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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Feb 6, 2026 May 6, 2026 (88d)

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,654
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,334 (+$320)
+2.82%
Last 3 Months ROI
37.4%
Win Rate
729
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.2%
1 Month
+2.8%
3 Months
+2.3%
6 Months
+3.4%
YTD
+10.0%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Feb 6, 2026 May 6, 2026 (88 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 3M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 54 65 +69.03% $16,460 $27,822 16 63% - +$11,362 -28.4% 2.9d -
2 MU 33 70🔥 +67.76% $10,538 $17,679 20 65% - +$7,141 -35.3% 2.8d -
3 ARM 4 23 +52.34% $4,675 $7,121 19 58% - +$2,447 -64.8% 2.0d -
4 SLV 57 57 +43.62% $14,703 $21,116 13 62% - +$6,413 -14.0% 5.9d -
5 COIN 14 38🔥 +32.58% $8,165 $10,825 22 50% - +$2,660 -46.7% 1.3d -
6 NET 22 69🔥 +29.10% $9,797 $12,647 15 60% - +$2,851 -32.2% 2.6d -
7 TQQQ 31 54🔥 +27.15% $13,225 $16,815 12 58% - +$3,591 -40.6% 1.9d -
8 AVGO 46 +23.05% $17,885 $22,007 10 60% - +$4,122 -23.6% 3.3d -
9 MS 22 +21.58% $10,685 $12,991 8 63% - +$2,306 -21.4% 5.4d -
10 NIO 32 16 +17.07% $14,126 $16,537 10 60% - +$2,411 -28.6% 2.0d -
11 AMZN 32 +16.48% $12,667 $14,754 4 100% - +$2,087 -17.3% 5.3d -
12 SMCI 4 5 +15.57% $3,643 $4,210 18 50% - +$567 -80.5% 1.4d -
13 MRNA 6 34🔥 +15.12% $6,378 $7,342 19 47% - +$964 -66.5% 1.9d -
14 USO 24 6 +13.81% $10,864 $12,364 12 50% - +$1,500 -13.1% 6.0d -
15 UNH 4 +12.44% $8,461 $9,513 3 100% - +$1,053 -24.8% 5.5d -
16 VXX 15 0 +12.20% $10,547 $11,833 19 47% - +$1,287 -45.0% 2.1d -
17 GS 18 +11.93% $10,557 $11,816 5 60% - +$1,259 -18.8% 5.7d -
18 C 24 +11.83% $11,811 $13,208 7 57% - +$1,397 -17.4% 5.5d -
19 DKNG 17 +10.85% $10,771 $11,939 10 50% - +$1,169 -45.9% 2.7d -
20 SLB 13 +10.50% $9,651 $10,665 6 67% - +$1,013 -22.1% 6.3d -
21 ORCL 13 26 +9.72% $9,780 $10,730 13 46% - +$951 -29.3% 3.3d -
22 BIIB 21 +7.18% $11,511 $12,338 3 67% - +$827 -22.4% 3.7d -
23 GLD 19 +6.51% $10,343 $11,017 5 60% - +$673 -6.1% 8.8d -
24 AAPL 21 +5.20% $11,467 $12,063 1 100% - +$596 -10.0% 5.6d -
25 V +5.18% $9,496 $9,988 2 100% - +$492 -9.6% 3.2d -
26 PLTR 70 43🧊 +4.73% $43,892 $45,968 12 42% - +$2,076 -34.2% 2.1d -
27 CRM 4 19 +4.60% $8,535 $8,928 9 44% - +$393 -27.5% 4.8d -
28 COP 8 +4.59% $9,725 $10,171 6 50% - +$446 -17.9% 6.2d -
29 META 4 +4.53% $7,891 $8,248 4 50% - +$357 -28.8% 4.2d -
30 PFE 30 +4.50% $11,790 $12,321 2 100% - +$531 -6.1% 5.6d -
31 GOOGL 36 +4.49% $16,450 $17,189 2 50% - +$739 -12.7% 4.7d -
32 AMD 32 +4.43% $17,652 $18,434 11 45% - +$782 -37.8% 2.6d -
33 AXP 11 +3.64% $10,047 $10,413 5 40% - +$366 -18.1% 7.3d -
34 XLK 3 +3.20% $8,829 $9,111 1 100% - +$283 -12.2% 4.7d -
35 NFLX 21 +2.58% $12,251 $12,567 2 50% - +$316 -15.4% 6.9d -
36 OXY 31 0🧊 +2.39% $13,174 $13,488 7 57% - +$315 -10.3% 6.0d -
37 WMT 28 +2.06% $12,747 $13,010 2 50% - +$263 -6.9% 6.9d -
38 BRK-B +1.77% $11,618 $11,824 1 100% - +$206 -3.1% 5.9d -
39 IBM 27 +1.67% $12,042 $12,243 7 43% - +$201 -6.0% 4.0d -
40 MSFT 18 +1.40% $10,964 $11,118 2 50% - +$153 -14.5% 6.5d -
41 UVXY 5 6 +0.57% $8,198 $8,245 29 45% - +$47 -61.4% 1.4d -
42 SCHW 24 30 +0.31% $12,595 $12,634 5 40% - +$39 -13.5% 5.8d -
43 PANW 4 25🔥 +0.22% $8,399 $8,418 8 50% - +$18 -27.2% 4.1d -
44 KO +0.00% $10,069 $10,069 NO ENTRY - - - -4.9% 10.1d -
45 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
46 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
47 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
48 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
49 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
50 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
51 COST +0.00% $9,554 $9,554 NO ENTRY - - - -9.0% 8.2d -
52 PEP +0.00% $9,195 $9,195 NO ENTRY - - - -13.1% 5.9d -
53 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
54 QQQ +0.00% $11,120 $11,120 NO ENTRY - - - -4.7% 7.7d -
55 CSCO 26 -0.20% $11,667 $11,643 2 50% - -$23 -3.1% 10.6d -
56 NVDA 4 -0.24% $9,210 $9,188 5 40% - -$22 -47.0% 3.2d -
57 CMCSA 4 17 -0.50% $9,059 $9,014 4 50% - -$45 -19.5% 5.8d -
58 RBLX 30 29 -0.57% $14,906 $14,821 16 38% - -$85 -32.4% 3.5d -
59 BLK 36 -1.15% $14,853 $14,682 4 25% - -$171 -9.1% 4.7d -
60 TMO 2 -1.17% $8,680 $8,579 3 33% - -$102 -21.7% 5.2d -
61 SNOW 2 40🔥 -1.23% $6,975 $6,889 16 38% - -$86 -40.8% 3.4d -
62 CVX 7 -1.34% $8,920 $8,801 3 33% - -$120 -14.4% 8.9d -
63 DIS 2 -1.44% $9,379 $9,244 2 50% - -$135 -18.6% 5.7d -
64 REGN 17 -1.44% $11,571 $11,404 4 25% - -$167 -23.1% 4.9d -
65 BMY 2 -1.48% $8,627 $8,499 3 33% - -$128 -20.0% 5.8d -
66 TSLA 27 0🧊 -1.80% $14,235 $13,978 8 38% - -$256 -32.0% 2.3d -
67 MDT 5 -1.88% $10,282 $10,088 2 50% - -$193 -8.9% 6.9d -
68 MRK 13 -2.04% $11,016 $10,791 4 25% - -$225 -17.9% 6.1d -
69 JPM 6 -2.31% $10,156 $9,921 3 33% - -$235 -23.6% 6.3d -
70 XLE 16 -2.32% $11,039 $10,783 3 33% - -$256 -4.4% 7.7d -
71 HD 2 -2.42% $9,417 $9,189 4 25% - -$228 -13.9% 6.6d -
72 MA 20 -2.50% $11,707 $11,414 2 50% - -$293 -6.6% 6.7d -
73 ABBV 15 -2.95% $11,851 $11,502 1 0% - -$350 -16.8% 5.6d -
74 XLF -3.15% $11,187 $10,835 1 0% - -$352 -7.7% 4.7d -
75 VZ 11 -3.27% $10,656 $10,308 1 0% - -$348 -6.7% 7.6d -
76 PG -3.29% $11,248 $10,878 1 0% - -$370 -3.7% 8.9d -
77 IWM 10 -3.31% $10,903 $10,542 1 0% - -$361 -11.7% 5.3d -
78 GILD 7 -3.80% $10,642 $10,238 2 0% - -$404 -12.5% 9.3d -
79 GME 3 -4.45% $8,500 $8,122 3 33% - -$378 -41.9% 2.0d -
80 ARKK 40 -4.93% $19,374 $18,419 4 25% - -$955 -21.5% 3.1d -
81 PM 6 -5.01% $10,624 $10,092 4 25% - -$532 -3.7% 4.9d -
82 ISRG 3 -5.38% $9,544 $9,031 2 0% - -$513 -20.7% 5.1d -
83 RIOT 5 9 -5.51% $4,962 $4,688 24 38% - -$273 -63.2% 23.1h -
84 VRTX 4 -5.97% $10,076 $9,475 2 0% - -$602 -20.8% 4.5d -
85 XOM 2 -6.48% $9,388 $8,780 4 25% - -$608 -7.4% 8.0d -
86 PYPL 3 -6.97% $7,100 $6,605 5 40% - -$495 -32.8% 5.5d -
87 WFC 12 -7.00% $11,460 $10,658 5 20% - -$802 -13.1% 5.5d -
88 AMGN 12 -7.07% $11,423 $10,615 2 0% - -$808 -12.0% 6.4d -
89 LLY 34 -8.29% $17,293 $15,860 3 0% - -$1,434 -15.9% 4.1d -
90 BAC 18 -9.80% $13,190 $11,897 3 0% - -$1,293 -15.8% 6.6d -
91 SOXL 53 31🧊 -10.76% $40,400 $36,053 28 39% - -$4,347 -35.0% 1.2d -
92 ACN 3 0 -11.38% $9,321 $8,260 9 33% - -$1,061 -14.7% 7.7d -
93 ADBE 3 -11.74% $7,002 $6,180 5 20% - -$822 -34.6% 4.7d -
94 MARA 4 13 -11.95% $10,173 $8,958 28 32% - -$1,216 -46.1% 1.0d -
95 HOOD 27 3🧊 -12.29% $18,991 $16,657 17 35% - -$2,334 -37.6% 1.7d -
96 SPXU 4 0 -14.17% $8,800 $7,553 10 30% - -$1,247 -27.6% 4.2d -
97 CRWD 5 0 -14.43% $10,734 $9,185 8 25% - -$1,549 -28.2% 3.4d -
98 RIVN 3 1 -15.06% $4,555 $3,869 13 31% - -$686 -55.2% 1.8d -
99 AMC 3 9 -17.65% $5,286 $4,353 22 27% - -$933 -52.2% 1.7d -
100 LCID 4 7 -19.36% $5,302 $4,276 19 26% - -$1,026 -57.4% 1.7d -
101 SQQQ 10 1 -24.07% $13,269 $10,075 13 15% - -$3,194 -33.6% 2.3d -
102 SOFI 4 1 -26.09% $10,046 $7,425 14 21% - -$2,621 -30.6% 2.3d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.