET $2,076.26 2 $3,503.17 $3,485.37 $-130.67
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.5h held
52 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:40am ET $2,098.41 2 $3,485.37
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $2,024.77 2 $3,363.06 $3,345.94 $-139.43
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.3h held
53 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET $2,014.34 2 $3,345.94
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET $1,930.02 2 $3,205.88 $3,189.50 $-156.44
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
54 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:05am ET $1,941.82 2 $3,189.50
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $1,988.40 2 $3,266.00 $3,249.87 +$60.37
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18m held
55 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,973.55 2 $3,249.87
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $1,887.20 2 $3,107.67 $3,091.78 $-158.09
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
56 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,875.24 2 $3,091.78
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:00pm ET $1,810.06 2 $2,984.31 $2,969.12 $-122.65
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
57 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:15pm ET $1,907.86 2 $2,969.12
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $1,972.30 2 $3,069.41 $3,054.31 +$85.19
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
58 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:15am ET $1,937.01 2 $3,054.31
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:25am ET $1,872.61 2 $2,952.77 $2,937.75 $-116.56
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
59 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 4:00am ET $1,872.01 2 $2,937.75
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 4:30am ET $1,916.90 2 $3,008.19 $2,993.33 +$55.58
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 6:45am ET $1,923.41 2 $2,993.33
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,971.26 2 $3,067.80 $3,052.64 +$59.31
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET $1,978.08 2 $3,052.64
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET $2,032.17 2 $3,136.12 $3,120.65 +$68.00
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $2,050.92 2 $3,120.65
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:10pm ET $2,103.20 2 $3,200.19 $3,184.39 +$63.75
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
8h held
63 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 1:50am ET $2,061.98 2 $3,184.39
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 5:35am ET $1,999.49 2 $3,087.89 $3,072.21 $-112.19
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 9:35am ET $2,024.46 2 $3,072.21
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 11:05am ET $2,067.38 2 $3,137.34 $3,121.81 +$49.61
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 11:45am ET $2,099.14 1 $3,121.81
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 4:50am ET $2,035.01 1 $3,026.45 $3,011.08 $-110.74
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
66 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 5:20am ET $2,026.98 1 $3,011.08
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $2,080.15 1 $3,090.06 $3,074.81 +$63.74
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held
67 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $2,123.65 1 $3,074.81
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:40pm ET $2,059.70 1 $2,982.22 $2,967.08 $-107.74
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.4h held
68 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:25am ET $2,061.99 1 $2,967.08
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:50am ET $1,998.40 1 $2,875.56 $2,860.96 $-106.12
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
69 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:15am ET $2,008.26 1 $2,860.96
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $2,038.80 1 $2,904.47 $2,890.05 +$29.10
(+1.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
10.3h held
70 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $2,027.60 1 $2,890.05
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:50pm ET $1,965.59 1 $2,801.67 $2,801.67 $-102.61
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.7h held
71 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:15am ET $1,944.15 1 $2,801.67
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:10am ET $2,001.86 1 $2,884.83 $2,884.83 +$68.95
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9h held
72 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $1,913.74 2 $2,884.83
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,952.55 2 $2,943.34 $2,943.34 +$43.94
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
+ 1 refund ($10,000)
Total Invested: $20,000.00
Ended with: $2,943.34
Net Profit/Loss: $-17,056.66
Total Return: -85.28%
Back to Rebel Contraire