Grace Crossover

The Patient One

📊 Swing Trader 📅 66 years old (Born 1960)

"The fast moving average is the heartbeat. The slow moving average is the breath. When heartbeat crosses breath, the market has made its decision."

Elegant woman in her mid-60s with silver hair in a neat bun. Minimalist wardrobe—black turtleneck, simple silver watch. Her desk is immaculate, containing only what is essential.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Feb 14, 2025 → Feb 14, 2026 (365 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Grace Crossover's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,068

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,179 (+$889)

+8.74%

Last Year ROI

30.9%

Win Rate

14,130

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

EMA crossover - 9 EMA crossing 21 EMA signals entry

Monitors the 9-period and 21-period Exponential Moving Averages. When the fast EMA (9) crosses above the slow EMA (21), it signals bullish momentum and triggers a buy. The opposite cross triggers a sell.

🎯 Best Suited For

Stocks with clean trending behavior

"The trend is your friend until it bends."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend roughly 30% of the time—but that's where the big money is made. The crossover filters out noise and identifies when momentum has genuinely shifted.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

                        EMAt = (Close × k) + (EMAt-1 × (1 - k))                    

                        Unlike SMA, EMA weighs recent prices more heavily. The multiplier k controls sensitivity.                    

                            k = Smoothing Factor = 2 ÷ (Period + 1)                        

                            For 9 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 10 = 0.20 (20% weight to current price)                        

                            For 21 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 22 ≈ 0.0909 (9.09% weight to current price)                        

                            First EMA = SMA of first n periods (seeding)

                    📚 Robert Goodell Brown's "Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction" (1963)                

📊 Golden Cross (Buy Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≤ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t > EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses ABOVE the slow EMA indicates bullish momentum shift.                    

                            EMA_fast = 9-period EMA (the "heartbeat")                        

                            EMA_slow = 21-period EMA (the "breath")                        

                            Cross detected: previous bar fast ≤ slow, current bar fast > slow

                    📚 Richard Donchian's trend-following system (1960s)                

📊 Death Cross (Sell Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≥ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t < EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses BELOW the slow EMA indicates bearish momentum shift.                    

                            Fast EMA falls below slow EMA = trend reversal                        

                            Exit signal overrides hold, even if target not reached

                    📚 Classic technical analysis, popularized by John Murphy                

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.08 (+8% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.95 (-5% loss)                    

                        • DEATH_CROSS: Fast EMA crosses below Slow EMA                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        FAST_EMA_PERIOD:
                        9
                    

                        SLOW_EMA_PERIOD:
                        21
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        8%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -5%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        60
                    

                        STARTING_CAPITAL:
                        10000
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Richard Donchian, Father of Trend Following

Richard Donchian began trading in the 1930s but didn't formalize his moving average crossover systems until the 1960s. His insight was profound: you don't need to predict where markets will go—you only need to recognize when they've started going there.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Feb 14, 2025 → Feb 14, 2026 (365 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	1Y Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SOFI	+85.36%	$14,708	$27,262	135	36%	-	+$12,555	-22.8%	11.5h	✓	-
2	RIVN	+77.73%	$10,513	$18,685	138	35%	-	+$8,172	-33.5%	10.9h	✓	-
3	MU	+52.34%	$6,547	$9,973	124	31%	-	+$3,426	-48.4%	10.8h	✓	-
4	MARA	+48.27%	$13,690	$20,299	144	31%	-	+$6,608	-35.1%	9.9h	✓	-
5	LCID	+47.38%	$9,662	$14,239	144	26%	-	+$4,578	-23.9%	10.4h	✓	-
6	RIOT	+41.11%	$11,329	$15,987	136	33%	-	+$4,658	-34.2%	9.1h	✓	-
7	SCHW	+37.99%	$10,460	$14,434	130	41%	-	+$3,974	-6.9%	10.9h	✓	-
8	GOOGL	+37.97%	$8,280	$11,424	139	37%	-	+$3,144	-22.4%	10.5h	✓	-
9	CRWD	+36.52%	$12,078	$16,489	136	35%	-	+$4,411	-20.9%	11.7h	✓	-
10	COIN	+34.23%	$10,486	$14,076	138	29%	-	+$3,589	-23.0%	10.2h	✓	-
11	GS	+31.26%	$11,204	$14,707	137	35%	-	+$3,502	-8.5%	10.1h	✓	-
12	CSCO	+28.86%	$10,463	$13,483	139	37%	-	+$3,020	-5.8%	11.6h	✓	-
13	HOOD	+27.86%	$12,669	$16,198	137	26%	-	+$3,529	-21.5%	10.9h	✓	-
14	SLV	+24.15%	$9,941	$12,341	137	34%	-	+$2,401	-14.1%	11.3h	✓	-
15	MRK	+23.53%	$8,760	$10,821	135	36%	-	+$2,061	-15.0%	11.4h	✓	-
16	C	+22.80%	$10,171	$12,490	134	39%	-	+$2,319	-16.6%	10.1h	✓	-
17	ABBV	+22.00%	$8,157	$9,951	139	39%	-	+$1,795	-20.2%	10.6h	✓	-
18	PM	+21.68%	$11,914	$14,497	135	25%	-	+$2,583	-4.1%	12.3h	✓	-
19	BAC	+20.79%	$8,923	$10,778	140	36%	-	+$1,855	-19.3%	10.2h	✓	-
20	AMGN	+20.45%	$11,321	$13,636	142	37%	-	+$2,315	-5.9%	10.1h	✓	-
21	WFC	+17.94%	$10,483	$12,364	138	34%	-	+$1,881	-10.6%	11.2h	✓	-
22	CVX	+16.25%	$10,414	$12,106	140	31%	-	+$1,692	-10.7%	11.2h	✓	-
23	UVXY	+16.24%	$13,938	$16,201	151	25%	-	+$2,263	-23.5%	7.4h	✓	-
24	SLB	+15.85%	$9,626	$11,151	141	33%	-	+$1,526	-17.0%	9.5h	✓	-
25	WMT	+15.45%	$11,754	$13,570	138	32%	-	+$1,816	-6.4%	14.1h	✓	-
26	XLK	+15.40%	$10,552	$12,177	136	34%	-	+$1,625	-13.1%	10.5h	✓	-
27	PEP	+15.31%	$10,333	$11,915	137	34%	-	+$1,582	-6.0%	11.3h	✓	-
28	USO	+14.50%	$10,089	$11,552	132	34%	-	+$1,463	-11.7%	10.8h	✓	-
29	SMCI	+14.17%	$11,942	$13,635	143	25%	-	+$1,692	-43.0%	10.0h	✓	-
30	LLY	+14.03%	$11,521	$13,137	139	37%	-	+$1,616	-13.5%	10.7h	✓	-
31	XOM	+13.69%	$10,035	$11,409	143	31%	-	+$1,374	-7.7%	11.2h	✓	-
32	GME	+13.09%	$12,847	$14,528	146	27%	-	+$1,682	-22.2%	8.2h	✓	-
33	ISRG	+12.79%	$9,582	$10,808	134	34%	-	+$1,226	-10.1%	11.6h	✓	-
34	MA	+11.65%	$9,502	$10,608	139	25%	-	+$1,107	-9.3%	9.0h	✓	-
35	AXP	+11.32%	$10,030	$11,166	138	33%	-	+$1,135	-17.9%	10.5h	✓	-
36	VRTX	+11.28%	$11,629	$12,941	144	34%	-	+$1,312	-9.6%	11.3h	✓	-
37	NFLX	+11.16%	$9,707	$10,790	138	38%	-	+$1,083	-13.6%	11.4h	✓	-
38	IWM	+10.97%	$10,187	$11,305	142	30%	-	+$1,118	-8.0%	9.6h	✓	-
39	ORCL	+10.93%	$8,060	$8,941	136	35%	-	+$881	-31.9%	11.8h	✓	-
40	SPY	+10.56%	$10,000	$11,056	133	32%	-	+$1,056	-6.4%	9.3h	✓	-
41	BIIB	+10.36%	$8,729	$9,633	143	28%	-	+$904	-21.8%	9.1h	✓	-
42	HD	+9.87%	$9,094	$9,992	139	29%	-	+$898	-11.0%	10.3h	✓	-
43	BLK	+9.87%	$10,571	$11,615	136	30%	-	+$1,043	-8.6%	12.4h	✓	-
44	VOO	+9.24%	$10,284	$11,234	136	32%	-	+$950	-4.8%	8.9h	✓	-
45	GLD	+8.68%	$12,055	$13,102	134	33%	-	+$1,046	-6.1%	12.6h	✓	-
46	PG	+8.55%	$11,269	$12,233	141	30%	-	+$964	-4.6%	11.1h	✓	-
47	ARKK	+8.41%	$10,304	$11,171	137	29%	-	+$867	-13.9%	11.5h	✓	-
48	COST	+8.02%	$10,828	$11,697	145	28%	-	+$868	-8.3%	12.2h	✓	-
49	MSFT	+7.54%	$9,233	$9,929	137	35%	-	+$696	-19.0%	11.5h	✓	-
50	XLE	+6.74%	$9,692	$10,345	144	31%	-	+$653	-13.2%	11.6h	✓	-
51	CMCSA	+6.02%	$9,828	$10,420	140	34%	-	+$592	-8.3%	10.3h	✓	-
52	QQQ	+5.28%	$10,799	$11,370	133	34%	-	+$570	-9.3%	11.6h	✓	-
53	SOXL	+5.03%	$9,464	$9,940	127	30%	-	+$476	-51.2%	11.0h	✓	-
54	ADBE	+4.47%	$8,512	$8,893	143	38%	-	+$380	-20.5%	12.0h	✓	-
55	KO	+3.97%	$10,207	$10,612	128	34%	-	+$405	-6.4%	13.1h	✓	-
56	DIA	+3.52%	$9,739	$10,082	137	31%	-	+$343	-8.0%	11.1h	✓	-
57	JPM	+3.52%	$11,606	$12,015	139	29%	-	+$409	-9.6%	10.5h	✓	-
58	PANW	+3.13%	$12,574	$12,968	136	32%	-	+$394	-10.2%	10.2h	✓	-
59	META	+3.08%	$8,547	$8,810	143	28%	-	+$263	-28.5%	9.8h	✓	-
60	VTI	+2.75%	$9,589	$9,852	136	30%	-	+$264	-11.1%	8.5h	✓	-
61	RBLX	+2.32%	$9,425	$9,643	142	33%	-	+$219	-23.0%	10.9h	✓	-
62	MS	+2.24%	$10,427	$10,661	143	36%	-	+$234	-12.1%	8.7h	✓	-
63	VZ	+0.87%	$8,235	$8,307	137	27%	-	+$72	-22.5%	13.2h	✓	-
64	OXY	+0.57%	$9,569	$9,624	147	27%	-	+$55	-14.1%	11.1h	✓	-
65	MDT	+0.41%	$10,131	$10,173	140	28%	-	+$42	-12.9%	12.0h	✓	-
66	NET	+0.22%	$9,443	$9,464	135	30%	-	+$21	-27.1%	9.4h	✓	-
67	PFE	+0.11%	$8,521	$8,531	136	29%	-	+$9	-20.1%	11.0h	✓	-
68	XLF	-0.32%	$10,825	$10,790	139	29%	-	-$35	-6.8%	10.7h	✓	-
69	TSLA	-0.42%	$8,490	$8,454	141	33%	-	-$36	-26.6%	10.7h	✓	-
70	V	-0.42%	$9,091	$9,053	138	30%	-	-$38	-12.2%	10.0h	✓	-
71	CRM	-0.73%	$12,050	$11,963	143	28%	-	-$88	-15.0%	9.6h	✓	-
72	TLT	-0.74%	$9,602	$9,531	140	36%	-	-$71	-7.1%	12.0h	✓	-
73	GILD	-1.85%	$9,171	$9,002	142	27%	-	-$170	-19.1%	8.9h	✓	-
74	INTC	-2.28%	$9,977	$9,749	147	26%	-	-$227	-21.5%	7.8h	✓	-
75	TMO	-2.68%	$10,237	$9,962	144	30%	-	-$274	-14.5%	9.4h	✓	-
76	JNJ	-2.74%	$10,163	$9,885	138	29%	-	-$278	-10.9%	11.3h	✓	-
77	NVDA	-3.17%	$10,513	$10,180	145	28%	-	-$333	-30.4%	9.6h	✓	-
78	NIO	-3.20%	$6,030	$5,837	139	29%	-	-$193	-42.7%	8.8h	✓	-
79	BRK-B	-3.32%	$9,464	$9,150	141	26%	-	-$314	-16.1%	10.0h	✓	-
80	IBM	-3.34%	$9,402	$9,088	137	34%	-	-$314	-12.8%	9.8h	✓	-
81	DKNG	-3.35%	$12,864	$12,433	145	28%	-	-$431	-25.0%	11.5h	✓	-
82	TQQQ	-4.45%	$9,468	$9,046	133	35%	-	-$421	-36.1%	10.2h	✓	-
83	AMZN	-4.80%	$9,903	$9,427	137	32%	-	-$475	-24.3%	11.0h	✓	-
84	ARM	-5.13%	$5,374	$5,098	139	29%	-	-$276	-53.7%	10.4h	✓	-
85	PYPL	-5.24%	$10,157	$9,625	134	25%	-	-$532	-14.2%	12.0h	✓	-
86	AVGO	-5.50%	$11,136	$10,524	139	32%	-	-$613	-26.2%	12.5h	✓	-
87	SQQQ	-5.67%	$11,891	$11,217	139	27%	-	-$674	-27.4%	9.4h	✓	-
88	MCD	-5.78%	$9,255	$8,720	144	28%	-	-$535	-16.7%	11.1h	✓	-
89	COP	-5.81%	$11,211	$10,560	144	27%	-	-$651	-13.6%	9.7h	✓	-
90	ACN	-5.97%	$10,566	$9,935	139	35%	-	-$631	-7.8%	11.9h	✓	-
91	MRNA	-6.64%	$4,984	$4,653	144	29%	-	-$331	-67.6%	11.1h	✓	-
92	AAPL	-7.85%	$9,843	$9,070	140	26%	-	-$773	-16.9%	8.9h	✓	-
93	BMY	-8.54%	$9,474	$8,665	146	27%	-	-$809	-14.5%	9.3h	✓	-
94	UNH	-8.78%	$10,934	$9,974	138	27%	-	-$960	-17.4%	9.8h	✓	-
95	PLTR	-9.85%	$19,475	$17,557	142	29%	-	-$1,918	-23.6%	12.0h	✓	-
96	SNOW	-10.06%	$9,240	$8,310	146	31%	-	-$930	-21.1%	10.3h	✓	-
97	DIS	-12.20%	$10,350	$9,087	144	31%	-	-$1,263	-15.9%	8.6h	✓	-
98	REGN	-12.93%	$7,624	$6,638	142	27%	-	-$986	-33.9%	8.9h	✓	-
99	SPXU	-15.67%	$10,014	$8,444	58	22%	-	-$1,569	-29.7%	20.5h	✓	-
100	AMD	-24.32%	$9,769	$7,393	143	25%	-	-$2,376	-38.6%	8.9h	✓	-
101	VXX	-27.41%	$11,736	$8,519	151	22%	-	-$3,217	-42.2%	8.2h	✓	-
102	AMC	-37.29%	$5,794	$3,633	148	18%	-	-$2,161	-67.5%	9.0h	✓	-

👤 Personality

Zen-like patience. Never chases trades. Believes rushing leads to ruin. Speaks slowly and deliberately. Has been known to wait months for the perfect entry.