Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Jun 18, 2024 → Jun 18, 2026 (730d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Marcus Reversal $10,000 and let him trade 102 stock symbols from Dec 31, 2023 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$14,542

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,000 (+$4,542)

+45.42%

2-Year ROI

44.0%

Win Rate

9,564

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: Jun 18, 2024 → Jun 18, 2026 (730 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SOXL 🔥 PRO	73	84	+755.69%	$10,000	$85,569	217	49%	-	+$75,569	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
2	MU	69	56	+436.62%	$10,000	$53,662	159	47%	-	+$43,662	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
3	PLTR	67	5🧊	+340.30%	$10,000	$44,030	162	46%	-	+$34,030	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
4	SLV	69	3🧊	+212.62%	$10,000	$31,262	92	54%	-	+$21,262	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
5	NET	57	32🧊	+206.39%	$10,000	$30,639	135	49%	-	+$20,639	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
6	CSCO	72	3🧊	+202.86%	$10,000	$30,286	52	63%	-	+$20,286	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
7	CRWD	57	5🧊	+194.74%	$10,000	$29,474	123	46%	-	+$19,474	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
8	GOOGL	56	—	+164.57%	$10,000	$26,457	80	49%	-	+$16,457	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
9	GLD	67	0🧊	+135.16%	$10,000	$23,516	46	63%	-	+$13,516	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
10	AMD	38	61🔥	+133.41%	$10,000	$23,341	149	45%	-	+$13,341	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
11	GS	54	3🧊	+113.71%	$10,000	$21,371	74	50%	-	+$11,371	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
12	ARM	38	46	+112.47%	$10,000	$21,247	168	41%	-	+$11,247	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
13	NVDA	36	3🧊	+105.65%	$10,000	$20,565	121	43%	-	+$10,565	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
14	NFLX	37	0🧊	+98.50%	$10,000	$19,850	68	44%	-	+$9,850	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
15	JPM	44	—	+98.37%	$10,000	$19,837	56	52%	-	+$9,837	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
16	C	37	34	+94.48%	$10,000	$19,448	79	48%	-	+$9,448	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
17	AAPL	39	—	+80.63%	$10,000	$18,063	63	49%	-	+$8,063	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
18	XLK	38	32	+78.10%	$10,000	$17,810	62	48%	-	+$7,810	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
19	SCHW	50	37	+75.64%	$10,000	$17,564	58	53%	-	+$7,564	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
20	WMT	39	0🧊	+75.54%	$10,000	$17,554	51	49%	-	+$7,554	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
21	SNOW	30	55🔥	+74.93%	$10,000	$17,493	124	42%	-	+$7,493	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
22	PANW	35	27	+72.82%	$10,000	$17,282	93	47%	-	+$7,282	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
23	AMZN	38	3🧊	+64.64%	$10,000	$16,464	82	44%	-	+$6,464	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
24	OXY	33	2🧊	+63.55%	$10,000	$16,355	90	47%	-	+$6,355	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
25	QQQ	36	—	+60.86%	$10,000	$16,086	43	56%	-	+$6,086	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
26	META	31	18	+60.26%	$10,000	$16,026	90	42%	-	+$6,026	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
27	SLB	33	7🧊	+57.40%	$10,000	$15,740	82	45%	-	+$5,740	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
28	COST	31	1🧊	+56.16%	$10,000	$15,616	52	44%	-	+$5,616	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
29	SPY	43	—	+55.73%	$10,000	$15,573	37	57%	-	+$5,573	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
30	TSLA	28	8🧊	+55.01%	$10,000	$15,501	155	45%	-	+$5,501	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
31	JNJ	37	31	+53.67%	$10,000	$15,367	42	57%	-	+$5,367	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
32	IBM	33	7🧊	+53.65%	$10,000	$15,365	73	48%	-	+$5,365	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
33	SOFI	27	31	+52.78%	$10,000	$15,278	162	43%	-	+$5,278	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
34	VOO	40	—	+51.76%	$10,000	$15,176	37	57%	-	+$5,176	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
35	AXP	29	1🧊	+49.52%	$10,000	$14,952	60	45%	-	+$4,952	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
36	CVX	37	0🧊	+48.27%	$10,000	$14,827	55	51%	-	+$4,827	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
37	VTI	38	—	+48.26%	$10,000	$14,826	34	62%	-	+$4,826	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
38	BAC	30	—	+46.69%	$10,000	$14,669	61	46%	-	+$4,669	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
39	MSFT	29	1🧊	+45.90%	$10,000	$14,590	55	44%	-	+$4,590	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
40	AVGO	26	6🧊	+45.11%	$10,000	$14,511	130	40%	-	+$4,511	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
41	GME	24	6	+43.54%	$10,000	$14,354	128	41%	-	+$4,354	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
42	VXX	24	7	+41.91%	$10,000	$14,191	163	42%	-	+$4,191	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
43	XLF	35	—	+40.29%	$10,000	$14,029	40	55%	-	+$4,029	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
44	BLK	30	0🧊	+38.87%	$10,000	$13,887	58	52%	-	+$3,887	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
45	INTC	19	36	+38.46%	$10,000	$13,846	155	42%	-	+$3,846	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
46	MS	25	51🔥	+36.81%	$10,000	$13,681	72	46%	-	+$3,681	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
47	GILD	25	1🧊	+35.49%	$10,000	$13,549	68	46%	-	+$3,549	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
48	IWM	25	—	+35.07%	$10,000	$13,507	48	48%	-	+$3,507	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
49	WFC	24	53🔥	+32.39%	$10,000	$13,239	70	44%	-	+$3,239	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
50	ARKK	23	24	+32.33%	$10,000	$13,233	107	44%	-	+$3,233	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
51	BRK-B	27	—	+31.48%	$10,000	$13,148	41	46%	-	+$3,148	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
52	KO	30	3🧊	+31.46%	$10,000	$13,146	37	51%	-	+$3,146	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
53	MA	28	—	+27.81%	$10,000	$12,781	50	46%	-	+$2,781	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
54	PM	22	0🧊	+24.58%	$10,000	$12,458	55	44%	-	+$2,458	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
55	UVXY	18	6	+24.54%	$10,000	$12,454	214	41%	-	+$2,454	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
56	ABBV	24	—	+22.18%	$10,000	$12,218	62	44%	-	+$2,218	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
57	USO	25	5	+21.95%	$10,000	$12,195	96	43%	-	+$2,195	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
58	LLY	20	40	+21.90%	$10,000	$12,190	92	40%	-	+$2,190	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
59	VZ	22	13	+21.79%	$10,000	$12,179	49	43%	-	+$2,179	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
60	V	19	—	+19.02%	$10,000	$11,902	48	44%	-	+$1,902	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
61	DIA	24	—	+18.37%	$10,000	$11,837	35	54%	-	+$1,837	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
62	XOM	22	0🧊	+16.48%	$10,000	$11,648	61	44%	-	+$1,648	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
63	VRTX	17	—	+15.08%	$10,000	$11,508	65	43%	-	+$1,508	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
64	MDT	18	—	+13.65%	$10,000	$11,365	50	44%	-	+$1,365	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
65	ORCL	15	9	+11.29%	$10,000	$11,129	129	37%	-	+$1,129	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
66	COP	18	1	+11.09%	$10,000	$11,109	74	42%	-	+$1,109	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
67	LCID	15	9	+11.07%	$10,000	$11,107	198	38%	-	+$1,107	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
68	RBLX	17	33	+10.11%	$10,000	$11,011	134	44%	-	+$1,011	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
69	DIS	13	—	+6.57%	$10,000	$10,657	54	41%	-	+$657	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
70	MCD	15	—	+5.29%	$10,000	$10,529	42	52%	-	+$529	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
71	TQQQ	12	39🔥	+3.74%	$10,000	$10,374	150	41%	-	+$374	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
72	XLE	5	—	-3.62%	$10,000	$9,638	58	40%	-	-$362	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
73	AMGN	4	—	-8.02%	$10,000	$9,198	55	38%	-	-$802	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
74	ISRG	4	1	-8.87%	$10,000	$9,113	71	35%	-	-$887	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
75	PG	4	—	-9.32%	$10,000	$9,068	43	35%	-	-$932	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
76	MRNA	5	14	-9.45%	$10,000	$9,055	187	41%	-	-$945	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
77	SPXU	4	24🔥	-10.06%	$10,000	$8,994	75	43%	-	-$1,006	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
78	BMY	4	19	-11.21%	$10,000	$8,879	76	39%	-	-$1,121	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
79	PEP	4	—	-13.75%	$10,000	$8,625	39	38%	-	-$1,375	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
80	PFE	5	—	-15.29%	$10,000	$8,472	52	42%	-	-$1,529	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
81	HD	5	14	-15.87%	$10,000	$8,413	61	34%	-	-$1,587	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
82	TMO	4	—	-17.83%	$10,000	$8,217	60	33%	-	-$1,783	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
83	PYPL	6	1	-18.35%	$10,000	$8,165	77	42%	-	-$1,835	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
84	RIOT	4	37🔥	-21.66%	$10,000	$7,834	231	42%	-	-$2,166	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
85	MRK	4	2	-22.85%	$10,000	$7,715	68	34%	-	-$2,285	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
86	HOOD	5	6	-26.37%	$10,000	$7,363	173	39%	-	-$2,637	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
87	TLT	4	—	-28.73%	$10,000	$7,127	34	38%	-	-$2,873	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
88	DKNG	4	6	-31.56%	$10,000	$6,844	131	35%	-	-$3,156	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
89	CRM	5	5	-32.25%	$10,000	$6,775	93	37%	-	-$3,225	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
90	BIIB	4	—	-36.07%	$10,000	$6,393	75	36%	-	-$3,607	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
91	NIO	4	6	-37.58%	$10,000	$6,242	167	38%	-	-$3,758	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
92	UNH	6	—	-37.60%	$10,000	$6,240	81	46%	-	-$3,760	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
93	COIN	5	7	-38.13%	$10,000	$6,187	202	36%	-	-$3,813	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
94	RIVN	4	36🔥	-38.37%	$10,000	$6,163	184	39%	-	-$3,837	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
95	REGN	5	0	-41.79%	$10,000	$5,821	87	36%	-	-$4,179	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
96	CMCSA	5	0	-47.27%	$10,000	$5,273	59	34%	-	-$4,727	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
97	AMC	4	84🔥	-47.98%	$10,000	$5,202	163	37%	-	-$4,798	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
98	ADBE	4	6	-48.10%	$10,000	$5,190	80	33%	-	-$4,810	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
99	MARA	4	28🔥	-56.49%	$10,000	$4,351	227	37%	-	-$5,649	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-
100	ACN	3	5	-62.54%	$10,000	$3,746	77	30%	-	-$6,254	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
101	SQQQ	3	6	-64.54%	$10,000	$3,546	169	34%	-	-$6,454	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
102	SMCI	4	28🔥	-82.67%	$10,000	$1,733	192	33%	-	-$8,267	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

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