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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Trent Follower $10,000 and let him trade 114 symbols from Jan 1, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$9,761
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,000 ($-239)
-2.39%
2-Year ROI
40.3%
Win Rate
6,128
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.1%
1 Month
+0.8%
3 Months
-0.2%
6 Months
+0.3%
YTD
+0.1%
1 Year

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (2 Years)

Stock Volume
$41,683,409
3,892 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$13,445,561
2,236 trades
Crypto Fees
$33,614
0.25% of volume

⚠️ Important Note: This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled). Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.

Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: May 6, 2024 May 6, 2026 (730 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 UVXY 40 3🧊 +177.59% $10,000 $27,759 136 39% - +$17,759 -44.6% 11.1h -
2 SMCI 50 18🧊 +171.72% $10,000 $27,172 136 42% - +$17,172 -28.0% 10.3h -
3 RIVN 39 1🧊 +84.20% $10,000 $18,420 112 41% - +$8,420 -19.2% 12.5h -
4 COIN 23 6 +38.66% $10,000 $13,866 123 42% - +$3,866 -42.7% 13.2h -
5 TSLA 29 0🧊 +37.36% $10,000 $13,736 92 43% - +$3,736 -15.1% 11.0h -
6 SLV 44 3🧊 +34.86% $10,000 $13,486 40 55% - +$3,486 -5.8% 17.8h -
7 INTC 28 60🔥 +32.35% $10,000 $13,235 85 46% - +$3,235 -18.6% 11.9h -
8 ARM 25 17 +31.12% $10,000 $13,112 98 50% - +$3,112 -32.0% 8.9h -
9 AMD 26 28 +26.81% $10,000 $12,681 76 47% - +$2,681 -21.9% 7.8h -
10 AVGO 23 28 +23.20% $10,000 $12,320 57 42% - +$2,320 -15.5% 13.0h -
11 NET 23 10 +20.78% $10,000 $12,078 66 48% - +$2,078 -15.3% 8.9h -
12 TQQQ 25 45 +20.16% $10,000 $12,016 75 56% - +$2,016 -29.4% 11.3h -
13 GME 19 0 +17.82% $10,000 $11,782 81 37% - +$1,782 -17.7% 15.3h -
14 ORCL 23 33 +16.26% $10,000 $11,626 52 52% - +$1,626 -17.0% 12.7h -
15 TMO 21 +14.79% $10,000 $11,479 14 36% - +$1,479 -3.0% 9.8h -
16 RIOT 15 51🔥 +12.38% $10,000 $11,238 169 37% - +$1,238 -45.8% 14.3h -
17 AAPL 30 +11.11% $10,000 $11,111 13 77% - +$1,111 -1.7% 15.1h -
18 AMGN +10.33% $10,000 $11,033 9 67% - +$1,033 -1.5% 10.2h -
19 LLY 20 +9.40% $10,000 $10,940 24 54% - +$940 -5.3% 7.0h -
20 ISRG 16 +6.38% $10,000 $10,638 16 50% - +$638 -8.3% 18.6h -
21 VZ +6.04% $10,000 $10,604 5 60% - +$604 -1.9% 21.8h -
22 PFE +5.24% $10,000 $10,524 11 27% - +$524 -6.4% 10.7h -
23 SLB 12 +3.76% $10,000 $10,376 24 46% - +$376 -4.2% 10.2h -
24 AXP 14 +3.70% $10,000 $10,370 9 56% - +$370 -2.5% 20.5h -
25 WMT +3.59% $10,000 $10,359 5 80% - +$359 -2.1% 11.2h -
26 PYPL 8 +2.82% $10,000 $10,282 18 44% - +$282 -5.2% 12.8h -
27 SOXL 11 90🔥 +2.81% $10,000 $10,281 168 43% - +$281 -58.1% 10.5h -
28 UNH 10 +2.63% $10,000 $10,263 22 50% - +$263 -5.3% 7.7h -
29 MDT +2.60% $10,000 $10,260 7 57% - +$260 -0.9% 10.0h -
30 VRTX +2.54% $10,000 $10,254 7 57% - +$254 -3.8% 13.0h -
31 CRWD 11 35🔥 +2.37% $10,000 $10,237 45 51% - +$237 -18.9% 9.1h -
32 KO +2.27% $10,000 $10,227 4 50% - +$227 -0.7% 1.1d -
33 IBM 6 +2.20% $10,000 $10,220 11 36% - +$220 -4.4% 5.1h -
34 BRK-B +2.16% $10,000 $10,216 4 75% - +$216 -0.1% 9.1h -
35 META 9 +1.95% $10,000 $10,195 24 42% - +$195 -14.0% 9.9h -
36 CMCSA 7 +1.90% $10,000 $10,190 9 33% - +$190 -3.2% 10.3h -
37 PM +1.41% $10,000 $10,141 7 43% - +$141 -2.1% 14.5h -
38 XLK +1.32% $10,000 $10,132 8 38% - +$132 -2.0% 11.3h -
39 GILD 5 +0.79% $10,000 $10,079 11 45% - +$79 -2.6% 6.3h -
40 GS 5 +0.71% $10,000 $10,071 15 33% - +$71 -4.5% 8.1h -
41 GOOGL 7 +0.65% $10,000 $10,065 21 48% - +$65 -7.7% 14.3h -
42 QQQ +0.56% $10,000 $10,056 5 40% - +$56 -1.4% 8.2h -
43 GLD +0.47% $10,000 $10,047 4 75% - +$47 -0.0% 4.6h -
44 BMY 7 +0.35% $10,000 $10,035 16 50% - +$35 -4.0% 6.7h -
45 DIS +0.18% $10,000 $10,018 7 43% - +$18 -4.3% 5.8h -
46 TLT +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
47 COST -0.19% $10,000 $9,981 6 33% - -$19 -3.5% 7.0h -
48 MRK 2 -0.50% $10,000 $9,950 11 27% - -$50 -2.8% 14.9h -
49 C 9 -0.63% $10,000 $9,937 18 61% - -$63 -9.6% 5.8h -
50 DIA -0.81% $10,000 $9,919 4 50% - -$81 -1.3% 16.4h -
51 WFC 9 -0.88% $10,000 $9,912 18 56% - -$88 -8.1% 14.6h -
52 V -0.97% $10,000 $9,903 6 33% - -$97 -1.9% 11.3h -
53 MCD -1.03% $10,000 $9,897 4 50% - -$103 -1.2% 21.4h -
54 MU 6 45🔥 -1.13% $10,000 $9,887 93 41% - -$113 -25.8% 10.4h -
55 XLF -1.72% $10,000 $9,828 4 50% - -$172 -2.1% 7.9h -
56 JNJ -1.84% $10,000 $9,816 3 67% - -$184 -2.2% 3.9h -
57 VOO -2.32% $10,000 $9,768 4 25% - -$232 -2.0% 8.7h -
58 SPY -2.39% $10,000 $9,761 4 25% - -$239 -2.1% 8.7h -
59 VTI -2.46% $10,000 $9,754 4 25% - -$246 -2.2% 8.8h -
60 CRM 7 3 -2.89% $10,000 $9,711 28 54% - -$289 -8.0% 9.8h -
61 ACN 2 -3.18% $10,000 $9,682 14 36% - -$318 -9.0% 7.2h -
62 ABBV 2 -3.22% $10,000 $9,678 12 33% - -$322 -8.1% 12.3h -
63 PEP -3.40% $10,000 $9,660 8 50% - -$340 -4.1% 10.5h -
64 CSCO -3.55% $10,000 $9,645 6 33% - -$355 -5.8% 6.9h -
65 PANW 4 -3.60% $10,000 $9,640 21 33% - -$360 -9.9% 5.4h -
66 IWM -3.79% $10,000 $9,621 7 43% - -$379 -4.5% 12.8h -
67 LCID 4 46🔥 -3.86% $10,000 $9,614 118 38% - -$386 -41.6% 11.8h -
68 PG -3.98% $10,000 $9,602 2 0% - -$398 -2.2% 4.0h -
69 MS 3 -4.12% $10,000 $9,589 17 41% - -$412 -7.7% 4.9h -
70 CVX -4.58% $10,000 $9,542 5 20% - -$458 -2.8% 7.9h -
71 JPM 5 -4.71% $10,000 $9,529 10 50% - -$471 -6.7% 5.2h -
72 SCHW 3 -4.75% $10,000 $9,526 14 36% - -$475 -5.7% 11.0h -
73 REGN 3 -5.23% $10,000 $9,477 21 29% - -$523 -12.1% 8.4h -
74 OXY 3 -5.57% $10,000 $9,443 24 33% - -$557 -9.5% 14.1h -
75 NFLX 4 -5.58% $10,000 $9,442 14 43% - -$558 -9.1% 7.4h -
76 MA -5.75% $10,000 $9,425 6 33% - -$575 -5.8% 6.1h -
77 ETHUSD 4 -5.77% $10,000 $9,423 92 41% $4,995 -$577 -15.0% 4.2h -
78 BLK 1 21 -5.97% $10,000 $9,403 14 36% - -$597 -9.5% 6.6h -
79 ADBE 2 -6.07% $10,000 $9,393 17 41% - -$607 -7.8% 6.4h -
80 MSFT -6.26% $10,000 $9,374 6 17% - -$626 -4.5% 9.2h -
81 COP 2 -6.45% $10,000 $9,355 13 31% - -$645 -3.9% 13.4h -
82 PLTR 4 3 -7.02% $10,000 $9,298 93 41% - -$702 -30.9% 11.3h -
83 HD 0 -7.58% $10,000 $9,242 12 8% - -$758 -6.3% 5.4h -
84 VXX 4 0 -7.93% $10,000 $9,207 96 32% - -$793 -29.8% 11.9h -
85 LTCUSD 4 -8.60% $10,000 $9,140 119 37% $7,719 -$860 -34.2% 3.6h -
86 BAC 2 -9.12% $10,000 $9,088 13 23% - -$912 -8.9% 5.5h -
87 XLE -9.41% $10,000 $9,059 8 25% - -$941 -5.4% 6.6h -
88 XOM -11.17% $10,000 $8,883 6 0% - -$1,117 -3.1% 9.0h -
89 SQQQ 5 0 -12.19% $10,000 $8,781 86 45% - -$1,219 -19.6% 10.0h -
90 MRNA 6 3 -12.83% $10,000 $8,717 115 40% - -$1,283 -44.0% 7.9h -
91 ARKK 6 0 -14.28% $10,000 $8,572 34 53% - -$1,428 -18.6% 6.2h -
92 AMZN 2 0 -14.79% $10,000 $8,521 17 24% - -$1,479 -10.9% 8.7h -
93 HOOD 7 2 -14.96% $10,000 $8,504 114 49% - -$1,496 -41.4% 9.8h -
94 NVDA 8 -16.94% $10,000 $8,306 63 48% - -$1,694 -30.0% 9.4h -
95 USO 2 2 -17.55% $10,000 $8,245 29 31% - -$1,755 -9.5% 12.3h -
96 BIIB 2 -18.45% $10,000 $8,155 26 27% - -$1,845 -19.8% 7.0h -
97 RBLX 4 5 -21.59% $10,000 $7,841 68 43% - -$2,159 -22.6% 8.2h -
98 DOTUSD 5 1 -22.19% $10,000 $7,781 164 34% $8,451 -$2,219 -42.0% 3.6h -
99 BTCUSD 2 -23.28% $10,000 $7,672 27 41% $1,851 -$2,328 -23.1% 3.7h -
100 SOFI 4 3 -24.51% $10,000 $7,549 94 40% - -$2,451 -28.2% 11.1h -
101 SNOW 2 2 -24.55% $10,000 $7,545 59 32% - -$2,455 -27.1% 9.7h -
102 MARA 3 74🔥 -30.39% $10,000 $6,961 167 35% - -$3,039 -59.9% 11.5h -
103 SPXU 2 -33.22% $10,000 $6,678 35 34% - -$3,322 -32.8% 2.3d -
104 AMC 3 32🔥 -34.67% $10,000 $6,533 88 34% - -$3,467 -39.5% 12.4h -
105 DKNG 2 -39.58% $10,000 $6,042 59 32% - -$3,958 -36.1% 8.2h -
106 NIO 3 9 -42.77% $10,000 $5,723 113 41% - -$4,277 -49.6% 9.2h -
107 AVAXUSD 4 -46.42% $10,000 $5,358 180 39% $7,881 -$4,642 -51.9% 3.6h -
108 XRPUSD 4 -46.93% $10,000 $5,307 186 31% $7,365 -$4,693 -50.6% 3.3h -
109 SHIBUSD 2 -61.22% $10,000 $3,878 194 27% $13,657 -$6,122 -73.4% 3.2h -
110 LINKUSD 2 0 -64.55% $10,000 $3,545 203 31% $7,992 -$6,455 -63.7% 3.4h -
111 SOLUSD 3 -66.02% $10,000 $3,398 142 33% $5,652 -$6,602 -66.6% 3.7h -
112 UNIUSD 2 0 -70.50% $10,000 $2,950 273 30% $9,112 -$7,050 -78.6% 3.3h -
113 DOGEUSD 2 1 -82.18% $10,000 $1,782 237 29% $8,385 -$8,218 -84.5% 3.3h -
114 PEPEUSD -88.56% 🔄 $10,099 $1,206 419 31% $9,163 -$8,894 -99.0% 2.9h 1 Apr 16, 2024

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.