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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Mar 28, 2026 Jun 28, 2026 (92d)

📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,705
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,374 (+$331)
+2.91%
Last 3 Months ROI
37.2%
Win Rate
777
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-0.1%
1 Month
+2.9%
3 Months
+4.7%
6 Months
+4.6%
YTD
+9.1%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 3 Months: Mar 28, 2026 Jun 28, 2026 (92 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 3M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 🔥 PRO 71 80 +107.69% $18,782 $39,009 23 61% - +$20,227 -28.4% 2.9d -
2 MU 43 46 +95.04% $12,086 $23,573 22 64% - +$11,487 -35.3% 2.8d -
3 AMD 52 49 +69.83% $18,369 $31,196 18 61% - +$12,827 -37.8% 2.6d -
4 GS 27 +32.22% $10,429 $13,789 5 100% - +$3,360 -18.8% 5.7d -
5 IBM 55 31🧊 +32.16% $12,036 $15,906 11 64% - +$3,871 -6.0% 4.0d -
6 SMCI 4 7 +32.04% $3,772 $4,980 23 48% - +$1,208 -80.5% 1.4d -
7 SNOW 2 3 +23.65% $5,855 $7,240 17 53% - +$1,385 -40.8% 3.4d -
8 AVGO 51 7🧊 +22.68% $19,993 $24,527 10 60% - +$4,534 -23.6% 3.3d -
9 MARA 12 22 +22.57% $8,671 $10,628 27 48% - +$1,957 -46.1% 1.0d -
10 MS 26 +21.94% $11,187 $13,641 3 100% - +$2,454 -21.4% 5.4d -
11 COIN 15 6 +21.32% $9,094 $11,032 23 48% - +$1,939 -46.7% 1.3d -
12 NET 21 2 +19.59% $10,491 $12,546 17 53% - +$2,055 -32.2% 2.6d -
13 RBLX 28 3🧊 +14.08% $12,686 $14,472 18 44% - +$1,786 -32.4% 3.5d -
14 TQQQ 25 5🧊 +14.00% $12,716 $14,497 13 46% - +$1,780 -40.6% 1.9d -
15 AMZN 34 0🧊 +13.60% $13,348 $15,163 6 67% - +$1,815 -17.3% 5.3d -
16 UNH 6 +10.99% $9,063 $10,059 2 100% - +$996 -24.8% 5.5d -
17 SCHW 27 +10.17% $11,765 $12,961 4 75% - +$1,196 -13.5% 5.8d -
18 GLD 20 6 +9.10% $10,017 $10,929 5 80% - +$912 -6.1% 8.8d -
19 PANW 4 0 +9.05% $7,521 $8,202 7 57% - +$681 -27.2% 4.1d -
20 AXP 9 +8.55% $9,592 $10,413 1 100% - +$820 -18.1% 7.3d -
21 DKNG 21 10 +8.25% $12,023 $13,015 12 42% - +$992 -45.9% 2.7d -
22 ARM 4 9 +7.41% $6,527 $7,010 27 41% - +$484 -64.8% 2.0d -
23 RIOT 5 9 +6.32% $4,310 $4,582 25 44% - +$272 -63.2% 23.1h -
24 HD 3 +5.98% $9,291 $9,846 4 50% - +$556 -13.9% 6.6d -
25 PEP 3 +5.10% $9,195 $9,664 1 100% - +$469 -13.1% 5.9d -
26 JPM 12 +5.08% $9,922 $10,426 1 100% - +$504 -23.6% 6.3d -
27 V +5.04% $9,509 $9,988 1 100% - +$479 -9.6% 3.2d -
28 C 19 +5.03% $12,575 $13,208 1 100% - +$633 -17.4% 5.5d -
29 PG +5.02% $10,878 $11,424 1 100% - +$546 -3.7% 8.9d -
30 VRTX 6 +4.99% $9,474 $9,947 1 100% - +$473 -20.8% 4.5d -
31 QQQ +4.98% $11,120 $11,674 1 100% - +$554 -4.7% 7.7d -
32 REGN 17 +4.30% $11,480 $11,973 4 50% - +$494 -23.1% 4.9d -
33 BIIB 27 +4.05% $12,718 $13,233 4 50% - +$515 -22.4% 3.7d -
34 CSCO 34 +3.75% $12,007 $12,458 4 50% - +$450 -3.1% 10.6d -
35 MRK 15 +3.61% $10,605 $10,987 4 50% - +$383 -17.9% 6.1d -
36 NIO 29 1🧊 +2.60% $15,091 $15,483 14 43% - +$392 -28.6% 2.0d -
37 WMT 33 +2.04% $13,010 $13,276 2 50% - +$265 -6.9% 6.9d -
38 BLK 40 +1.85% $14,689 $14,961 3 33% - +$272 -9.1% 4.7d -
39 VZ 17 +1.55% $10,657 $10,822 2 50% - +$165 -6.7% 7.6d -
40 MA 23 +1.31% $11,339 $11,488 3 67% - +$149 -6.6% 6.7d -
41 SLV 42 2🧊 +0.66% $16,889 $17,000 11 45% - +$111 -14.0% 5.9d -
42 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
43 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
44 BRK-B +0.00% $11,824 $11,824 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 5.9d -
45 KO +0.00% $10,069 $10,069 NO ENTRY - - - -4.9% 10.1d -
46 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
47 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
48 ABBV +0.00% $11,502 $11,502 NO ENTRY - - - -16.8% 5.6d -
49 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
50 DIS +0.00% $9,244 $9,244 NO ENTRY - - - -18.6% 5.7d -
51 IWM +0.00% $10,542 $10,542 NO ENTRY - - - -11.7% 5.3d -
52 MDT +0.00% $10,088 $10,088 NO ENTRY - - - -8.9% 6.9d -
53 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
54 XLF +0.00% $10,835 $10,835 NO ENTRY - - - -7.7% 4.7d -
55 BAC +0.00% $11,897 $11,897 NO ENTRY - - - -15.8% 6.6d -
56 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
57 BMY 3 -0.17% $8,805 $8,790 4 50% - -$15 -20.0% 5.8d -
58 CMCSA 3 -0.57% $8,782 $8,732 4 50% - -$50 -19.5% 5.8d -
59 TMO 2 -1.07% $8,413 $8,323 3 33% - -$90 -21.7% 5.2d -
60 AAPL 17 -1.09% $11,468 $11,343 3 33% - -$125 -10.0% 5.6d -
61 GILD 9 -1.27% $10,570 $10,436 3 33% - -$134 -12.5% 9.3d -
62 HOOD 29 27 -2.02% $17,951 $17,589 18 44% - -$363 -37.6% 1.7d -
63 PFE 28 -2.12% $12,183 $11,925 2 50% - -$258 -6.1% 5.6d -
64 ISRG 3 -2.43% $9,155 $8,932 4 25% - -$222 -20.7% 5.1d -
65 LLY 27 -2.98% $16,347 $15,860 1 0% - -$487 -15.9% 4.1d -
66 CRM 3 2 -3.04% $8,563 $8,303 12 33% - -$260 -27.5% 4.8d -
67 SOXL 52 10🧊 -3.07% $34,199 $33,149 34 50% - -$1,050 -35.0% 1.2d -
68 WFC 9 -3.30% $11,022 $10,658 1 0% - -$364 -13.1% 5.5d -
69 META 4 -3.47% $7,694 $7,427 4 25% - -$267 -28.8% 4.2d -
70 MRNA 5 5 -3.55% $6,553 $6,320 19 37% - -$233 -66.5% 1.9d -
71 AMGN 9 -4.15% $11,075 $10,615 1 0% - -$460 -12.0% 6.4d -
72 TSLA 27 3🧊 -5.60% $14,820 $13,990 12 33% - -$830 -32.0% 2.3d -
73 ADBE 3 2 -5.61% $6,067 $5,726 9 33% - -$340 -34.6% 4.7d -
74 GOOGL 39 -5.86% $17,189 $16,182 2 0% - -$1,007 -12.7% 4.7d -
75 COST 3 -6.18% $9,554 $8,964 2 0% - -$590 -9.0% 8.2d -
76 NVDA 4 0 -6.32% $9,474 $8,875 7 29% - -$599 -47.0% 3.2d -
77 XLK 3 -6.43% $9,112 $8,526 2 0% - -$586 -12.2% 4.7d -
78 MSFT 13 -6.51% $11,515 $10,766 2 0% - -$750 -14.5% 6.5d -
79 PM 3 -6.60% $10,484 $9,792 2 0% - -$692 -3.7% 4.9d -
80 SLB 5 -7.34% $10,153 $9,408 5 20% - -$745 -22.1% 6.3d -
81 AMC 3 35🔥 -7.36% $4,584 $4,247 28 46% - -$337 -52.2% 1.7d -
82 CVX 4 -7.48% $8,920 $8,253 5 20% - -$667 -14.4% 8.9d -
83 ACN 3 1 -7.56% $8,607 $7,956 9 33% - -$651 -14.7% 7.7d -
84 USO 11 2 -8.88% $11,236 $10,238 14 36% - -$998 -13.1% 6.0d -
85 RIVN 3 2 -9.01% $4,142 $3,768 12 33% - -$373 -55.2% 1.8d -
86 CRWD 5 0 -9.03% $9,447 $8,594 8 38% - -$853 -28.2% 3.4d -
87 PLTR 62 2🧊 -10.02% $44,129 $39,708 14 29% - -$4,422 -34.2% 2.1d -
88 PYPL 3 -10.15% $7,239 $6,504 4 25% - -$735 -32.8% 5.5d -
89 ARKK 34 0🧊 -10.83% $18,173 $16,205 6 17% - -$1,968 -21.5% 3.1d -
90 COP 5 -11.15% $11,170 $9,924 6 17% - -$1,245 -17.9% 6.2d -
91 VXX 17 18 -11.43% $13,595 $12,041 10 30% - -$1,554 -45.0% 2.1d -
92 GME 3 -12.08% $8,677 $7,629 4 0% - -$1,048 -41.9% 2.0d -
93 NFLX 16 0 -12.15% $12,975 $11,399 4 0% - -$1,576 -15.4% 6.9d -
94 XLE 6 -13.07% $11,624 $10,105 4 0% - -$1,519 -4.4% 7.7d -
95 LCID 4 5 -13.98% $4,648 $3,998 22 32% - -$650 -57.4% 1.7d -
96 SQQQ 12 65🔥 -14.11% $12,382 $10,635 17 24% - -$1,747 -33.6% 2.3d -
97 OXY 30 0🧊 -15.27% $15,322 $12,982 9 33% - -$2,340 -10.3% 6.0d -
98 SPXU 4 29🔥 -15.96% $9,321 $7,833 8 25% - -$1,488 -27.6% 4.2d -
99 SOFI 5 7 -16.72% $8,990 $7,487 17 29% - -$1,503 -30.6% 2.3d -
100 XOM 2 -16.84% $9,909 $8,240 5 0% - -$1,669 -7.4% 8.0d -
101 ORCL 4 3 -22.13% $9,535 $7,425 15 27% - -$2,110 -29.3% 3.3d -
102 UVXY 4 6 -36.38% $11,492 $7,311 19 26% - -$4,181 -61.4% 1.4d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.