Grace Crossover

The Patient One

📊 Swing Trader 📅 66 years old (Born 1960)

"The fast moving average is the heartbeat. The slow moving average is the breath. When heartbeat crosses breath, the market has made its decision."

Elegant woman in her mid-60s with silver hair in a neat bun. Minimalist wardrobe—black turtleneck, simple silver watch. Her desk is immaculate, containing only what is essential.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Feb 15, 2025 → Feb 15, 2026 (365 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Grace Crossover's performance over the last year across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,185

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,170 (+$15)

+0.15%

Last Year ROI

28.8%

Win Rate

18,733

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Year)

Stock Volume

$150,220,229

14,072 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$14,840,670

4,661 trades

Crypto Fees

$37,102

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

EMA crossover - 9 EMA crossing 21 EMA signals entry

Monitors the 9-period and 21-period Exponential Moving Averages. When the fast EMA (9) crosses above the slow EMA (21), it signals bullish momentum and triggers a buy. The opposite cross triggers a sell.

🎯 Best Suited For

Stocks with clean trending behavior

"The trend is your friend until it bends."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend roughly 30% of the time—but that's where the big money is made. The crossover filters out noise and identifies when momentum has genuinely shifted.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

                        EMAt = (Close × k) + (EMAt-1 × (1 - k))                    

                        Unlike SMA, EMA weighs recent prices more heavily. The multiplier k controls sensitivity.                    

                            k = Smoothing Factor = 2 ÷ (Period + 1)                        

                            For 9 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 10 = 0.20 (20% weight to current price)                        

                            For 21 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 22 ≈ 0.0909 (9.09% weight to current price)                        

                            First EMA = SMA of first n periods (seeding)

                    📚 Robert Goodell Brown's "Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction" (1963)                

📊 Golden Cross (Buy Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≤ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t > EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses ABOVE the slow EMA indicates bullish momentum shift.                    

                            EMA_fast = 9-period EMA (the "heartbeat")                        

                            EMA_slow = 21-period EMA (the "breath")                        

                            Cross detected: previous bar fast ≤ slow, current bar fast > slow

                    📚 Richard Donchian's trend-following system (1960s)                

📊 Death Cross (Sell Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≥ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t < EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses BELOW the slow EMA indicates bearish momentum shift.                    

                            Fast EMA falls below slow EMA = trend reversal                        

                            Exit signal overrides hold, even if target not reached

                    📚 Classic technical analysis, popularized by John Murphy                

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.08 (+8% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.95 (-5% loss)                    

                        • DEATH_CROSS: Fast EMA crosses below Slow EMA                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        FAST_EMA_PERIOD:
                        9
                    

                        SLOW_EMA_PERIOD:
                        21
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        8%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -5%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        60
                    

                        STARTING_CAPITAL:
                        10000
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Richard Donchian, Father of Trend Following

Richard Donchian began trading in the 1930s but didn't formalize his moving average crossover systems until the 1960s. His insight was profound: you don't need to predict where markets will go—you only need to recognize when they've started going there.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Feb 15, 2025 → Feb 15, 2026 (365 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	1Y Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SOFI	+85.36%	$14,708	$27,262	134	35%	-	+$12,555	-22.8%	11.5h	✓	-
2	RIVN	+77.73%	$10,513	$18,685	138	35%	-	+$8,172	-33.5%	10.9h	✓	-
3	MU	+52.34%	$6,547	$9,973	124	31%	-	+$3,426	-48.4%	10.8h	✓	-
4	MARA	+48.27%	$13,690	$20,299	143	30%	-	+$6,608	-35.1%	9.9h	✓	-
5	LCID	+47.38%	$9,662	$14,239	143	27%	-	+$4,578	-23.9%	10.4h	✓	-
6	RIOT	+41.11%	$11,329	$15,987	135	33%	-	+$4,658	-34.2%	9.1h	✓	-
7	SCHW	+37.99%	$10,460	$14,434	129	41%	-	+$3,974	-6.9%	10.9h	✓	-
8	GOOGL	+37.97%	$8,280	$11,424	138	38%	-	+$3,144	-22.4%	10.5h	✓	-
9	CRWD	+36.52%	$12,078	$16,489	135	35%	-	+$4,411	-20.9%	11.7h	✓	-
10	COIN	+34.23%	$10,486	$14,076	137	29%	-	+$3,589	-23.0%	10.2h	✓	-
11	GS	+31.26%	$11,204	$14,707	136	35%	-	+$3,502	-8.5%	10.1h	✓	-
12	CSCO	+28.86%	$10,463	$13,483	139	37%	-	+$3,020	-5.8%	11.6h	✓	-
13	HOOD	+27.86%	$12,669	$16,198	136	26%	-	+$3,529	-21.5%	10.9h	✓	-
14	SLV	+24.15%	$9,941	$12,341	137	34%	-	+$2,401	-14.1%	11.3h	✓	-
15	MRK	+23.53%	$8,760	$10,821	135	36%	-	+$2,061	-15.0%	11.4h	✓	-
16	C	+22.80%	$10,171	$12,490	134	39%	-	+$2,319	-16.6%	10.1h	✓	-
17	ABBV	+22.00%	$8,157	$9,951	138	39%	-	+$1,795	-20.2%	10.6h	✓	-
18	PM	+21.68%	$11,914	$14,497	135	25%	-	+$2,583	-4.1%	12.3h	✓	-
19	BAC	+20.79%	$8,923	$10,778	140	36%	-	+$1,855	-19.3%	10.2h	✓	-
20	AMGN	+20.45%	$11,321	$13,636	142	37%	-	+$2,315	-5.9%	10.1h	✓	-
21	WFC	+17.94%	$10,483	$12,364	138	34%	-	+$1,881	-10.6%	11.2h	✓	-
22	CVX	+16.25%	$10,414	$12,106	140	31%	-	+$1,692	-10.7%	11.2h	✓	-
23	UVXY	+16.24%	$13,938	$16,201	150	25%	-	+$2,263	-23.5%	7.4h	✓	-
24	SLB	+15.85%	$9,626	$11,151	140	34%	-	+$1,526	-17.0%	9.5h	✓	-
25	WMT	+15.45%	$11,754	$13,570	137	32%	-	+$1,816	-6.4%	14.1h	✓	-
26	XLK	+15.40%	$10,552	$12,177	136	34%	-	+$1,625	-13.1%	10.5h	✓	-
27	PEP	+15.31%	$10,333	$11,915	137	34%	-	+$1,582	-6.0%	11.3h	✓	-
28	USO	+14.50%	$10,089	$11,552	131	34%	-	+$1,463	-11.7%	10.8h	✓	-
29	SMCI	+14.17%	$11,942	$13,635	142	25%	-	+$1,692	-43.0%	10.0h	✓	-
30	LLY	+14.03%	$11,521	$13,137	139	37%	-	+$1,616	-13.5%	10.7h	✓	-
31	XOM	+13.69%	$10,035	$11,409	143	31%	-	+$1,374	-7.7%	11.2h	✓	-
32	GME	+13.09%	$12,847	$14,528	145	27%	-	+$1,682	-22.2%	8.2h	✓	-
33	ISRG	+12.79%	$9,582	$10,808	134	34%	-	+$1,226	-10.1%	11.6h	✓	-
34	MA	+11.65%	$9,502	$10,608	138	25%	-	+$1,107	-9.3%	9.0h	✓	-
35	AXP	+11.32%	$10,030	$11,166	137	33%	-	+$1,135	-17.9%	10.5h	✓	-
36	VRTX	+11.28%	$11,629	$12,941	143	34%	-	+$1,312	-9.6%	11.3h	✓	-
37	NFLX	+11.16%	$9,707	$10,790	138	38%	-	+$1,083	-13.6%	11.4h	✓	-
38	IWM	+10.97%	$10,187	$11,305	141	30%	-	+$1,118	-8.0%	9.6h	✓	-
39	ORCL	+10.93%	$8,060	$8,941	135	34%	-	+$881	-31.9%	11.8h	✓	-
40	SPY	+10.56%	$10,000	$11,056	132	32%	-	+$1,056	-6.4%	9.3h	✓	-
41	BIIB	+10.36%	$8,729	$9,633	142	27%	-	+$904	-21.8%	9.1h	✓	-
42	BLK	+9.87%	$10,571	$11,615	135	30%	-	+$1,043	-8.6%	12.4h	✓	-
43	HD	+9.87%	$9,094	$9,992	138	28%	-	+$898	-11.0%	10.3h	✓	-
44	VOO	+9.24%	$10,284	$11,234	135	31%	-	+$950	-4.8%	8.9h	✓	-
45	GLD	+8.68%	$12,055	$13,102	134	33%	-	+$1,046	-6.1%	12.6h	✓	-
46	PG	+8.55%	$11,269	$12,233	140	30%	-	+$964	-4.6%	11.1h	✓	-
47	ARKK	+8.41%	$10,304	$11,171	137	29%	-	+$867	-13.9%	11.5h	✓	-
48	COST	+8.02%	$10,828	$11,697	144	28%	-	+$868	-8.3%	12.2h	✓	-
49	MSFT	+7.54%	$9,233	$9,929	137	35%	-	+$696	-19.0%	11.5h	✓	-
50	XLE	+6.74%	$9,692	$10,345	143	31%	-	+$653	-13.2%	11.6h	✓	-
51	CMCSA	+6.02%	$9,828	$10,420	140	34%	-	+$592	-8.3%	10.3h	✓	-
52	QQQ	+5.28%	$10,799	$11,370	133	34%	-	+$570	-9.3%	11.6h	✓	-
53	SOXL	+5.03%	$9,464	$9,940	127	30%	-	+$476	-51.2%	11.0h	✓	-
54	ADBE	+4.47%	$8,512	$8,893	143	38%	-	+$380	-20.5%	12.0h	✓	-
55	KO	+3.97%	$10,207	$10,612	128	34%	-	+$405	-6.4%	13.1h	✓	-
56	DIA	+3.52%	$9,739	$10,082	136	32%	-	+$343	-8.0%	11.1h	✓	-
57	JPM	+3.52%	$11,606	$12,015	138	29%	-	+$409	-9.6%	10.5h	✓	-
58	PANW	+3.13%	$12,574	$12,968	136	32%	-	+$394	-10.2%	10.2h	✓	-
59	META	+3.08%	$8,547	$8,810	143	28%	-	+$263	-28.5%	9.8h	✓	-
60	VTI	+2.75%	$9,589	$9,852	135	30%	-	+$264	-11.1%	8.5h	✓	-
61	RBLX	+2.32%	$9,425	$9,643	141	33%	-	+$219	-23.0%	10.9h	✓	-
62	MS	+2.24%	$10,427	$10,661	142	35%	-	+$234	-12.1%	8.7h	✓	-
63	VZ	+0.87%	$8,235	$8,307	136	27%	-	+$72	-22.5%	13.2h	✓	-
64	OXY	+0.57%	$9,569	$9,624	146	27%	-	+$55	-14.1%	11.1h	✓	-
65	MDT	+0.41%	$10,131	$10,173	140	28%	-	+$42	-12.9%	12.0h	✓	-
66	NET	+0.22%	$9,443	$9,464	135	30%	-	+$21	-27.1%	9.4h	✓	-
67	PFE	+0.11%	$8,521	$8,531	135	29%	-	+$9	-20.1%	11.0h	✓	-
68	XLF	-0.32%	$10,825	$10,790	138	30%	-	-$35	-6.8%	10.7h	✓	-
69	TSLA	-0.42%	$8,490	$8,454	141	33%	-	-$36	-26.6%	10.7h	✓	-
70	V	-0.42%	$9,091	$9,053	137	31%	-	-$38	-12.2%	10.0h	✓	-
71	CRM	-0.73%	$12,050	$11,963	142	27%	-	-$88	-15.0%	9.6h	✓	-
72	TLT	-0.74%	$9,602	$9,531	139	36%	-	-$71	-7.1%	12.0h	✓	-
73	GILD	-1.85%	$9,171	$9,002	142	27%	-	-$170	-19.1%	8.9h	✓	-
74	INTC	-2.28%	$9,977	$9,749	146	26%	-	-$227	-21.5%	7.8h	✓	-
75	TMO	-2.68%	$10,237	$9,962	144	30%	-	-$274	-14.5%	9.4h	✓	-
76	JNJ	-2.74%	$10,163	$9,885	138	29%	-	-$278	-10.9%	11.3h	✓	-
77	NVDA	-3.17%	$10,513	$10,180	144	28%	-	-$333	-30.4%	9.6h	✓	-
78	NIO	-3.20%	$6,030	$5,837	138	29%	-	-$193	-42.7%	8.8h	✓	-
79	BRK-B	-3.32%	$9,464	$9,150	140	26%	-	-$314	-16.1%	10.0h	✓	-
80	IBM	-3.34%	$9,402	$9,088	137	34%	-	-$314	-12.8%	9.8h	✓	-
81	DKNG	-3.35%	$12,864	$12,433	144	27%	-	-$431	-25.0%	11.5h	✓	-
82	TQQQ	-4.45%	$9,468	$9,046	133	35%	-	-$421	-36.1%	10.2h	✓	-
83	AMZN	-4.80%	$9,903	$9,427	136	32%	-	-$475	-24.3%	11.0h	✓	-
84	ARM	-5.13%	$5,374	$5,098	138	30%	-	-$276	-53.7%	10.4h	✓	-
85	PYPL	-5.24%	$10,157	$9,625	134	25%	-	-$532	-14.2%	12.0h	✓	-
86	AVGO	-5.50%	$11,136	$10,524	138	32%	-	-$613	-26.2%	12.5h	✓	-
87	SQQQ	-5.67%	$11,891	$11,217	139	27%	-	-$674	-27.4%	9.4h	✓	-
88	MCD	-5.78%	$9,255	$8,720	143	29%	-	-$535	-16.7%	11.1h	✓	-
89	COP	-5.81%	$11,211	$10,560	143	27%	-	-$651	-13.6%	9.7h	✓	-
90	ACN	-5.97%	$10,566	$9,935	139	35%	-	-$631	-7.8%	11.9h	✓	-
91	MRNA	-6.64%	$4,984	$4,653	143	29%	-	-$331	-67.6%	11.1h	✓	-
92	AAPL	-7.85%	$9,843	$9,070	140	26%	-	-$773	-16.9%	8.9h	✓	-
93	BMY	-8.54%	$9,474	$8,665	146	27%	-	-$809	-14.5%	9.3h	✓	-
94	UNH	-8.78%	$10,934	$9,974	137	27%	-	-$960	-17.4%	9.8h	✓	-
95	PLTR	-9.85%	$19,475	$17,557	142	29%	-	-$1,918	-23.6%	12.0h	✓	-
96	SNOW	-10.06%	$9,240	$8,310	145	30%	-	-$930	-21.1%	10.3h	✓	-
97	DIS	-12.20%	$10,350	$9,087	143	31%	-	-$1,263	-15.9%	8.6h	✓	-
98	REGN	-12.93%	$7,624	$6,638	142	27%	-	-$986	-33.9%	8.9h	✓	-
99	SPXU	-15.67%	$10,014	$8,444	58	22%	-	-$1,569	-29.7%	20.5h	✓	-
100	SHIBUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-19.44%	$10,099	$8,136	48	15%	$2,167	-$1,963	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Feb 5, 2026 20d left
101	AMD	-24.32%	$9,769	$7,393	142	25%	-	-$2,376	-38.6%	8.9h	✓	-
102	VXX	-27.41%	$11,736	$8,519	150	22%	-	-$3,217	-42.2%	8.2h	✓	-
103	DOTUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-36.23%	$10,100	$6,441	70	16%	$2,786	-$3,659	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Feb 1, 2026 16d left
104	AMC	-37.29%	$5,794	$3,633	148	18%	-	-$2,161	-67.5%	9.0h	✓	-
105	LTCUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-50.21%	$10,100	$5,029	115	10%	$4,064	-$5,071	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Jan 26, 2026 10d left
106	UNIUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-59.84%	$10,101	$4,057	157	10%	$4,751	-$6,045	-99.0%	1.6h	6	Jan 21, 2026 5d left
107	PEPEUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-63.47%	$10,101	$3,690	145	13%	$4,569	-$6,411	-99.3%	1.6h	7	Jan 22, 2026 6d left
108	LINKUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	-63.63%	$10,098	$3,673	148	8%	$4,628	-$6,426	-99.0%	1.7h	6	Jan 22, 2026 6d left
109	SOLUSD ₿	-90.60%	$10,099	$949	407	10%	$8,186	-$9,149	-99.1%	1.8h	5	Dec 20, 2025
110	DOGEUSD ₿	-97.36%	$10,101	$267	654	11%	$8,462	-$9,834	-99.0%	1.7h	5	Nov 12, 2025
111	ETHUSD ₿	-97.67%	$10,100	$235	655	11%	$8,495	-$9,864	-99.0%	1.8h	5	Nov 16, 2025
112	XRPUSD ₿	-98.27%	$10,092	$175	726	11%	$8,779	-$9,917	-99.0%	1.8h	5	Oct 29, 2025
113	AVAXUSD ₿	-98.34%	$10,071	$167	719	10%	$8,490	-$9,904	-99.1%	1.7h	5	Nov 7, 2025
114	BTCUSD ₿	-98.98%	$10,072	$103	817	8%	$8,785	-$9,969	-99.1%	1.8h	5	Oct 22, 2025

👤 Personality

Zen-like patience. Never chases trades. Believes rushing leads to ruin. Speaks slowly and deliberately. Has been known to wait months for the perfect entry.