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Trent Follower
10

Trent Follower

The Disciple

🎯 Swing Trader 📅 43 years old (Born 1983)

"I don't have opinions about where the market should go. I only observe where it's going."

Simple clothing, no logos. Reads "Market Wizards" once a year like scripture. Has a signed photo of Ed Seykota on his wall.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jan 1, 2026 May 6, 2026 (124d)

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Trent Follower's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$10,362
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,216 (+$146)
+1.43%
Year to Date ROI
35.1%
Win Rate
778
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.9%
1 Month
+1.3%
3 Months
+0.6%
6 Months
+1.4%
YTD
+2.5%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

50-day MA trend following, 3% strength threshold

Identifies established trends using the 50-day moving average. Enters when price is 3% above the MA (confirming strength) and exits when it crosses below.

🎯 Best Suited For

Commodities, currencies, trending markets

"Don't fight the tape. Don't predict the tape. Just follow the tape."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets trend because information is absorbed gradually. Trent doesn't catch bottoms or tops—he catches middles, which is where the money is.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

Close ≥ SMA50 × 1.03 (3% above 50-day MA)
→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

• TREND_BREAK: Close < SMA50 (fell below 50-day MA)
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.15 (+15% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 60 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

MA_PERIOD: 50
ENTRY_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 15%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: -7%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 60

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: The legendary Turtle Traders experiment

In 1983, Richard Dennis bet he could teach anyone to trade. His "Turtles" earned over $175 million in five years using simple trend-following rules.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 May 6, 2026 (124 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return YTD Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 SOXL 5 87🔥 +57.47% $6,529 $10,281 35 57% - +$3,752 -58.1% 10.5h -
2 INTC 24 33 +38.51% $9,555 $13,235 27 59% - +$3,680 -18.6% 11.9h -
3 SLV 44 3🧊 +32.29% $10,194 $13,486 23 57% - +$3,292 -5.8% 17.8h -
4 RIOT 15 46🔥 +27.86% $8,789 $11,238 32 53% - +$2,449 -45.8% 14.3h -
5 LCID 4 46🔥 +23.41% $7,790 $9,614 14 43% - +$1,824 -41.6% 11.8h -
6 MARA 3 72🔥 +21.38% $5,735 $6,961 29 41% - +$1,226 -59.9% 11.5h -
7 ARM 26 17 +20.18% $10,910 $13,112 19 58% - +$2,202 -32.0% 8.9h -
8 MU 6 22 +19.50% $8,273 $9,887 24 54% - +$1,613 -25.8% 10.4h -
9 NIO 3 9 +12.16% $5,102 $5,723 16 69% - +$620 -49.6% 9.2h -
10 TQQQ 24 39 +11.74% $10,753 $12,016 15 60% - +$1,262 -29.4% 11.3h -
11 SMCI 51 18🧊 +11.53% $24,363 $27,172 21 57% - +$2,809 -28.0% 10.3h -
12 META 9 +9.90% $9,277 $10,195 5 80% - +$918 -14.0% 9.9h -
13 AMD 26 28 +9.77% $11,552 $12,681 17 59% - +$1,129 -21.9% 7.8h -
14 C 9 +8.03% $9,198 $9,937 6 83% - +$739 -9.6% 5.8h -
15 ORCL 23 33 +7.95% $10,770 $11,626 14 50% - +$856 -17.0% 12.7h -
16 HOOD 7 2 +6.08% $8,016 $8,504 15 60% - +$487 -41.4% 9.8h -
17 MRNA 6 3 +5.67% $8,249 $8,717 27 33% - +$468 -44.0% 7.9h -
18 NVDA 8 +4.49% $7,949 $8,306 4 50% - +$357 -30.0% 9.4h -
19 UVXY 39 3🧊 +4.35% $26,602 $27,759 26 42% - +$1,157 -44.6% 11.1h -
20 VZ +4.28% $10,168 $10,604 1 100% - +$435 -1.9% 21.8h -
21 VRTX +4.13% $9,847 $10,254 2 100% - +$407 -3.8% 13.0h -
22 BLK 1 21 +3.93% $9,047 $9,403 5 80% - +$356 -9.5% 6.6h -
23 ACN 2 +3.70% $9,337 $9,682 5 60% - +$345 -9.0% 7.2h -
24 LLY 20 +3.67% $10,553 $10,940 6 67% - +$387 -5.3% 7.0h -
25 AMGN +3.52% $10,658 $11,033 2 50% - +$375 -1.5% 10.2h -
26 CMCSA 7 +3.27% $9,868 $10,190 2 50% - +$323 -3.2% 10.3h -
27 SLB 12 +2.05% $10,167 $10,376 9 33% - +$208 -4.2% 10.2h -
28 GOOGL 7 +1.96% $9,872 $10,065 3 67% - +$193 -7.7% 14.3h -
29 PM +1.91% $9,951 $10,141 1 100% - +$190 -2.1% 14.5h -
30 NFLX 4 +1.48% $9,304 $9,442 3 33% - +$138 -9.1% 7.4h -
31 PANW 4 +1.30% $9,516 $9,640 6 33% - +$124 -9.9% 5.4h -
32 GS 5 +1.26% $9,946 $10,071 4 50% - +$125 -4.5% 8.1h -
33 CRWD 11 35🔥 +1.15% $10,121 $10,237 12 58% - +$116 -18.9% 9.1h -
34 COST +0.99% $9,883 $9,981 1 100% - +$98 -3.5% 7.0h -
35 ISRG 16 +0.89% $10,544 $10,638 3 67% - +$94 -8.3% 18.6h -
36 REGN 3 +0.76% $9,406 $9,477 2 50% - +$71 -12.1% 8.4h -
37 BIIB 2 +0.75% $8,094 $8,155 4 50% - +$61 -19.8% 7.0h -
38 JPM 5 +0.73% $9,460 $9,529 3 67% - +$69 -6.7% 5.2h -
39 V +0.67% $9,837 $9,903 1 100% - +$66 -1.9% 11.3h -
40 GLD +0.47% $10,000 $10,047 4 75% - +$47 -0.0% 4.6h -
41 ABBV 2 +0.42% $9,637 $9,678 3 33% - +$40 -8.1% 12.3h -
42 WFC 9 +0.40% $9,873 $9,912 1 100% - +$39 -8.1% 14.6h -
43 GILD 5 +0.38% $10,041 $10,079 1 100% - +$38 -2.6% 6.3h -
44 KO +0.07% $10,220 $10,227 1 100% - +$7 -0.7% 1.1d -
45 BRK-B +0.00% $10,216 $10,216 NO ENTRY - - - -0.1% 9.1h -
46 XLF +0.00% $9,828 $9,828 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 7.9h -
47 MA +0.00% $9,425 $9,425 1 0% - - -5.8% 6.1h -
48 MCD +0.00% $9,897 $9,897 NO ENTRY - - - -1.2% 21.4h -
49 WMT +0.00% $10,359 $10,359 NO ENTRY - - - -2.1% 11.2h -
50 TLT +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h -
51 CSCO +0.00% $9,645 $9,645 NO ENTRY - - - -5.8% 6.9h -
52 MDT +0.00% $10,260 $10,260 NO ENTRY - - - -0.9% 10.0h -
53 JNJ +0.00% $9,816 $9,816 NO ENTRY - - - -2.2% 3.9h -
54 SCHW 3 -0.19% $9,544 $9,526 1 0% - -$18 -5.7% 11.0h -
55 DIA -0.24% $9,943 $9,919 1 0% - -$24 -1.3% 16.4h -
56 AAPL 30 -0.27% $11,141 $11,111 1 0% - -$30 -1.7% 15.1h -
57 VTI -0.29% $9,783 $9,754 1 0% - -$28 -2.2% 8.8h -
58 SPY -0.33% $9,794 $9,761 1 0% - -$32 -2.1% 8.7h -
59 PEP -0.35% $9,694 $9,660 1 0% - -$34 -4.1% 10.5h -
60 VOO -0.35% $9,802 $9,768 1 0% - -$34 -2.0% 8.7h -
61 DIS -0.49% $10,067 $10,018 1 0% - -$49 -4.3% 5.8h -
62 QQQ -0.59% $10,116 $10,056 1 0% - -$60 -1.4% 8.2h -
63 IWM -0.74% $9,693 $9,621 1 0% - -$72 -4.5% 12.8h -
64 XLK -0.94% $10,228 $10,132 1 0% - -$96 -2.0% 11.3h -
65 AXP 15 -1.19% $10,495 $10,370 1 0% - -$125 -2.5% 20.5h -
66 PYPL 8 -1.21% $10,408 $10,282 2 50% - -$126 -5.2% 12.8h -
67 HD 0 -1.40% $9,373 $9,242 4 0% - -$131 -6.3% 5.4h -
68 PFE -1.61% $10,697 $10,524 1 0% - -$172 -6.4% 10.7h -
69 MS 3 -1.67% $9,751 $9,589 6 33% - -$163 -7.7% 4.9h -
70 MSFT -1.82% $9,547 $9,374 1 0% - -$174 -4.5% 9.2h -
71 PG -1.82% $9,780 $9,602 1 0% - -$178 -2.2% 4.0h -
72 CVX -1.84% $9,720 $9,542 2 50% - -$179 -2.8% 7.9h -
73 BAC 2 -1.90% $9,264 $9,088 2 0% - -$176 -8.9% 5.5h -
74 TMO 21 -2.01% $11,714 $11,479 2 0% - -$235 -3.0% 9.8h -
75 UNH 10 -2.13% $10,486 $10,263 4 50% - -$223 -5.3% 7.7h -
76 ADBE 2 -2.25% $9,609 $9,393 2 0% - -$216 -7.8% 6.4h -
77 CRM 6 3 -2.59% $9,969 $9,711 8 38% - -$258 -8.0% 9.8h -
78 IBM 6 -2.81% $10,515 $10,220 2 0% - -$295 -4.4% 5.1h -
79 BMY 7 -3.20% $10,366 $10,035 3 0% - -$332 -4.0% 6.7h -
80 MRK 2 -3.52% $10,313 $9,950 2 0% - -$363 -2.8% 14.9h -
81 AVGO 23 28 -3.55% $12,773 $12,320 10 40% - -$453 -15.5% 13.0h -
82 ARKK 6 0 -3.57% $8,889 $8,572 6 50% - -$317 -18.6% 6.2h -
83 RBLX 3 5 -3.87% $8,157 $7,841 19 37% - -$316 -22.6% 8.2h -
84 PLTR 4 3 -4.20% $9,706 $9,298 13 46% - -$408 -30.9% 11.3h -
85 TSLA 29 0🧊 -5.01% $14,461 $13,736 6 17% - -$724 -15.1% 11.0h -
86 AMZN 2 0 -6.10% $9,075 $8,521 4 25% - -$554 -10.9% 8.7h -
87 OXY 3 -6.33% $10,081 $9,443 9 22% - -$638 -9.5% 14.1h -
88 XLE -6.58% $9,697 $9,059 4 0% - -$638 -5.4% 6.6h -
89 COP 2 -6.93% $10,052 $9,355 4 0% - -$697 -3.9% 13.4h -
90 SNOW 3 2 -7.24% $8,134 $7,545 15 40% - -$589 -27.1% 9.7h -
91 SOFI 4 3 -7.53% $8,164 $7,549 14 29% - -$615 -28.2% 11.1h -
92 COIN 22 6 -7.77% $15,034 $13,866 20 35% - -$1,168 -42.7% 13.2h -
93 DKNG 2 -8.62% $6,612 $6,042 9 11% - -$570 -36.1% 8.2h -
94 AMC 3 35🔥 -8.80% $7,164 $6,533 22 32% - -$630 -39.5% 12.4h -
95 XOM -9.79% $9,847 $8,883 4 0% - -$964 -3.1% 9.0h -
96 SPXU 2 -9.80% $7,404 $6,678 8 25% - -$726 -32.8% 2.3d -
97 USO 2 2 -11.08% $9,272 $8,245 18 33% - -$1,027 -9.5% 12.3h -
98 NET 23 10 -11.77% $13,269 $11,707 16 44% - -$1,562 -15.3% 8.9h -
99 GME 19 -12.94% $13,534 $11,782 9 0% - -$1,751 -17.7% 15.3h -
100 VXX 4 0 -14.41% $10,757 $9,207 22 36% - -$1,550 -29.8% 11.9h -
101 SQQQ 6 0 -16.33% $10,495 $8,781 20 30% - -$1,714 -19.6% 10.0h -
102 RIVN 39 1🧊 -20.66% $23,216 $18,420 17 18% - -$4,796 -19.2% 12.5h -

👤 Personality

Humble, disciplined, almost monk-like. Doesn't predict, only reacts. Believes fighting trends is ego, and ego is expensive.