PLTR Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 47 trades in period
+0.87%
Year to Date Return
$19,920.99
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$19,750.14
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
45
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
12.7/35
Total Return
16.4/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
45.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 44.8
30-Day Momentum
51
+8.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.6
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,540
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$19,750.14
Current Value
$19,920.99
Period P&L
$170.84
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
27 /
20
Best Trade
+7.56%
Worst Trade
-4.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,830,406.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$170.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$170.84
Gross Return
+0.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.87%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $19,750.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $176.76 | 111 | $19,620.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $171.26 | 111 | $19,009.86 | $19,139.48 |
$-610.67 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $173.86 | 110 | $19,124.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $177.44 | 110 | $19,518.40 | $19,533.28 |
+$393.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:55pm ET | $186.26 | 104 | $19,371.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $180.49 | 104 | $18,770.96 | $18,933.19 |
$-600.09 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $177.47 | 106 | $18,811.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $181.04 | 106 | $19,190.24 | $19,311.91 |
+$378.72 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $177.21 | 108 | $19,138.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET | $180.79 | 108 | $19,524.78 | $19,698.55 |
+$386.64 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:50am ET | $174.22 | 113 | $19,686.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $177.75 | 113 | $20,085.75 | $20,097.44 |
+$398.89 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:05pm ET | $177.71 | 113 | $20,081.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.29 | 113 | $20,485.77 | $20,501.98 |
+$404.54 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $167.79 | 122 | $20,470.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $171.49 | 122 | $20,921.49 | $20,953.08 |
+$451.11 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:10am ET | $167.03 | 125 | $20,878.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $161.71 | 125 | $20,213.13 | $20,287.46 |
$-665.62 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:15pm ET | $165.75 | 122 | $20,220.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $169.37 | 122 | $20,663.02 | $20,729.59 |
+$442.13 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $169.03 | 122 | $20,621.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.82 | 122 | $19,864.25 | $19,972.17 |
$-757.41 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.90 | 129 | $19,853.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $149.02 | 129 | $19,223.58 | $19,342.65 |
$-629.52 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $148.36 | 130 | $19,286.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.58 | 130 | $20,745.66 | $20,801.51 |
+$1,458.86 (+7.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $149.76 | 138 | $20,666.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $143.31 | 138 | $19,776.78 | $19,911.41 |
$-890.10 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $132.89 | 149 | $19,800.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $128.40 | 149 | $19,131.60 | $19,242.40 |
$-669.01 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $135.39 | 142 | $19,225.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $139.75 | 142 | $19,844.14 | $19,861.17 |
+$618.76 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $143.43 | 138 | $19,794.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $140.84 | 138 | $19,435.92 | $19,503.06 |
$-358.11 (-1.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $129.48 | 150 | $19,422.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $132.21 | 150 | $19,831.51 | $19,912.58 |
+$409.52 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:25am ET | $139.24 | 143 | $19,911.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.38 | 143 | $18,930.34 | $18,931.60 |
$-980.98 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.24 | 143 | $18,910.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $134.96 | 143 | $19,299.99 | $19,321.26 |
+$389.66 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $130.35 | 148 | $19,291.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $133.27 | 148 | $19,723.96 | $19,754.16 |
+$432.90 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $133.60 | 147 | $19,639.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $137.15 | 147 | $20,161.05 | $20,276.01 |
+$521.85 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $145.50 | 139 | $20,224.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $140.85 | 139 | $19,578.69 | $19,630.20 |
$-645.81 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $151.17 | 129 | $19,500.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $154.25 | 129 | $19,898.25 | $20,027.52 |
+$397.32 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $151.22 | 132 | $19,960.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $154.77 | 132 | $20,430.30 | $20,496.91 |
+$469.39 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $154.60 | 132 | $20,406.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:45am ET | $149.89 | 132 | $19,785.48 | $19,875.85 |
$-621.06 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:45pm ET | $153.94 | 129 | $19,858.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $149.04 | 129 | $19,225.59 | $19,243.18 |
$-632.67 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $151.94 | 126 | $19,144.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $155.09 | 126 | $19,541.34 | $19,640.08 |
+$396.90 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:50am ET | $153.59 | 127 | $19,505.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $157.73 | 127 | $20,031.71 | $20,166.49 |
+$526.41 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $157.16 | 128 | $20,116.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $151.93 | 128 | $19,447.04 | $19,497.05 |
$-669.44 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $158.56 | 122 | $19,344.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.57 | 122 | $18,613.54 | $18,766.39 |
$-730.66 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $144.82 | 129 | $18,681.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $140.46 | 129 | $18,119.34 | $18,203.95 |
$-562.44 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $141.44 | 128 | $18,104.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $144.45 | 128 | $18,489.60 | $18,589.23 |
+$385.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $146.95 | 126 | $18,515.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.76 | 126 | $17,861.77 | $17,935.30 |
$-653.93 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $148.41 | 120 | $17,809.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.76 | 120 | $18,571.80 | $18,697.30 |
+$762.00 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $133.91 | 139 | $18,613.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $129.79 | 139 | $18,040.12 | $18,123.93 |
$-573.38 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $126.38 | 143 | $18,072.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $129.03 | 143 | $18,451.29 | $18,502.88 |
+$378.95 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $133.54 | 138 | $18,428.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $137.19 | 138 | $18,932.22 | $19,006.57 |
+$503.69 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:25pm ET | $141.71 | 134 | $18,989.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.75 | 134 | $19,530.50 | $19,547.93 |
+$541.36 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.20 | 134 | $19,456.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $148.34 | 134 | $19,876.89 | $19,968.02 |
+$420.09 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $151.35 | 131 | $19,827.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $146.55 | 131 | $19,198.05 | $19,338.57 |
$-629.45 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $140.85 | 137 | $19,296.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $143.77 | 137 | $19,697.17 | $19,739.29 |
+$400.72 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $140.49 | 140 | $19,668.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $136.16 | 140 | $19,062.40 | $19,133.09 |
$-606.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $136.70 | 139 | $19,001.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $139.50 | 139 | $19,390.95 | $19,522.74 |
+$389.65 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:40pm ET | $143.96 | 135 | $19,434.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.80 | 135 | $19,952.99 | $20,041.40 |
+$518.66 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $140.71 | 142 | $19,980.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $136.46 | 142 | $19,376.84 | $19,437.42 |
$-603.98 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $133.44 | 145 | $19,348.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $136.77 | 145 | $19,832.37 | $19,920.99 |
+$483.57 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,920.99
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,920.99
Total Return:
+99.21%