UVXY Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 54 trades in period
+10.40%
Year to Date Return
$9,301.38
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$8,425.19
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
10.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 10.1
30-Day Momentum
47
+7.8%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.8
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,964
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,425.19
Current Value
$9,301.38
Period P&L
$876.23
Max Drawdown
-48.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
34 /
20
Best Trade
+11.94%
Worst Trade
-6.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
16.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$913,323.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$876.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$876.23
Gross Return
+10.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,425.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $35.61 | 235 | $8,368.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.56 | 235 | $8,122.63 | $8,135.58 |
$-245.72 (-2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $34.80 | 233 | $8,108.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $35.50 | 233 | $8,271.50 | $8,298.68 |
+$163.10 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $35.00 | 237 | $8,293.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $35.15 | 237 | $8,330.55 | $8,335.30 |
+$36.62 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $37.54 | 222 | $8,334.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.23 | 222 | $7,821.06 | $7,821.59 |
$-513.71 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.94 | 223 | $7,791.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $35.66 | 223 | $7,952.18 | $7,982.15 |
+$160.56 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $38.52 | 207 | $7,973.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $39.30 | 207 | $8,135.10 | $8,143.61 |
+$161.46 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $38.53 | 211 | $8,129.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $36.12 | 211 | $7,621.26 | $7,635.03 |
$-508.57 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $34.71 | 219 | $7,601.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $35.41 | 219 | $7,753.70 | $7,787.24 |
+$152.21 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $34.93 | 222 | $7,754.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $35.72 | 222 | $7,928.73 | $7,961.51 |
+$174.27 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:10pm ET | $36.32 | 219 | $7,952.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.15 | 219 | $8,135.85 | $8,144.37 |
+$182.87 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $36.05 | 225 | $8,111.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $36.96 | 225 | $8,314.88 | $8,348.00 |
+$203.63 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $35.29 | 236 | $8,328.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $36.10 | 236 | $8,519.74 | $8,539.30 |
+$191.30 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $37.55 | 227 | $8,523.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $39.40 | 227 | $8,942.67 | $8,958.12 |
+$418.82 (+4.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $39.95 | 224 | $8,948.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $40.86 | 224 | $9,153.20 | $9,162.52 |
+$204.40 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $36.87 | 248 | $9,142.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $35.47 | 248 | $8,796.56 | $8,816.56 |
$-345.96 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $35.91 | 245 | $8,798.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $35.64 | 245 | $8,731.80 | $8,749.62 |
$-66.93 (-0.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $41.69 | 209 | $8,713.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $40.06 | 209 | $8,372.52 | $8,408.51 |
$-341.11 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 12:10pm ET | $37.72 | 222 | $8,373.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:30pm ET | $38.59 | 222 | $8,566.98 | $8,601.65 |
+$193.14 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $40.59 | 211 | $8,564.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $38.89 | 211 | $8,205.79 | $8,242.95 |
$-358.70 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $40.51 | 203 | $8,223.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $39.04 | 203 | $7,925.12 | $7,944.54 |
$-298.41 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:45am ET | $37.63 | 211 | $7,939.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $38.57 | 211 | $8,138.27 | $8,142.88 |
+$198.34 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $39.83 | 204 | $8,124.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $38.58 | 204 | $7,870.32 | $7,888.90 |
$-253.98 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $40.27 | 195 | $7,852.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.08 | 195 | $8,790.60 | $8,826.85 |
+$937.95 (+11.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $41.87 | 210 | $8,792.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $40.29 | 210 | $8,460.88 | $8,495.03 |
$-331.82 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $43.58 | 194 | $8,455.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $44.47 | 194 | $8,626.21 | $8,665.75 |
+$170.72 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $48.72 | 177 | $8,623.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 1:25pm ET | $49.71 | 177 | $8,797.79 | $8,840.10 |
+$174.35 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $50.03 | 176 | $8,805.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $47.15 | 176 | $8,297.54 | $8,332.35 |
$-507.74 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:45am ET | $47.26 | 176 | $8,317.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $48.28 | 176 | $8,497.28 | $8,511.87 |
+$179.52 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $50.20 | 169 | $8,483.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 12:35pm ET | $48.60 | 169 | $8,213.40 | $8,241.47 |
$-270.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:10pm ET | $51.23 | 160 | $8,196.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.64 | 160 | $7,782.40 | $7,827.07 |
$-414.40 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.55 | 175 | $7,796.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $45.46 | 175 | $7,955.50 | $7,986.34 |
+$159.27 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:55pm ET | $49.20 | 162 | $7,970.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:30pm ET | $50.24 | 162 | $8,138.07 | $8,154.01 |
+$167.67 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $48.43 | 168 | $8,136.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.22 | 168 | $8,436.96 | $8,454.73 |
+$300.72 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $47.88 | 176 | $8,426.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $48.97 | 176 | $8,618.72 | $8,646.57 |
+$191.84 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $49.41 | 174 | $8,597.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $50.56 | 174 | $8,797.44 | $8,846.67 |
+$200.10 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $49.70 | 178 | $8,846.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:10pm ET | $50.78 | 178 | $9,038.84 | $9,038.91 |
+$192.24 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $58.25 | 155 | $9,028.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $56.42 | 155 | $8,745.12 | $8,755.28 |
$-283.63 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $60.47 | 144 | $8,707.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $62.04 | 144 | $8,933.76 | $8,981.36 |
+$226.08 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:25pm ET | $52.88 | 169 | $8,937.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.08 | 169 | $8,632.52 | $8,676.32 |
$-305.04 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.91 | 158 | $8,675.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $53.25 | 158 | $8,413.48 | $8,414.02 |
$-262.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $48.44 | 173 | $8,380.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $49.67 | 173 | $8,592.91 | $8,626.81 |
+$212.79 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $51.87 | 166 | $8,610.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $52.97 | 166 | $8,792.92 | $8,809.31 |
+$182.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $44.39 | 198 | $8,789.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $43.02 | 198 | $8,517.96 | $8,538.05 |
$-271.26 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $41.00 | 208 | $8,528.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET | $41.94 | 208 | $8,723.52 | $8,733.55 |
+$195.50 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $41.22 | 211 | $8,698.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $39.94 | 211 | $8,428.39 | $8,463.47 |
$-270.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $38.28 | 221 | $8,459.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $39.06 | 221 | $8,632.26 | $8,635.85 |
+$172.38 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $39.09 | 220 | $8,599.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.44 | 220 | $8,237.90 | $8,273.95 |
$-361.90 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $39.30 | 210 | $8,252.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $40.27 | 210 | $8,456.68 | $8,477.65 |
+$203.70 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $39.20 | 216 | $8,467.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $40.33 | 216 | $8,711.28 | $8,721.73 |
+$244.08 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:45pm ET | $38.97 | 223 | $8,690.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $39.77 | 223 | $8,868.71 | $8,899.86 |
+$178.13 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $37.72 | 235 | $8,863.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.93 | 235 | $9,148.57 | $9,185.41 |
+$285.55 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET | $37.96 | 242 | $9,185.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $36.74 | 242 | $8,891.08 | $8,891.38 |
$-294.03 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $36.07 | 246 | $8,873.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.85 | 246 | $9,065.10 | $9,083.26 |
+$191.88 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.34 | 249 | $9,049.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $37.22 | 249 | $9,267.78 | $9,301.38 |
+$218.12 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,301.38
Net Profit/Loss:
$-698.62
Total Return:
-6.99%