Compendium › Rebel Contraire › NFLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NFLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 29 trades in period

+15.52%
Year to Date Return
$17,735.54
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$15,352.84
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

46
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.9/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 46.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 46.1

30-Day Momentum

12
+0.5%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.1 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,506
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,352.84
Current Value
$17,735.54
Period P&L
$2,382.70
Max Drawdown
-19.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
18 / 11
Best Trade
+3.78%
Worst Trade
-3.84%
Avg Trade Return
+0.52%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$947,437.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,382.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,382.70
Gross Return
+15.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,352.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:35am ET $93.73 164 $15,370.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $90.91 164 $14,908.58 $14,933.97 $-462.32
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $91.69 162 $14,853.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $88.61 162 $14,354.01 $14,434.87 $-499.11
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET $90.06 160 $14,409.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $89.50 160 $14,320.00 $14,345.73 $-89.14
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $83.18 172 $14,306.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:10am ET $85.02 172 $14,623.44 $14,662.21 +$316.48
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
42m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:55am ET $84.04 174 $14,622.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:30am ET $85.89 174 $14,943.99 $14,983.22 +$321.01
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $85.95 174 $14,954.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $83.09 174 $14,458.27 $14,487.06 $-496.16
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $83.29 173 $14,408.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $85.06 173 $14,715.40 $14,794.16 +$307.09
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $81.08 182 $14,757.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $82.79 182 $15,067.78 $15,104.47 +$310.31
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $80.94 186 $15,055.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $83.59 186 $15,547.74 $15,596.43 +$491.97
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $75.92 205 $15,562.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET $77.59 205 $15,906.03 $15,939.89 +$343.46
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:10am ET $78.19 203 $15,872.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $75.19 203 $15,263.57 $15,330.89 $-609.00
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET $76.55 200 $15,310.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $79.44 200 $15,888.00 $15,908.87 +$577.98
(+3.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET $83.28 191 $15,905.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $85.01 191 $16,236.53 $16,239.49 +$330.62
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:55pm ET $95.09 170 $16,165.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $97.37 170 $16,552.90 $16,627.09 +$387.60
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $96.82 171 $16,556.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $98.82 171 $16,898.22 $16,969.09 +$342.00
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $98.42 172 $16,928.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:25am ET $97.24 172 $16,725.28 $16,766.13 $-202.96
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:05pm ET $95.13 176 $16,742.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $95.01 176 $16,721.76 $16,745.01 $-21.12
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $95.32 175 $16,681.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:40am ET $92.36 175 $16,163.87 $16,227.88 $-517.13
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $91.26 177 $16,153.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:00am ET $93.12 177 $16,482.24 $16,557.10 +$329.22
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 11:20am ET $92.28 179 $16,518.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $94.15 179 $16,853.21 $16,892.19 +$335.09
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $93.35 180 $16,802.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:35pm ET $95.53 180 $17,194.50 $17,284.59 +$392.40
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $95.67 180 $17,220.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $97.67 180 $17,580.60 $17,644.59 +$360.00
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET $98.19 179 $17,576.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET $100.21 179 $17,937.57 $18,006.15 +$361.56
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:45am ET $101.82 176 $17,921.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $104.74 176 $18,433.36 $18,518.31 +$512.16
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET $105.82 174 $18,413.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:45am ET $108.03 174 $18,797.22 $18,901.98 +$383.67
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $97.82 193 $18,878.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET $94.69 193 $18,276.13 $18,299.49 $-602.49
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:25am ET $93.31 196 $18,287.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $91.85 196 $18,002.60 $18,014.31 $-285.18
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:15am ET $90.76 198 $17,970.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:00am ET $92.69 198 $18,352.64 $18,396.47 +$382.16
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $93.11 197 $18,343.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $89.76 197 $17,682.72 $17,735.54 $-660.93
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,735.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,735.54
Total Return: +77.36%
Back to Rebel Contraire