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Marcus Reversal
1

Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

May 30, 2026 Jun 30, 2026 (31d)

📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last month across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$13,203
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $13,687 ($-484)
-3.54%
Last Month ROI
34.5%
Win Rate
585
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-3.5%
1 Month
+2.3%
3 Months
-0.3%
6 Months
+0.9%
YTD
+7.7%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Month)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Month)

Stock Volume
$8,226,242
517 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$60,231
68 trades
Crypto Fees
$151
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))
RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)
Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
📁 calculateRSI() @ lines 404-448

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size
2 Upper wick ≤ body size
3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE
→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

RSI_PERIOD: 14
RSI_OVERSOLD: 30
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -10%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 30

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Month: May 30, 2026 Jun 30, 2026 (31 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 AMD 43 63 +20.22% $22,757 $27,359 10 60% - +$4,602 -43.0% 3.3d -
2 WFC 24 53🔥 +16.53% $11,361 $13,239 3 100% - +$1,878 -25.5% 8.9d -
3 C 38 53 +13.39% $16,575 $18,794 4 75% - +$2,219 -29.6% 8.3d -
4 SPXU 4 63🔥 +13.35% $8,206 $9,301 7 57% - +$1,095 -30.0% 5.6d -
5 SOXL 72 39🧊 +12.59% $74,891 $84,320 12 50% - +$9,429 -36.3% 1.6d -
6 BAC 29 +11.66% $13,137 $14,669 2 100% - +$1,532 -21.4% 9.5d -
7 ETHUSD 2 10 +10.45% $208 $230 17 24% $9,955 +$22 -98.0% 1.4d -
8 JNJ 41 +10.25% $14,637 $16,138 2 100% - +$1,500 -13.8% 16.3d -
9 UNH 6 +10.17% $5,954 $6,559 2 100% - +$606 -54.0% 7.3d -
10 MARA 5 46🔥 +10.03% $4,411 $4,854 11 45% - +$442 -58.2% 1.3d -
11 SOLUSD +9.96% $10,092 $11,098 NO ENTRY - $1,398 +$1,005 -99.5% 21.3h 1 Feb 6, 2026
12 CMCSA 5 20 +9.00% $5,796 $6,317 4 25% - +$522 -36.1% 11.9d -
13 PANW 39 28 +8.42% $17,764 $19,260 5 60% - +$1,496 -29.0% 7.1d -
14 HD 5 31🔥 +7.47% $8,244 $8,860 3 67% - +$616 -19.9% 12.1d -
15 VRTX 20 31 +7.18% $11,297 $12,108 3 67% - +$811 -25.6% 10.7d -
16 SCHW 48 28 +6.71% $15,918 $16,986 3 67% - +$1,068 -10.8% 11.7d -
17 JPM 41 27 +6.56% $17,984 $19,164 3 67% - +$1,180 -20.8% 10.9d -
18 MRNA 5 6 +6.32% $8,567 $9,109 9 44% - +$541 -73.8% 2.3d -
19 MU 69 29🧊 +5.99% $49,616 $52,588 11 45% - +$2,972 -27.8% 3.5d -
20 BRK-B 26 +5.04% $12,517 $13,148 1 100% - +$631 -15.7% 16.3d -
21 BMY 5 19 +4.06% $8,974 $9,339 4 50% - +$364 -28.4% 7.9d -
22 ABBV 25 16 +3.80% $12,369 $12,839 4 50% - +$470 -17.7% 11.9d -
23 MRK 4 18 +3.79% $8,305 $8,620 6 50% - +$315 -45.0% 9.8d -
24 UVXY 19 18 +3.74% $12,329 $12,790 8 38% - +$461 -50.0% 1.6d -
25 AXP 28 +3.70% $14,418 $14,952 2 50% - +$533 -27.6% 10.6d -
26 BIIB 4 +3.41% $6,596 $6,821 2 50% - +$225 -46.7% 7.5d -
27 MDT 18 +3.29% $11,003 $11,365 2 50% - +$362 -12.1% 13.7d -
28 TLT 4 +3.23% $6,904 $7,127 1 100% - +$223 -27.7% 20.2d -
29 XLF 34 +2.78% $13,650 $14,029 1 100% - +$379 -11.5% 17.6d -
30 MS 23 13 +2.67% $12,707 $13,046 4 50% - +$339 -29.2% 9.0d -
31 PM 21 +2.41% $11,801 $12,086 2 50% - +$284 -21.9% 12.3d -
32 TMO 4 +1.99% $8,466 $8,634 2 50% - +$168 -28.6% 11.0d -
33 REGN 5 +1.96% $5,709 $5,821 2 50% - +$112 -50.1% 7.6d -
34 IWM 28 +1.91% $13,920 $14,186 2 50% - +$266 -23.6% 13.7d -
35 WMT 39 +1.89% $16,708 $17,024 2 50% - +$316 -17.6% 14.4d -
36 V 23 +1.85% $12,266 $12,493 2 50% - +$227 -14.4% 14.2d -
37 COST 31 +1.75% $14,877 $15,137 2 50% - +$260 -19.7% 13.0d -
38 DIA 23 +1.69% $11,641 $11,837 1 100% - +$197 -20.7% 20.9d -
39 RBLX 15 12 +1.61% $10,561 $10,731 7 43% - +$170 -46.8% 3.9d -
40 XLK 36 8🧊 +1.48% $17,013 $17,265 5 40% - +$252 -25.5% 11.5d -
41 LLY 21 8 +1.44% $12,332 $12,510 5 40% - +$178 -36.7% 6.7d -
42 AMGN 4 +1.26% $9,527 $9,647 2 50% - +$120 -28.3% 11.3d -
43 GME 23 5 +1.09% $13,766 $13,916 4 25% - +$150 -32.0% 2.9d -
44 RIOT 5 13 +0.72% $8,154 $8,213 10 40% - +$59 -51.3% 1.3d -
45 VXX 21 5 +0.60% $13,201 $13,280 5 40% - +$79 -32.2% 2.9d -
46 META 30 7🧊 +0.36% $15,471 $15,527 7 43% - +$56 -26.1% 6.9d -
47 MCD 11 -0.19% $10,211 $10,191 2 50% - -$19 -12.9% 16.0d -
48 PG 4 -0.43% $9,107 $9,068 1 0% - -$39 -24.4% 16.2d -
49 QQQ 34 0🧊 -0.45% $15,684 $15,613 3 33% - -$71 -29.6% 15.7d -
50 LTCUSD 2 10 -0.82% $389 $386 17 29% $10,434 -$3 -95.7% 1.1d -
51 MA 25 0🧊 -1.23% $12,561 $12,406 3 33% - -$154 -11.3% 13.9d -
52 NET 58 5🧊 -1.25% $34,241 $33,813 7 43% - -$428 -33.4% 4.1d -
53 RIVN 4 9 -1.33% $6,170 $6,088 10 40% - -$82 -51.0% 2.2d -
54 VOO 37 -1.49% $14,935 $14,712 2 50% - -$223 -15.4% 18.9d -
55 SPY 40 -1.50% $15,326 $15,096 2 50% - -$230 -12.7% 18.7d -
56 KO 29 0🧊 -1.78% $13,384 $13,146 3 33% - -$238 -13.1% 18.7d -
57 ARKK 23 3 -2.28% $13,700 $13,388 6 33% - -$312 -26.4% 5.4d -
58 PYPL 6 4 -2.94% $8,568 $8,316 6 33% - -$252 -35.9% 7.8d -
59 SQQQ 3 7 -3.03% $3,943 $3,824 9 33% - -$119 -66.3% 2.8d -
60 PEP 3 -3.04% $8,624 $8,362 1 0% - -$262 -23.1% 16.8d -
61 CSCO 71 1🧊 -3.06% $30,098 $29,177 4 25% - -$921 -9.1% 15.2d -
62 VTI 36 -3.08% $15,297 $14,826 1 0% - -$471 -16.1% 20.8d -
63 INTC 17 9 -3.66% $12,662 $12,199 10 30% - -$463 -58.2% 3.6d -
64 BLK 26 1🧊 -4.25% $13,535 $12,959 4 25% - -$575 -17.2% 12.3d -
65 SLB 31 1🧊 -4.32% $15,924 $15,236 4 25% - -$688 -22.2% 8.1d -
66 VZ 20 1 -4.39% $12,316 $11,775 4 25% - -$541 -14.2% 14.1d -
67 DIS 14 1 -4.58% $11,392 $10,870 4 25% - -$522 -24.9% 11.6d -
68 XRPUSD 3 10 -4.59% $250 $238 20 25% $12,841 -$11 -96.4% 1.1d -
69 GLD 64 1🧊 -4.96% $23,102 $21,956 4 25% - -$1,146 -6.1% 15.7d -
70 IBM 38 5🧊 -5.05% $18,099 $17,185 7 29% - -$914 -17.7% 10.0d -
71 DKNG 4 5 -5.23% $7,361 $6,976 7 29% - -$385 -50.2% 4.1d -
72 COP 14 1 -5.47% $11,342 $10,722 4 25% - -$620 -20.6% 9.4d -
73 LINKUSD -5.86% $5,695 $5,361 NO ENTRY - $2,618 -$334 -99.3% 19.5h 1 Dec 1, 2025
74 NVDA 33 5🧊 -6.04% $20,524 $19,284 7 29% - -$1,240 -43.7% 3.8d -
75 XLE 5 -6.38% $10,294 $9,638 2 0% - -$657 -24.7% 12.5d -
76 CVX 32 1🧊 -6.53% $15,384 $14,380 4 25% - -$1,005 -13.5% 13.2d -
77 TSLA 28 5🧊 -6.57% $16,788 $15,685 7 29% - -$1,103 -34.1% 2.9d -
78 GILD 24 -6.84% $14,544 $13,549 2 0% - -$995 -20.9% 10.3d -
79 PFE 5 0 -6.87% $8,810 $8,205 3 0% - -$605 -23.5% 10.8d -
80 AAPL 37 -7.24% $18,686 $17,333 2 0% - -$1,353 -21.5% 10.1d -
81 CRWD 58 2🧊 -7.53% $33,746 $31,205 5 40% - -$2,541 -24.8% 4.4d -
82 BTCUSD 4 10 -7.99% $3,087 $2,840 14 21% $12,945 -$247 -78.6% 2.4d -
83 GS 51 2🧊 -8.20% $22,295 $20,467 5 20% - -$1,828 -15.7% 9.6d -
84 SOFI 25 6 -8.35% $15,407 $14,120 8 25% - -$1,286 -35.6% 2.7d -
85 ISRG 4 0 -9.06% $10,021 $9,113 3 0% - -$908 -35.0% 8.4d -
86 GOOGL 54 0🧊 -9.25% $28,260 $25,646 3 0% - -$2,614 -25.2% 7.9d -
87 ADBE 4 3 -9.73% $6,138 $5,541 6 17% - -$597 -42.0% 8.2d -
88 HOOD 5 7 -9.88% $8,630 $7,777 9 33% - -$853 -45.6% 2.2d -
89 AMZN 36 6🧊 -9.96% $18,263 $16,444 8 25% - -$1,819 -18.5% 8.3d -
90 CRM 5 3 -10.87% $8,023 $7,151 6 17% - -$872 -48.1% 7.3d -
91 XOM 18 0 -11.26% $12,716 $11,284 3 0% - -$1,432 -18.5% 11.9d -
92 OXY 31 3🧊 -12.52% $18,132 $15,862 6 17% - -$2,270 -28.6% 8.2d -
93 NFLX 35 1🧊 -12.67% $22,002 $19,214 4 0% - -$2,788 -32.4% 9.5d -
94 ARM 36 9🧊 -12.85% $23,030 $20,071 11 27% - -$2,959 -31.3% 2.7d -
95 UNIUSD -12.94% $2,391 $2,081 NO ENTRY - $5,345 -$309 -99.3% 16.8h 1 Sep 25, 2025
96 LCID 17 7 -13.71% $13,624 $11,756 9 22% - -$1,868 -38.4% 1.9d -
97 USO 20 3 -14.02% $13,402 $11,523 6 17% - -$1,879 -18.0% 8.8d -
98 AVAXUSD -14.19% $2,161 $1,854 NO ENTRY - $8,581 -$307 -99.1% 18.6h 1 Jun 22, 2025
99 NIO 4 3 -14.44% $7,089 $6,065 7 14% - -$1,024 -51.1% 2.6d -
100 MSFT 26 2🧊 -15.11% $16,080 $13,650 5 0% - -$2,430 -21.2% 13.3d -
101 SNOW 28 7🧊 -15.37% $20,169 $17,069 9 22% - -$3,100 -43.4% 4.9d -
102 SLV 63 3🧊 -15.87% $34,013 $28,616 6 17% - -$5,398 -21.6% 7.3d -
103 AMC 4 12 -17.07% $4,907 $4,069 11 45% - -$838 -59.9% 2.4d -
104 ACN 3 3 -17.65% $4,401 $3,624 6 0% - -$777 -45.0% 9.3d -
105 TQQQ 6 7 -18.31% $10,748 $8,780 9 22% - -$1,968 -40.9% 3.1d -
106 AVGO 23 6 -19.77% $16,677 $13,380 8 25% - -$3,297 -27.0% 3.7d -
107 ORCL 6 7 -20.94% $12,656 $10,006 9 22% - -$2,650 -51.2% 5.2d -
108 SMCI 4 9 -21.93% $1,932 $1,508 11 18% - -$424 -88.9% 1.9d -
109 COIN 5 7 -22.02% $6,947 $5,417 9 11% - -$1,530 -53.5% 1.8d -
110 SHIBUSD -24.33% $6,981 $5,282 NO ENTRY - $2,493 -$1,698 -99.5% 19.9h 1 Dec 18, 2025
111 PLTR 65 9🧊 -24.98% $55,880 $41,921 11 9% - -$13,959 -28.0% 2.8d -
112 DOTUSD -27.17% $2,427 $1,767 NO ENTRY - $8,684 -$659 -99.1% 21.7h 1 Jun 21, 2025
113 DOGEUSD -31.75% $9,125 $6,228 NO ENTRY - $1,312 -$2,897 -99.3% 18.0h 1 Jan 31, 2026
114 PEPEUSD -34.56% $7,379 $4,829 NO ENTRY - $4,168 -$2,550 -99.9% 10.8h 1 Dec 18, 2025

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.