Compendium › Rebel Contraire › PEP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEP
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

+4.92%
Year to Date Return
$10,652.51
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,152.61
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:17:32

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.4/35
Total Return
7.3/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 19.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.7

30-Day Momentum

20
+1.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.6 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,590
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,152.61
Current Value
$10,652.51
Period P&L
$499.91
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
15 / 9
Best Trade
+2.38%
Worst Trade
-3.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$498,980.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$499.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$499.91
Gross Return
+4.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,152.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:00am ET $144.53 70 $10,117.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $141.10 70 $9,877.01 $9,966.41 $-240.09
(-2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET $139.54 71 $9,907.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $139.46 71 $9,901.66 $9,960.73 $-5.68
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET $142.44 69 $9,828.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:50am ET $145.56 69 $10,043.30 $10,175.67 +$214.94
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:45am ET $145.94 69 $10,069.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:45am ET $145.99 69 $10,073.38 $10,179.19 +$3.52
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $145.95 69 $10,070.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $144.26 69 $9,953.94 $10,062.57 $-116.62
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $148.01 67 $9,916.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:40pm ET $151.04 67 $10,119.35 $10,265.25 +$202.68
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:15pm ET $155.80 65 $10,127.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $159.19 65 $10,347.35 $10,485.60 +$220.35
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET $166.10 63 $10,464.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET $169.94 63 $10,706.46 $10,727.44 +$241.84
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:00am ET $167.06 64 $10,691.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $165.90 64 $10,617.52 $10,653.12 $-74.32
(-0.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET $163.64 65 $10,636.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $164.60 65 $10,699.00 $10,715.52 +$62.40
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $167.82 63 $10,572.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $168.45 63 $10,612.19 $10,754.73 +$39.21
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $166.57 64 $10,660.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $161.26 64 $10,320.32 $10,414.25 $-340.48
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:10am ET $158.73 65 $10,317.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $162.05 65 $10,533.25 $10,630.37 +$216.12
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $160.29 66 $10,578.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $160.88 66 $10,618.08 $10,669.64 +$39.27
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:35am ET $157.46 67 $10,549.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:45pm ET $152.67 67 $10,228.89 $10,348.71 $-320.93
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $150.76 68 $10,251.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:45pm ET $150.99 68 $10,266.98 $10,364.01 +$15.30
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $150.91 68 $10,261.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $154.02 68 $10,473.36 $10,575.49 +$211.48
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $157.55 67 $10,555.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.27 67 $10,470.09 $10,489.73 $-85.76
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:20am ET $155.32 67 $10,406.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $156.90 67 $10,512.63 $10,596.26 +$106.53
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $154.51 68 $10,506.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $158.13 68 $10,752.84 $10,842.42 +$246.16
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $158.26 68 $10,761.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $156.05 68 $10,611.30 $10,692.04 $-150.38
(-1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $155.59 68 $10,580.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $156.08 68 $10,613.44 $10,725.35 +$33.31
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:35am ET $153.73 69 $10,607.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $157.39 69 $10,859.91 $10,978.23 +$252.88
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
24 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $159.22 68 $10,826.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $154.43 68 $10,501.24 $10,652.51 $-325.72
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,652.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$652.51
Total Return: +6.53%
Back to Rebel Contraire