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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

May 30, 2025 May 30, 2026 (365d)

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$12,003
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,855 (+$1,148)
+10.58%
Last Year ROI
42.8%
Win Rate
2,343
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.8%
1 Month
+3.6%
3 Months
+4.3%
6 Months
+5.1%
YTD
+10.6%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: May 30, 2025 May 30, 2026 (365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1Y Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 58 48 +219.37% $9,679 $30,912 53 58% - +$21,233 -28.4% 2.9d -
2 AMD 46 72🔥 +179.47% $9,564 $26,728 50 52% - +$17,164 -37.8% 2.6d -
3 MU 38 70🔥 +146.17% $8,340 $20,532 51 57% - +$12,191 -35.3% 2.8d -
4 SLV 47 +86.20% $10,260 $19,105 31 61% - +$8,845 -14.0% 5.9d -
5 SOXL 59 49 +84.21% $20,796 $38,309 83 51% - +$17,512 -35.0% 1.2d -
6 TQQQ 27 0🧊 +76.77% $8,913 $15,756 45 53% - +$6,843 -40.6% 1.9d -
7 NIO 33 5🧊 +69.18% $10,133 $17,143 61 51% - +$7,010 -28.6% 2.0d -
8 TSLA 27 28 +63.54% $8,715 $14,253 36 56% - +$5,538 -32.0% 2.3d -
9 ARM 4 30🔥 +56.82% $5,019 $7,871 53 47% - +$2,852 -64.8% 2.0d -
10 GOOGL 32 +50.35% $11,433 $17,189 12 75% - +$5,756 -12.7% 4.7d -
11 MS 20 +43.82% $9,033 $12,991 14 64% - +$3,958 -21.4% 5.4d -
12 BIIB 20 +41.01% $8,486 $11,966 18 67% - +$3,480 -22.4% 3.7d -
13 AVGO 54 53 +36.62% $18,805 $25,692 36 50% - +$6,887 -23.6% 3.3d -
14 C 22 +36.29% $9,691 $13,208 15 67% - +$3,517 -17.4% 5.5d -
15 NET 25 39 +36.18% $9,996 $13,613 46 48% - +$3,617 -32.2% 2.6d -
16 IBM 45 57 +34.87% $10,784 $14,544 16 56% - +$3,760 -6.0% 4.0d -
17 SLB 7 +26.00% $7,959 $10,029 15 67% - +$2,069 -22.1% 6.3d -
18 GS 22 +24.09% $10,001 $12,411 11 64% - +$2,409 -18.8% 5.7d -
19 AMZN 35 +22.68% $12,645 $15,513 12 67% - +$2,868 -17.3% 5.3d -
20 VXX 15 +22.52% $9,367 $11,476 51 43% - +$2,109 -45.0% 2.1d -
21 NVDA 4 1 +22.51% $7,396 $9,061 23 48% - +$1,665 -47.0% 3.2d -
22 LLY 30 +20.62% $13,149 $15,860 14 50% - +$2,711 -15.9% 4.1d -
23 OXY 30 +20.43% $11,049 $13,306 19 58% - +$2,257 -10.3% 6.0d -
24 ABBV 13 +19.48% $9,627 $11,502 7 71% - +$1,875 -16.8% 5.6d -
25 CRM 4 35🔥 +18.10% $7,981 $9,425 23 48% - +$1,445 -27.5% 4.8d -
26 BLK 32 +13.90% $12,890 $14,682 8 50% - +$1,792 -9.1% 4.7d -
27 MRK 12 +13.86% $9,477 $10,791 7 57% - +$1,314 -17.9% 6.1d -
28 CSCO 42 +13.59% $11,351 $12,894 6 83% - +$1,543 -3.1% 10.6d -
29 MRNA 5 15 +12.60% $6,011 $6,769 64 41% - +$757 -66.5% 1.9d -
30 COP 10 +12.50% $9,098 $10,235 18 56% - +$1,137 -17.9% 6.2d -
31 AAPL 18 +11.87% $10,783 $12,063 2 100% - +$1,280 -10.0% 5.6d -
32 GILD 11 +10.45% $9,747 $10,766 9 44% - +$1,019 -12.5% 9.3d -
33 JPM 5 +10.19% $9,004 $9,921 9 67% - +$917 -23.6% 6.3d -
34 ORCL 6 0 +8.51% $9,288 $10,078 43 42% - +$790 -29.3% 3.3d -
35 PFE 27 +8.43% $11,363 $12,321 6 67% - +$958 -6.1% 5.6d -
36 GLD 18 +7.84% $10,221 $11,023 12 58% - +$801 -6.1% 8.8d -
37 REGN 19 +6.91% $11,199 $11,973 13 46% - +$774 -23.1% 4.9d -
38 BRK-B +6.84% $11,067 $11,824 2 100% - +$757 -3.1% 5.9d -
39 ARKK 38 +6.48% $16,757 $17,843 23 43% - +$1,086 -21.5% 3.1d -
40 AMGN 11 +6.30% $9,986 $10,615 5 60% - +$629 -12.0% 6.4d -
41 MDT 4 +5.51% $9,561 $10,088 5 60% - +$527 -8.9% 6.9d -
42 CMCSA 3 +5.15% $8,573 $9,014 9 56% - +$441 -19.5% 5.8d -
43 QQQ +4.36% $10,655 $11,120 1 100% - +$465 -4.7% 7.7d -
44 GME 3 0 +4.33% $7,312 $7,629 18 44% - +$317 -41.9% 2.0d -
45 SCHW 22 +3.93% $12,156 $12,634 8 50% - +$478 -13.5% 5.8d -
46 USO 17 3 +3.00% $10,612 $10,931 24 42% - +$318 -13.1% 6.0d -
47 IWM 9 +1.46% $10,390 $10,542 2 50% - +$152 -11.7% 5.3d -
48 KO +0.83% $9,987 $10,069 1 100% - +$83 -4.9% 10.1d -
49 WMT 29 +0.66% $12,512 $12,595 5 40% - +$83 -6.9% 6.9d -
50 XLF +0.38% $10,794 $10,835 2 50% - +$41 -7.7% 4.7d -
51 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
52 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
53 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
54 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
55 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
56 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
57 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
58 CRWD 9 52🔥 -0.04% $10,144 $10,140 33 39% - -$4 -28.2% 3.4d -
59 VRTX 6 -0.28% $9,975 $9,947 5 40% - -$28 -20.8% 4.5d -
60 V -1.00% $10,089 $9,988 4 50% - -$101 -9.6% 3.2d -
61 BMY 2 -1.35% $8,342 $8,230 7 43% - -$113 -20.0% 5.8d -
62 DIS 2 -1.44% $9,379 $9,244 4 50% - -$135 -18.6% 5.7d -
63 AXP 10 -1.45% $10,566 $10,413 10 40% - -$153 -18.1% 7.3d -
64 UNH 4 -1.63% $9,671 $9,513 14 43% - -$158 -24.8% 5.5d -
65 SNOW 2 57🔥 -2.41% $7,868 $7,679 37 38% - -$190 -40.8% 3.4d -
66 CVX 5 -2.70% $8,753 $8,517 6 50% - -$236 -14.4% 8.9d -
67 PEP -2.98% $9,477 $9,195 1 0% - -$282 -13.1% 5.9d -
68 XLK 2 -3.01% $9,394 $9,111 3 33% - -$283 -12.2% 4.7d -
69 XLE 12 -5.24% $11,039 $10,460 4 25% - -$578 -4.4% 7.7d -
70 VZ 10 -5.58% $10,917 $10,308 3 33% - -$609 -6.7% 7.6d -
71 BAC 16 -5.58% $12,600 $11,897 7 29% - -$703 -15.8% 6.6d -
72 RIOT 5 3 -5.95% $4,981 $4,685 95 41% - -$296 -63.2% 23.1h -
73 PG -6.19% $11,596 $10,878 2 0% - -$718 -3.7% 8.9d -
74 HD 3 -6.52% $10,004 $9,352 8 25% - -$652 -13.9% 6.6d -
75 PLTR 70 17🧊 -6.85% $50,182 $46,745 44 39% - -$3,437 -34.2% 2.1d -
76 COIN 16 16 -6.98% $11,966 $11,131 76 37% - -$835 -46.7% 1.3d -
77 PM 3 -7.80% $10,620 $9,792 10 30% - -$828 -3.7% 4.9d -
78 MSFT 16 -7.84% $12,063 $11,118 6 33% - -$946 -14.5% 6.5d -
79 COST 4 -9.13% $10,159 $9,231 5 20% - -$928 -9.0% 8.2d -
80 XOM 2 -9.46% $9,388 $8,500 5 20% - -$888 -7.4% 8.0d -
81 TMO 2 -9.84% $9,231 $8,323 7 14% - -$908 -21.7% 5.2d -
82 WFC 11 -9.86% $11,824 $10,658 10 30% - -$1,166 -13.1% 5.5d -
83 MA 19 -10.20% $12,445 $11,176 5 20% - -$1,269 -6.6% 6.7d -
84 META 4 -10.38% $8,934 $8,006 12 33% - -$927 -28.8% 4.2d -
85 MARA 9 59🔥 -11.10% $11,513 $10,235 99 37% - -$1,278 -46.1% 1.0d -
86 SMCI 5 70🔥 -12.51% $6,303 $5,514 68 40% - -$788 -80.5% 1.4d -
87 NFLX 19 -13.16% $14,471 $12,567 13 23% - -$1,904 -15.4% 6.9d -
88 ISRG 3 -13.60% $9,832 $8,495 10 20% - -$1,337 -20.7% 5.1d -
89 RBLX 28 9 -15.10% $17,222 $14,621 48 35% - -$2,601 -32.4% 3.5d -
90 ACN 4 26🔥 -15.74% $10,414 $8,775 21 38% - -$1,639 -14.7% 7.7d -
91 DKNG 20 22 -15.90% $15,143 $12,736 39 33% - -$2,408 -45.9% 2.7d -
92 PANW 4 -19.10% $10,956 $8,863 18 33% - -$2,093 -27.2% 4.1d -
93 PYPL 3 -19.12% $7,906 $6,395 19 37% - -$1,512 -32.8% 5.5d -
94 LCID 4 10 -21.06% $5,351 $4,224 71 34% - -$1,127 -57.4% 1.7d -
95 SPXU 3 -24.82% $9,734 $7,318 24 29% - -$2,416 -27.6% 4.2d -
96 HOOD 28 16 -25.39% $23,217 $17,322 66 36% - -$5,895 -37.6% 1.7d -
97 UVXY 5 2 -29.41% $10,571 $7,462 85 36% - -$3,109 -61.4% 1.4d -
98 ADBE 3 13 -30.98% $8,784 $6,063 22 23% - -$2,721 -34.6% 4.7d -
99 SOFI 4 3 -31.23% $10,873 $7,477 59 36% - -$3,396 -30.6% 2.3d -
100 RIVN 3 1 -31.33% $5,518 $3,789 55 33% - -$1,729 -55.2% 1.8d -
101 SQQQ 4 5 -35.75% $13,429 $8,628 47 28% - -$4,801 -33.6% 2.3d -
102 AMC 3 6 -51.18% $8,610 $4,203 59 25% - -$4,407 -52.2% 1.7d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.