Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 26.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 26.3

30-Day Momentum

76
+18.7%
30d Return
88%
Win Rate
8
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 93.6 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+50 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,537
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,311.94
Current Value
$11,924.15
Period P&L
$1,612.21
Max Drawdown
-30.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
18 / 8
Best Trade
+5.66%
Worst Trade
-3.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$539,225.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,612.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,612.21
Gross Return
+15.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,311.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET $145.60 71 $10,337.60
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $145.70 71 $10,344.70 $10,434.53 +$7.10
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $145.96 71 $10,363.16
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $146.02 71 $10,367.42 $10,438.79 +$4.26
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $146.80 71 $10,422.45
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $143.83 71 $10,211.93 $10,228.27 $-210.51
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET $144.06 71 $10,228.26
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET $146.19 71 $10,379.14 $10,379.15 +$150.88
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $148.43 69 $10,241.67
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET $143.88 69 $9,927.72 $10,065.20 $-313.95
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:00am ET $145.57 69 $10,044.33
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $141.09 69 $9,734.87 $9,755.73 $-309.46
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $136.83 71 $9,714.93
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $139.58 71 $9,910.18 $9,950.98 +$195.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $143.59 69 $9,907.71
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $143.56 69 $9,905.64 $9,948.91 $-2.07
(-0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $138.17 72 $9,948.24
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET $141.23 72 $10,168.56 $10,169.23 +$220.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $139.68 72 $10,056.97
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET $140.50 72 $10,116.00 $10,228.26 +$59.03
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 1:25pm ET $142.99 71 $10,152.29
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $138.34 71 $9,821.79 $9,897.76 $-330.50
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:35am ET $138.18 71 $9,811.13
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:00am ET $141.20 71 $10,025.20 $10,111.82 +$214.06
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:50am ET $138.80 72 $9,993.60
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:50am ET $140.01 72 $10,081.08 $10,199.30 +$87.48
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $137.96 73 $10,071.08
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $139.68 73 $10,196.28 $10,324.49 +$125.19
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $139.30 74 $10,308.20
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $135.07 74 $9,995.18 $10,011.47 $-313.02
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $137.42 72 $9,894.24
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $133.14 72 $9,586.40 $9,703.63 $-307.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $129.87 74 $9,610.01
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $132.49 74 $9,804.26 $9,897.88 +$194.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $134.61 73 $9,826.53
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $136.68 73 $9,978.00 $10,049.35 +$151.47
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $135.50 74 $10,027.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $143.16 74 $10,594.21 $10,616.56 +$567.21
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $140.95 75 $10,571.25
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:00am ET $143.83 75 $10,787.25 $10,832.56 +$216.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET $146.45 73 $10,690.85
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $149.42 73 $10,907.66 $11,049.37 +$216.81
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $151.35 73 $11,048.91
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $154.41 73 $11,272.29 $11,272.75 +$223.38
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:50am ET $153.51 73 $11,205.87
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:25am ET $156.73 73 $11,441.29 $11,508.17 +$235.42
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:45am ET $157.38 73 $11,488.74
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:45am ET $156.54 73 $11,427.42 $11,446.85 $-61.32
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $157.82 72 $11,362.68
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $161.19 72 $11,605.68 $11,689.85 +$243.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
26 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $162.49 71 $11,536.79
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $165.79 71 $11,771.09 $11,924.15 +$234.30
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,924.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,924.15
Total Return: +19.24%
Back to Rebel Contraire