PYPL Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 34 trades in period
-1.04%
Year to Date Return
$8,517.48
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$8,606.58
Period Start
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
11.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 10.9
30-Day Momentum
67
+12.2%
30d Return
78%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 79.7
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+56 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,012
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,606.58
Current Value
$8,517.48
Period P&L
$-89.15
Max Drawdown
-52.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
20 /
14
Best Trade
+9.13%
Worst Trade
-17.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$528,041.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-89.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-89.15
Gross Return
-1.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.04%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,606.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:50am ET | $59.79 | 147 | $8,789.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.95 | 147 | $8,518.66 | $8,543.42 |
$-270.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $59.80 | 142 | $8,491.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.89 | 142 | $8,219.67 | $8,271.49 |
$-271.93 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $57.60 | 143 | $8,236.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $57.20 | 143 | $8,178.89 | $8,213.58 |
$-57.92 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $56.65 | 144 | $8,157.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.69 | 144 | $8,019.37 | $8,075.35 |
$-138.23 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.89 | 144 | $8,048.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.05 | 144 | $8,215.20 | $8,242.39 |
+$167.04 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.74 | 145 | $8,226.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $54.82 | 145 | $7,948.90 | $7,964.72 |
$-277.68 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $53.17 | 149 | $7,922.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.62 | 149 | $6,499.38 | $6,541.77 |
$-1,422.95 (-18.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.42 | 161 | $6,507.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $41.33 | 161 | $6,654.93 | $6,689.08 |
+$147.32 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $39.13 | 170 | $6,652.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $39.95 | 170 | $6,791.50 | $6,828.48 |
+$139.40 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:35pm ET | $40.37 | 169 | $6,822.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $41.22 | 169 | $6,965.40 | $6,971.35 |
+$142.87 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $41.97 | 166 | $6,967.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $41.80 | 166 | $6,938.82 | $6,943.15 |
$-28.20 (-0.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $40.79 | 170 | $6,934.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $41.61 | 170 | $7,073.87 | $7,082.72 |
+$139.57 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $41.20 | 171 | $7,045.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $42.06 | 171 | $7,193.11 | $7,230.63 |
+$147.91 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $40.82 | 177 | $7,225.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $44.54 | 177 | $7,884.46 | $7,889.95 |
+$659.32 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET | $43.52 | 181 | $7,877.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $44.41 | 181 | $8,038.21 | $8,051.04 |
+$161.09 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:15pm ET | $47.15 | 170 | $8,014.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $45.65 | 170 | $7,760.60 | $7,796.99 |
$-254.05 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $45.88 | 169 | $7,752.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET | $46.86 | 169 | $7,919.34 | $7,963.46 |
+$166.47 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $47.13 | 168 | $7,917.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $45.61 | 168 | $7,662.46 | $7,708.08 |
$-255.38 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $45.01 | 171 | $7,697.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.09 | 171 | $7,881.39 | $7,892.34 |
+$184.25 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $45.11 | 174 | $7,849.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.45 | 174 | $8,082.30 | $8,125.50 |
+$233.16 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $45.45 | 178 | $8,089.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $44.04 | 178 | $7,839.12 | $7,874.69 |
$-250.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $47.13 | 168 | $7,917.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.72 | 168 | $7,512.96 | $7,469.81 |
$-404.88 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $44.37 | 168 | $7,453.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $45.36 | 168 | $7,620.48 | $7,636.97 |
+$167.16 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $45.77 | 166 | $7,597.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $44.36 | 166 | $7,363.76 | $7,402.91 |
$-234.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $44.55 | 166 | $7,395.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.69 | 166 | $7,584.54 | $7,592.15 |
+$189.24 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.17 | 168 | $7,589.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.10 | 168 | $7,744.80 | $7,747.55 |
+$155.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $45.66 | 169 | $7,716.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $46.60 | 169 | $7,876.24 | $7,907.25 |
+$159.70 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $48.22 | 163 | $7,859.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $49.19 | 163 | $8,017.97 | $8,065.36 |
+$158.11 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $49.37 | 163 | $8,047.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.54 | 163 | $8,238.02 | $8,256.07 |
+$190.71 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $50.65 | 163 | $8,255.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.00 | 163 | $8,476.00 | $8,476.93 |
+$220.86 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $50.92 | 166 | $8,453.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $49.27 | 166 | $8,178.82 | $8,202.20 |
$-274.73 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $50.27 | 163 | $8,194.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $50.05 | 163 | $8,158.15 | $8,166.34 |
$-35.86 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:25pm ET | $50.01 | 163 | $8,150.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $51.01 | 163 | $8,314.63 | $8,330.15 |
+$163.81 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $45.93 | 181 | $8,313.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.97 | 181 | $8,500.67 | $8,517.48 |
+$187.33 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,517.48
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,482.52
Total Return:
-14.83%