Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

May 6, 2025 → May 6, 2026 (365d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$13,921

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $11,400 (+$2,521)

+22.11%

Last Year ROI

46.2%

Win Rate

4,558

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: May 6, 2025 → May 6, 2026 (365 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	1Y Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SLV	73	20🧊	+214.31%	$10,976	$34,498	53	64%	-	+$23,523	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
2	MU	67	82	+185.06%	$15,977	$45,545	79	54%	-	+$29,568	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
3	MRNA	5	17	+181.38%	$3,170	$8,919	97	51%	-	+$5,749	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
4	INTC	15	72🔥	+152.12%	$4,767	$12,018	77	49%	-	+$7,251	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
5	NET	51	71	+145.59%	$12,270	$30,135	65	54%	-	+$17,865	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
6	GOOGL	57	60	+137.75%	$11,279	$26,816	41	63%	-	+$15,537	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
7	OXY	36	5🧊	+104.31%	$8,975	$18,336	43	58%	-	+$9,361	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
8	NVDA	34	56🔥	+101.82%	$9,791	$19,761	45	56%	-	+$9,970	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
9	SOXL	68	73	+90.27%	$25,646	$48,796	98	49%	-	+$23,150	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
10	UVXY	21	7	+89.65%	$7,301	$13,846	101	45%	-	+$6,545	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
11	CSCO	68	30🧊	+85.24%	$12,832	$23,771	26	69%	-	+$10,938	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
12	C	33	32	+73.92%	$10,144	$17,643	38	55%	-	+$7,499	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
13	AMD	27	68🔥	+73.26%	$9,477	$16,420	73	49%	-	+$6,943	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
14	SLB	31	29	+64.47%	$9,310	$15,312	38	53%	-	+$6,002	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
15	GLD	68	—	+57.66%	$15,324	$24,159	25	68%	-	+$8,836	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
16	AAPL	36	59🔥	+56.43%	$10,800	$16,894	27	59%	-	+$6,094	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
17	TSLA	27	57🔥	+50.69%	$10,103	$15,224	65	48%	-	+$5,121	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
18	XLK	30	53🔥	+50.24%	$10,023	$15,058	20	65%	-	+$5,035	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
19	JNJ	35	—	+50.18%	$9,836	$14,772	20	65%	-	+$4,936	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
20	PLTR	69	13🧊	+50.01%	$34,666	$52,002	77	45%	-	+$17,336	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
21	QQQ	33	53	+49.69%	$9,982	$14,942	17	82%	-	+$4,960	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
22	CVX	38	1🧊	+48.80%	$10,502	$15,627	26	58%	-	+$5,125	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
23	AMZN	44	60	+47.37%	$13,267	$19,551	38	50%	-	+$6,284	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
24	XOM	26	1🧊	+42.99%	$9,377	$13,408	30	57%	-	+$4,031	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
25	AVGO	29	69🔥	+42.24%	$11,003	$15,650	61	43%	-	+$4,647	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
26	ARKK	20	51🔥	+37.38%	$8,852	$12,161	50	48%	-	+$3,309	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
27	SCHW	44	15🧊	+36.86%	$11,939	$16,340	24	58%	-	+$4,401	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
28	VTI	37	—	+32.32%	$10,988	$14,539	15	73%	-	+$3,551	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
29	GS	50	—	+30.42%	$16,073	$20,962	33	52%	-	+$4,889	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
30	VOO	34	—	+29.45%	$11,005	$14,246	15	73%	-	+$3,241	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
31	SPY	37	—	+28.66%	$11,356	$14,611	16	69%	-	+$3,255	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
32	COP	20	2	+28.34%	$9,462	$12,144	38	47%	-	+$2,682	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
33	IWM	23	—	+27.24%	$10,713	$13,631	21	57%	-	+$2,918	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
34	CRWD	49	69	+27.20%	$20,024	$25,470	52	46%	-	+$5,446	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
35	USO	29	12	+26.21%	$10,943	$13,812	48	48%	-	+$2,868	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
36	MS	18	—	+25.21%	$9,470	$11,857	34	47%	-	+$2,387	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
37	BAC	25	—	+24.29%	$10,975	$13,641	25	52%	-	+$2,666	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
38	ARM	29	34	+24.21%	$13,250	$16,457	76	43%	-	+$3,208	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
39	XLE	12	2	+23.61%	$8,445	$10,439	26	50%	-	+$1,994	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
40	JPM	37	—	+18.50%	$15,513	$18,383	25	48%	-	+$2,870	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
41	BLK	28	30	+18.18%	$11,653	$13,771	27	52%	-	+$2,119	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
42	PEP	4	—	+18.11%	$8,039	$9,494	18	50%	-	+$1,456	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
43	PANW	28	70🔥	+17.77%	$12,336	$14,528	41	46%	-	+$2,192	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
44	IBM	35	0🧊	+17.68%	$13,947	$16,413	36	50%	-	+$2,466	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
45	DIA	19	—	+16.38%	$9,676	$11,261	14	64%	-	+$1,585	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
46	TQQQ	6	53🔥	+16.00%	$7,902	$9,167	69	43%	-	+$1,264	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
47	AXP	29	37	+15.79%	$12,888	$14,923	28	46%	-	+$2,035	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
48	MSFT	31	52🔥	+14.67%	$13,202	$15,138	27	48%	-	+$1,937	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
49	BIIB	4	33🔥	+14.51%	$5,662	$6,483	40	45%	-	+$821	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
50	VZ	20	0	+12.83%	$10,568	$11,924	23	39%	-	+$1,356	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
51	MRK	4	0	+12.53%	$6,924	$7,792	34	44%	-	+$868	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
52	GILD	23	0🧊	+12.52%	$11,488	$12,926	33	42%	-	+$1,438	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
53	GME	28	50🔥	+11.53%	$13,953	$15,562	49	43%	-	+$1,609	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
54	SNOW	23	7	+11.04%	$12,445	$13,818	57	39%	-	+$1,374	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
55	DIS	15	30	+9.38%	$10,122	$11,071	23	48%	-	+$949	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
56	WMT	44	29	+8.71%	$17,211	$18,710	24	46%	-	+$1,499	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
57	MDT	20	—	+7.80%	$10,539	$11,361	24	50%	-	+$822	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
58	XLF	31	—	+7.39%	$12,732	$13,673	17	53%	-	+$941	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
59	VXX	24	3🧊	+3.66%	$13,995	$14,507	73	40%	-	+$512	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
60	META	29	12	+3.02%	$15,018	$15,471	39	41%	-	+$454	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
61	PFE	5	—	+2.30%	$8,898	$9,102	25	44%	-	+$205	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
62	SOFI	25	28	+2.10%	$13,752	$14,041	81	42%	-	+$289	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
63	BMY	4	0	+0.86%	$8,736	$8,811	38	39%	-	+$75	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
64	KO	30	—	+0.03%	$13,244	$13,248	16	44%	-	+$4	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
65	NIO	4	54🔥	-0.11%	$7,749	$7,741	81	38%	-	-$9	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
66	ORCL	16	5	-1.24%	$11,436	$11,294	73	36%	-	-$142	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
67	MCD	14	0	-2.67%	$10,807	$10,518	20	40%	-	-$289	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
68	AMGN	4	0	-2.93%	$9,291	$9,018	26	42%	-	-$272	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
69	ABBV	22	0🧊	-4.63%	$12,707	$12,118	33	39%	-	-$588	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
70	WFC	19	21	-6.06%	$12,490	$11,734	31	39%	-	-$757	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
71	TLT	4	—	-6.34%	$7,611	$7,128	14	43%	-	-$483	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
72	COST	33	28	-6.49%	$16,888	$15,792	20	35%	-	-$1,096	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
73	TMO	4	—	-6.74%	$9,202	$8,582	28	36%	-	-$620	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
74	V	24	41	-7.46%	$13,255	$12,266	24	33%	-	-$989	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
75	BRK-B	23	—	-7.70%	$13,510	$12,470	17	35%	-	-$1,040	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
76	CRM	6	19	-9.12%	$9,217	$8,377	43	42%	-	-$841	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
77	SPXU	3	1	-9.39%	$9,966	$9,031	40	40%	-	-$936	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
78	VRTX	15	—	-9.48%	$12,246	$11,085	33	39%	-	-$1,161	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
79	LLY	15	2	-9.73%	$12,743	$11,503	45	40%	-	-$1,240	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
80	MA	26	20	-9.75%	$13,918	$12,561	26	35%	-	-$1,357	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
81	SQQQ	3	5	-11.48%	$5,218	$4,619	78	38%	-	-$599	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
82	PG	5	0	-11.61%	$10,303	$9,107	22	36%	-	-$1,196	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
83	PYPL	9	46🔥	-12.97%	$10,509	$9,146	37	43%	-	-$1,363	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
84	REGN	5	—	-13.21%	$7,727	$6,706	45	40%	-	-$1,021	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
85	AMC	3	9	-13.83%	$5,140	$4,429	81	36%	-	-$711	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
86	NFLX	42	1🧊	-18.56%	$27,017	$22,003	33	36%	-	-$5,014	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
87	UNH	6	61🔥	-18.58%	$7,434	$6,053	45	44%	-	-$1,381	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
88	HD	5	0	-19.73%	$10,843	$8,704	29	31%	-	-$2,139	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
89	RIOT	4	23	-20.08%	$7,981	$6,379	118	39%	-	-$1,603	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
90	DKNG	4	14	-20.95%	$8,941	$7,068	62	37%	-	-$1,873	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
91	ISRG	12	0	-22.17%	$13,769	$10,716	35	29%	-	-$3,053	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
92	LCID	17	9	-24.39%	$14,989	$11,333	97	34%	-	-$3,656	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
93	PM	20	—	-27.72%	$16,474	$11,908	30	30%	-	-$4,567	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
94	CMCSA	5	0	-27.99%	$8,305	$5,980	31	32%	-	-$2,324	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
95	COIN	5	9	-28.15%	$10,478	$7,528	100	36%	-	-$2,949	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
96	RIVN	4	33🔥	-31.23%	$8,331	$5,729	87	36%	-	-$2,602	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
97	ADBE	4	34🔥	-34.43%	$9,220	$6,046	41	29%	-	-$3,174	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
98	MARA	4	7	-34.71%	$5,541	$3,618	110	35%	-	-$1,923	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
99	HOOD	5	6	-36.28%	$13,526	$8,619	88	36%	-	-$4,907	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
100	RBLX	12	9	-37.32%	$15,760	$9,878	77	39%	-	-$5,882	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
101	ACN	3	0	-41.13%	$7,736	$4,554	38	26%	-	-$3,182	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
102	SMCI	4	14	-58.51%	$3,816	$1,583	86	30%	-	-$2,233	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

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