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Grace Crossover
2

Grace Crossover

The Patient One

📊 Swing Trader 📅 66 years old (Born 1960)

"The fast moving average is the heartbeat. The slow moving average is the breath. When heartbeat crosses breath, the market has made its decision."

Elegant woman in her mid-60s with silver hair in a neat bun. Minimalist wardrobe—black turtleneck, simple silver watch. Her desk is immaculate, containing only what is essential.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Grace Crossover's performance over the last 3 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,024
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,748 ($-725)
-6.74%
Last 3 Months ROI
32.6%
Win Rate
3,766
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-1.5%
1 Month
-6.7%
3 Months
-6.2%
6 Months
-6.0%
YTD
-2.5%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 3 Months)

Stock Volume
$30,320,252
2,766 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$3,122,130
1,000 trades
Crypto Fees
$7,805
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

EMA crossover - 9 EMA crossing 21 EMA signals entry

Monitors the 9-period and 21-period Exponential Moving Averages. When the fast EMA (9) crosses above the slow EMA (21), it signals bullish momentum and triggers a buy. The opposite cross triggers a sell.

🎯 Best Suited For

Stocks with clean trending behavior

"The trend is your friend until it bends."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend roughly 30% of the time—but that's where the big money is made. The crossover filters out noise and identifies when momentum has genuinely shifted.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

EMAt = (Close × k) + (EMAt-1 × (1 - k))
Unlike SMA, EMA weighs recent prices more heavily. The multiplier k controls sensitivity.
k = Smoothing Factor = 2 ÷ (Period + 1)
For 9 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 10 = 0.20 (20% weight to current price)
For 21 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 22 ≈ 0.0909 (9.09% weight to current price)
First EMA = SMA of first n periods (seeding)
📚 Robert Goodell Brown's "Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction" (1963)

📊 Golden Cross (Buy Signal)

Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≤ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t > EMAslow,t)
The moment the fast EMA crosses ABOVE the slow EMA indicates bullish momentum shift.
EMA_fast = 9-period EMA (the "heartbeat")
EMA_slow = 21-period EMA (the "breath")
Cross detected: previous bar fast ≤ slow, current bar fast > slow
📚 Richard Donchian's trend-following system (1960s)

📊 Death Cross (Sell Signal)

Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≥ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t < EMAslow,t)
The moment the fast EMA crosses BELOW the slow EMA indicates bearish momentum shift.
Fast EMA falls below slow EMA = trend reversal
Exit signal overrides hold, even if target not reached
📚 Classic technical analysis, popularized by John Murphy

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.08 (+8% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.95 (-5% loss)
• DEATH_CROSS: Fast EMA crosses below Slow EMA
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

FAST_EMA_PERIOD: 9
SLOW_EMA_PERIOD: 21
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 8%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -5%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60
STARTING_CAPITAL: 10000

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Richard Donchian, Father of Trend Following

Richard Donchian began trading in the 1930s but didn't formalize his moving average crossover systems until the 1960s. His insight was profound: you don't need to predict where markets will go—you only need to recognize when they've started going there.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Feb 6, 2026 May 6, 2026 (88 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 3M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 LCID 37 60🔥 +45.58% $13,119 $19,099 26 42% - +$5,980 -23.9% 10.4h -
2 PLTR 45 59 +29.91% $16,915 $21,974 26 42% - +$5,059 -23.6% 12.0h -
3 USO 35 14🧊 +27.50% $11,365 $14,490 29 52% - +$3,125 -11.7% 10.8h -
4 AMD 5 74🔥 +26.83% $7,318 $9,282 28 43% - +$1,963 -38.6% 8.9h -
5 RIVN 38 13🧊 +20.51% $17,739 $21,377 26 54% - +$3,638 -33.5% 10.9h -
6 SOXL 18 73🔥 +20.34% $10,084 $12,135 27 37% - +$2,051 -51.2% 11.0h -
7 INTC 19 71🔥 +18.50% $9,913 $11,747 26 27% - +$1,834 -21.5% 7.8h -
8 AMC 2 68🔥 +15.47% $3,627 $4,188 33 27% - +$561 -67.5% 9.0h -
9 MU 15 62🔥 +13.25% $10,030 $11,359 28 43% - +$1,329 -48.4% 10.8h -
10 SLV 27 9 +12.85% $11,659 $13,158 27 44% - +$1,498 -14.1% 11.3h -
11 SNOW 4 23 +12.44% $8,286 $9,317 22 41% - +$1,031 -21.1% 10.3h -
12 META 5 34🔥 +10.76% $8,850 $9,802 26 42% - +$952 -28.5% 9.8h -
13 CSCO 59 57 +10.46% $13,729 $15,165 27 37% - +$1,436 -5.8% 11.6h -
14 CVX 32 42 +9.41% $12,069 $13,205 27 52% - +$1,136 -10.7% 11.2h -
15 PANW 37 34 +9.32% $13,026 $14,240 27 41% - +$1,214 -10.2% 10.2h -
16 MRNA 3 61🔥 +8.54% $4,662 $5,060 31 39% - +$398 -67.6% 11.1h -
17 GLD 51 12🧊 +8.06% $13,160 $14,220 27 37% - +$1,061 -6.1% 12.6h -
18 AMZN 10 45🔥 +7.74% $9,473 $10,206 27 37% - +$733 -24.3% 11.0h -
19 NFLX 21 9 +7.63% $10,896 $11,728 30 37% - +$831 -13.6% 11.4h -
20 GOOGL 21 66🔥 +7.49% $11,473 $12,333 28 36% - +$859 -22.4% 10.5h -
21 HOOD 33 44 +7.14% $15,325 $16,420 27 41% - +$1,094 -21.5% 10.9h -
22 CRM 25 62🔥 +6.66% $11,785 $12,570 30 33% - +$785 -15.0% 9.6h -
23 AVGO 15 50🔥 +6.54% $10,457 $11,141 27 52% - +$684 -26.2% 12.5h -
24 DKNG 21 9 +5.88% $11,676 $12,363 28 29% - +$687 -25.0% 11.5h -
25 DIS 4 50🔥 +5.78% $9,110 $9,636 27 33% - +$527 -15.9% 8.6h -
26 BMY 3 32🔥 +5.26% $8,697 $9,154 26 31% - +$457 -14.5% 9.3h -
27 XOM 30 36 +5.21% $11,538 $12,139 25 48% - +$601 -7.7% 11.2h -
28 XLK 29 46 +4.97% $12,216 $12,823 24 42% - +$607 -13.1% 10.5h -
29 MS 20 15 +4.71% $10,823 $11,332 25 52% - +$510 -12.1% 8.7h -
30 RIOT 29 52🔥 +4.61% $15,557 $16,274 26 31% - +$717 -34.2% 9.1h -
31 ARKK 19 55🔥 +4.51% $10,802 $11,290 26 38% - +$487 -13.9% 11.5h -
32 NVDA 14 24 +4.36% $10,248 $10,695 24 38% - +$447 -30.4% 9.6h -
33 PEP 35 9🧊 +4.31% $11,877 $12,389 29 41% - +$512 -6.0% 11.3h -
34 MRK 18 9 +4.05% $10,827 $11,266 28 39% - +$439 -15.0% 11.4h -
35 ORCL 5 6 +3.50% $9,129 $9,448 23 39% - +$319 -31.9% 11.8h -
36 VRTX 32 9🧊 +3.16% $12,764 $13,167 28 29% - +$403 -9.6% 11.3h -
37 SCHW 47 6🧊 +2.70% $14,041 $14,420 25 40% - +$379 -6.9% 10.9h -
38 BAC 16 43🔥 +2.48% $10,616 $10,879 23 48% - +$263 -19.3% 10.2h -
39 WMT 46 31 +2.35% $13,667 $13,988 26 42% - +$321 -6.4% 14.1h -
40 MSFT 10 68🔥 +2.17% $10,031 $10,249 28 46% - +$218 -19.0% 11.5h -
41 WFC 27 6🧊 +2.04% $12,142 $12,390 24 38% - +$248 -10.6% 11.2h -
42 UNH 6 40🔥 +1.95% $9,822 $10,014 27 26% - +$192 -17.4% 9.8h -
43 COP 16 5 +1.92% $10,502 $10,704 25 28% - +$202 -13.6% 9.7h -
44 LLY 29 41 +1.89% $13,165 $13,414 26 42% - +$249 -13.5% 10.7h -
45 KO 18 29 +0.86% $10,635 $10,727 27 37% - +$91 -6.4% 13.1h -
46 ABBV 6 21 +0.70% $9,999 $10,069 30 27% - +$70 -20.2% 10.6h -
47 IWM 23 45🔥 +0.68% $11,348 $11,425 29 38% - +$77 -8.0% 9.6h -
48 QQQ 22 40 +0.40% $11,348 $11,393 25 36% - +$45 -9.3% 11.6h -
49 COST 25 11 +0.26% $11,642 $11,673 25 44% - +$30 -8.3% 12.2h -
50 ARM 3 9 -0.07% $5,098 $5,094 26 38% - -$4 -53.7% 10.4h -
51 VZ 4 46🔥 -0.28% $8,366 $8,343 26 31% - -$23 -22.5% 13.2h -
52 GME 28 22 -0.74% $14,767 $14,658 30 33% - -$109 -22.2% 8.2h -
53 ISRG 15 10 -0.81% $10,762 $10,675 27 30% - -$87 -10.1% 11.6h -
54 DIA 5 9 -0.91% $10,015 $9,924 24 29% - -$91 -8.0% 11.1h -
55 HD 4 9 -1.00% $9,988 $9,888 28 29% - -$100 -11.0% 10.3h -
56 MA 15 35 -1.14% $10,697 $10,575 29 28% - -$122 -9.3% 9.0h -
57 JPM 25 9 -1.38% $12,098 $11,931 28 25% - -$167 -9.6% 10.5h -
58 PYPL 4 7 -1.42% $9,553 $9,417 26 19% - -$136 -14.2% 12.0h -
59 MARA 33 33 -1.53% $20,180 $19,871 29 34% - -$309 -35.1% 9.9h -
60 JNJ 5 17 -1.53% $9,921 $9,769 25 32% - -$152 -10.9% 11.3h -
61 SQQQ 15 9 -1.98% $11,331 $11,107 27 30% - -$224 -27.4% 9.4h -
62 BRK-B 3 6 -2.11% $9,201 $9,007 24 17% - -$194 -16.1% 10.0h -
63 GS 42 56 -2.39% $14,836 $14,482 28 39% - -$355 -8.5% 10.1h -
64 AXP 16 9 -2.59% $11,196 $10,906 29 31% - -$290 -17.9% 10.5h -
65 OXY 5 16 -2.62% $9,486 $9,237 26 50% - -$249 -14.1% 11.1h -
66 BIIB 5 9 -2.79% $9,749 $9,477 30 33% - -$272 -21.8% 9.1h -
67 PFE 4 12 -2.82% $8,492 $8,253 30 40% - -$239 -20.1% 11.0h -
68 PM 54 15🧊 -3.01% $14,536 $14,099 21 33% - -$438 -4.1% 12.3h -
69 TLT 3 9 -3.12% $9,520 $9,223 30 23% - -$297 -7.1% 12.0h -
70 VTI 5 21 -3.34% $9,909 $9,578 26 27% - -$331 -11.1% 8.5h -
71 SPY 18 9 -3.40% $11,090 $10,713 28 14% - -$377 -6.4% 9.3h -
72 COIN 22 9 -3.57% $13,215 $12,744 25 40% - -$472 -23.0% 10.2h -
73 MCD 4 10 -3.94% $8,728 $8,384 26 38% - -$344 -16.7% 11.1h -
74 XLE 4 9 -4.25% $10,201 $9,768 28 50% - -$434 -13.2% 11.6h -
75 IBM 5 31🔥 -4.28% $9,023 $8,636 26 38% - -$386 -12.8% 9.8h -
76 CMCSA 6 9 -4.53% $10,396 $9,925 28 32% - -$471 -8.3% 10.3h -
77 VOO 20 9 -4.58% $11,235 $10,721 26 23% - -$515 -4.8% 8.9h -
78 AMGN 39 22 -4.94% $13,678 $13,002 33 30% - -$676 -5.9% 10.1h -
79 SLB 12 9 -5.47% $10,993 $10,392 28 18% - -$601 -17.0% 9.5h -
80 SPXU 2 9 -5.97% $8,489 $7,982 28 29% - -$507 -29.7% 20.5h -
81 XLF 10 9 -6.00% $10,865 $10,213 27 37% - -$652 -6.8% 10.7h -
82 REGN 2 9 -6.01% $6,656 $6,256 28 14% - -$400 -33.9% 8.9h -
83 V 3 7 -6.31% $9,108 $8,533 26 27% - -$575 -12.2% 10.0h -
84 VXX 4 9 -6.50% $8,675 $8,112 29 28% - -$564 -42.2% 8.2h -
85 BLK 18 7 -6.54% $11,679 $10,915 27 37% - -$764 -8.6% 12.4h -
86 AAPL 4 9 -7.41% $8,898 $8,238 31 29% - -$659 -16.9% 8.9h -
87 SOFI 51 40 -7.60% $26,738 $24,706 28 29% - -$2,032 -22.8% 11.5h -
88 NIO 2 7 -7.64% $5,987 $5,530 28 29% - -$457 -42.7% 8.8h -
89 NET 6 11 -7.89% $9,765 $8,995 26 31% - -$770 -27.1% 9.4h -
90 GILD 3 9 -9.35% $8,835 $8,009 31 10% - -$826 -19.1% 8.9h -
91 MDT 4 7 -10.98% $10,231 $9,107 27 15% - -$1,123 -12.9% 12.0h -
92 CRWD 28 7🧊 -11.05% $16,076 $14,300 23 30% - -$1,776 -20.9% 11.7h -
93 TSLA 4 9 -11.62% $8,372 $7,399 30 20% - -$973 -26.6% 10.7h -
94 C 16 9 -11.74% $12,287 $10,845 29 31% - -$1,443 -16.6% 10.1h -
95 UVXY 25 9 -11.95% $16,323 $14,373 31 26% - -$1,951 -23.5% 7.4h -
96 ADBE 3 7 -12.69% $9,142 $7,982 30 27% - -$1,160 -20.5% 12.0h -
97 PG 18 7 -13.02% $12,270 $10,672 24 13% - -$1,597 -4.6% 11.1h -
98 ACN 4 9 -13.61% $9,966 $8,610 29 24% - -$1,356 -7.8% 11.9h -
99 TMO 4 7 -15.00% $10,002 $8,502 27 30% - -$1,500 -14.5% 9.4h -
100 TQQQ 4 11 -15.28% $8,992 $7,618 26 19% - -$1,374 -36.1% 10.2h -
101 RBLX 4 9 -17.06% $10,132 $8,404 29 28% - -$1,729 -23.0% 10.9h -
102 SMCI 15 24 -19.06% $13,666 $11,061 24 13% - -$2,605 -43.0% 10.0h -
103 SHIBUSD -20.74% $10,100 $8,005 95 18% $4,270 -$2,095 -99.1% 1.7h 6 Feb 5, 2026
104 DOTUSD -42.30% $10,099 $5,827 95 16% $4,443 -$4,272 -99.1% 1.7h 6 Feb 1, 2026
105 LTCUSD -53.75% $10,303 $4,765 99 12% $5,339 -$5,538 -99.1% 1.7h 6 Jan 26, 2026
106 UNIUSD -59.38% $10,100 $4,103 88 20% $5,788 -$5,997 -99.0% 1.6h 6 Jan 21, 2026
107 LINKUSD -64.61% $10,098 $3,574 83 20% $5,423 -$6,525 -99.0% 1.7h 6 Jan 22, 2026
108 PEPEUSD -68.67% $10,099 $3,164 96 19% $5,459 -$6,935 -99.3% 1.6h 7 Jan 22, 2026
109 SOLUSD -90.21% $10,104 $989 83 22% $8,408 -$9,114 -99.1% 1.8h 5 Dec 20, 2025
110 XRPUSD -92.85% $2,514 $180 92 15% $8,823 -$2,334 -99.0% 1.8h 5 Oct 29, 2025
111 DOGEUSD -93.97% $3,871 $233 97 13% $8,528 -$3,637 -99.0% 1.7h 5 Nov 12, 2025
112 AVAXUSD -94.76% $2,541 $133 88 11% $8,524 -$2,408 -99.1% 1.7h 5 Nov 7, 2025
113 ETHUSD -95.21% $4,815 $231 82 20% $8,546 -$4,584 -99.0% 1.8h 5 Nov 16, 2025
114 BTCUSD -98.97% $10,063 $104 2 100% $1 -$9,959 -99.1% 1.8h 45 Mar 4, 2026

👤 Personality

Zen-like patience. Never chases trades. Believes rushing leads to ruin. Speaks slowly and deliberately. Has been known to wait months for the perfect entry.