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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jun 20, 2024 Jun 20, 2026 (730d)

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Trent Follower $10,000 and let him trade 114 symbols from Jan 1, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$9,822
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,000 ($-178)
-1.78%
2-Year ROI
40.7%
Win Rate
6,140
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.0%
1 Month
+1.8%
3 Months
+1.0%
6 Months
+1.1%
YTD
+1.1%
1 Year

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (2 Years)

Stock Volume
$42,960,509
3,995 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$12,590,610
2,145 trades
Crypto Fees
$31,477
0.25% of volume

⚠️ Important Note: This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled). Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.

Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: Jun 20, 2024 Jun 20, 2026 (730 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 SMCI 53 17🧊 +185.80% $10,000 $28,580 138 42% - +$18,580 -28.0% 10.3h -
2 UVXY 37 3🧊 +152.66% $10,000 $25,266 135 40% - +$15,266 -44.6% 11.1h -
3 RIVN 42 27 +88.74% $10,000 $18,874 112 42% - +$8,874 -19.2% 12.5h -
4 COIN 24 2🧊 +47.89% $10,000 $14,789 120 44% - +$4,789 -42.7% 13.2h -
5 SLV 46 +37.66% $10,000 $13,766 41 54% - +$3,766 -5.8% 17.8h -
6 MU 28 71🔥 +36.42% $10,000 $13,642 100 45% - +$3,642 -25.8% 10.4h -
7 TSLA 28 +33.67% $10,000 $13,367 91 44% - +$3,367 -15.1% 11.0h -
8 NET 26 40 +25.65% $10,000 $12,565 72 46% - +$2,565 -15.3% 8.9h -
9 INTC 26 5 +25.18% $10,000 $12,518 96 46% - +$2,518 -18.6% 11.9h -
10 AMD 25 6 +24.45% $10,000 $12,445 80 48% - +$2,445 -21.9% 7.8h -
11 TQQQ 26 2🧊 +22.67% $10,000 $12,267 79 54% - +$2,267 -29.4% 11.3h -
12 ORCL 24 12 +18.93% $10,000 $11,893 58 52% - +$1,893 -17.0% 12.7h -
13 TMO 27 +18.46% $10,000 $11,846 15 40% - +$1,846 -3.0% 9.8h -
14 AVGO 19 3 +16.36% $10,000 $11,636 61 38% - +$1,636 -15.5% 13.0h -
15 ARM 20 9 +15.94% $10,000 $11,594 105 47% - +$1,594 -32.0% 8.9h -
16 GME 16 +14.01% $10,000 $11,401 65 34% - +$1,401 -17.7% 15.3h -
17 SOXL 17 15 +13.61% $10,000 $11,361 174 42% - +$1,361 -58.1% 10.5h -
18 IBM 21 40 +12.51% $10,000 $11,251 14 43% - +$1,251 -4.4% 5.1h -
19 CRWD 20 36 +12.30% $10,000 $11,230 47 53% - +$1,230 -18.9% 9.1h -
20 AAPL 24 +11.11% $10,000 $11,111 12 75% - +$1,111 -1.7% 15.1h -
21 AMGN +10.33% $10,000 $11,033 9 67% - +$1,033 -1.5% 10.2h -
22 LLY 20 +9.40% $10,000 $10,940 25 56% - +$940 -5.3% 7.0h -
23 HOOD 18 70🔥 +9.23% $10,000 $10,923 114 51% - +$923 -41.4% 9.8h -
24 MDT +7.42% $10,000 $10,742 8 63% - +$742 -0.9% 10.0h -
25 PANW 14 +7.04% $10,000 $10,704 24 42% - +$704 -9.9% 5.4h -
26 VZ +6.04% $10,000 $10,604 5 60% - +$604 -1.9% 21.8h -
27 ISRG 14 +5.65% $10,000 $10,565 17 47% - +$565 -8.3% 18.6h -
28 PFE +5.24% $10,000 $10,524 11 27% - +$524 -6.4% 10.7h -
29 PLTR 12 +4.85% $10,000 $10,485 95 43% - +$485 -30.9% 11.3h -
30 AXP 19 +4.32% $10,000 $10,432 10 60% - +$432 -2.5% 20.5h -
31 SLB 10 +3.76% $10,000 $10,376 24 46% - +$376 -4.2% 10.2h -
32 WMT +3.59% $10,000 $10,359 4 75% - +$359 -2.1% 11.2h -
33 PYPL 13 +3.33% $10,000 $10,333 17 47% - +$333 -5.2% 12.8h -
34 META 11 +2.82% $10,000 $10,282 25 44% - +$282 -14.0% 9.9h -
35 UNH 11 +2.70% $10,000 $10,270 23 52% - +$270 -5.3% 7.7h -
36 PM +2.49% $10,000 $10,249 8 50% - +$249 -2.1% 14.5h -
37 KO +2.27% $10,000 $10,227 4 50% - +$227 -0.7% 1.1d -
38 BRK-B +2.16% $10,000 $10,216 4 75% - +$216 -0.1% 9.1h -
39 VRTX +1.93% $10,000 $10,193 8 50% - +$193 -3.8% 13.0h -
40 CMCSA 6 +1.90% $10,000 $10,190 9 33% - +$190 -3.2% 10.3h -
41 XLK 11 +1.52% $10,000 $10,152 9 44% - +$152 -2.0% 11.3h -
42 GS 7 +1.51% $10,000 $10,151 16 38% - +$151 -4.5% 8.1h -
43 ACN 6 +1.47% $10,000 $10,147 17 41% - +$147 -9.0% 7.2h -
44 GILD +0.79% $10,000 $10,079 11 45% - +$79 -2.6% 6.3h -
45 DIS +0.73% $10,000 $10,073 8 50% - +$73 -4.3% 5.8h -
46 GOOGL 5 +0.65% $10,000 $10,065 21 48% - +$65 -7.7% 14.3h -
47 QQQ +0.56% $10,000 $10,056 5 40% - +$56 -1.4% 8.2h -
48 BMY 5 +0.35% $10,000 $10,035 16 50% - +$35 -4.0% 6.7h -
49 MRK 2 +0.19% $10,000 $10,019 13 31% - +$19 -2.8% 14.9h -
50 GLD +0.02% $10,000 $10,002 5 60% - +$2 -0.0% 4.6h -
51 TLT +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
52 COST -0.19% $10,000 $9,981 5 40% - -$19 -3.5% 7.0h -
53 C 7 -0.63% $10,000 $9,937 18 61% - -$63 -9.6% 5.8h -
54 RIOT 4 9 -0.70% $10,000 $9,930 168 39% - -$70 -45.8% 14.3h -
55 DIA -0.81% $10,000 $9,919 4 50% - -$81 -1.3% 16.4h -
56 WFC 10 -0.87% $10,000 $9,913 19 58% - -$87 -8.1% 14.6h -
57 MCD -1.03% $10,000 $9,897 4 50% - -$103 -1.2% 21.4h -
58 XLF -1.72% $10,000 $9,828 4 50% - -$172 -2.1% 7.9h -
59 JNJ -1.84% $10,000 $9,816 3 67% - -$184 -2.2% 3.9h -
60 V -2.20% $10,000 $9,780 7 29% - -$220 -1.9% 11.3h -
61 VOO -2.32% $10,000 $9,768 4 25% - -$232 -2.0% 8.7h -
62 SPY -2.39% $10,000 $9,761 4 25% - -$239 -2.1% 8.7h -
63 VTI -2.46% $10,000 $9,754 4 25% - -$246 -2.2% 8.8h -
64 CRM 5 -2.93% $10,000 $9,707 30 47% - -$293 -8.0% 9.8h -
65 ABBV 2 -3.22% $10,000 $9,678 12 33% - -$322 -8.1% 12.3h -
66 PEP -3.40% $10,000 $9,660 8 50% - -$340 -4.1% 10.5h -
67 IWM -3.79% $10,000 $9,621 7 43% - -$379 -4.5% 12.8h -
68 ADBE 3 18 -3.86% $10,000 $9,614 20 35% - -$386 -7.8% 6.4h -
69 MRNA 7 43🔥 -3.88% $10,000 $9,612 117 41% - -$388 -44.0% 7.9h -
70 CSCO -3.94% $10,000 $9,606 9 44% - -$394 -5.8% 6.9h -
71 MS 2 -4.12% $10,000 $9,589 17 41% - -$412 -7.7% 4.9h -
72 PG -4.20% $10,000 $9,580 3 0% - -$420 -2.2% 4.0h -
73 OXY 3 -4.45% $10,000 $9,555 25 36% - -$445 -9.5% 14.1h -
74 CVX -4.58% $10,000 $9,542 5 20% - -$458 -2.8% 7.9h -
75 JPM 4 -4.71% $10,000 $9,529 10 50% - -$471 -6.7% 5.2h -
76 SCHW 2 -4.75% $10,000 $9,526 14 36% - -$475 -5.7% 11.0h -
77 LCID 4 5 -4.90% $10,000 $9,510 123 38% - -$490 -41.6% 11.8h -
78 REGN 2 -5.23% $10,000 $9,477 21 29% - -$523 -12.1% 8.4h -
79 MA -5.75% $10,000 $9,425 6 33% - -$575 -5.8% 6.1h -
80 BLK 1 -5.97% $10,000 $9,403 13 38% - -$597 -9.5% 6.6h -
81 NFLX 3 -6.32% $10,000 $9,368 15 40% - -$632 -9.1% 7.4h -
82 COP 2 -6.45% $10,000 $9,355 13 31% - -$645 -3.9% 13.4h -
83 MSFT 0 -7.84% $10,000 $9,216 9 11% - -$784 -4.5% 9.2h -
84 HD 0 -8.14% $10,000 $9,186 11 9% - -$814 -6.3% 5.4h -
85 ETHUSD 4 1 -8.28% $10,000 $9,172 93 41% $5,180 -$828 -15.0% 4.2h -
86 BAC 1 -9.12% $10,000 $9,088 13 23% - -$912 -8.9% 5.5h -
87 XLE -9.41% $10,000 $9,059 8 25% - -$941 -5.4% 6.6h -
88 LTCUSD 4 -9.75% $10,000 $9,025 119 36% $7,764 -$975 -34.2% 3.6h -
89 XOM -11.17% $10,000 $8,883 6 0% - -$1,117 -3.1% 9.0h -
90 VXX 4 0 -12.88% $10,000 $8,712 96 32% - -$1,288 -29.8% 11.9h -
91 ARKK 6 -12.95% $10,000 $8,705 32 56% - -$1,295 -18.6% 6.2h -
92 SQQQ 5 1 -13.76% $10,000 $8,624 91 44% - -$1,376 -19.6% 10.0h -
93 AMZN 2 -14.39% $10,000 $8,561 18 28% - -$1,439 -10.9% 8.7h -
94 NVDA 8 -16.48% $10,000 $8,352 61 46% - -$1,648 -30.0% 9.4h -
95 BIIB 2 -18.45% $10,000 $8,155 25 24% - -$1,845 -19.8% 7.0h -
96 USO 2 -21.18% $10,000 $7,882 33 30% - -$2,118 -9.5% 12.3h -
97 RBLX 3 3 -22.24% $10,000 $7,776 72 43% - -$2,224 -22.6% 8.2h -
98 BTCUSD 2 -23.28% $10,000 $7,672 27 41% $1,851 -$2,328 -23.1% 3.7h -
99 SNOW 2 16 -24.61% $10,000 $7,539 68 32% - -$2,461 -27.1% 9.7h -
100 DOTUSD 5 0 -25.35% $10,000 $7,465 164 32% $8,604 -$2,535 -42.0% 3.6h -
101 SOFI 3 11 -26.55% $10,000 $7,345 97 40% - -$2,655 -28.2% 11.1h -
102 MARA 3 2 -29.99% $10,000 $7,001 164 35% - -$2,999 -59.9% 11.5h -
103 DKNG 3 41🔥 -34.55% $10,000 $6,545 61 34% - -$3,455 -36.1% 8.2h -
104 SPXU 2 0 -35.53% $10,000 $6,447 39 33% - -$3,553 -32.8% 2.3d -
105 NIO 4 6 -41.94% $10,000 $5,806 114 41% - -$4,194 -49.6% 9.2h -
106 AMC 3 9 -47.07% $10,000 $5,293 85 34% - -$4,707 -39.5% 12.4h -
107 XRPUSD 5 15 -47.14% $10,000 $5,286 188 32% $7,494 -$4,714 -50.6% 3.3h -
108 AVAXUSD 4 0 -48.72% $10,000 $5,128 177 39% $7,986 -$4,872 -51.9% 3.6h -
109 SHIBUSD 2 -62.18% $10,000 $3,782 183 26% $13,676 -$6,218 -73.4% 3.2h -
110 LINKUSD 2 0 -65.84% $10,000 $3,416 198 29% $8,078 -$6,584 -63.7% 3.4h -
111 SOLUSD 3 -66.10% $10,000 $3,390 135 34% $5,686 -$6,610 -66.6% 3.7h -
112 UNIUSD 2 7 -70.94% $10,000 $2,906 267 30% $9,316 -$7,094 -78.6% 3.3h -
113 DOGEUSD 2 -82.72% $10,000 $1,728 228 29% $8,394 -$8,272 -84.5% 3.3h -
114 PEPEUSD -88.56% 🔄 $10,099 $1,206 366 32% $9,163 -$8,894 -99.0% 2.9h 1 Apr 16, 2024

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.