Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Dec 24, 2025 → Jun 24, 2026 (181d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$14,023

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $13,330 (+$694)

+5.21%

Last 6 Months ROI

41.9%

Win Rate

2,685

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Dec 24, 2025 → Jun 24, 2026 (181 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	6M Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	INTC	19	46🔥	+130.07%	$5,474	$12,593	48	54%	-	+$7,120	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
2	AMD	40	47	+119.06%	$11,288	$24,728	44	59%	-	+$13,440	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
3	SOXL 🔥 PRO	72	84	+94.06%	$45,103	$87,526	62	50%	-	+$42,424	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
4	NET	56	21🧊	+77.16%	$18,164	$32,180	39	56%	-	+$14,016	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
5	MRNA	5	6	+76.41%	$4,780	$8,433	50	50%	-	+$3,653	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
6	CSCO	70	3🧊	+58.99%	$19,049	$30,286	16	63%	-	+$11,237	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
7	ARM	37	9🧊	+58.70%	$12,532	$19,889	47	47%	-	+$7,357	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
8	SLV	65	3🧊	+55.30%	$18,426	$28,616	43	53%	-	+$10,190	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
9	OXY	32	3🧊	+45.88%	$11,211	$16,355	30	57%	-	+$5,144	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
10	MU	68	50	+45.69%	$35,633	$51,913	53	51%	-	+$16,281	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
11	XLK	37	32	+38.99%	$12,422	$17,265	18	61%	-	+$4,843	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
12	GOOGL	55	0🧊	+33.88%	$19,156	$25,646	19	58%	-	+$6,490	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
13	SLB	32	3🧊	+31.57%	$11,580	$15,236	26	50%	-	+$3,656	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
14	UVXY	21	23	+30.72%	$10,703	$13,991	51	43%	-	+$3,288	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
15	CVX	35	1🧊	+29.31%	$11,466	$14,827	20	55%	-	+$3,361	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
16	RIOT	5	49🔥	+29.20%	$6,774	$8,752	59	44%	-	+$1,978	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
17	AAPL	38	—	+25.62%	$14,379	$18,063	14	57%	-	+$3,684	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
18	ARKK	21	3	+22.17%	$10,438	$12,752	28	46%	-	+$2,314	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
19	QQQ	34	0🧊	+21.22%	$12,880	$15,613	13	62%	-	+$2,733	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
20	PANW	37	27	+20.14%	$15,125	$18,171	29	52%	-	+$3,046	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
21	NVDA	34	5🧊	+20.12%	$16,593	$19,931	26	46%	-	+$3,338	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
22	C	39	53	+20.04%	$16,201	$19,448	22	45%	-	+$3,247	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
23	SCHW	49	37	+18.76%	$14,790	$17,564	13	62%	-	+$2,775	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
24	CRWD	56	3🧊	+14.57%	$25,726	$29,474	32	50%	-	+$3,748	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
25	SPXU	4	43🔥	+14.44%	$8,381	$9,591	28	46%	-	+$1,210	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
26	JNJ	36	—	+14.27%	$13,448	$15,367	11	55%	-	+$1,919	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
27	MS	25	31	+13.65%	$12,038	$13,681	18	50%	-	+$1,643	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
28	SPY	42	—	+12.77%	$13,809	$15,573	8	63%	-	+$1,763	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
29	GLD	66	1🧊	+12.45%	$19,525	$21,956	18	50%	-	+$2,431	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
30	VOO	39	—	+12.38%	$13,505	$15,176	8	63%	-	+$1,672	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
31	COP	16	1	+11.79%	$9,937	$11,109	27	44%	-	+$1,172	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
32	BAC	29	—	+11.26%	$13,184	$14,669	11	55%	-	+$1,485	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
33	GME	23	6	+11.24%	$12,903	$14,354	25	40%	-	+$1,450	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
34	VZ	22	0🧊	+10.20%	$11,051	$12,179	14	43%	-	+$1,127	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
35	UNH	6	—	+9.48%	$5,700	$6,240	21	52%	-	+$540	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
36	XOM	20	0	+8.85%	$10,367	$11,284	21	48%	-	+$917	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
37	MRK	4	1	+8.75%	$7,545	$8,205	16	44%	-	+$660	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
38	VTI	37	—	+7.87%	$13,744	$14,826	8	50%	-	+$1,082	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
39	IWM	29	—	+7.03%	$13,254	$14,186	13	46%	-	+$932	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
40	GILD	25	0🧊	+6.39%	$12,735	$13,549	20	45%	-	+$814	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
41	COST	31	1🧊	+5.86%	$14,299	$15,137	15	47%	-	+$838	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
42	VXX	23	5	+5.18%	$13,021	$13,695	37	41%	-	+$674	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
43	BRK-B	26	—	+5.11%	$12,509	$13,148	10	50%	-	+$639	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
44	WFC	25	53🔥	+4.84%	$12,628	$13,239	17	53%	-	+$611	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
45	XLE	5	0	+4.48%	$9,224	$9,638	19	42%	-	+$413	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
46	NIO	4	5	+3.89%	$5,760	$5,984	41	41%	-	+$224	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
47	AMZN	36	3🧊	+3.67%	$15,881	$16,464	27	41%	-	+$583	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
48	GS	53	5🧊	+3.53%	$20,643	$21,371	20	40%	-	+$729	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
49	DIA	24	—	+2.66%	$11,531	$11,837	8	63%	-	+$307	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
50	JPM	42	27	+1.93%	$18,801	$19,164	14	36%	-	+$363	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
51	KO	29	3🧊	+0.72%	$13,052	$13,146	11	45%	-	+$94	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
52	BIIB	4	—	-0.05%	$6,396	$6,393	16	44%	-	-$3	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
53	BMY	5	0	-0.40%	$8,915	$8,879	19	37%	-	-$36	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
54	PG	4	—	-1.17%	$9,175	$9,068	10	30%	-	-$107	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
55	PEP	4	—	-1.40%	$8,747	$8,625	12	33%	-	-$122	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
56	IBM	36	6🧊	-1.68%	$16,627	$16,348	27	41%	-	-$279	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
57	META	31	18	-1.82%	$15,815	$15,527	25	40%	-	-$288	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
58	BLK	27	0🧊	-1.95%	$13,624	$13,358	18	44%	-	-$266	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
59	AMGN	4	—	-2.20%	$9,405	$9,198	12	42%	-	-$207	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
60	USO	23	3	-2.21%	$11,784	$11,523	41	46%	-	-$260	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
61	XLF	34	—	-2.69%	$14,417	$14,029	10	40%	-	-$388	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
62	WMT	38	—	-3.08%	$18,112	$17,554	15	40%	-	-$558	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
63	SNOW	27	33	-3.45%	$17,402	$16,802	42	33%	-	-$600	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
64	TSLA	26	5🧊	-4.42%	$15,620	$14,929	32	38%	-	-$690	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
65	PFE	5	—	-4.55%	$8,596	$8,205	11	36%	-	-$391	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
66	DIS	16	0	-4.58%	$11,745	$11,207	15	40%	-	-$538	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
67	ABBV	22	0🧊	-4.72%	$12,824	$12,218	20	40%	-	-$605	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
68	AXP	29	—	-4.88%	$15,719	$14,952	14	36%	-	-$767	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
69	MCD	11	—	-5.37%	$10,770	$10,191	11	36%	-	-$578	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
70	VRTX	18	—	-5.94%	$12,872	$12,108	18	39%	-	-$765	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
71	TLT	4	—	-6.41%	$7,615	$7,127	7	43%	-	-$488	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
72	V	19	—	-7.63%	$12,885	$11,902	10	20%	-	-$983	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
73	AVGO	24	6	-10.11%	$15,426	$13,867	34	41%	-	-$1,560	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
74	RIVN	4	16	-11.30%	$6,530	$5,792	48	38%	-	-$738	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
75	MDT	18	—	-13.74%	$13,175	$11,365	12	25%	-	-$1,810	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
76	MSFT	28	2🧊	-14.22%	$16,465	$14,123	21	29%	-	-$2,341	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
77	AMC	4	15	-14.42%	$4,477	$3,831	51	41%	-	-$646	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
78	LLY	18	6	-14.45%	$13,836	$11,836	24	29%	-	-$1,999	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
79	DKNG	4	3	-14.77%	$7,786	$6,636	42	36%	-	-$1,150	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
80	TMO	4	—	-15.13%	$10,173	$8,634	16	31%	-	-$1,539	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
81	PLTR	66	7🧊	-15.38%	$48,619	$41,141	41	34%	-	-$7,478	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
82	MA	25	0🧊	-15.67%	$14,711	$12,406	16	25%	-	-$2,305	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
83	TQQQ	6	9	-16.21%	$10,869	$9,107	44	39%	-	-$1,762	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
84	PM	21	1	-16.54%	$14,481	$12,086	15	27%	-	-$2,395	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
85	HD	5	30🔥	-19.02%	$10,389	$8,413	18	28%	-	-$1,976	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
86	NFLX	36	1🧊	-21.60%	$24,508	$19,214	20	30%	-	-$5,294	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
87	SQQQ	3	7	-21.93%	$5,058	$3,948	47	34%	-	-$1,109	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
88	MARA	5	46🔥	-24.24%	$6,287	$4,763	62	34%	-	-$1,524	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
89	CMCSA	5	0	-25.31%	$7,059	$5,273	19	26%	-	-$1,787	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
90	CRM	5	3	-26.81%	$9,256	$6,775	31	32%	-	-$2,482	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
91	SMCI	4	9	-27.37%	$2,140	$1,554	51	31%	-	-$586	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
92	PYPL	6	1	-29.35%	$11,557	$8,165	22	32%	-	-$3,392	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
93	REGN	5	0	-29.67%	$8,277	$5,821	19	26%	-	-$2,456	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
94	SOFI	26	6	-31.37%	$20,575	$14,120	41	32%	-	-$6,454	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
95	RBLX	12	2	-32.43%	$15,284	$10,327	45	38%	-	-$4,957	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
96	ADBE	4	3	-32.90%	$7,735	$5,190	30	27%	-	-$2,545	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
97	ISRG	4	1	-33.11%	$13,624	$9,113	17	12%	-	-$4,511	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
98	ORCL	14	6	-33.56%	$15,666	$10,408	46	30%	-	-$5,257	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
99	LCID	15	9	-39.37%	$18,320	$11,107	54	30%	-	-$7,212	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
100	ACN	3	5	-41.59%	$6,204	$3,624	27	19%	-	-$2,580	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
101	COIN	5	7	-41.65%	$9,625	$5,616	55	29%	-	-$4,009	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
102	HOOD	5	6	-47.58%	$14,071	$7,376	44	27%	-	-$6,695	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

Deploy Strategy

Log in to deploy strategies

Agent Deployed!