Crasher Macro

The Fear Whisperer

🌍 Crypto Native (Oracle-Derived) 📅 0 years old (Born 2026)

"When the world panics, crypto crashes harder — and bounces faster. Macro fear is the signal."

A macro-aware trader surrounded by Bloomberg terminals showing VIX charts, yield curves, and credit spreads. Wears a Fed hoodie under a crypto jacket.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Jan 1, 2026 → Feb 14, 2026 (44 days)

🎯 Asset Class: ₿ Crypto 6 ⚠️ Crypto has 0.25% trading fees - results reflect fee impact

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Crasher Macro's performance over the year to date across 6 crypto symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$14,894

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $14,894 (+$0)

0.00%

Year to Date ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 6 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Crasher's crash-bounce thesis gated by FRED macro stress signals

Same momentum crash entry as Crasher, but only trades when macro stress is elevated: VIX > 25 OR High-Yield credit spread > 75th percentile. The FRED overlay analysis proved VIX at winning entries is consistently higher than at losing entries.

🎯 Best Suited For

Crypto crash bounces during macro stress — VIX predicts winners (delta +1.82 to +4.30 across altcoins)

"The VIX doesn't lie. When fear screams, the bounce is loudest."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Macro stress creates correlated selling across all assets. When VIX spikes, institutional de-risking forces crypto down faster — but the bounce is also faster because crypto isn't the source of the fear. Macro fear = better entry quality.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        Momentum crash + macro stress gate passes                    

→ BUY at current price

📉 Exit Conditions (same as Crasher)

                        • TIME_EXIT: Hold for exactly N hours (24h or 48h per asset)                    

                        • NO STOP LOSS                    

                        • NO TARGET                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        FEE_PCT:
                        0.25%
                    

                        ROUND_TRIP_FEE:
                        0.5
                    

                        VIX_THRESHOLD:
                        25
                    

                        SPREAD_PERCENTILE:
                        75
                    

                        FRED_SERIES:
                        VIXCLS, BAMLH0A0HYM2
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Oracle Experiment 1 — FRED macro overlay analysis revealing VIX and credit spreads predict crash-bounce winners

Born February 2026 from Oracle Experiment 1. After building the FRED data pipeline (VIX, yields, credit spreads, unemployment), the macro overlay analysis showed VIX elevation at crash entry predicts significantly better bounce outcomes.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 → Feb 14, 2026 (44 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	YTD Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	AVAXUSD ₿	+0.00%	$14,133	$14,133	NO ENTRY	-	$383	-	-0.0%	0.0h	✓	-
2	BTCUSD ₿	+0.00%	$10,918	$10,918	NO ENTRY	-	$971	-	-0.0%	0.0h	✓	-
3	DOGEUSD ₿	+0.00%	$19,867	$19,867	NO ENTRY	-	$975	-	-0.0%	0.0h	✓	-
4	ETHUSD ₿	+0.00%	$15,447	$15,447	NO ENTRY	-	$690	-	-0.0%	0.0h	✓	-
5	SOLUSD ₿	+0.00%	$13,507	$13,507	NO ENTRY	-	$362	-	-0.0%	0.0h	✓	-
6	XRPUSD ₿	+0.00%	$15,489	$15,489	NO ENTRY	-	$1,430	-	-0.0%	0.0h	✓	-

👤 Personality

Worldly, reads the Financial Times before checking crypto prices. Speaks about macro regimes and credit conditions. Believes crypto doesn't exist in a vacuum.