Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:27:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.0/35
Total Return
17.7/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 45.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 45.2

30-Day Momentum

55
+10.6%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.0 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,860
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$17,265.15
Current Value
$23,304.62
Period P&L
$6,039.50
Max Drawdown
-42.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
67
Winners / Losers
44 / 23
Best Trade
+6.24%
Worst Trade
-6.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
20.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,814,453.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,039.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,039.50
Gross Return
+34.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+34.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 67 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $17,265.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET $30.97 557 $17,247.51
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $32.15 557 $17,907.55 $17,925.17 +$660.04
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:25am ET $35.52 504 $17,902.08
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $36.50 504 $18,393.48 $18,416.57 +$491.40
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $33.96 542 $18,406.32
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET $34.64 542 $18,774.88 $18,785.13 +$368.56
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $33.24 565 $18,780.60
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $35.32 565 $19,952.98 $19,957.50 +$1,172.38
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:15am ET $41.04 486 $19,946.95
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $39.75 486 $19,318.50 $19,329.06 $-628.45
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $40.37 478 $19,296.86
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:00am ET $41.76 478 $19,961.28 $19,993.48 +$664.42
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:45am ET $42.52 470 $19,984.40
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $44.38 470 $20,856.25 $20,865.33 +$871.85
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $52.85 394 $20,822.90
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.63 394 $19,554.22 $19,596.65 $-1,268.68
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET $47.34 413 $19,549.36
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $50.15 413 $20,711.66 $20,758.95 +$1,162.31
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:55am ET $43.63 475 $20,724.25
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:30am ET $44.62 475 $21,194.50 $21,229.20 +$470.25
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
36m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 11:30am ET $46.37 457 $21,191.09
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $47.30 457 $21,616.10 $21,654.21 +$425.01
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $43.47 498 $21,648.06
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET $42.12 498 $20,975.76 $20,981.91 $-672.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:25am ET $43.54 481 $20,942.74
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $42.05 481 $20,226.05 $20,265.22 $-716.69
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $43.03 470 $20,224.10
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $41.72 470 $19,608.40 $19,649.52 $-615.70
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $40.17 489 $19,640.69
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $40.99 489 $20,044.11 $20,052.95 +$403.43
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $44.72 448 $20,034.56
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $44.27 448 $19,832.96 $19,851.35 $-201.60
(-1.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
30m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $39.32 504 $19,817.28
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $40.11 504 $20,215.44 $20,249.51 +$398.16
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET $43.13 469 $20,230.31
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $44.06 469 $20,664.61 $20,683.81 +$434.30
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $46.01 449 $20,656.25
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 10:35am ET $47.14 449 $21,165.86 $21,193.42 +$509.61
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:00am ET $48.90 433 $21,171.54
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $49.95 433 $21,628.35 $21,650.24 +$456.82
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.45 429 $21,643.05
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $51.60 429 $22,136.40 $22,143.59 +$493.35
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $52.53 421 $22,113.03
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $50.77 421 $21,374.17 $21,404.73 $-738.86
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $51.50 415 $21,372.50
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $52.58 415 $21,820.70 $21,852.93 +$448.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.10 411 $21,822.05
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $51.40 411 $21,123.35 $21,154.23 $-698.70
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $52.74 401 $21,148.74
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:10am ET $53.85 401 $21,595.85 $21,601.34 +$447.11
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:15am ET $56.59 381 $21,559.65
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $54.83 381 $20,890.23 $20,931.92 $-669.42
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $51.96 402 $20,887.92
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $53.50 402 $21,507.00 $21,551.00 +$619.08
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $53.01 406 $21,522.06
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:25am ET $54.15 406 $21,986.93 $22,015.87 +$464.87
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:30am ET $56.76 387 $21,968.05
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $54.77 387 $21,195.99 $21,243.81 $-772.06
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:10am ET $53.24 399 $21,240.77
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET $54.35 399 $21,685.65 $21,688.69 +$444.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET $51.62 420 $21,680.40
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET $52.74 420 $22,152.90 $22,161.19 +$472.50
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $52.54 421 $22,119.34
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $50.85 421 $21,409.95 $21,451.80 $-709.39
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.67 415 $21,444.96
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $53.07 415 $22,023.30 $22,030.14 +$578.34
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET $53.69 410 $22,010.85
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:20am ET $51.92 410 $21,287.20 $21,306.49 $-723.65
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $48.24 441 $21,273.84
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $49.88 441 $21,997.08 $22,029.73 +$723.24
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $51.43 428 $22,012.04
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $49.84 428 $21,331.52 $21,349.21 $-680.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $48.75 437 $21,303.75
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $49.70 437 $21,718.90 $21,764.36 +$415.15
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $51.18 425 $21,751.50
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET $52.39 425 $22,265.75 $22,278.61 +$514.25
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:25am ET $51.19 435 $22,267.65
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:20am ET $52.39 435 $22,789.65 $22,800.61 +$522.00
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:35am ET $53.31 427 $22,761.24
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $54.41 427 $23,233.07 $23,272.44 +$471.83
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $54.08 430 $23,256.55
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $55.50 430 $23,865.00 $23,880.89 +$608.45
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:10am ET $54.81 435 $23,840.18
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $52.46 435 $22,820.10 $22,860.81 $-1,020.08
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $54.95 416 $22,859.20
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $53.23 416 $22,143.68 $22,145.29 $-715.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $50.96 434 $22,116.64
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET $49.35 434 $21,417.90 $21,446.55 $-698.74
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET $47.58 450 $21,408.75
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $45.88 450 $20,646.00 $20,683.80 $-762.75
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:05am ET $47.60 434 $20,656.23
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $46.12 434 $20,016.08 $20,043.65 $-640.15
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
47 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $44.10 454 $20,021.40
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $45.18 454 $20,511.81 $20,534.06 +$490.41
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
48 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $47.10 436 $20,533.42
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:55am ET $48.04 436 $20,945.44 $20,946.08 +$412.02
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
49 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:40pm ET $48.43 432 $20,921.76
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.08 432 $21,636.72 $21,661.04 +$714.96
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
50 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:10am ET $57.60 376 $21,657.60
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:35am ET $54.87 376 $20,629.62 $20,633.06 $-1,027.98
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
51 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:55am ET $54.15 381 $20,630.65
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $51.17 381 $19,493.87 $19,496.27 $-1,136.79
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
52 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:40am ET $49.19 396 $19,479.24
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:15am ET $50.26 396 $19,902.96 $19,919.99 +$423.72
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
53 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 10:15am ET $48.25 412 $19,879.00
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $49.94 412 $20,575.28 $20,616.27 +$696.28
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
54 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $46.80 440 $20,591.56
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 10:25am ET $47.85 440 $21,051.80 $21,076.51 +$460.24
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
55 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:40am ET $46.73 451 $21,075.23
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $47.75 451 $21,535.25 $21,536.53 +$460.02
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
56 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:25am ET $48.10 447 $21,502.31
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $46.23 447 $20,664.81 $20,699.03 $-837.50
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
57 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:40am ET $47.29 437 $20,665.73
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $48.29 437 $21,102.73 $21,136.03 +$437.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $46.12 458 $21,122.96
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $44.14 458 $20,215.62 $20,228.69 $-907.34
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $45.56 444 $20,228.64
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:15am ET $46.49 444 $20,639.34 $20,639.39 +$410.70
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET $51.28 402 $20,614.60
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $49.51 402 $19,905.03 $19,929.82 $-709.57
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:15am ET $47.64 418 $19,913.52
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:05am ET $48.71 418 $20,358.69 $20,374.99 +$445.17
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:20am ET $46.46 438 $20,347.29
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $47.42 438 $20,769.96 $20,797.66 +$422.67
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $46.28 449 $20,779.72
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET $47.32 449 $21,246.68 $21,264.62 +$466.96
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $49.84 426 $21,231.84
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:00am ET $50.93 426 $21,696.18 $21,728.96 +$464.34
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10m held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:15am ET $50.18 433 $21,727.94
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:45am ET $51.36 433 $22,238.88 $22,239.90 +$510.94
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $56.53 393 $22,215.07
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:30am ET $58.08 393 $22,823.48 $22,848.30 +$608.40
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $61.98 368 $22,808.64
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:10pm ET $63.22 368 $23,264.96 $23,304.62 +$456.32
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,304.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,304.62
Total Return: +133.05%
Back to Rebel Contraire