Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Jun 24, 2025 → Jun 24, 2026 (365d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$14,080

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $12,077 (+$2,003)

+16.59%

Last Year ROI

44.6%

Win Rate

4,794

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Jun 24, 2025 → Jun 24, 2026 (365 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	1Y Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SOXL 🔥 PRO	72	84	+212.71%	$27,990	$87,526	102	54%	-	+$59,537	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
2	MU	68	50	+145.30%	$21,163	$51,913	89	52%	-	+$30,750	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
3	INTC	19	46🔥	+139.37%	$5,261	$12,593	86	48%	-	+$7,332	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
4	SLV	65	3🧊	+138.44%	$12,001	$28,616	63	57%	-	+$16,614	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
5	MRNA	5	6	+132.20%	$3,632	$8,433	99	48%	-	+$4,801	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
6	AMD	40	47	+125.84%	$10,949	$24,728	80	51%	-	+$13,779	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
7	GOOGL	55	0🧊	+122.36%	$11,534	$25,646	38	63%	-	+$14,112	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
8	NET	56	21🧊	+116.07%	$14,893	$32,180	71	52%	-	+$17,287	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
9	CSCO	70	3🧊	+108.30%	$14,540	$30,286	28	64%	-	+$15,747	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
10	OXY	32	3🧊	+64.01%	$9,972	$16,355	45	53%	-	+$6,383	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
11	C	39	53	+62.02%	$12,003	$19,448	39	54%	-	+$7,444	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
12	JNJ	36	—	+60.32%	$9,585	$15,367	21	67%	-	+$5,782	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
13	AAPL	38	—	+60.29%	$11,269	$18,063	27	59%	-	+$6,794	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
14	SLB	32	3🧊	+58.46%	$9,615	$15,236	41	51%	-	+$5,621	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
15	XLK	37	32	+57.23%	$10,981	$17,265	27	59%	-	+$6,284	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
16	NVDA	34	5🧊	+56.07%	$12,771	$19,931	51	49%	-	+$7,160	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
17	PANW	37	27	+47.13%	$12,350	$18,171	47	51%	-	+$5,821	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
18	QQQ	34	0🧊	+45.04%	$10,765	$15,613	19	74%	-	+$4,848	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
19	CRWD	56	3🧊	+42.27%	$20,717	$29,474	57	49%	-	+$8,757	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
20	GLD	66	1🧊	+40.69%	$15,606	$21,956	28	61%	-	+$6,350	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
21	UVXY	21	23	+39.13%	$10,056	$13,991	97	41%	-	+$3,935	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
22	SCHW	49	37	+37.32%	$12,791	$17,564	25	60%	-	+$4,773	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
23	TSLA	26	5🧊	+34.84%	$11,072	$14,929	66	45%	-	+$3,857	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
24	MS	25	31	+34.49%	$10,173	$13,681	36	50%	-	+$3,509	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
25	CVX	35	1🧊	+31.95%	$11,237	$14,827	29	52%	-	+$3,590	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
26	VOO	39	—	+27.19%	$11,932	$15,176	15	73%	-	+$3,244	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
27	SPY	42	—	+26.46%	$12,314	$15,573	16	69%	-	+$3,258	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
28	VTI	37	—	+24.04%	$11,952	$14,826	15	67%	-	+$2,873	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
29	ARKK	21	3	+24.00%	$10,284	$12,752	53	45%	-	+$2,468	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
30	IWM	29	—	+22.94%	$11,539	$14,186	22	55%	-	+$2,647	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
31	MRK	4	1	+21.33%	$6,763	$8,205	34	47%	-	+$1,442	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
32	DIA	24	—	+19.69%	$9,890	$11,837	15	67%	-	+$1,947	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
33	BAC	29	—	+18.92%	$12,335	$14,669	24	50%	-	+$2,334	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
34	GILD	25	0🧊	+17.93%	$11,489	$13,549	34	44%	-	+$2,060	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
35	ARM	37	9🧊	+16.62%	$17,054	$19,889	84	42%	-	+$2,834	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
36	COP	16	1	+16.46%	$9,539	$11,109	41	44%	-	+$1,570	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
37	GS	53	5🧊	+15.29%	$18,537	$21,371	37	46%	-	+$2,834	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
38	TQQQ	6	9	+14.99%	$7,920	$9,107	78	45%	-	+$1,187	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
39	WMT	38	—	+14.46%	$15,336	$17,554	25	48%	-	+$2,218	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
40	XOM	20	0	+14.25%	$9,877	$11,284	32	47%	-	+$1,407	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
41	AMZN	36	3🧊	+14.11%	$14,428	$16,464	42	43%	-	+$2,036	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
42	VZ	22	0🧊	+13.79%	$10,703	$12,179	24	42%	-	+$1,476	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
43	PLTR	66	7🧊	+12.18%	$36,674	$41,141	78	40%	-	+$4,467	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
44	AXP	29	—	+11.11%	$13,457	$14,952	27	44%	-	+$1,495	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
45	BMY	5	0	+10.24%	$8,054	$8,879	38	42%	-	+$825	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
46	PEP	4	—	+9.81%	$7,854	$8,625	19	42%	-	+$770	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
47	VRTX	18	—	+9.69%	$11,038	$12,108	34	44%	-	+$1,070	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
48	BIIB	4	—	+9.36%	$5,846	$6,393	36	44%	-	+$547	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
49	JPM	42	27	+8.39%	$17,680	$19,164	26	42%	-	+$1,483	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
50	UNH	6	—	+7.95%	$5,781	$6,240	41	46%	-	+$460	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
51	GME	23	6	+7.62%	$13,338	$14,354	45	40%	-	+$1,016	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
52	AVGO	24	6	+7.58%	$12,890	$13,867	66	41%	-	+$977	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
53	BLK	27	0🧊	+7.22%	$12,459	$13,358	30	47%	-	+$900	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
54	XLF	34	—	+6.79%	$13,137	$14,029	17	53%	-	+$892	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
55	IBM	36	6🧊	+5.27%	$15,529	$16,348	43	44%	-	+$818	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
56	SNOW	27	33	+4.99%	$16,003	$16,802	67	36%	-	+$799	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
57	MDT	18	—	+4.95%	$10,829	$11,365	24	46%	-	+$536	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
58	SPXU	4	43🔥	+4.87%	$9,146	$9,591	45	42%	-	+$445	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
59	MCD	11	—	+4.49%	$9,753	$10,191	20	45%	-	+$438	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
60	WFC	25	53🔥	+4.27%	$12,697	$13,239	32	44%	-	+$542	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
61	XLE	5	0	+4.25%	$9,245	$9,638	28	43%	-	+$393	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
62	AMGN	4	—	+3.95%	$8,849	$9,198	24	46%	-	+$350	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
63	ABBV	22	0🧊	+3.84%	$11,767	$12,218	33	42%	-	+$452	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
64	LLY	18	6	+2.26%	$11,575	$11,836	44	43%	-	+$262	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
65	KO	29	3🧊	+1.99%	$12,889	$13,146	17	47%	-	+$257	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
66	BRK-B	26	—	+0.56%	$13,075	$13,148	18	44%	-	+$73	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
67	RIOT	5	49🔥	-2.47%	$8,974	$8,752	120	41%	-	-$222	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
68	USO	23	3	-3.04%	$11,884	$11,523	56	43%	-	-$361	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
69	MSFT	28	2🧊	-3.14%	$14,581	$14,123	30	40%	-	-$458	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
70	TMO	4	—	-3.75%	$8,971	$8,634	27	37%	-	-$336	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
71	TLT	4	—	-4.10%	$7,432	$7,127	13	46%	-	-$305	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
72	PFE	5	—	-4.38%	$8,581	$8,205	25	40%	-	-$376	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
73	NIO	4	5	-7.80%	$6,491	$5,984	82	38%	-	-$506	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
74	META	31	18	-8.39%	$16,949	$15,527	42	38%	-	-$1,422	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
75	VXX	23	5	-8.51%	$14,969	$13,695	70	37%	-	-$1,274	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
76	V	19	—	-8.66%	$13,030	$11,902	20	30%	-	-$1,128	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
77	COST	31	1🧊	-9.71%	$16,765	$15,137	23	35%	-	-$1,628	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
78	PG	4	—	-10.07%	$10,083	$9,068	20	35%	-	-$1,015	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
79	DIS	16	0	-10.37%	$12,504	$11,207	25	40%	-	-$1,297	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
80	MA	25	0🧊	-11.01%	$13,941	$12,406	25	36%	-	-$1,535	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
81	REGN	5	0	-15.10%	$6,857	$5,821	42	38%	-	-$1,035	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
82	AMC	4	15	-16.88%	$4,609	$3,831	86	40%	-	-$778	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
83	RIVN	4	16	-18.77%	$7,130	$5,792	89	38%	-	-$1,338	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
84	MARA	5	46🔥	-19.38%	$5,908	$4,763	115	37%	-	-$1,145	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
85	SOFI	26	6	-21.16%	$17,910	$14,120	85	39%	-	-$3,790	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
86	ORCL	14	6	-21.54%	$13,266	$10,408	81	35%	-	-$2,857	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
87	HD	5	30🔥	-21.73%	$10,748	$8,413	32	31%	-	-$2,336	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
88	CRM	5	3	-24.34%	$8,954	$6,775	49	37%	-	-$2,179	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
89	LCID	15	9	-24.38%	$14,688	$11,107	101	35%	-	-$3,581	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
90	SQQQ	3	7	-25.92%	$5,330	$3,948	84	36%	-	-$1,382	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
91	PYPL	6	1	-26.26%	$11,072	$8,165	39	38%	-	-$2,908	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
92	ISRG	4	1	-28.07%	$12,669	$9,113	36	25%	-	-$3,556	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
93	PM	21	1	-31.16%	$17,557	$12,086	32	28%	-	-$5,471	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
94	DKNG	4	3	-32.46%	$9,825	$6,636	69	35%	-	-$3,189	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
95	NFLX	36	1🧊	-33.64%	$28,954	$19,214	34	29%	-	-$9,740	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
96	CMCSA	5	0	-37.65%	$8,456	$5,273	33	27%	-	-$3,184	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
97	ADBE	4	3	-43.13%	$9,126	$5,190	46	26%	-	-$3,936	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
98	RBLX	12	2	-46.99%	$19,482	$10,327	79	37%	-	-$9,155	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
99	ACN	3	5	-47.34%	$6,882	$3,624	43	23%	-	-$3,258	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
100	SMCI	4	9	-52.43%	$3,267	$1,554	90	32%	-	-$1,713	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
101	HOOD	5	6	-55.53%	$16,587	$7,376	92	33%	-	-$9,211	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
102	COIN	5	7	-56.93%	$13,039	$5,616	105	32%	-	-$7,423	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

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