Compendium › Rebel Contraire › V
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
V
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 23 trades in period

+1.06%
Year to Date Return
$13,254.63
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$13,115.36
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:18:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.6/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 36.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 36.0

30-Day Momentum

49
+9.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.0 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,959
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,115.36
Current Value
$13,254.63
Period P&L
$139.28
Max Drawdown
-11.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
11 / 12
Best Trade
+7.50%
Worst Trade
-4.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$567,686.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$139.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$139.28
Gross Return
+1.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,115.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:20am ET $354.13 37 $13,102.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $348.64 37 $12,899.75 $13,028.10 $-203.06
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:55am ET $354.69 36 $12,768.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $338.61 36 $12,189.96 $12,449.40 $-578.70
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $333.92 37 $12,355.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $322.77 37 $11,942.31 $12,036.66 $-412.74
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET $326.15 36 $11,741.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET $326.42 36 $11,750.94 $12,046.20 +$9.54
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET $325.25 37 $12,034.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $331.92 37 $12,281.04 $12,292.99 +$246.79
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $324.34 37 $12,000.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET $330.95 37 $12,245.15 $12,537.56 +$244.57
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $332.82 37 $12,314.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $332.03 37 $12,285.11 $12,508.33 $-29.23
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:15am ET $328.32 38 $12,475.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $328.26 38 $12,473.72 $12,506.08 $-2.25
(-0.0%) 		📅 Sim Ended
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET $318.08 39 $12,404.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $319.00 39 $12,441.00 $12,542.15 +$36.07
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET $306.40 40 $12,256.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:40am ET $313.30 40 $12,532.00 $12,817.95 +$275.80
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $316.83 40 $12,673.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $315.28 40 $12,611.20 $12,755.75 $-62.20
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:50am ET $324.53 39 $12,656.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $314.79 39 $12,276.70 $12,375.83 $-379.92
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $311.86 39 $12,162.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $308.17 39 $12,018.63 $12,231.92 $-143.91
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:05am ET $311.08 39 $12,132.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:50am ET $300.82 39 $11,731.79 $11,831.58 $-400.34
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET $298.86 39 $11,655.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $306.40 39 $11,949.79 $12,125.84 +$294.26
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $302.54 40 $12,101.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $299.35 40 $11,974.00 $11,998.24 $-127.60
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $299.05 40 $11,962.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $300.78 40 $12,031.04 $12,067.28 +$69.04
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $302.28 39 $11,788.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $309.05 39 $12,053.14 $12,331.50 +$264.22
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:40am ET $304.43 40 $12,177.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $311.74 40 $12,469.60 $12,623.90 +$292.40
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $312.43 40 $12,497.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET $318.80 40 $12,752.00 $12,878.70 +$254.80
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:35am ET $313.69 41 $12,861.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $307.08 41 $12,590.28 $12,607.63 $-271.07
(-2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET $311.38 40 $12,455.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $334.72 40 $13,388.80 $13,541.23 +$933.60
(+7.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $331.33 40 $13,253.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $324.17 40 $12,966.80 $13,254.63 $-286.60
(-2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,254.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,254.63
Total Return: +32.55%
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