Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Nov 6, 2025 → May 6, 2026 (180d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$13,960

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $13,280 (+$680)

+5.12%

Last 6 Months ROI

43.3%

Win Rate

2,511

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Nov 6, 2025 → May 6, 2026 (180 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	6M Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SLV	73	20🧊	+129.68%	$15,020	$34,498	39	62%	-	+$19,478	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
2	MRNA	5	17	+116.67%	$4,116	$8,919	48	56%	-	+$4,802	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
3	INTC	15	72🔥	+87.72%	$6,402	$12,018	43	51%	-	+$5,616	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
4	OXY	36	5🧊	+66.08%	$11,041	$18,336	24	63%	-	+$7,296	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
5	GOOGL	57	60	+57.15%	$17,064	$26,816	22	64%	-	+$9,752	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
6	NET	51	71	+50.44%	$20,031	$30,135	35	51%	-	+$10,104	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
7	CSCO	68	30🧊	+41.64%	$16,782	$23,771	16	63%	-	+$6,988	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
8	MU	67	82	+39.04%	$32,757	$45,545	47	49%	-	+$12,788	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
9	SLB	31	29	+37.03%	$11,174	$15,312	22	55%	-	+$4,138	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
10	GLD	68	—	+31.26%	$18,406	$24,159	15	67%	-	+$5,754	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
11	UVXY	21	7	+31.11%	$10,560	$13,846	54	44%	-	+$3,285	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
12	NVDA	34	56🔥	+29.43%	$15,268	$19,761	26	50%	-	+$4,493	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
13	C	33	32	+29.10%	$13,666	$17,643	22	50%	-	+$3,977	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
14	CVX	38	1🧊	+28.08%	$12,201	$15,627	16	56%	-	+$3,426	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
15	XOM	26	1🧊	+27.77%	$10,494	$13,408	17	59%	-	+$2,914	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
16	TSLA	27	57🔥	+26.92%	$11,995	$15,224	31	48%	-	+$3,229	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
17	AMD	27	68🔥	+25.02%	$13,134	$16,420	38	50%	-	+$3,286	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
18	COP	20	2	+23.74%	$9,814	$12,144	24	50%	-	+$2,330	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
19	QQQ	33	53	+22.26%	$12,221	$14,942	11	73%	-	+$2,720	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
20	AAPL	36	59🔥	+21.35%	$13,922	$16,894	15	53%	-	+$2,972	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
21	JNJ	35	—	+21.30%	$12,178	$14,772	9	67%	-	+$2,594	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
22	XLK	30	53🔥	+20.18%	$12,530	$15,058	12	58%	-	+$2,528	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
23	SCHW	44	15🧊	+19.61%	$13,661	$16,340	14	57%	-	+$2,679	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
24	MRK	4	0	+18.02%	$6,602	$7,792	16	50%	-	+$1,190	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
25	GME	28	50🔥	+17.03%	$13,297	$15,562	24	46%	-	+$2,265	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
26	USO	29	12	+16.53%	$11,853	$13,812	31	52%	-	+$1,959	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
27	WMT	44	29	+14.14%	$16,392	$18,710	13	54%	-	+$2,318	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
28	XLE	12	2	+11.80%	$9,337	$10,439	17	47%	-	+$1,102	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
29	VZ	20	0	+10.88%	$10,754	$11,924	11	45%	-	+$1,170	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
30	ARKK	20	51🔥	+10.86%	$10,970	$12,161	25	44%	-	+$1,191	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
31	PEP	4	—	+10.48%	$8,594	$9,494	10	50%	-	+$901	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
32	SPXU	3	1	+10.37%	$8,182	$9,031	25	48%	-	+$848	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
33	AMZN	44	60	+10.03%	$17,769	$19,551	25	44%	-	+$1,782	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
34	SOXL	68	73	+9.28%	$44,652	$48,796	55	44%	-	+$4,144	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
35	GS	50	—	+9.15%	$19,205	$20,962	20	45%	-	+$1,757	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
36	BMY	4	0	+8.19%	$8,144	$8,811	21	43%	-	+$667	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
37	KO	30	—	+7.72%	$12,298	$13,248	8	50%	-	+$949	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
38	VTI	37	—	+6.97%	$13,592	$14,539	9	56%	-	+$947	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
39	UNH	6	61🔥	+6.73%	$5,671	$6,053	22	50%	-	+$382	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
40	VOO	34	—	+6.54%	$13,372	$14,246	9	56%	-	+$875	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
41	BAC	25	—	+6.04%	$12,864	$13,641	10	50%	-	+$777	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
42	IWM	23	—	+5.18%	$12,959	$13,631	12	50%	-	+$671	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
43	PFE	5	—	+5.15%	$8,657	$9,102	11	55%	-	+$446	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
44	ARM	29	34	+5.11%	$15,657	$16,457	41	39%	-	+$800	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
45	BIIB	4	33🔥	+4.33%	$6,214	$6,483	17	47%	-	+$269	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
46	MCD	14	0	+4.32%	$10,083	$10,518	11	45%	-	+$436	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
47	PLTR	69	13🧊	+4.22%	$49,897	$52,002	41	39%	-	+$2,106	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
48	COST	33	28	+3.78%	$15,217	$15,792	11	45%	-	+$575	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
49	BLK	28	30	+2.55%	$13,429	$13,771	15	47%	-	+$342	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
50	SPY	37	—	+2.14%	$14,305	$14,611	9	44%	-	+$306	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
51	BRK-B	23	—	+1.45%	$12,291	$12,470	10	40%	-	+$178	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
52	IBM	35	0🧊	+1.41%	$16,185	$16,413	20	45%	-	+$228	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
53	AXP	29	37	+1.31%	$14,730	$14,923	14	43%	-	+$193	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
54	CRWD	49	69	+1.19%	$25,171	$25,470	28	43%	-	+$300	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
55	SQQQ	3	5	+0.86%	$4,579	$4,619	43	42%	-	+$39	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
56	DIS	15	30	+0.74%	$10,990	$11,071	13	46%	-	+$81	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
57	AVGO	29	69🔥	+0.30%	$15,603	$15,650	34	38%	-	+$47	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
58	GILD	23	0🧊	+0.18%	$12,903	$12,926	17	41%	-	+$23	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
59	VXX	24	3🧊	-0.03%	$14,511	$14,507	40	40%	-	-$4	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
60	MS	18	—	-0.91%	$11,966	$11,857	20	40%	-	-$109	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
61	DIA	19	—	-0.96%	$11,370	$11,261	8	50%	-	-$109	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
62	WFC	19	21	-1.71%	$11,938	$11,734	16	44%	-	-$204	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
63	XLF	31	—	-2.28%	$13,992	$13,673	11	45%	-	-$319	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
64	AMGN	4	0	-2.44%	$9,244	$9,018	12	42%	-	-$226	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
65	NIO	4	54🔥	-2.81%	$7,965	$7,741	41	39%	-	-$224	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
66	JPM	37	—	-3.17%	$18,985	$18,383	15	33%	-	-$602	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
67	META	29	12	-4.02%	$16,119	$15,471	24	38%	-	-$648	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
68	MDT	20	—	-4.38%	$11,881	$11,361	14	36%	-	-$520	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
69	PG	5	0	-4.83%	$9,569	$9,107	14	36%	-	-$462	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
70	VRTX	15	—	-5.21%	$11,694	$11,085	17	35%	-	-$609	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
71	V	24	41	-5.82%	$13,024	$12,266	12	25%	-	-$758	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
72	LLY	15	2	-6.71%	$12,331	$11,503	24	33%	-	-$827	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
73	DKNG	4	14	-7.45%	$7,637	$7,068	36	39%	-	-$569	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
74	REGN	5	—	-7.72%	$7,267	$6,706	21	38%	-	-$561	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
75	TLT	4	—	-8.04%	$7,751	$7,128	6	33%	-	-$623	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
76	MA	26	20	-8.14%	$13,674	$12,561	16	31%	-	-$1,113	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
77	PANW	28	70🔥	-8.81%	$15,932	$14,528	25	40%	-	-$1,404	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
78	ABBV	22	0🧊	-9.29%	$13,360	$12,118	19	37%	-	-$1,241	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
79	RIVN	4	33🔥	-9.82%	$6,353	$5,729	48	38%	-	-$624	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
80	MSFT	31	52🔥	-11.41%	$17,088	$15,138	19	32%	-	-$1,950	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
81	TQQQ	6	53🔥	-11.48%	$10,355	$9,167	40	38%	-	-$1,189	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
82	TMO	4	—	-11.77%	$9,727	$8,582	13	31%	-	-$1,145	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
83	CRM	6	19	-11.99%	$9,518	$8,377	23	39%	-	-$1,141	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
84	CMCSA	5	0	-13.14%	$6,885	$5,980	18	39%	-	-$905	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
85	PM	20	—	-14.34%	$13,901	$11,908	14	29%	-	-$1,993	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
86	ISRG	12	0	-14.49%	$12,532	$10,716	17	29%	-	-$1,816	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
87	NFLX	42	1🧊	-18.00%	$26,832	$22,003	21	33%	-	-$4,830	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
88	AMC	3	9	-18.78%	$5,453	$4,429	46	33%	-	-$1,024	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
89	RIOT	4	23	-18.92%	$7,867	$6,379	61	34%	-	-$1,488	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
90	ADBE	4	34🔥	-19.62%	$7,521	$6,046	22	32%	-	-$1,476	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
91	HD	5	0	-25.00%	$11,605	$8,704	18	22%	-	-$2,901	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
92	ACN	3	0	-25.11%	$6,081	$4,554	20	25%	-	-$1,527	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
93	PYPL	9	46🔥	-26.09%	$12,374	$9,146	20	35%	-	-$3,228	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
94	SNOW	23	7	-30.14%	$19,780	$13,818	36	28%	-	-$5,962	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
95	SOFI	25	28	-31.36%	$20,456	$14,041	39	31%	-	-$6,415	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
96	COIN	5	9	-32.58%	$11,166	$7,528	54	31%	-	-$3,638	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
97	SMCI	4	14	-34.39%	$2,413	$1,583	45	29%	-	-$830	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
98	LCID	17	9	-40.87%	$19,167	$11,333	53	28%	-	-$7,834	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
99	RBLX	12	9	-41.64%	$16,926	$9,878	45	33%	-	-$7,048	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
100	ORCL	16	5	-44.30%	$20,277	$11,294	43	26%	-	-$8,983	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
101	HOOD	5	6	-46.88%	$16,225	$8,619	45	27%	-	-$7,606	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
102	MARA	4	7	-48.15%	$6,978	$3,618	62	27%	-	-$3,360	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

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