Compendium › Rebel Contraire › VRTX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VRTX
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 26 trades in period

-6.67%
Year to Date Return
$10,720.65
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$11,487.04
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:23:34

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
7.6/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 20.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 20.8

30-Day Momentum

6
-2.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,943
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
87 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,487.04
Current Value
$10,720.65
Period P&L
$-766.38
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
12 / 14
Best Trade
+6.40%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$562,202.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-766.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$-766.38
Gross Return
-6.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 87 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,487.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:25am ET $455.62 25 $11,390.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $448.78 25 $11,219.50 $11,372.54 $-171.00
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET $467.42 24 $11,218.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET $477.92 24 $11,470.08 $11,624.54 +$252.00
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET $483.73 24 $11,609.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $468.68 24 $11,248.20 $11,263.22 $-361.32
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $467.50 24 $11,219.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $452.73 24 $10,865.52 $10,908.86 $-354.36
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $444.51 24 $10,668.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $435.40 24 $10,449.48 $10,690.10 $-218.76
(-2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET $451.82 23 $10,391.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $461.52 23 $10,614.85 $10,913.08 +$222.99
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $471.51 23 $10,844.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $481.36 23 $11,071.28 $11,139.75 +$226.67
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $477.41 23 $10,980.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:05pm ET $472.79 23 $10,874.17 $11,033.49 $-106.26
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $462.86 23 $10,645.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $472.88 23 $10,876.24 $11,263.95 +$230.46
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:40am ET $470.42 23 $10,819.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:40am ET $469.65 23 $10,801.95 $11,246.35 $-17.60
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $488.96 23 $11,246.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $473.88 23 $10,899.18 $10,899.45 $-346.90
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $474.20 22 $10,432.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:20am ET $483.78 22 $10,643.16 $11,110.21 +$210.76
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $489.08 22 $10,759.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $495.63 22 $10,903.86 $11,254.31 +$144.10
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:10am ET $472.34 23 $10,863.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $458.09 23 $10,536.07 $10,926.47 $-327.84
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $452.66 24 $10,863.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $481.61 24 $11,558.76 $11,621.39 +$694.92
(+6.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $497.95 23 $11,452.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:40am ET $482.89 23 $11,106.47 $11,275.01 $-346.38
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $474.55 23 $10,914.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET $457.89 23 $10,531.47 $10,891.83 $-383.18
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:30am ET $449.95 24 $10,798.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:45pm ET $459.36 24 $11,024.64 $11,117.67 +$225.84
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:55am ET $454.06 24 $10,897.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $439.86 24 $10,556.64 $10,776.87 $-340.80
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $441.32 24 $10,591.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $451.98 24 $10,847.52 $11,032.83 +$255.96
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:50am ET $446.49 24 $10,715.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $429.89 24 $10,317.36 $10,634.43 $-398.40
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:25am ET $437.85 24 $10,508.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:25am ET $443.48 24 $10,643.52 $10,769.67 +$135.24
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $440.27 24 $10,566.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $440.60 24 $10,574.40 $10,777.59 +$7.92
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET $435.27 24 $10,446.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $427.01 24 $10,248.24 $10,579.35 $-198.24
(-1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET $427.22 24 $10,253.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $423.92 24 $10,174.08 $10,500.15 $-79.20
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
26 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $416.51 25 $10,412.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:00am ET $425.33 25 $10,633.25 $10,720.65 +$220.50
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,720.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$720.65
Total Return: +7.21%
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