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Marcus Reversal
1

Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jan 1, 2026 Jun 24, 2026 (173d)

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the year to date across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$12,498
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $12,445 (+$53)
+0.43%
Year to Date ROI
40.8%
Win Rate
3,398
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-2.7%
1 Month
+0.5%
3 Months
-0.9%
6 Months
+0.4%
YTD
+8.7%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Year to Date)

Stock Volume
$38,249,187
2,644 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$2,832,847
754 trades
Crypto Fees
$7,082
0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))
RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)
Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
📁 calculateRSI() @ lines 404-448

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size
2 Upper wick ≤ body size
3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE
→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

RSI_PERIOD: 14
RSI_OVERSOLD: 30
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -10%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 30

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 Jun 24, 2026 (173 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return YTD Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 AMD 40 47 +119.06% $11,288 $24,728 44 59% - +$13,440 -43.0% 3.3d -
2 INTC 19 46🔥 +118.73% $5,757 $12,593 47 53% - +$6,836 -58.2% 3.6d -
3 SOXL 🔥 PRO 72 84 +94.06% $45,103 $87,526 62 50% - +$42,424 -36.3% 1.6d -
4 MRNA 5 6 +88.29% $4,479 $8,433 48 52% - +$3,954 -73.8% 2.3d -
5 NET 56 21🧊 +77.16% $18,164 $32,180 39 56% - +$14,016 -33.4% 4.1d -
6 CSCO 70 3🧊 +58.99% $19,049 $30,286 16 63% - +$11,237 -9.1% 15.2d -
7 ARM 37 9🧊 +58.70% $12,532 $19,889 47 47% - +$7,357 -31.3% 2.7d -
8 SLV 65 3🧊 +46.74% $19,501 $28,616 41 51% - +$9,115 -21.6% 7.3d -
9 OXY 32 3🧊 +45.88% $11,211 $16,355 30 57% - +$5,144 -28.6% 8.2d -
10 MU 68 50 +45.69% $35,633 $51,913 53 51% - +$16,281 -27.8% 3.5d -
11 XLK 37 32 +38.99% $12,422 $17,265 18 61% - +$4,843 -25.5% 11.5d -
12 RIOT 5 49🔥 +37.64% $6,359 $8,752 57 46% - +$2,393 -51.3% 1.3d -
13 UVXY 21 23 +35.13% $10,354 $13,991 50 44% - +$3,637 -50.0% 1.6d -
14 GOOGL 55 0🧊 +33.88% $19,156 $25,646 19 58% - +$6,490 -25.2% 7.9d -
15 SLB 32 3🧊 +31.57% $11,580 $15,236 26 50% - +$3,656 -22.2% 8.1d -
16 CVX 35 1🧊 +29.31% $11,466 $14,827 20 55% - +$3,361 -13.5% 13.2d -
17 AAPL 38 +25.62% $14,379 $18,063 14 57% - +$3,684 -21.5% 10.1d -
18 ARKK 21 3 +22.17% $10,438 $12,752 28 46% - +$2,314 -26.4% 5.4d -
19 QQQ 34 0🧊 +20.33% $12,975 $15,613 12 58% - +$2,638 -29.6% 15.7d -
20 PANW 37 27 +20.14% $15,125 $18,171 29 52% - +$3,046 -29.0% 7.1d -
21 NVDA 34 5🧊 +20.12% $16,593 $19,931 26 46% - +$3,338 -43.7% 3.8d -
22 C 39 53 +20.04% $16,201 $19,448 22 45% - +$3,247 -29.6% 8.3d -
23 SCHW 49 37 +18.76% $14,790 $17,564 13 62% - +$2,775 -10.8% 11.7d -
24 COP 16 1 +15.24% $9,640 $11,109 26 46% - +$1,469 -20.6% 9.4d -
25 GME 23 6 +14.84% $12,499 $14,354 24 42% - +$1,855 -32.0% 2.9d -
26 CRWD 56 3🧊 +14.57% $25,726 $29,474 32 50% - +$3,748 -24.8% 4.4d -
27 SPXU 4 43🔥 +14.44% $8,381 $9,591 27 48% - +$1,210 -30.0% 5.6d -
28 JNJ 36 +14.27% $13,448 $15,367 11 55% - +$1,919 -13.8% 16.3d -
29 MS 25 31 +13.65% $12,038 $13,681 18 50% - +$1,643 -29.2% 9.0d -
30 SPY 42 +12.77% $13,809 $15,573 8 63% - +$1,763 -12.7% 18.7d -
31 VOO 39 +12.38% $13,505 $15,176 8 63% - +$1,672 -15.4% 18.9d -
32 BAC 29 +11.26% $13,184 $14,669 11 55% - +$1,485 -21.4% 9.5d -
33 VZ 22 0🧊 +10.20% $11,051 $12,179 14 43% - +$1,127 -14.2% 14.1d -
34 SOLUSD +9.96% $10,092 $11,098 27 44% $1,398 +$1,005 -99.5% 21.3h 1 Feb 6, 2026
35 UNH 6 +9.35% $5,707 $6,240 20 50% - +$534 -54.0% 7.3d -
36 MRK 4 1 +8.75% $7,545 $8,205 16 44% - +$660 -45.0% 9.8d -
37 VXX 23 5 +8.66% $12,604 $13,695 36 42% - +$1,091 -32.2% 2.9d -
38 VTI 37 +7.87% $13,744 $14,826 8 50% - +$1,082 -16.1% 20.8d -
39 IWM 29 +7.03% $13,254 $14,186 13 46% - +$932 -23.6% 13.7d -
40 NIO 4 5 +6.97% $5,594 $5,984 39 41% - +$390 -51.1% 2.6d -
41 GLD 66 1🧊 +6.66% $20,585 $21,956 17 47% - +$1,371 -6.1% 15.7d -
42 GILD 25 0🧊 +6.39% $12,735 $13,549 20 45% - +$814 -20.9% 10.3d -
43 COST 31 1🧊 +5.86% $14,299 $15,137 15 47% - +$838 -19.7% 13.0d -
44 XOM 20 0 +5.34% $10,712 $11,284 20 45% - +$572 -18.5% 11.9d -
45 BRK-B 26 +5.11% $12,509 $13,148 10 50% - +$639 -15.7% 16.3d -
46 WFC 25 53🔥 +4.84% $12,628 $13,239 16 50% - +$611 -25.5% 8.9d -
47 XLE 5 0 +4.48% $9,224 $9,638 19 42% - +$413 -24.7% 12.5d -
48 AMZN 36 3🧊 +3.67% $15,881 $16,464 27 41% - +$583 -18.5% 8.3d -
49 GS 53 5🧊 +3.53% $20,643 $21,371 20 40% - +$729 -15.7% 9.6d -
50 DIA 24 +2.66% $11,531 $11,837 8 63% - +$307 -20.7% 20.9d -
51 JPM 42 27 +1.93% $18,801 $19,164 14 36% - +$363 -20.8% 10.9d -
52 KO 29 3🧊 +0.72% $13,052 $13,146 11 45% - +$94 -13.1% 18.7d -
53 IBM 36 6🧊 +0.68% $16,237 $16,348 25 40% - +$110 -17.7% 10.0d -
54 BIIB 4 -0.05% $6,396 $6,393 16 44% - -$3 -46.7% 7.5d -
55 TSLA 26 5🧊 -0.32% $14,977 $14,929 31 39% - -$48 -34.1% 2.9d -
56 BMY 5 0 -0.40% $8,915 $8,879 19 37% - -$36 -28.4% 7.9d -
57 PG 4 -1.17% $9,175 $9,068 10 30% - -$107 -24.4% 16.2d -
58 PEP 4 -1.40% $8,747 $8,625 11 36% - -$122 -23.1% 16.8d -
59 META 31 18 -1.82% $15,815 $15,527 25 40% - -$288 -26.1% 6.9d -
60 AXP 29 -1.90% $15,242 $14,952 13 38% - -$290 -27.6% 10.6d -
61 BLK 27 0🧊 -1.95% $13,624 $13,358 18 44% - -$266 -17.2% 12.3d -
62 AMGN 4 -2.20% $9,405 $9,198 12 42% - -$207 -28.3% 11.3d -
63 USO 23 3 -2.21% $11,784 $11,523 41 46% - -$260 -18.0% 8.8d -
64 XLF 34 -2.69% $14,417 $14,029 10 40% - -$388 -11.5% 17.6d -
65 WMT 38 -3.08% $18,112 $17,554 15 40% - -$558 -17.6% 14.4d -
66 SNOW 27 33 -3.45% $17,402 $16,802 42 33% - -$600 -43.4% 4.9d -
67 PFE 5 -4.55% $8,596 $8,205 11 36% - -$391 -23.5% 10.8d -
68 DIS 16 0 -4.58% $11,745 $11,207 15 40% - -$538 -24.9% 11.6d -
69 ABBV 22 0🧊 -4.72% $12,824 $12,218 20 40% - -$605 -17.7% 11.9d -
70 MCD 11 -5.37% $10,770 $10,191 11 36% - -$578 -12.9% 16.0d -
71 VRTX 18 -5.94% $12,872 $12,108 17 35% - -$765 -25.6% 10.7d -
72 TLT 4 -6.41% $7,615 $7,127 7 43% - -$488 -27.7% 20.2d -
73 V 19 -7.63% $12,885 $11,902 10 20% - -$983 -14.4% 14.2d -
74 RIVN 4 16 -8.19% $6,308 $5,792 47 38% - -$517 -51.0% 2.2d -
75 PLTR 66 7🧊 -9.11% $45,265 $41,141 39 36% - -$4,124 -28.0% 2.8d -
76 AVGO 24 6 -10.11% $15,426 $13,867 33 39% - -$1,560 -27.0% 3.7d -
77 AMC 4 15 -11.53% $4,330 $3,831 50 42% - -$499 -59.9% 2.4d -
78 TQQQ 6 9 -13.54% $10,533 $9,107 43 40% - -$1,426 -40.9% 3.1d -
79 MDT 18 -13.74% $13,175 $11,365 12 25% - -$1,810 -12.1% 13.7d -
80 MSFT 28 2🧊 -14.22% $16,465 $14,123 21 29% - -$2,341 -21.2% 13.3d -
81 LLY 18 6 -14.45% $13,836 $11,836 24 29% - -$1,999 -36.7% 6.7d -
82 DKNG 4 3 -14.77% $7,786 $6,636 42 36% - -$1,150 -50.2% 4.1d -
83 TMO 4 -15.13% $10,173 $8,634 16 31% - -$1,539 -28.6% 11.0d -
84 MA 25 0🧊 -15.67% $14,711 $12,406 16 25% - -$2,305 -11.3% 13.9d -
85 PM 21 1 -16.54% $14,481 $12,086 15 27% - -$2,395 -21.9% 12.3d -
86 HD 5 30🔥 -19.02% $10,389 $8,413 18 28% - -$1,976 -19.9% 12.1d -
87 NFLX 36 1🧊 -21.60% $24,508 $19,214 20 30% - -$5,294 -32.4% 9.5d -
88 MARA 5 46🔥 -21.81% $6,092 $4,763 61 34% - -$1,329 -58.2% 1.3d -
89 SMCI 4 9 -25.06% $2,074 $1,554 50 32% - -$520 -88.9% 1.9d -
90 CMCSA 5 0 -25.31% $7,059 $5,273 19 26% - -$1,787 -36.1% 11.9d -
91 SQQQ 3 7 -25.77% $5,319 $3,948 45 33% - -$1,371 -66.3% 2.8d -
92 CRM 5 3 -26.81% $9,256 $6,775 31 32% - -$2,482 -48.1% 7.3d -
93 SOFI 26 6 -29.15% $19,930 $14,120 40 33% - -$5,810 -35.6% 2.7d -
94 PYPL 6 1 -29.35% $11,557 $8,165 22 32% - -$3,392 -35.9% 7.8d -
95 REGN 5 0 -29.67% $8,277 $5,821 19 26% - -$2,456 -50.1% 7.6d -
96 BTCUSD 4 9 -32.30% $4,363 $2,954 58 33% $12,931 -$1,409 -78.6% 2.4d -
97 RBLX 12 2 -32.43% $15,284 $10,327 45 38% - -$4,957 -46.8% 3.9d -
98 ADBE 4 3 -32.90% $7,735 $5,190 30 27% - -$2,545 -42.0% 8.2d -
99 ISRG 4 1 -33.11% $13,624 $9,113 17 12% - -$4,511 -35.0% 8.4d -
100 ORCL 14 6 -33.56% $15,666 $10,408 46 30% - -$5,257 -51.2% 5.2d -
101 LCID 15 9 -35.52% $17,226 $11,107 52 31% - -$6,119 -38.4% 1.9d -
102 COIN 5 7 -37.81% $9,030 $5,616 53 30% - -$3,414 -53.5% 1.8d -
103 AVAXUSD -38.12% $2,996 $1,854 48 31% $8,581 -$1,142 -99.1% 18.6h 1 Jun 22, 2025
104 DOGEUSD -38.34% $10,100 $6,228 35 29% $1,312 -$3,872 -99.3% 18.0h 1 Jan 31, 2026
105 LINKUSD -41.30% $9,133 $5,361 49 31% $2,618 -$3,772 -99.3% 19.5h 1 Dec 1, 2025
106 ACN 3 5 -41.59% $6,204 $3,624 27 19% - -$2,580 -45.0% 9.3d -
107 SHIBUSD -44.70% $9,552 $5,282 59 31% $2,493 -$4,270 -99.5% 19.9h 1 Dec 18, 2025
108 HOOD 5 6 -45.94% $13,644 $7,376 43 28% - -$6,268 -45.6% 2.2d -
109 PEPEUSD -52.27% $10,117 $4,829 88 33% $4,168 -$5,288 -99.9% 10.8h 1 Dec 18, 2025
110 UNIUSD -53.86% $4,511 $2,081 63 27% $5,345 -$2,430 -99.3% 16.8h 1 Sep 25, 2025
111 DOTUSD -55.54% $3,975 $1,767 63 29% $8,684 -$2,208 -99.1% 21.7h 1 Jun 21, 2025
112 ETHUSD 2 10 -56.36% $544 $238 100 31% $9,953 -$307 -98.0% 1.4d -
113 LTCUSD 2 10 -57.75% $852 $360 69 29% $10,429 -$492 -95.7% 1.1d -
114 XRPUSD 3 10 -66.60% $728 $243 95 28% $12,837 -$485 -96.4% 1.1d -

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.