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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Feb 6, 2026 May 6, 2026 (88d)

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Trent Follower's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,354
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,224 (+$131)
+1.28%
Last 3 Months ROI
31.6%
Win Rate
562
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.9%
1 Month
+1.3%
3 Months
+0.6%
6 Months
+1.4%
YTD
+2.5%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Feb 6, 2026 May 6, 2026 (88 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 3M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 SOXL 5 87🔥 +59.74% $6,436 $10,281 25 64% - +$3,845 -58.1% 10.5h -
2 MARA 3 72🔥 +32.60% $5,250 $6,961 21 48% - +$1,711 -59.9% 11.5h -
3 INTC 24 33 +28.92% $10,266 $13,235 18 61% - +$2,969 -18.6% 11.9h -
4 RIOT 15 46🔥 +27.40% $8,821 $11,238 22 55% - +$2,417 -45.8% 14.3h -
5 MU 6 22 +20.63% $8,196 $9,887 14 64% - +$1,691 -25.8% 10.4h -
6 ARM 26 17 +19.91% $10,935 $13,112 15 60% - +$2,177 -32.0% 8.9h -
7 SMCI 51 18🧊 +15.33% $23,560 $27,172 15 60% - +$3,612 -28.0% 10.3h -
8 TQQQ 24 39 +14.54% $10,490 $12,016 13 62% - +$1,525 -29.4% 11.3h -
9 LCID 4 46🔥 +14.08% $8,427 $9,614 9 56% - +$1,187 -41.6% 11.8h -
10 NIO 3 9 +12.42% $5,091 $5,723 12 67% - +$632 -49.6% 9.2h -
11 ORCL 23 33 +11.00% $10,474 $11,626 10 50% - +$1,152 -17.0% 12.7h -
12 SLV 44 3🧊 +10.98% $12,152 $13,486 15 60% - +$1,334 -5.8% 17.8h -
13 AMD 26 28 +10.67% $11,458 $12,681 11 64% - +$1,223 -21.9% 7.8h -
14 C 9 +6.75% $9,309 $9,937 4 75% - +$628 -9.6% 5.8h -
15 META 9 +6.32% $9,589 $10,195 3 100% - +$606 -14.0% 9.9h -
16 ACN 2 +5.03% $9,219 $9,682 3 67% - +$464 -9.0% 7.2h -
17 NVDA 8 +4.71% $7,933 $8,306 3 67% - +$374 -30.0% 9.4h -
18 CMCSA 7 +4.18% $9,781 $10,190 1 100% - +$409 -3.2% 10.3h -
19 HOOD 7 2 +4.10% $8,169 $8,504 14 57% - +$335 -41.4% 9.8h -
20 LLY 20 +3.46% $10,574 $10,940 4 75% - +$366 -5.3% 7.0h -
21 VRTX +3.35% $9,922 $10,254 1 100% - +$332 -3.8% 13.0h -
22 ABBV 2 +3.25% $9,373 $9,678 1 100% - +$305 -8.1% 12.3h -
23 PANW 4 +2.47% $9,408 $9,640 5 40% - +$232 -9.9% 5.4h -
24 GOOGL 7 +1.96% $9,872 $10,065 3 67% - +$193 -7.7% 14.3h -
25 PM +1.91% $9,951 $10,141 1 100% - +$190 -2.1% 14.5h -
26 NFLX 4 +1.48% $9,304 $9,442 3 33% - +$138 -9.1% 7.4h -
27 BLK 1 21 +1.27% $9,285 $9,403 3 67% - +$118 -9.5% 6.6h -
28 CRWD 11 35🔥 +1.16% $10,120 $10,237 10 60% - +$117 -18.9% 9.1h -
29 BIIB 2 +0.72% $8,096 $8,155 3 33% - +$58 -19.8% 7.0h -
30 V +0.67% $9,837 $9,903 1 100% - +$66 -1.9% 11.3h -
31 ISRG 16 +0.57% $10,578 $10,638 2 50% - +$60 -8.3% 18.6h -
32 JPM 5 +0.47% $9,484 $9,529 2 50% - +$45 -6.7% 5.2h -
33 WFC 9 +0.40% $9,873 $9,912 1 100% - +$39 -8.1% 14.6h -
34 GILD 5 +0.38% $10,041 $10,079 1 100% - +$38 -2.6% 6.3h -
35 KO +0.07% $10,220 $10,227 1 100% - +$7 -0.7% 1.1d -
36 PEP +0.00% $9,660 $9,660 NO ENTRY - - - -4.1% 10.5h -
37 XLF +0.00% $9,828 $9,828 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 7.9h -
38 DIS +0.00% $10,018 $10,018 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 5.8h -
39 BRK-B +0.00% $10,216 $10,216 NO ENTRY - - - -0.1% 9.1h -
40 MA +0.00% $9,425 $9,425 1 0% - - -5.8% 6.1h -
41 MCD +0.00% $9,897 $9,897 NO ENTRY - - - -1.2% 21.4h -
42 PFE +0.00% $10,524 $10,524 NO ENTRY - - - -6.4% 10.7h -
43 WMT +0.00% $10,359 $10,359 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 11.2h -
44 TLT +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
45 CSCO +0.00% $9,645 $9,645 NO ENTRY - - - -5.8% 6.9h -
46 AMGN +0.00% $11,033 $11,033 NO ENTRY - - - -1.5% 10.2h -
47 MDT +0.00% $10,260 $10,260 NO ENTRY - - - -0.9% 10.0h -
48 VZ +0.00% $10,604 $10,604 NO ENTRY - - - -1.9% 21.8h -
49 JNJ +0.00% $9,816 $9,816 NO ENTRY - - - -2.2% 3.9h -
50 COST +0.00% $9,981 $9,981 NO ENTRY - - - -3.5% 7.0h -
51 BMY 7 -0.06% $10,041 $10,035 1 0% - -$6 -4.0% 6.7h -
52 IBM 6 -0.08% $10,228 $10,220 1 0% - -$8 -4.4% 5.1h -
53 SCHW 3 -0.19% $9,544 $9,526 1 0% - -$18 -5.7% 11.0h -
54 DIA -0.24% $9,943 $9,919 1 0% - -$24 -1.3% 16.4h -
55 AAPL 30 -0.27% $11,141 $11,111 1 0% - -$30 -1.7% 15.1h -
56 VTI -0.29% $9,783 $9,754 1 0% - -$28 -2.2% 8.8h -
57 SPY -0.33% $9,794 $9,761 1 0% - -$32 -2.1% 8.7h -
58 VOO -0.35% $9,802 $9,768 1 0% - -$34 -2.0% 8.7h -
59 REGN 3 -0.43% $9,518 $9,477 1 0% - -$41 -12.1% 8.4h -
60 SLB 12 -0.56% $10,434 $10,376 5 20% - -$58 -4.2% 10.2h -
61 QQQ -0.59% $10,116 $10,056 1 0% - -$60 -1.4% 8.2h -
62 GLD -0.62% $10,110 $10,047 1 0% - -$63 -0.0% 4.6h -
63 TMO 21 -0.64% $11,553 $11,479 1 0% - -$74 -3.0% 9.8h -
64 IWM -0.74% $9,693 $9,621 1 0% - -$72 -4.5% 12.8h -
65 XLK -0.94% $10,228 $10,132 1 0% - -$96 -2.0% 11.3h -
66 UVXY 39 3🧊 -0.95% $28,025 $27,759 21 38% - -$266 -44.6% 11.1h -
67 AXP 15 -1.19% $10,495 $10,370 1 0% - -$125 -2.5% 20.5h -
68 PYPL 8 -1.21% $10,408 $10,282 2 50% - -$126 -5.2% 12.8h -
69 GS 5 -1.29% $10,203 $10,071 2 0% - -$132 -4.5% 8.1h -
70 HD 0 -1.40% $9,373 $9,242 4 0% - -$131 -6.3% 5.4h -
71 OXY 3 -1.48% $9,585 $9,443 4 50% - -$142 -9.5% 14.1h -
72 AVGO 23 28 -1.50% $12,508 $12,320 7 43% - -$188 -15.5% 13.0h -
73 PLTR 4 3 -1.64% $9,453 $9,298 11 55% - -$155 -30.9% 11.3h -
74 MRK 2 -1.73% $10,125 $9,950 1 0% - -$175 -2.8% 14.9h -
75 MSFT -1.82% $9,547 $9,374 1 0% - -$174 -4.5% 9.2h -
76 PG -1.82% $9,780 $9,602 1 0% - -$178 -2.2% 4.0h -
77 BAC 2 -1.90% $9,264 $9,088 2 0% - -$176 -8.9% 5.5h -
78 ADBE 2 -2.25% $9,609 $9,393 2 0% - -$216 -7.8% 6.4h -
79 CVX -2.27% $9,763 $9,542 1 0% - -$222 -2.8% 7.9h -
80 UNH 10 -2.33% $10,508 $10,263 3 33% - -$245 -5.3% 7.7h -
81 CRM 6 3 -2.59% $9,969 $9,711 8 38% - -$258 -8.0% 9.8h -
82 RBLX 3 5 -3.01% $8,085 $7,841 15 40% - -$243 -22.6% 8.2h -
83 TSLA 29 0🧊 -4.08% $14,320 $13,736 4 25% - -$584 -15.1% 11.0h -
84 MS 3 -4.12% $10,001 $9,589 4 0% - -$412 -7.7% 4.9h -
85 ARKK 6 0 -4.25% $8,953 $8,572 5 40% - -$380 -18.6% 6.2h -
86 AMC 3 35🔥 -4.37% $6,832 $6,533 15 33% - -$299 -39.5% 12.4h -
87 XLE -4.71% $9,507 $9,059 2 0% - -$448 -5.4% 6.6h -
88 COP 2 -4.93% $9,840 $9,355 2 0% - -$485 -3.9% 13.4h -
89 DKNG 2 -5.50% $6,394 $6,042 6 17% - -$352 -36.1% 8.2h -
90 SNOW 3 2 -5.69% $8,000 $7,545 13 38% - -$455 -27.1% 9.7h -
91 COIN 22 6 -6.07% $14,762 $13,866 18 33% - -$896 -42.7% 13.2h -
92 AMZN 2 0 -6.10% $9,075 $8,521 4 25% - -$554 -10.9% 8.7h -
93 NET 23 10 -6.73% $12,552 $11,707 11 55% - -$845 -15.3% 8.9h -
94 SPXU 2 -7.43% $7,214 $6,678 5 20% - -$536 -32.8% 2.3d -
95 GME 19 -7.63% $12,756 $11,782 4 0% - -$973 -17.7% 15.3h -
96 XOM -8.38% $9,695 $8,883 3 0% - -$812 -3.1% 9.0h -
97 USO 2 2 -8.89% $9,049 $8,245 15 40% - -$804 -9.5% 12.3h -
98 SOFI 4 3 -12.86% $8,663 $7,549 11 27% - -$1,114 -28.2% 11.1h -
99 VXX 4 0 -13.36% $10,627 $9,207 17 29% - -$1,420 -29.8% 11.9h -
100 MRNA 6 3 -16.15% $10,396 $8,717 19 26% - -$1,679 -44.0% 7.9h -
101 RIVN 39 1🧊 -16.67% $22,104 $18,420 14 21% - -$3,685 -19.2% 12.5h -
102 SQQQ 6 0 -18.04% $10,714 $8,781 14 14% - -$1,933 -19.6% 10.0h -

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.