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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jun 25, 2024 Jun 25, 2026 (730d)

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Trent Follower $10,000 and let him trade 102 stock symbols from Jan 1, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$10,357
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,000 (+$357)
+3.57%
2-Year ROI
41.6%
Win Rate
4,004
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.2%
1 Month
+2.3%
3 Months
+2.2%
6 Months
+2.3%
YTD
+2.7%
1 Year

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: Jun 25, 2024 Jun 25, 2026 (730 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 SMCI 52 5🧊 +185.80% $10,000 $28,580 137 42% - +$18,580 -28.0% 10.3h -
2 UVXY 35 2🧊 +140.27% $10,000 $24,027 136 40% - +$14,027 -44.6% 11.1h -
3 RIVN 41 7🧊 +88.74% $10,000 $18,874 112 42% - +$8,874 -19.2% 12.5h -
4 COIN 24 3🧊 +44.43% $10,000 $14,443 121 44% - +$4,443 -42.7% 13.2h -
5 SLV 45 +37.66% $10,000 $13,766 41 54% - +$3,766 -5.8% 17.8h -
6 MU 28 70🔥 +36.42% $10,000 $13,642 100 45% - +$3,642 -25.8% 10.4h -
7 TSLA 28 +32.41% $10,000 $13,241 91 44% - +$3,241 -15.1% 11.0h -
8 NET 27 48🔥 +26.28% $10,000 $12,628 73 47% - +$2,628 -15.3% 8.9h -
9 INTC 25 5 +25.18% $10,000 $12,518 96 46% - +$2,518 -18.6% 11.9h -
10 TQQQ 25 1🧊 +22.67% $10,000 $12,267 79 54% - +$2,267 -29.4% 11.3h -
11 AMD 24 3🧊 +21.62% $10,000 $12,162 80 46% - +$2,162 -21.9% 7.8h -
12 TMO 26 +19.79% $10,000 $11,979 16 44% - +$1,979 -3.0% 9.8h -
13 ORCL 24 12 +18.93% $10,000 $11,893 58 52% - +$1,893 -17.0% 12.7h -
14 AVGO 18 3 +16.36% $10,000 $11,636 61 38% - +$1,636 -15.5% 13.0h -
15 ARM 20 7 +15.94% $10,000 $11,594 104 46% - +$1,594 -32.0% 8.9h -
16 GME 16 +14.01% $10,000 $11,401 64 34% - +$1,401 -17.7% 15.3h -
17 IBM 23 9 +13.75% $10,000 $11,375 14 50% - +$1,375 -4.4% 5.1h -
18 SOXL 17 11 +13.61% $10,000 $11,361 174 42% - +$1,361 -58.1% 10.5h -
19 AAPL 24 +11.11% $10,000 $11,111 12 75% - +$1,111 -1.7% 15.1h -
20 AMGN +10.33% $10,000 $11,033 9 67% - +$1,033 -1.5% 10.2h -
21 CRWD 18 26 +10.10% $10,000 $11,010 48 52% - +$1,010 -18.9% 9.1h -
22 LLY 19 +9.40% $10,000 $10,940 25 56% - +$940 -5.3% 7.0h -
23 MDT +7.42% $10,000 $10,742 8 63% - +$742 -0.9% 10.0h -
24 PANW 13 +7.04% $10,000 $10,704 24 42% - +$704 -9.9% 5.4h -
25 HOOD 16 71🔥 +6.05% $10,000 $10,605 115 50% - +$605 -41.4% 9.8h -
26 VZ +6.04% $10,000 $10,604 5 60% - +$604 -1.9% 21.8h -
27 ISRG 14 +5.65% $10,000 $10,565 17 47% - +$565 -8.3% 18.6h -
28 PFE +5.24% $10,000 $10,524 11 27% - +$524 -6.4% 10.7h -
29 PLTR 12 +4.85% $10,000 $10,485 94 43% - +$485 -30.9% 11.3h -
30 AXP 18 +4.32% $10,000 $10,432 10 60% - +$432 -2.5% 20.5h -
31 SLB 10 +3.76% $10,000 $10,376 24 46% - +$376 -4.2% 10.2h -
32 WMT +3.59% $10,000 $10,359 4 75% - +$359 -2.1% 11.2h -
33 PYPL 12 +3.33% $10,000 $10,333 17 47% - +$333 -5.2% 12.8h -
34 META 11 +2.82% $10,000 $10,282 25 44% - +$282 -14.0% 9.9h -
35 UNH 11 +2.70% $10,000 $10,270 23 52% - +$270 -5.3% 7.7h -
36 ACN 8 +2.53% $10,000 $10,253 17 47% - +$253 -9.0% 7.2h -
37 PM +2.49% $10,000 $10,249 8 50% - +$249 -2.1% 14.5h -
38 KO +2.27% $10,000 $10,227 4 50% - +$227 -0.7% 1.1d -
39 BRK-B +2.16% $10,000 $10,216 4 75% - +$216 -0.1% 9.1h -
40 VRTX +1.93% $10,000 $10,193 8 50% - +$193 -3.8% 13.0h -
41 CMCSA 6 +1.90% $10,000 $10,190 9 33% - +$190 -3.2% 10.3h -
42 XLK 10 +1.52% $10,000 $10,152 9 44% - +$152 -2.0% 11.3h -
43 GS 7 +1.51% $10,000 $10,151 16 38% - +$151 -4.5% 8.1h -
44 GILD +0.79% $10,000 $10,079 10 40% - +$79 -2.6% 6.3h -
45 DIS +0.73% $10,000 $10,073 8 50% - +$73 -4.3% 5.8h -
46 GOOGL 5 +0.65% $10,000 $10,065 21 48% - +$65 -7.7% 14.3h -
47 QQQ +0.56% $10,000 $10,056 5 40% - +$56 -1.4% 8.2h -
48 BMY 5 +0.35% $10,000 $10,035 16 50% - +$35 -4.0% 6.7h -
49 MRK 2 +0.19% $10,000 $10,019 13 31% - +$19 -2.8% 14.9h -
50 GLD +0.02% $10,000 $10,002 5 60% - +$2 -0.0% 4.6h -
51 TLT +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
52 COST -0.19% $10,000 $9,981 5 40% - -$19 -3.5% 7.0h -
53 C 7 -0.63% $10,000 $9,937 18 61% - -$63 -9.6% 5.8h -
54 DIA -0.81% $10,000 $9,919 4 50% - -$81 -1.3% 16.4h -
55 WFC 10 -0.87% $10,000 $9,913 19 58% - -$87 -8.1% 14.6h -
56 MCD -1.03% $10,000 $9,897 4 50% - -$103 -1.2% 21.4h -
57 XLF -1.72% $10,000 $9,828 4 50% - -$172 -2.1% 7.9h -
58 JNJ -1.84% $10,000 $9,816 3 67% - -$184 -2.2% 3.9h -
59 ABBV 3 -2.11% $10,000 $9,789 13 38% - -$211 -8.1% 12.3h -
60 V -2.20% $10,000 $9,780 7 29% - -$220 -1.9% 11.3h -
61 VOO -2.32% $10,000 $9,768 4 25% - -$232 -2.0% 8.7h -
62 SPY -2.39% $10,000 $9,761 4 25% - -$239 -2.1% 8.7h -
63 VTI -2.46% $10,000 $9,754 4 25% - -$246 -2.2% 8.8h -
64 RIOT 4 9 -2.89% $10,000 $9,711 168 39% - -$289 -45.8% 14.3h -
65 CRM 5 -2.93% $10,000 $9,707 29 45% - -$293 -8.0% 9.8h -
66 PEP -3.40% $10,000 $9,660 8 50% - -$340 -4.1% 10.5h -
67 IWM -3.79% $10,000 $9,621 7 43% - -$379 -4.5% 12.8h -
68 CSCO -3.94% $10,000 $9,606 9 44% - -$394 -5.8% 6.9h -
69 MRNA 6 43🔥 -4.09% $10,000 $9,591 118 41% - -$409 -44.0% 7.9h -
70 MS 2 -4.12% $10,000 $9,589 17 41% - -$412 -7.7% 4.9h -
71 PG -4.20% $10,000 $9,580 3 0% - -$420 -2.2% 4.0h -
72 ADBE 3 17 -4.45% $10,000 $9,555 21 33% - -$445 -7.8% 6.4h -
73 OXY 3 -4.45% $10,000 $9,555 25 36% - -$445 -9.5% 14.1h -
74 CVX -4.58% $10,000 $9,542 5 20% - -$458 -2.8% 7.9h -
75 JPM 3 -4.71% $10,000 $9,529 10 50% - -$471 -6.7% 5.2h -
76 SCHW 2 -4.75% $10,000 $9,526 14 36% - -$475 -5.7% 11.0h -
77 REGN 2 -5.23% $10,000 $9,477 21 29% - -$523 -12.1% 8.4h -
78 MA -5.75% $10,000 $9,425 6 33% - -$575 -5.8% 6.1h -
79 BLK 1 -5.97% $10,000 $9,403 13 38% - -$597 -9.5% 6.6h -
80 NFLX 3 -6.32% $10,000 $9,368 15 40% - -$632 -9.1% 7.4h -
81 COP 2 -6.45% $10,000 $9,355 13 31% - -$645 -3.9% 13.4h -
82 LCID 4 5 -7.04% $10,000 $9,296 124 38% - -$704 -41.6% 11.8h -
83 MSFT 0 -7.84% $10,000 $9,216 9 11% - -$784 -4.5% 9.2h -
84 HD 0 -8.50% $10,000 $9,150 12 8% - -$850 -6.3% 5.4h -
85 BAC 1 -9.12% $10,000 $9,088 13 23% - -$912 -8.9% 5.5h -
86 XLE -9.41% $10,000 $9,059 8 25% - -$941 -5.4% 6.6h -
87 XOM -11.17% $10,000 $8,883 6 0% - -$1,117 -3.1% 9.0h -
88 ARKK 6 -12.95% $10,000 $8,705 32 56% - -$1,295 -18.6% 6.2h -
89 AMZN 2 -14.39% $10,000 $8,561 18 28% - -$1,439 -10.9% 8.7h -
90 SQQQ 5 2 -15.06% $10,000 $8,494 92 43% - -$1,506 -19.6% 10.0h -
91 VXX 4 1 -15.10% $10,000 $8,490 97 32% - -$1,510 -29.8% 11.9h -
92 NVDA 8 -16.48% $10,000 $8,352 60 47% - -$1,648 -30.0% 9.4h -
93 BIIB 2 -18.45% $10,000 $8,155 25 24% - -$1,845 -19.8% 7.0h -
94 USO 2 -21.18% $10,000 $7,882 33 30% - -$2,118 -9.5% 12.3h -
95 RBLX 3 2 -22.88% $10,000 $7,712 73 42% - -$2,288 -22.6% 8.2h -
96 MARA 3 21 -26.59% $10,000 $7,341 164 36% - -$2,659 -59.9% 11.5h -
97 SNOW 2 3 -26.66% $10,000 $7,334 69 32% - -$2,666 -27.1% 9.7h -
98 SOFI 3 11 -27.22% $10,000 $7,278 98 40% - -$2,722 -28.2% 11.1h -
99 DKNG 2 41🔥 -34.55% $10,000 $6,545 60 33% - -$3,455 -36.1% 8.2h -
100 SPXU 2 1 -36.55% $10,000 $6,345 40 33% - -$3,655 -32.8% 2.3d -
101 NIO 4 -41.94% $10,000 $5,806 113 42% - -$4,194 -49.6% 9.2h -
102 AMC 3 9 -49.17% $10,000 $5,083 86 34% - -$4,917 -39.5% 12.4h -

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.