SOFI Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 43 trades in period
-30.62%
Year to Date Return
$8,036.62
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$11,583.35
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
10.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 10.4
30-Day Momentum
18
+0.2%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.1
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,461
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,583.35
Current Value
$8,036.62
Period P&L
$-3,546.73
Max Drawdown
-43.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
20 /
23
Best Trade
+9.12%
Worst Trade
-11.78%
Avg Trade Return
-0.83%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$849,067.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,546.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,546.73
Gross Return
-30.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-30.62%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,583.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:15am ET | $26.74 | 442 | $11,816.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.86 | 442 | $11,430.12 | $11,455.16 |
$-386.75 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $29.56 | 387 | $11,439.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.56 | 387 | $11,050.79 | $11,066.27 |
$-388.90 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.52 | 417 | $11,056.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $27.05 | 417 | $11,278.81 | $11,288.32 |
+$222.05 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $27.79 | 406 | $11,282.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.78 | 406 | $10,872.68 | $10,878.46 |
$-409.86 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $26.52 | 410 | $10,871.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:05pm ET | $27.15 | 410 | $11,131.50 | $11,138.81 |
+$260.35 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.66 | 417 | $11,115.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 11:00am ET | $27.23 | 417 | $11,354.95 | $11,378.63 |
+$239.82 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:20pm ET | $26.63 | 427 | $11,371.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.78 | 427 | $11,006.14 | $11,013.76 |
$-364.87 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:10am ET | $25.58 | 430 | $10,999.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.23 | 430 | $11,278.43 | $11,292.79 |
+$279.03 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $25.74 | 438 | $11,275.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.29 | 438 | $11,512.83 | $11,530.09 |
+$237.31 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.67 | 449 | $11,525.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $24.86 | 449 | $11,159.90 | $11,164.92 |
$-365.17 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $24.27 | 460 | $11,164.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.79 | 460 | $11,403.86 | $11,404.58 |
+$239.66 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $22.52 | 506 | $11,395.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $21.81 | 506 | $11,036.72 | $11,045.32 |
$-359.26 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $20.43 | 540 | $11,034.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $19.73 | 540 | $10,654.20 | $10,664.62 |
$-380.70 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $20.95 | 508 | $10,645.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $21.49 | 508 | $10,914.38 | $10,933.86 |
+$269.24 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $21.64 | 505 | $10,925.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $21.67 | 505 | $10,945.87 | $10,954.06 |
+$20.20 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
36m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $19.69 | 556 | $10,950.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 12:45pm ET | $19.10 | 556 | $10,619.60 | $10,623.24 |
$-330.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:50pm ET | $18.76 | 566 | $10,620.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $18.18 | 566 | $10,289.82 | $10,292.81 |
$-330.43 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $18.41 | 559 | $10,288.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.19 | 559 | $10,727.21 | $10,731.62 |
+$438.81 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $19.27 | 556 | $10,716.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.12 | 556 | $10,075.83 | $10,090.55 |
$-641.07 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $17.82 | 566 | $10,086.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $18.18 | 566 | $10,289.88 | $10,294.31 |
+$203.76 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $18.81 | 547 | $10,286.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.19 | 547 | $10,499.66 | $10,507.64 |
+$213.33 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $19.27 | 545 | $10,504.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.48 | 545 | $10,071.60 | $10,074.36 |
$-433.28 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.36 | 548 | $10,061.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $17.77 | 548 | $9,738.89 | $9,751.97 |
$-322.39 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 1:00pm ET | $18.50 | 526 | $9,733.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $17.94 | 526 | $9,439.07 | $9,457.41 |
$-294.56 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $17.83 | 530 | $9,449.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $17.24 | 530 | $9,137.15 | $9,144.66 |
$-312.75 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $17.42 | 525 | $9,142.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.79 | 525 | $8,814.75 | $8,816.54 |
$-328.13 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.90 | 521 | $8,804.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $17.25 | 521 | $8,987.25 | $8,998.89 |
+$182.35 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $17.04 | 528 | $8,997.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $16.52 | 528 | $8,725.20 | $8,726.97 |
$-271.92 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET | $16.78 | 519 | $8,711.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.25 | 519 | $8,433.75 | $8,449.31 |
$-277.66 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.57 | 542 | $8,438.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $15.10 | 542 | $8,181.49 | $8,191.86 |
$-257.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:35am ET | $15.58 | 525 | $8,179.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $15.96 | 525 | $8,377.58 | $8,390.00 |
+$198.14 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:15pm ET | $15.88 | 528 | $8,382.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.18 | 528 | $8,015.04 | $8,022.88 |
$-367.12 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $16.23 | 494 | $8,015.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.70 | 494 | $8,746.27 | $8,754.00 |
+$731.12 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.16 | 541 | $8,739.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $16.55 | 541 | $8,953.55 | $8,967.69 |
+$213.69 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $17.96 | 499 | $8,962.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.46 | 499 | $9,211.54 | $9,217.14 |
+$249.45 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $18.82 | 489 | $9,202.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $19.23 | 489 | $9,401.03 | $9,415.72 |
+$198.58 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $19.86 | 473 | $9,396.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.22 | 473 | $9,090.07 | $9,109.64 |
$-306.08 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $19.32 | 471 | $9,097.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $18.72 | 471 | $8,817.12 | $8,829.39 |
$-280.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $18.25 | 483 | $8,812.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $18.63 | 483 | $8,996.17 | $9,013.22 |
+$183.83 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $18.68 | 482 | $9,003.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.48 | 482 | $7,943.36 | $7,952.82 |
$-1,060.40 (-11.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $15.98 | 497 | $7,941.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $16.34 | 497 | $8,123.46 | $8,134.82 |
+$182.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:45pm ET | $16.73 | 486 | $8,128.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $16.17 | 486 | $7,858.62 | $7,865.09 |
$-269.73 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $16.11 | 488 | $7,863.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.47 | 488 | $8,034.92 | $8,036.62 |
+$171.53 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,036.62
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,963.38
Total Return:
-19.63%