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Marcus Reversal
1

Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Mar 24, 2026 Jun 24, 2026 (92d)

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last 3 months across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$12,719
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $12,650 (+$70)
+0.55%
Last 3 Months ROI
39.8%
Win Rate
1,594
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-2.7%
1 Month
+0.5%
3 Months
-0.9%
6 Months
+0.4%
YTD
+8.7%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 3 Months)

Stock Volume
$21,717,096
1,466 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$116,770
128 trades
Crypto Fees
$292
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))
RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)
Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
📁 calculateRSI() @ lines 404-448

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size
2 Upper wick ≤ body size
3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE
→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

RSI_PERIOD: 14
RSI_OVERSOLD: 30
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -10%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 30

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Mar 24, 2026 Jun 24, 2026 (92 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 3M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 AMD 40 47 +120.52% $11,213 $24,728 27 67% - +$13,514 -43.0% 3.3d -
2 SOXL 🔥 PRO 72 84 +98.89% $44,007 $87,526 34 62% - +$43,519 -36.3% 1.6d -
3 INTC 19 46🔥 +58.51% $7,945 $12,593 27 48% - +$4,648 -58.2% 3.6d -
4 RIOT 5 49🔥 +50.80% $5,804 $8,752 31 55% - +$2,948 -51.3% 1.3d -
5 MU 68 50 +45.39% $35,706 $51,913 31 55% - +$16,207 -27.8% 3.5d -
6 UNH 6 +43.19% $4,358 $6,240 10 70% - +$1,882 -54.0% 7.3d -
7 PANW 37 27 +42.49% $12,752 $18,171 17 65% - +$5,418 -29.0% 7.1d -
8 CSCO 70 3🧊 +38.80% $21,820 $30,286 10 60% - +$8,466 -9.1% 15.2d -
9 CRWD 56 3🧊 +38.73% $21,246 $29,474 19 63% - +$8,228 -24.8% 4.4d -
10 XLK 37 32 +36.35% $12,662 $17,265 14 64% - +$4,603 -25.5% 11.5d -
11 NET 56 21🧊 +32.49% $24,289 $32,180 23 52% - +$7,891 -33.4% 4.1d -
12 MS 25 31 +28.16% $10,675 $13,681 8 75% - +$3,006 -29.2% 9.0d -
13 ARKK 21 3 +27.92% $9,968 $12,752 17 53% - +$2,783 -26.4% 5.4d -
14 GOOGL 55 0🧊 +27.69% $20,085 $25,646 11 55% - +$5,561 -25.2% 7.9d -
15 ARM 37 9🧊 +26.43% $15,731 $19,889 29 45% - +$4,158 -31.3% 2.7d -
16 AAPL 38 +26.11% $14,323 $18,063 8 75% - +$3,740 -21.5% 10.1d -
17 RIVN 4 16 +22.77% $4,718 $5,792 25 48% - +$1,074 -51.0% 2.2d -
18 TSLA 26 5🧊 +21.95% $12,242 $14,929 20 50% - +$2,687 -34.1% 2.9d -
19 QQQ 34 0🧊 +21.10% $12,893 $15,613 8 63% - +$2,720 -29.6% 15.7d -
20 BAC 29 +18.66% $12,362 $14,669 5 80% - +$2,307 -21.4% 9.5d -
21 WFC 25 53🔥 +18.61% $11,162 $13,239 7 71% - +$2,077 -25.5% 8.9d -
22 NVDA 34 5🧊 +17.92% $16,902 $19,931 16 50% - +$3,029 -43.7% 3.8d -
23 SPY 42 +16.12% $13,411 $15,573 5 80% - +$2,162 -12.7% 18.7d -
24 VOO 39 +15.62% $13,126 $15,176 5 80% - +$2,050 -15.4% 18.9d -
25 JPM 42 27 +12.95% $16,967 $19,164 5 60% - +$2,197 -20.8% 10.9d -
26 AVGO 24 6 +12.86% $12,287 $13,867 18 56% - +$1,580 -27.0% 3.7d -
27 MARA 5 46🔥 +12.71% $4,226 $4,763 32 41% - +$537 -58.2% 1.3d -
28 C 39 53 +12.57% $17,276 $19,448 10 50% - +$2,172 -29.6% 8.3d -
29 VTI 37 +11.29% $13,322 $14,826 5 60% - +$1,504 -16.1% 20.8d -
30 SCHW 49 37 +11.27% $15,785 $17,564 8 63% - +$1,779 -10.8% 11.7d -
31 IWM 29 +11.27% $12,749 $14,186 7 57% - +$1,437 -23.6% 13.7d -
32 AXP 29 +10.52% $13,529 $14,952 6 50% - +$1,423 -27.6% 10.6d -
33 DIA 24 +10.29% $10,733 $11,837 3 100% - +$1,104 -20.7% 20.9d -
34 SOLUSD +9.96% $10,092 $11,098 NO ENTRY - $1,398 +$1,005 -99.5% 21.3h 1 Feb 6, 2026
35 GS 53 5🧊 +9.40% $19,535 $21,371 10 50% - +$1,836 -15.7% 9.6d -
36 MRK 4 1 +8.32% $7,575 $8,205 10 50% - +$630 -45.0% 9.8d -
37 TQQQ 6 9 +7.39% $8,480 $9,107 27 44% - +$627 -40.9% 3.1d -
38 AMZN 36 3🧊 +7.28% $15,346 $16,464 14 43% - +$1,117 -18.5% 8.3d -
39 XLF 34 +5.13% $13,345 $14,029 4 50% - +$685 -11.5% 17.6d -
40 SLB 32 3🧊 +5.05% $14,504 $15,236 14 43% - +$732 -22.2% 8.1d -
41 DIS 16 0 +5.02% $10,671 $11,207 10 40% - +$536 -24.9% 11.6d -
42 V 19 +4.53% $11,386 $11,902 5 40% - +$516 -14.4% 14.2d -
43 BRK-B 26 +4.42% $12,592 $13,148 4 50% - +$557 -15.7% 16.3d -
44 BLK 27 0🧊 +3.87% $12,860 $13,358 8 50% - +$498 -17.2% 12.3d -
45 JNJ 36 +3.51% $14,846 $15,367 5 40% - +$521 -13.8% 16.3d -
46 ABBV 22 0🧊 +2.21% $11,954 $12,218 10 40% - +$264 -17.7% 11.9d -
47 COST 31 1🧊 +1.46% $14,919 $15,137 10 40% - +$218 -19.7% 13.0d -
48 TLT 4 +1.33% $7,034 $7,127 3 67% - +$94 -27.7% 20.2d -
49 SNOW 27 33 +1.11% $16,617 $16,802 26 31% - +$184 -43.4% 4.9d -
50 MRNA 5 6 +0.83% $8,364 $8,433 24 38% - +$69 -73.8% 2.3d -
51 GME 23 6 +0.69% $14,255 $14,354 14 36% - +$98 -32.0% 2.9d -
52 VZ 22 0🧊 +0.56% $12,111 $12,179 7 43% - +$68 -14.2% 14.1d -
53 WMT 38 +0.29% $17,503 $17,554 7 43% - +$51 -17.6% 14.4d -
54 BTCUSD 4 9 +0.17% $2,949 $2,954 25 36% $12,931 +$5 -78.6% 2.4d -
55 MSFT 28 2🧊 -0.05% $14,130 $14,123 11 36% - -$7 -21.2% 13.3d -
56 MA 25 0🧊 -0.11% $12,420 $12,406 8 38% - -$14 -11.3% 13.9d -
57 GILD 25 0🧊 -0.24% $13,582 $13,549 10 40% - -$33 -20.9% 10.3d -
58 VRTX 18 -0.32% $12,147 $12,108 8 38% - -$39 -25.6% 10.7d -
59 BIIB 4 -0.67% $6,436 $6,393 8 38% - -$43 -46.7% 7.5d -
60 SOFI 26 6 -1.52% $14,338 $14,120 23 39% - -$218 -35.6% 2.7d -
61 PG 4 -1.97% $9,250 $9,068 4 25% - -$182 -24.4% 16.2d -
62 KO 29 3🧊 -2.34% $13,461 $13,146 6 50% - -$315 -13.1% 18.7d -
63 META 31 18 -2.45% $15,917 $15,527 14 43% - -$390 -26.1% 6.9d -
64 SMCI 4 9 -4.42% $1,626 $1,554 29 38% - -$72 -88.9% 1.9d -
65 DKNG 4 3 -5.46% $7,019 $6,636 24 33% - -$383 -50.2% 4.1d -
66 PEP 4 -5.97% $9,172 $8,625 4 25% - -$548 -23.1% 16.8d -
67 SPXU 4 43🔥 -6.14% $10,219 $9,591 16 38% - -$627 -30.0% 5.6d -
68 BMY 5 0 -6.32% $9,478 $8,879 10 30% - -$599 -28.4% 7.9d -
69 IBM 36 6🧊 -6.40% $17,465 $16,348 15 33% - -$1,118 -17.7% 10.0d -
70 NIO 4 5 -6.44% $6,396 $5,984 22 36% - -$412 -51.1% 2.6d -
71 SLV 65 3🧊 -6.64% $30,651 $28,616 21 43% - -$2,035 -21.6% 7.3d -
72 LLY 18 6 -6.84% $12,705 $11,836 15 33% - -$869 -36.7% 6.7d -
73 HD 5 30🔥 -7.35% $9,080 $8,413 10 30% - -$667 -19.9% 12.1d -
74 PM 21 1 -7.43% $13,056 $12,086 8 25% - -$970 -21.9% 12.3d -
75 MCD 11 -7.99% $11,076 $10,191 6 33% - -$885 -12.9% 16.0d -
76 PFE 5 -8.23% $8,941 $8,205 6 17% - -$736 -23.5% 10.8d -
77 UVXY 21 23 -8.27% $15,252 $13,991 25 36% - -$1,261 -50.0% 1.6d -
78 TMO 4 -8.33% $9,419 $8,634 9 44% - -$785 -28.6% 11.0d -
79 AMC 4 15 -8.65% $4,194 $3,831 30 47% - -$363 -59.9% 2.4d -
80 CVX 35 1🧊 -9.65% $16,410 $14,827 12 33% - -$1,584 -13.5% 13.2d -
81 PYPL 6 1 -9.88% $9,060 $8,165 11 36% - -$895 -35.9% 7.8d -
82 GLD 66 1🧊 -10.63% $24,568 $21,956 8 25% - -$2,612 -6.1% 15.7d -
83 AMGN 4 -11.21% $10,359 $9,198 5 20% - -$1,161 -28.3% 11.3d -
84 ETHUSD 2 10 -12.01% $270 $238 43 33% $9,953 -$32 -98.0% 1.4d -
85 MDT 18 -12.08% $12,927 $11,365 7 14% - -$1,562 -12.1% 13.7d -
86 ADBE 4 3 -12.66% $5,942 $5,190 17 29% - -$752 -42.0% 8.2d -
87 XRPUSD 3 10 -12.90% $279 $243 34 29% $12,837 -$36 -96.4% 1.1d -
88 ORCL 14 6 -13.40% $12,019 $10,408 26 38% - -$1,611 -51.2% 5.2d -
89 NFLX 36 1🧊 -16.04% $22,885 $19,214 11 27% - -$3,671 -32.4% 9.5d -
90 CRM 5 3 -16.34% $8,098 $6,775 18 28% - -$1,323 -48.1% 7.3d -
91 COP 16 1 -16.65% $13,328 $11,109 15 33% - -$2,219 -20.6% 9.4d -
92 LCID 15 9 -16.72% $13,337 $11,107 30 33% - -$2,230 -38.4% 1.9d -
93 RBLX 12 2 -16.82% $12,416 $10,327 20 45% - -$2,088 -46.8% 3.9d -
94 OXY 32 3🧊 -17.18% $19,748 $16,355 20 40% - -$3,393 -28.6% 8.2d -
95 XLE 5 0 -18.51% $11,827 $9,638 11 18% - -$2,189 -24.7% 12.5d -
96 ISRG 4 1 -18.59% $11,194 $9,113 9 11% - -$2,081 -35.0% 8.4d -
97 LTCUSD 2 10 -19.59% $448 $360 26 27% $10,429 -$88 -95.7% 1.1d -
98 REGN 5 0 -19.67% $7,247 $5,821 8 25% - -$1,425 -50.1% 7.6d -
99 CMCSA 5 0 -22.18% $6,775 $5,273 10 10% - -$1,503 -36.1% 11.9d -
100 USO 23 3 -22.21% $14,813 $11,523 25 40% - -$3,290 -18.0% 8.8d -
101 VXX 23 5 -22.25% $17,615 $13,695 16 25% - -$3,919 -32.2% 2.9d -
102 ACN 3 5 -24.09% $4,774 $3,624 13 15% - -$1,150 -45.0% 9.3d -
103 XOM 20 0 -25.10% $15,065 $11,284 14 21% - -$3,781 -18.5% 11.9d -
104 PLTR 66 7🧊 -29.26% $58,159 $41,141 23 22% - -$17,017 -28.0% 2.8d -
105 HOOD 5 6 -29.53% $10,467 $7,376 25 28% - -$3,091 -45.6% 2.2d -
106 SQQQ 3 7 -36.73% $6,241 $3,948 26 23% - -$2,292 -66.3% 2.8d -
107 DOGEUSD -38.34% $10,100 $6,228 NO ENTRY - $1,312 -$3,872 -99.3% 18.0h 1 Jan 31, 2026
108 COIN 5 7 -38.94% $9,198 $5,616 31 23% - -$3,582 -53.5% 1.8d -
109 SHIBUSD -47.69% $10,098 $5,282 NO ENTRY - $2,493 -$4,816 -99.5% 19.9h 1 Dec 18, 2025
110 AVAXUSD -51.29% $3,806 $1,854 NO ENTRY - $8,581 -$1,952 -99.1% 18.6h 1 Jun 22, 2025
111 LINKUSD -51.38% $11,026 $5,361 NO ENTRY - $2,618 -$5,665 -99.3% 19.5h 1 Dec 1, 2025
112 PEPEUSD -52.17% $10,096 $4,829 NO ENTRY - $4,168 -$5,267 -99.9% 10.8h 1 Dec 18, 2025
113 UNIUSD -59.87% $5,186 $2,081 NO ENTRY - $5,345 -$3,105 -99.3% 16.8h 1 Sep 25, 2025
114 DOTUSD -68.71% $5,649 $1,767 NO ENTRY - $8,684 -$3,881 -99.1% 21.7h 1 Jun 21, 2025

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.