Grace Crossover

The Patient One

📊 Swing Trader 📅 66 years old (Born 1960)

"The fast moving average is the heartbeat. The slow moving average is the breath. When heartbeat crosses breath, the market has made its decision."

Elegant woman in her mid-60s with silver hair in a neat bun. Minimalist wardrobe—black turtleneck, simple silver watch. Her desk is immaculate, containing only what is essential.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Jan 1, 2026 → Jun 24, 2026 (173d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Grace Crossover's performance over the year to date across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$9,933

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,588 ($-655)

-6.19%

Year to Date ROI

31.5%

Win Rate

8,432

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Year to Date)

Stock Volume

$62,737,810

5,701 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$7,870,097

2,731 trades

Crypto Fees

$19,675

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

EMA crossover - 9 EMA crossing 21 EMA signals entry

Monitors the 9-period and 21-period Exponential Moving Averages. When the fast EMA (9) crosses above the slow EMA (21), it signals bullish momentum and triggers a buy. The opposite cross triggers a sell.

🎯 Best Suited For

Stocks with clean trending behavior

"The trend is your friend until it bends."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend roughly 30% of the time—but that's where the big money is made. The crossover filters out noise and identifies when momentum has genuinely shifted.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

                        EMAt = (Close × k) + (EMAt-1 × (1 - k))                    

                        Unlike SMA, EMA weighs recent prices more heavily. The multiplier k controls sensitivity.                    

                            k = Smoothing Factor = 2 ÷ (Period + 1)                        

                            For 9 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 10 = 0.20 (20% weight to current price)                        

                            For 21 EMA: k = 2 ÷ 22 ≈ 0.0909 (9.09% weight to current price)                        

                            First EMA = SMA of first n periods (seeding)

                    📚 Robert Goodell Brown's "Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction" (1963)                

📊 Golden Cross (Buy Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≤ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t > EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses ABOVE the slow EMA indicates bullish momentum shift.                    

                            EMA_fast = 9-period EMA (the "heartbeat")                        

                            EMA_slow = 21-period EMA (the "breath")                        

                            Cross detected: previous bar fast ≤ slow, current bar fast > slow

                    📚 Richard Donchian's trend-following system (1960s)                

📊 Death Cross (Sell Signal)

                        Signal = (EMAfast,t-1 ≥ EMAslow,t-1) AND (EMAfast,t < EMAslow,t)                    

                        The moment the fast EMA crosses BELOW the slow EMA indicates bearish momentum shift.                    

                            Fast EMA falls below slow EMA = trend reversal                        

                            Exit signal overrides hold, even if target not reached

                    📚 Classic technical analysis, popularized by John Murphy                

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.08 (+8% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.95 (-5% loss)                    

                        • DEATH_CROSS: Fast EMA crosses below Slow EMA                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        FAST_EMA_PERIOD:
                        9
                    

                        SLOW_EMA_PERIOD:
                        21
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        8%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -5%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        60
                    

                        STARTING_CAPITAL:
                        10000
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Richard Donchian, Father of Trend Following

Richard Donchian began trading in the 1930s but didn't formalize his moving average crossover systems until the 1960s. His insight was profound: you don't need to predict where markets will go—you only need to recognize when they've started going there.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 → Jun 24, 2026 (173 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	YTD Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	MRNA	4	54🔥	+53.89%	$4,141	$6,373	60	43%	-	+$2,232	-67.6%	11.1h	✓	-
2	SNOW	24	70🔥	+50.81%	$8,748	$13,193	52	31%	-	+$4,445	-21.1%	10.3h	✓	-
3	PANW	50	43	+30.07%	$13,072	$17,003	49	43%	-	+$3,931	-10.2%	10.2h	✓	-
4	USO	31	6🧊	+27.21%	$10,763	$13,692	56	39%	-	+$2,929	-11.7%	10.8h	✓	-
5	MU	16	17	+25.52%	$9,080	$11,397	57	42%	-	+$2,317	-48.4%	10.8h	✓	-
6	XLK	38	43	+21.95%	$12,015	$14,653	49	47%	-	+$2,637	-13.1%	10.5h	✓	-
7	MRK	26	44	+20.93%	$10,381	$12,554	58	43%	-	+$2,173	-15.0%	11.4h	✓	-
8	RIVN	40	11🧊	+19.92%	$18,639	$22,352	53	40%	-	+$3,713	-33.5%	10.9h	✓	-
9	CSCO	59	9🧊	+18.64%	$12,825	$15,215	53	40%	-	+$2,391	-5.8%	11.6h	✓	-
10	CVX	30	9🧊	+16.94%	$10,881	$12,724	57	39%	-	+$1,843	-10.7%	11.2h	✓	-
11	GME	33	71🔥	+14.54%	$14,498	$16,606	63	33%	-	+$2,108	-22.2%	8.2h	✓	-
12	LCID	30	6🧊	+14.47%	$13,826	$15,827	55	29%	-	+$2,001	-23.9%	10.4h	✓	-
13	ARKK	23	51🔥	+14.13%	$10,555	$12,046	56	36%	-	+$1,491	-13.9%	11.5h	✓	-
14	WFC	31	43	+13.50%	$11,697	$13,277	53	40%	-	+$1,579	-10.6%	11.2h	✓	-
15	GOOGL	23	23	+12.96%	$11,278	$12,740	55	40%	-	+$1,462	-22.4%	10.5h	✓	-
16	ARM	3	77🔥	+12.66%	$5,294	$5,964	55	38%	-	+$670	-53.7%	10.4h	✓	-
17	DKNG	21	18	+12.08%	$11,231	$12,587	61	31%	-	+$1,357	-25.0%	11.5h	✓	-
18	INTC	16	9	+11.86%	$10,089	$11,286	55	27%	-	+$1,197	-21.5%	7.8h	✓	-
19	SMCI	23	57🔥	+11.37%	$12,560	$13,988	54	28%	-	+$1,428	-43.0%	10.0h	✓	-
20	SCHW	54	37	+11.25%	$13,685	$15,225	52	44%	-	+$1,540	-6.9%	10.9h	✓	-
21	MARA	36	45	+11.21%	$19,199	$21,351	58	36%	-	+$2,152	-35.1%	9.9h	✓	-
22	PLTR	42	13🧊	+10.68%	$18,964	$20,990	55	27%	-	+$2,025	-23.6%	12.0h	✓	-
23	ORCL	5	25	+10.45%	$8,955	$9,891	49	43%	-	+$936	-31.9%	11.8h	✓	-
24	LLY	32	19	+10.40%	$12,830	$14,165	55	38%	-	+$1,334	-13.5%	10.7h	✓	-
25	SQQQ	18	36	+10.02%	$10,762	$11,841	56	34%	-	+$1,078	-27.4%	9.4h	✓	-
26	ABBV	8	9	+9.61%	$9,308	$10,202	61	33%	-	+$894	-20.2%	10.6h	✓	-
27	BAC	18	13	+9.50%	$10,173	$11,139	48	46%	-	+$966	-19.3%	10.2h	✓	-
28	META	5	9	+7.36%	$8,785	$9,432	57	33%	-	+$647	-28.5%	9.8h	✓	-
29	GS	45	31	+7.28%	$14,086	$15,111	57	37%	-	+$1,025	-8.5%	10.1h	✓	-
30	JNJ	11	11	+7.08%	$9,571	$10,248	53	38%	-	+$678	-10.9%	11.3h	✓	-
31	XOM	28	9	+6.10%	$10,885	$11,548	54	43%	-	+$664	-7.7%	11.2h	✓	-
32	AXP	20	51🔥	+5.68%	$10,956	$11,578	58	34%	-	+$622	-17.9%	10.5h	✓	-
33	MSFT	12	19	+5.59%	$9,869	$10,421	54	41%	-	+$552	-19.0%	11.5h	✓	-
34	MA	21	23	+5.58%	$10,642	$11,236	59	34%	-	+$594	-9.3%	9.0h	✓	-
35	IWM	27	45	+5.37%	$11,445	$12,060	55	33%	-	+$615	-8.0%	9.6h	✓	-
36	AMGN	45	48	+5.15%	$13,014	$13,685	65	31%	-	+$670	-5.9%	10.1h	✓	-
37	HD	4	23	+4.51%	$9,423	$9,848	55	31%	-	+$425	-11.0%	10.3h	✓	-
38	VRTX	30	7🧊	+4.35%	$12,376	$12,915	57	30%	-	+$538	-9.6%	11.3h	✓	-
39	AVGO	10	9	+4.04%	$9,985	$10,388	54	41%	-	+$403	-26.2%	12.5h	✓	-
40	BMY	4	21	+3.94%	$8,986	$9,340	54	37%	-	+$354	-14.5%	9.3h	✓	-
41	NFLX	19	9	+3.83%	$11,047	$11,470	58	34%	-	+$423	-13.6%	11.4h	✓	-
42	BRK-B	4	7	+3.65%	$8,860	$9,183	53	28%	-	+$323	-16.1%	10.0h	✓	-
43	WMT	48	20🧊	+3.24%	$13,908	$14,359	52	37%	-	+$451	-6.4%	14.1h	✓	-
44	PM	55	9🧊	+2.50%	$13,973	$14,322	50	36%	-	+$349	-4.1%	12.3h	✓	-
45	BIIB	5	6	+2.10%	$9,244	$9,438	59	32%	-	+$194	-21.8%	9.1h	✓	-
46	XLE	6	14	+2.00%	$9,685	$9,878	59	42%	-	+$194	-13.2%	11.6h	✓	-
47	DIA	7	35🔥	+1.65%	$9,896	$10,060	52	35%	-	+$163	-8.0%	11.1h	✓	-
48	MS	21	9	+1.63%	$11,373	$11,558	54	43%	-	+$185	-12.1%	8.7h	✓	-
49	UNH	5	7	+1.55%	$9,648	$9,798	54	30%	-	+$150	-17.4%	9.8h	✓	-
50	AMD	5	30🔥	+1.21%	$8,490	$8,593	57	39%	-	+$103	-38.6%	8.9h	✓	-
51	KO	17	9	+0.90%	$10,533	$10,628	56	38%	-	+$95	-6.4%	13.1h	✓	-
52	PFE	4	32🔥	+0.84%	$8,238	$8,307	59	39%	-	+$69	-20.1%	11.0h	✓	-
53	JPM	28	38	+0.24%	$12,426	$12,456	55	33%	-	+$30	-9.6%	10.5h	✓	-
54	COST	17	9	-0.30%	$10,797	$10,765	55	36%	-	-$32	-8.3%	12.2h	✓	-
55	QQQ	23	9	-0.49%	$11,481	$11,425	55	36%	-	-$56	-9.3%	11.6h	✓	-
56	PEP	26	6	-0.87%	$11,708	$11,606	57	32%	-	-$102	-6.0%	11.3h	✓	-
57	VZ	4	7	-1.13%	$8,475	$8,380	53	32%	-	-$96	-22.5%	13.2h	✓	-
58	SPY	20	12	-1.17%	$10,965	$10,837	56	30%	-	-$128	-6.4%	9.3h	✓	-
59	SLV	23	3	-1.47%	$12,309	$12,128	51	35%	-	-$181	-14.1%	11.3h	✓	-
60	XLF	15	30	-1.78%	$10,755	$10,563	54	37%	-	-$191	-6.8%	10.7h	✓	-
61	V	3	40🔥	-1.81%	$9,275	$9,107	55	35%	-	-$168	-12.2%	10.0h	✓	-
62	CRM	23	6	-2.15%	$12,606	$12,335	59	32%	-	-$271	-15.0%	9.6h	✓	-
63	NVDA	13	24	-2.67%	$10,862	$10,572	52	33%	-	-$290	-30.4%	9.6h	✓	-
64	GLD	40	5🧊	-2.99%	$13,513	$13,109	56	32%	-	-$404	-6.1%	12.6h	✓	-
65	VTI	5	9	-3.08%	$9,851	$9,548	53	32%	-	-$303	-11.1%	8.5h	✓	-
66	VOO	22	11	-3.73%	$11,158	$10,742	55	33%	-	-$416	-4.8%	8.9h	✓	-
67	UVXY	28	31	-4.29%	$16,066	$15,376	64	25%	-	-$689	-23.5%	7.4h	✓	-
68	ISRG	5	7	-5.09%	$10,559	$10,021	54	33%	-	-$537	-10.1%	11.6h	✓	-
69	DIS	4	9	-5.10%	$10,031	$9,519	61	23%	-	-$512	-15.9%	8.6h	✓	-
70	HOOD	32	22	-5.16%	$16,841	$15,972	54	30%	-	-$869	-21.5%	10.9h	✓	-
71	MCD	4	7	-5.54%	$8,716	$8,233	55	36%	-	-$483	-16.7%	11.1h	✓	-
72	TMO	5	46🔥	-5.60%	$9,672	$9,130	58	33%	-	-$542	-14.5%	9.4h	✓	-
73	TLT	3	5	-5.87%	$9,606	$9,042	58	22%	-	-$564	-7.1%	12.0h	✓	-
74	AAPL	4	33🔥	-6.48%	$9,225	$8,627	58	29%	-	-$598	-16.9%	8.9h	✓	-
75	COP	15	23	-6.72%	$11,030	$10,289	57	26%	-	-$741	-13.6%	9.7h	✓	-
76	SOXL	4	14	-7.06%	$9,578	$8,902	54	37%	-	-$676	-51.2%	11.0h	✓	-
77	CMCSA	5	9	-7.60%	$10,621	$9,813	54	31%	-	-$807	-8.3%	10.3h	✓	-
78	CRWD	28	7🧊	-7.95%	$15,375	$14,153	52	31%	-	-$1,222	-20.9%	11.7h	✓	-
79	RIOT	24	7	-8.07%	$14,985	$13,776	56	25%	-	-$1,209	-34.2%	9.1h	✓	-
80	GILD	3	7	-8.67%	$8,550	$7,809	59	19%	-	-$741	-19.1%	8.9h	✓	-
81	AMZN	5	7	-9.29%	$9,675	$8,776	56	27%	-	-$899	-24.3%	11.0h	✓	-
82	SOFI	45	5🧊	-9.34%	$24,301	$22,032	54	37%	-	-$2,270	-22.8%	11.5h	✓	-
83	BLK	16	10	-9.82%	$11,789	$10,631	61	28%	-	-$1,158	-8.6%	12.4h	✓	-
84	RBLX	4	35🔥	-10.01%	$10,040	$9,035	59	32%	-	-$1,005	-23.0%	10.9h	✓	-
85	SPXU	2	6	-10.29%	$8,361	$7,501	56	30%	-	-$860	-29.7%	20.5h	✓	-
86	PYPL	4	6	-10.41%	$10,127	$9,073	55	20%	-	-$1,054	-14.2%	12.0h	✓	-
87	SLB	9	9	-10.67%	$11,407	$10,190	55	25%	-	-$1,217	-17.0%	9.5h	✓	-
88	C	15	7	-12.87%	$12,408	$10,811	55	25%	-	-$1,597	-16.6%	10.1h	✓	-
89	MDT	4	5	-12.91%	$9,618	$8,376	53	26%	-	-$1,242	-12.9%	12.0h	✓	-
90	TQQQ	4	9	-14.78%	$9,768	$8,324	57	26%	-	-$1,444	-36.1%	10.2h	✓	-
91	VXX	4	7	-14.88%	$8,848	$7,531	61	23%	-	-$1,317	-42.2%	8.2h	✓	-
92	IBM	5	9	-14.94%	$9,508	$8,087	55	31%	-	-$1,420	-12.8%	9.8h	✓	-
93	PG	13	9	-15.77%	$12,488	$10,518	56	16%	-	-$1,969	-4.6%	11.1h	✓	-
94	COIN	19	12	-17.13%	$14,127	$11,707	57	30%	-	-$2,420	-23.0%	10.2h	✓	-
95	AMC	2	9	-17.71%	$3,837	$3,157	65	26%	-	-$679	-67.5%	9.0h	✓	-
96	OXY	4	9	-18.57%	$9,705	$7,903	56	38%	-	-$1,802	-14.1%	11.1h	✓	-
97	SHIBUSD ₿	—	—	-20.74%	$10,100	$8,005	102	17%	$4,270	-$2,095	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Feb 5, 2026
98	TSLA	3	6	-20.76%	$8,760	$6,942	57	25%	-	-$1,819	-26.6%	10.7h	✓	-
99	REGN	2	7	-20.95%	$6,663	$5,267	59	20%	-	-$1,396	-33.9%	8.9h	✓	-
100	NET	5	9	-22.13%	$10,326	$8,041	59	24%	-	-$2,285	-27.1%	9.4h	✓	-
101	ACN	4	6	-22.58%	$10,343	$8,008	56	20%	-	-$2,336	-7.8%	11.9h	✓	-
102	ADBE	4	7	-28.69%	$9,527	$6,794	61	25%	-	-$2,733	-20.5%	12.0h	✓	-
103	NIO	2	9	-30.21%	$6,536	$4,561	58	21%	-	-$1,974	-42.7%	8.8h	✓	-
104	DOTUSD ₿	—	—	-42.30%	$10,099	$5,827	124	15%	$4,443	-$4,272	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Feb 1, 2026
105	LTCUSD ₿	—	—	-53.75%	$10,303	$4,765	166	12%	$5,339	-$5,538	-99.1%	1.7h	6	Jan 26, 2026
106	UNIUSD ₿	—	—	-59.38%	$10,100	$4,103	209	13%	$5,788	-$5,997	-99.0%	1.6h	6	Jan 21, 2026
107	LINKUSD ₿	—	—	-64.61%	$10,098	$3,574	191	13%	$5,423	-$6,525	-99.0%	1.7h	6	Jan 22, 2026
108	PEPEUSD ₿	—	—	-68.67%	$10,099	$3,164	196	14%	$5,459	-$6,935	-99.3%	1.6h	7	Jan 22, 2026
109	XRPUSD ₿	—	—	-78.17%	$823	$180	339	12%	$8,823	-$644	-99.0%	1.8h	5	Oct 29, 2025
110	DOGEUSD ₿	—	—	-81.47%	$1,260	$233	341	13%	$8,528	-$1,026	-99.0%	1.7h	5	Nov 12, 2025
111	ETHUSD ₿	—	—	-83.17%	$1,370	$231	351	13%	$8,546	-$1,140	-99.0%	1.8h	5	Nov 16, 2025
112	SOLUSD ₿	—	—	-84.03%	$6,194	$989	366	12%	$8,408	-$5,205	-99.1%	1.8h	5	Dec 20, 2025
113	AVAXUSD ₿	—	—	-86.80%	$1,009	$133	344	10%	$8,524	-$876	-99.1%	1.7h	5	Nov 7, 2025
114	BTCUSD ₿	—	—	-98.97%	$10,063	$104	2	100%	$1	-$9,959	-99.1%	1.8h	45	Mar 4, 2026

👤 Personality

Zen-like patience. Never chases trades. Believes rushing leads to ruin. Speaks slowly and deliberately. Has been known to wait months for the perfect entry.

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