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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jun 18, 2025 Jun 18, 2026 (365d)

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Trent Follower's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,516
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,197 (+$319)
+3.13%
Last Year ROI
39.6%
Win Rate
1,892
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.5%
1 Month
+2.0%
3 Months
+2.6%
6 Months
+2.5%
YTD
+3.1%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: Jun 18, 2025 Jun 18, 2026 (365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 HOOD 11 63🔥 +64.45% $6,642 $10,923 50 58% - +$4,281 -41.4% 9.8h -
2 COIN 25 2🧊 +61.70% $9,146 $14,789 52 48% - +$5,643 -42.7% 13.2h -
3 SOXL 17 13 +58.01% $6,974 $11,020 80 48% - +$4,046 -58.1% 10.5h -
4 RIOT 10 12 +53.07% $6,487 $9,930 85 47% - +$3,443 -45.8% 14.3h -
5 SLV 46 +38.83% $9,916 $13,766 35 57% - +$3,850 -5.8% 17.8h -
6 INTC 25 6 +37.43% $9,010 $12,383 61 51% - +$3,372 -18.6% 11.9h -
7 MU 27 71🔥 +29.17% $10,320 $13,331 61 44% - +$3,010 -25.8% 10.4h -
8 SMCI 52 6🧊 +24.06% $22,631 $28,076 54 44% - +$5,445 -28.0% 10.3h -
9 TQQQ 26 2🧊 +22.87% $9,984 $12,267 34 59% - +$2,283 -29.4% 11.3h -
10 LCID 4 6 +20.36% $7,901 $9,510 52 42% - +$1,609 -41.6% 11.8h -
11 ARM 20 9 +18.77% $9,762 $11,594 50 46% - +$1,832 -32.0% 8.9h -
12 TMO 27 +17.36% $10,094 $11,846 8 38% - +$1,752 -3.0% 9.8h -
13 MRNA 6 41🔥 +17.16% $8,086 $9,474 65 46% - +$1,388 -44.0% 7.9h -
14 AMD 25 5 +16.85% $10,650 $12,445 48 54% - +$1,795 -21.9% 7.8h -
15 MARA 3 23 +15.73% $6,049 $7,001 78 41% - +$952 -59.9% 11.5h -
16 CRWD 20 36 +13.73% $9,874 $11,230 23 61% - +$1,356 -18.9% 9.1h -
17 RIVN 41 21 +13.68% $16,603 $18,874 50 40% - +$2,271 -19.2% 12.5h -
18 AMGN +11.04% $9,936 $11,033 5 80% - +$1,097 -1.5% 10.2h -
19 LLY 20 +10.12% $9,934 $10,940 14 64% - +$1,005 -5.3% 7.0h -
20 PANW 14 +9.30% $9,793 $10,704 10 50% - +$911 -9.9% 5.4h -
21 ACN 6 +8.12% $9,385 $10,147 9 56% - +$762 -9.0% 7.2h -
22 IBM 21 40 +8.07% $10,411 $11,251 9 44% - +$840 -4.4% 5.1h -
23 PLTR 12 +7.57% $9,747 $10,485 31 45% - +$738 -30.9% 11.3h -
24 META 11 +7.51% $9,563 $10,282 10 50% - +$718 -14.0% 9.9h -
25 PFE +7.32% $9,807 $10,524 4 50% - +$718 -6.4% 10.7h -
26 MDT +5.52% $10,180 $10,742 3 67% - +$562 -0.9% 10.0h -
27 C 7 +5.15% $9,450 $9,937 8 63% - +$487 -9.6% 5.8h -
28 VRTX +4.81% $9,725 $10,193 4 75% - +$468 -3.8% 13.0h -
29 CMCSA 6 +4.80% $9,723 $10,190 3 67% - +$467 -3.2% 10.3h -
30 VZ +3.90% $10,206 $10,604 3 67% - +$398 -1.9% 21.8h -
31 UNH 11 +3.60% $9,913 $10,270 11 64% - +$357 -5.3% 7.7h -
32 PM +3.58% $9,895 $10,249 3 100% - +$354 -2.1% 14.5h -
33 WFC 11 +3.48% $9,580 $9,913 4 75% - +$333 -8.1% 14.6h -
34 WMT +2.42% $10,114 $10,359 1 100% - +$245 -2.1% 11.2h -
35 SLB 10 +1.80% $10,192 $10,376 15 40% - +$183 -4.2% 10.2h -
36 AAPL 25 +1.37% $10,961 $11,111 6 67% - +$150 -1.7% 15.1h -
37 AXP 19 +1.08% $10,321 $10,432 4 50% - +$111 -2.5% 20.5h -
38 COST +0.99% $9,883 $9,981 1 100% - +$98 -3.5% 7.0h -
39 ORCL 24 12 +0.95% $11,781 $11,893 41 49% - +$112 -17.0% 12.7h -
40 BLK 1 +0.76% $9,332 $9,403 6 67% - +$71 -9.5% 6.6h -
41 JPM 4 +0.73% $9,460 $9,529 3 67% - +$69 -6.7% 5.2h -
42 NFLX 3 +0.68% $9,305 $9,368 4 25% - +$63 -9.1% 7.4h -
43 JNJ +0.15% $9,801 $9,816 1 100% - +$15 -2.2% 3.9h -
44 MRK 2 +0.15% $10,004 $10,019 8 25% - +$15 -2.8% 14.9h -
45 DIS +0.06% $10,066 $10,073 2 50% - +$6 -4.3% 5.8h -
46 ADBE 3 11 +0.02% $9,612 $9,614 9 22% - +$2 -7.8% 6.4h -
47 GLD +0.02% $10,000 $10,002 5 60% - +$2 -0.0% 4.6h -
48 TLT +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
49 XLF +0.00% $9,828 $9,828 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 7.9h -
50 BRK-B +0.00% $10,216 $10,216 NO ENTRY - - - -0.1% 9.1h -
51 GOOGL 6 -0.05% $10,070 $10,065 12 50% - -$5 -7.7% 14.3h -
52 KO -0.14% $10,241 $10,227 2 50% - -$14 -0.7% 1.1d -
53 REGN 2 -0.16% $9,492 $9,477 10 40% - -$15 -12.1% 8.4h -
54 DIA -0.24% $9,943 $9,919 1 0% - -$24 -1.3% 16.4h -
55 BMY 5 -0.26% $10,061 $10,035 8 50% - -$26 -4.0% 6.7h -
56 VTI -0.29% $9,783 $9,754 1 0% - -$28 -2.2% 8.8h -
57 SPY -0.33% $9,794 $9,761 1 0% - -$32 -2.1% 8.7h -
58 VOO -0.35% $9,802 $9,768 1 0% - -$34 -2.0% 8.7h -
59 IWM -0.37% $9,657 $9,621 2 50% - -$36 -4.5% 12.8h -
60 GS 7 -0.46% $10,198 $10,151 8 38% - -$47 -4.5% 8.1h -
61 QQQ -0.59% $10,116 $10,056 1 0% - -$60 -1.4% 8.2h -
62 XLK 11 -0.84% $10,238 $10,152 3 33% - -$86 -2.0% 11.3h -
63 NVDA 8 -1.00% $8,436 $8,352 17 41% - -$84 -30.0% 9.4h -
64 MA -1.07% $9,527 $9,425 2 0% - -$102 -5.8% 6.1h -
65 MCD -1.13% $10,010 $9,897 1 0% - -$113 -1.2% 21.4h -
66 V -1.16% $9,895 $9,780 3 33% - -$115 -1.9% 11.3h -
67 ABBV 2 -1.21% $9,796 $9,678 6 33% - -$119 -8.1% 12.3h -
68 CSCO -1.24% $9,726 $9,606 4 50% - -$121 -5.8% 6.9h -
69 GILD -1.45% $10,228 $10,079 4 25% - -$148 -2.6% 6.3h -
70 PYPL 13 -1.46% $10,486 $10,333 7 43% - -$153 -5.2% 12.8h -
71 PEP -1.84% $9,841 $9,660 5 40% - -$181 -4.1% 10.5h -
72 CVX -1.84% $9,720 $9,542 2 50% - -$179 -2.8% 7.9h -
73 PG -2.05% $9,780 $9,580 2 0% - -$200 -2.2% 4.0h -
74 SCHW 2 -2.33% $9,753 $9,526 2 0% - -$227 -5.7% 11.0h -
75 BAC 1 -2.39% $9,311 $9,088 3 0% - -$223 -8.9% 5.5h -
76 MS 2 -2.41% $9,825 $9,589 7 29% - -$237 -7.7% 4.9h -
77 HD 0 -2.48% $9,419 $9,186 7 0% - -$234 -6.3% 5.4h -
78 ARKK 7 -3.33% $9,005 $8,705 11 55% - -$300 -18.6% 6.2h -
79 ISRG 14 -3.59% $10,958 $10,565 6 33% - -$393 -8.3% 18.6h -
80 MSFT 0 -5.09% $9,711 $9,216 5 0% - -$494 -4.5% 9.2h -
81 CRM 5 6 -5.21% $10,240 $9,707 16 38% - -$534 -8.0% 9.8h -
82 NET 27 40 -5.29% $13,267 $12,565 39 41% - -$702 -15.3% 8.9h -
83 TSLA 28 -5.71% $14,177 $13,367 33 33% - -$809 -15.1% 11.0h -
84 NIO 4 6 -5.87% $6,168 $5,806 57 47% - -$362 -49.6% 9.2h -
85 SNOW 2 7 -5.99% $8,019 $7,539 34 35% - -$480 -27.1% 9.7h -
86 COP 2 -6.07% $9,960 $9,355 6 33% - -$605 -3.9% 13.4h -
87 XLE -6.58% $9,697 $9,059 4 0% - -$638 -5.4% 6.6h -
88 AMZN 2 -7.06% $9,211 $8,561 8 25% - -$650 -10.9% 8.7h -
89 BIIB 2 -7.19% $8,786 $8,155 17 29% - -$632 -19.8% 7.0h -
90 OXY 3 -7.89% $10,374 $9,555 15 27% - -$818 -9.5% 14.1h -
91 RBLX 3 13 -8.94% $8,492 $7,733 40 40% - -$759 -22.6% 8.2h -
92 XOM -10.60% $9,936 $8,883 5 0% - -$1,053 -3.1% 9.0h -
93 AVGO 18 2 -10.95% $13,067 $11,636 29 28% - -$1,431 -15.5% 13.0h -
94 SOFI 3 1 -11.14% $8,266 $7,345 47 36% - -$921 -28.2% 11.1h -
95 USO 2 -14.22% $9,189 $7,882 24 38% - -$1,307 -9.5% 12.3h -
96 DKNG 3 41🔥 -15.94% $7,786 $6,545 30 20% - -$1,241 -36.1% 8.2h -
97 GME 16 -16.90% $13,720 $11,401 17 12% - -$2,319 -17.7% 15.3h -
98 SPXU 2 -17.86% $8,169 $6,710 18 22% - -$1,459 -32.8% 2.3d -
99 SQQQ 5 0 -21.16% $10,939 $8,624 41 37% - -$2,315 -19.6% 10.0h -
100 VXX 4 -25.10% $12,105 $9,067 39 33% - -$3,038 -29.8% 11.9h -
101 UVXY 38 6🧊 -29.23% $37,379 $26,453 57 32% - -$10,926 -44.6% 11.1h -
102 AMC 3 9 -32.83% $8,052 $5,408 49 29% - -$2,643 -39.5% 12.4h -

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.