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Marcus Reversal
1

Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Apr 1, 2026 Jul 1, 2026 (91d)

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$14,148
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $13,310 (+$838)
+6.30%
Last 3 Months ROI
44.9%
Win Rate
1,403
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-2.5%
1 Month
+6.3%
3 Months
+6.3%
6 Months
+6.3%
YTD
+15.5%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))
RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)
Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14
📁 calculateRSI() @ lines 404-448

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size
2 Upper wick ≤ body size
3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE
→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

RSI_PERIOD: 14
RSI_OVERSOLD: 30
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -10%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 30

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Apr 1, 2026 Jul 1, 2026 (91 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 3M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 AMD 44 63 +138.21% $11,485 $27,359 27 70% - +$15,874 -43.0% 3.3d -
2 SOXL 72 39🧊 +97.50% $42,694 $84,320 33 64% - +$41,626 -36.3% 1.6d -
3 PANW 39 28 +59.49% $12,076 $19,260 16 75% - +$7,184 -29.0% 7.1d -
4 MU 69 29🧊 +57.29% $31,367 $49,337 30 57% - +$17,970 -27.8% 3.5d -
5 UNH 6 +55.66% $4,214 $6,559 10 80% - +$2,345 -54.0% 7.3d -
6 INTC 17 9 +54.94% $7,570 $11,729 26 46% - +$4,159 -58.2% 3.6d -
7 CRWD 61 2🧊 +54.21% $20,235 $31,205 18 72% - +$10,969 -24.8% 4.4d -
8 NET 58 5🧊 +48.20% $22,816 $33,813 21 62% - +$10,997 -33.4% 4.1d -
9 XLK 36 8🧊 +41.24% $12,224 $17,265 13 69% - +$5,041 -25.5% 11.5d -
10 ARKK 24 3🧊 +38.52% $9,665 $13,388 17 59% - +$3,723 -26.4% 5.4d -
11 RIOT 5 13 +35.96% $5,766 $7,840 30 50% - +$2,074 -51.3% 1.3d -
12 GOOGL 54 0🧊 +31.69% $19,475 $25,646 9 67% - +$6,171 -25.2% 7.9d -
13 CSCO 71 1🧊 +31.41% $22,203 $29,177 9 56% - +$6,974 -9.1% 15.2d -
14 ARM 36 9🧊 +30.33% $14,825 $19,322 29 45% - +$4,496 -31.3% 2.7d -
15 MS 23 13 +25.98% $10,356 $13,046 8 75% - +$2,690 -29.2% 9.0d -
16 TSLA 28 5🧊 +25.79% $12,469 $15,685 19 53% - +$3,216 -34.1% 2.9d -
17 RIVN 4 9 +25.65% $4,845 $6,088 24 50% - +$1,243 -51.0% 2.2d -
18 AAPL 37 +24.92% $14,613 $18,255 9 78% - +$3,642 -21.5% 10.1d -
19 QQQ 34 0🧊 +24.75% $12,515 $15,613 7 71% - +$3,098 -29.6% 15.7d -
20 BAC 29 +18.66% $12,362 $14,669 5 80% - +$2,307 -21.4% 9.5d -
21 WFC 24 53🔥 +18.61% $11,162 $13,239 7 71% - +$2,077 -25.5% 8.9d -
22 NVDA 33 5🧊 +18.00% $16,342 $19,284 16 50% - +$2,942 -43.7% 3.8d -
23 SPY 40 +16.03% $13,010 $15,096 5 80% - +$2,086 -12.7% 18.7d -
24 VOO 37 +15.53% $12,734 $14,712 5 80% - +$1,978 -15.4% 18.9d -
25 IWM 28 +14.76% $12,361 $14,186 6 67% - +$1,825 -23.6% 13.7d -
26 VTI 36 +14.74% $12,921 $14,826 4 75% - +$1,905 -16.1% 20.8d -
27 SNOW 28 7 +13.79% $15,001 $17,069 25 36% - +$2,069 -43.4% 4.9d -
28 AVGO 23 6 +13.47% $11,792 $13,380 18 56% - +$1,588 -27.0% 3.7d -
29 JPM 41 27 +12.95% $16,967 $19,164 5 60% - +$2,197 -20.8% 10.9d -
30 C 37 51 +12.18% $16,753 $18,794 10 50% - +$2,041 -29.6% 8.3d -
31 AMZN 37 6🧊 +10.55% $14,874 $16,444 15 47% - +$1,569 -18.5% 8.3d -
32 AXP 28 +10.52% $13,529 $14,952 6 50% - +$1,423 -27.6% 10.6d -
33 MARA 5 39🔥 +10.37% $4,397 $4,854 31 42% - +$456 -58.2% 1.3d -
34 DIA 23 +10.29% $10,733 $11,837 3 100% - +$1,104 -20.7% 20.9d -
35 BIIB 4 +10.26% $6,186 $6,821 8 50% - +$635 -46.7% 7.5d -
36 V 23 +9.72% $11,386 $12,493 6 50% - +$1,107 -14.4% 14.2d -
37 JNJ 41 +8.71% $14,845 $16,138 6 50% - +$1,293 -13.8% 16.3d -
38 MRK 4 18 +8.44% $7,949 $8,620 10 50% - +$671 -45.0% 9.8d -
39 XLF 33 +8.43% $12,938 $14,029 3 67% - +$1,091 -11.5% 17.6d -
40 SCHW 48 28 +7.60% $15,786 $16,986 9 56% - +$1,200 -10.8% 11.7d -
41 DKNG 4 5 +6.23% $6,567 $6,976 22 41% - +$409 -50.2% 4.1d -
42 SOFI 25 6 +5.53% $13,381 $14,120 20 45% - +$740 -35.6% 2.7d -
43 DIS 14 1 +5.01% $10,351 $10,870 9 44% - +$519 -24.9% 11.6d -
44 GS 51 2🧊 +4.77% $19,535 $20,467 11 45% - +$932 -15.7% 9.6d -
45 BRK-B 25 +4.42% $12,592 $13,148 3 67% - +$557 -15.7% 16.3d -
46 TQQQ 6 7 +2.94% $8,529 $8,780 24 46% - +$251 -40.9% 3.1d -
47 SLB 31 1🧊 +2.93% $14,803 $15,236 12 42% - +$434 -22.2% 8.1d -
48 MA 25 0🧊 +2.90% $12,056 $12,406 7 43% - +$350 -11.3% 13.9d -
49 GILD 24 +2.85% $13,173 $13,549 9 44% - +$375 -20.9% 10.3d -
50 VRTX 20 31 +2.85% $11,772 $12,108 7 43% - +$336 -25.6% 10.7d -
51 MSFT 26 2🧊 +2.80% $13,278 $13,650 10 40% - +$372 -21.2% 13.3d -
52 COST 30 +2.33% $14,793 $15,137 9 44% - +$345 -19.7% 13.0d -
53 ABBV 25 16 +2.24% $12,557 $12,839 10 40% - +$281 -17.7% 11.9d -
54 MRNA 5 28🔥 +1.72% $8,955 $9,109 22 36% - +$154 -73.8% 2.3d -
55 LLY 21 8 +1.46% $12,330 $12,510 15 40% - +$180 -36.7% 6.7d -
56 TLT 4 +1.33% $7,034 $7,127 3 67% - +$94 -27.7% 20.2d -
57 GME 23 5 +1.03% $13,774 $13,916 14 36% - +$142 -32.0% 2.9d -
58 BLK 27 1🧊 +0.77% $12,860 $12,959 9 44% - +$99 -17.2% 12.3d -
59 KO 29 0🧊 +0.71% $13,053 $13,146 5 60% - +$93 -13.1% 18.7d -
60 ADBE 4 3 -0.22% $5,553 $5,541 16 38% - -$12 -42.0% 8.2d -
61 META 30 7🧊 -1.43% $17,516 $17,265 12 50% - -$250 -26.1% 6.9d -
62 IBM 38 5🧊 -1.60% $17,464 $17,185 15 40% - -$279 -17.7% 10.0d -
63 PG 4 -1.97% $9,250 $9,068 4 25% - -$182 -24.4% 16.2d -
64 HD 5 31🔥 -2.43% $9,080 $8,860 11 36% - -$221 -19.9% 12.1d -
65 WMT 39 -2.74% $16,551 $16,097 9 33% - -$453 -17.6% 14.4d -
66 AMC 4 11 -2.75% $4,184 $4,069 29 48% - -$115 -59.9% 2.4d -
67 VZ 20 1 -2.76% $12,110 $11,775 8 38% - -$334 -14.2% 14.1d -
68 CMCSA 5 20 -3.86% $6,571 $6,317 10 20% - -$254 -36.1% 11.9d -
69 TMO 4 -5.48% $9,135 $8,634 7 43% - -$501 -28.6% 11.0d -
70 LCID 19 9 -6.29% $13,257 $12,423 29 38% - -$834 -38.4% 1.9d -
71 BMY 5 19 -6.55% $9,993 $9,339 10 30% - -$655 -28.4% 7.9d -
72 SMCI 4 9 -6.77% $1,618 $1,508 27 37% - -$110 -88.9% 1.9d -
73 AMGN 4 -6.88% $10,360 $9,647 6 33% - -$713 -28.3% 11.3d -
74 NIO 4 5 -7.25% $6,539 $6,065 22 36% - -$474 -51.1% 2.6d -
75 PM 21 -7.43% $13,056 $12,086 8 25% - -$970 -21.9% 12.3d -
76 MCD 11 -7.99% $11,076 $10,191 6 33% - -$885 -12.9% 16.0d -
77 PYPL 6 3 -8.20% $9,059 $8,316 13 38% - -$743 -35.9% 7.8d -
78 PEP 4 -8.83% $9,172 $8,362 5 20% - -$810 -23.1% 16.8d -
79 MDT 18 -9.08% $12,500 $11,365 6 17% - -$1,135 -12.1% 13.7d -
80 SPXU 4 52🔥 -10.17% $10,354 $9,301 15 33% - -$1,053 -30.0% 5.6d -
81 CRM 5 3 -11.69% $8,098 $7,151 18 33% - -$947 -48.1% 7.3d -
82 PFE 5 0 -12.61% $9,389 $8,205 5 0% - -$1,184 -23.5% 10.8d -
83 CVX 33 1🧊 -13.63% $16,649 $14,380 11 27% - -$2,269 -13.5% 13.2d -
84 GLD 64 1🧊 -14.93% $25,810 $21,956 7 14% - -$3,853 -6.1% 15.7d -
85 ORCL 6 7 -15.14% $11,791 $10,006 24 38% - -$1,785 -51.2% 5.2d -
86 RBLX 15 12 -15.24% $12,661 $10,731 20 45% - -$1,929 -46.8% 3.9d -
87 ISRG 4 0 -16.14% $10,867 $9,113 8 13% - -$1,754 -35.0% 8.4d -
88 COP 14 1 -16.96% $12,912 $10,722 14 29% - -$2,190 -20.6% 9.4d -
89 SLV 63 3🧊 -17.99% $34,893 $28,616 19 37% - -$6,277 -21.6% 7.3d -
90 XLE 5 -18.51% $11,827 $9,638 11 18% - -$2,189 -24.7% 12.5d -
91 NFLX 35 1🧊 -20.05% $24,033 $19,214 10 20% - -$4,819 -32.4% 9.5d -
92 HOOD 5 7 -20.93% $9,836 $7,777 23 35% - -$2,059 -45.6% 2.2d -
93 UVXY 19 18 -21.08% $16,207 $12,790 24 29% - -$3,416 -50.0% 1.6d -
94 OXY 30 3🧊 -21.22% $20,134 $15,862 18 33% - -$4,272 -28.6% 8.2d -
95 REGN 5 -23.19% $7,579 $5,821 7 14% - -$1,758 -50.1% 7.6d -
96 PLTR 66 9🧊 -23.24% $54,613 $41,921 23 26% - -$12,692 -28.0% 2.8d -
97 USO 20 3 -23.42% $15,047 $11,523 23 39% - -$3,524 -18.0% 8.8d -
98 ACN 3 3 -24.09% $4,774 $3,624 12 17% - -$1,150 -45.0% 9.3d -
99 VXX 22 5 -26.23% $18,002 $13,280 15 20% - -$4,722 -32.2% 2.9d -
100 XOM 18 0 -26.88% $15,432 $11,284 11 9% - -$4,148 -18.5% 11.9d -
101 COIN 5 7 -39.48% $8,951 $5,417 28 21% - -$3,534 -53.5% 1.8d -
102 SQQQ 3 7 -44.47% $6,886 $3,824 25 16% - -$3,062 -66.3% 2.8d -

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.