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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Dec 29, 2025 Jun 29, 2026 (181d)

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,853
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,324 (+$528)
+4.67%
Last 6 Months ROI
38.3%
Win Rate
1,509
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-0.4%
1 Month
+2.9%
3 Months
+4.7%
6 Months
+4.6%
YTD
+9.1%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Dec 29, 2025 Jun 29, 2026 (181 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 6M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 🔥 PRO 71 80 +180.97% $13,884 $39,009 38 61% - +$25,126 -28.4% 2.9d -
2 MU 43 46 +158.06% $9,135 $23,573 40 60% - +$14,438 -35.3% 2.8d -
3 AMD 52 49 +80.38% $17,295 $31,196 31 52% - +$13,901 -37.8% 2.6d -
4 ARM 4 9 +61.38% $4,344 $7,010 43 49% - +$2,666 -64.8% 2.0d -
5 AVGO 51 7🧊 +51.91% $16,146 $24,527 22 59% - +$8,381 -23.6% 3.3d -
6 SMCI 4 7 +43.01% $3,482 $4,980 43 47% - +$1,498 -80.5% 1.4d -
7 IBM 55 31🧊 +35.97% $11,699 $15,906 18 56% - +$4,208 -6.0% 4.0d -
8 VXX 17 18 +28.17% $9,395 $12,041 29 48% - +$2,647 -45.0% 2.1d -
9 GS 27 +26.66% $10,887 $13,789 9 67% - +$2,902 -18.8% 5.7d -
10 NET 21 2 +24.67% $10,063 $12,546 31 48% - +$2,483 -32.2% 2.6d -
11 MS 26 +23.67% $11,030 $13,641 10 60% - +$2,611 -21.4% 5.4d -
12 OXY 30 0🧊 +23.42% $10,519 $12,982 16 63% - +$2,464 -10.3% 6.0d -
13 SLV 42 2🧊 +21.48% $13,994 $17,000 28 46% - +$3,006 -14.0% 5.9d -
14 AMZN 34 0🧊 +19.26% $12,714 $15,163 10 70% - +$2,449 -17.3% 5.3d -
15 BIIB 27 +17.12% $11,299 $13,233 8 63% - +$1,934 -22.4% 3.7d -
16 COIN 15 6 +16.10% $9,502 $11,032 44 41% - +$1,530 -46.7% 1.3d -
17 GOOGL 39 +14.12% $14,180 $16,182 7 57% - +$2,002 -12.7% 4.7d -
18 COP 5 +12.58% $8,815 $9,924 13 54% - +$1,109 -17.9% 6.2d -
19 UNH 6 +11.23% $9,043 $10,059 6 67% - +$1,016 -24.8% 5.5d -
20 MRNA 5 5 +10.86% $5,701 $6,320 41 41% - +$619 -66.5% 1.9d -
21 C 19 +10.79% $11,921 $13,208 9 56% - +$1,286 -17.4% 5.5d -
22 WMT 33 +9.39% $12,136 $13,276 5 60% - +$1,140 -6.9% 6.9d -
23 ABBV +8.38% $10,612 $11,502 3 67% - +$889 -16.8% 5.6d -
24 DKNG 21 10 +7.87% $12,066 $13,015 25 40% - +$950 -45.9% 2.7d -
25 CSCO 34 +6.78% $11,667 $12,458 5 60% - +$791 -3.1% 10.6d -
26 SOXL 52 10🧊 +6.62% $31,091 $33,149 60 45% - +$2,058 -35.0% 1.2d -
27 PFE 28 +6.19% $11,230 $11,925 4 75% - +$695 -6.1% 5.6d -
28 TQQQ 25 5🧊 +6.10% $13,663 $14,497 27 41% - +$833 -40.6% 1.9d -
29 LLY 27 +5.43% $15,043 $15,860 7 43% - +$817 -15.9% 4.1d -
30 NIO 29 1🧊 +5.18% $14,721 $15,483 26 46% - +$763 -28.6% 2.0d -
31 BLK 40 +5.18% $14,224 $14,961 8 38% - +$737 -9.1% 4.7d -
32 PEP 3 +5.10% $9,195 $9,664 1 100% - +$469 -13.1% 5.9d -
33 QQQ +4.98% $11,120 $11,674 1 100% - +$554 -4.7% 7.7d -
34 AXP 9 +4.97% $9,920 $10,413 6 50% - +$493 -18.1% 7.3d -
35 REGN 17 +4.68% $11,438 $11,973 7 43% - +$535 -23.1% 4.9d -
36 HD 3 +4.56% $9,417 $9,846 7 43% - +$429 -13.9% 6.6d -
37 RIOT 5 9 +4.56% $4,382 $4,582 50 42% - +$200 -63.2% 23.1h -
38 GLD 20 6 +4.17% $10,491 $10,929 11 55% - +$437 -6.1% 8.8d -
39 USO 11 2 +4.11% $9,834 $10,238 23 43% - +$404 -13.1% 6.0d -
40 MARA 12 22 +3.68% $10,251 $10,628 56 39% - +$377 -46.1% 1.0d -
41 GILD 9 +3.49% $10,084 $10,436 5 40% - +$352 -12.5% 9.3d -
42 SCHW 27 +2.91% $12,595 $12,961 6 50% - +$366 -13.5% 5.8d -
43 SNOW 2 3 +2.53% $7,061 $7,240 31 39% - +$179 -40.8% 3.4d -
44 V +2.02% $9,790 $9,988 3 67% - +$198 -9.6% 3.2d -
45 BMY 3 +1.89% $8,627 $8,790 6 50% - +$163 -20.0% 5.8d -
46 BRK-B +1.77% $11,618 $11,824 1 100% - +$206 -3.1% 5.9d -
47 PG +1.57% $11,247 $11,424 2 50% - +$177 -3.7% 8.9d -
48 VZ 17 +1.55% $10,657 $10,822 2 50% - +$165 -6.7% 7.6d -
49 CMCSA 3 +1.35% $8,616 $8,732 6 50% - +$116 -19.5% 5.8d -
50 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
51 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
52 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
53 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
54 KO +0.00% $10,069 $10,069 NO ENTRY - - - -4.9% 10.1d -
55 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
56 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
57 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
58 MRK 15 -0.26% $11,016 $10,987 6 33% - -$29 -17.9% 6.1d -
59 JPM 12 -0.43% $10,471 $10,426 5 40% - -$45 -23.6% 6.3d -
60 GME 3 -0.85% $7,694 $7,629 8 38% - -$65 -41.9% 2.0d -
61 AAPL 17 -1.09% $11,468 $11,343 3 33% - -$125 -10.0% 5.6d -
62 VRTX 6 -1.28% $10,076 $9,947 3 33% - -$129 -20.8% 4.5d -
63 DIS -1.44% $9,379 $9,244 2 50% - -$135 -18.6% 5.7d -
64 MDT -1.88% $10,282 $10,088 2 50% - -$193 -8.9% 6.9d -
65 NVDA 4 0 -2.03% $9,059 $8,875 13 38% - -$184 -47.0% 3.2d -
66 AMGN 9 -2.39% $10,875 $10,615 3 33% - -$260 -12.0% 6.4d -
67 XLF -3.15% $11,187 $10,835 1 0% - -$352 -7.7% 4.7d -
68 IWM -3.31% $10,903 $10,542 1 0% - -$361 -11.7% 5.3d -
69 MA 23 -4.73% $12,058 $11,488 5 40% - -$570 -6.6% 6.7d -
70 SLB 5 -5.62% $9,968 $9,408 11 36% - -$560 -22.1% 6.3d -
71 PM 3 -6.07% $10,424 $9,792 7 29% - -$633 -3.7% 4.9d -
72 COST 3 -6.18% $9,554 $8,964 2 0% - -$590 -9.0% 8.2d -
73 XLK 3 -6.36% $9,105 $8,526 4 25% - -$579 -12.2% 4.7d -
74 TSLA 27 3🧊 -6.42% $14,950 $13,990 20 35% - -$960 -32.0% 2.3d -
75 TMO 2 -6.99% $8,948 $8,323 5 20% - -$625 -21.7% 5.2d -
76 CVX 4 -7.48% $8,920 $8,253 5 20% - -$667 -14.4% 8.9d -
77 UVXY 4 6 -7.97% $7,944 $7,311 46 41% - -$633 -61.4% 1.4d -
78 MSFT 13 -8.08% $11,712 $10,766 5 20% - -$946 -14.5% 6.5d -
79 XLE 6 -8.46% $11,039 $10,105 5 20% - -$934 -4.4% 7.7d -
80 CRM 3 2 -8.90% $9,114 $8,303 21 33% - -$811 -27.5% 4.8d -
81 NFLX 16 0 -9.75% $12,630 $11,399 6 17% - -$1,231 -15.4% 6.9d -
82 WFC 9 -9.80% $11,816 $10,658 6 17% - -$1,158 -13.1% 5.5d -
83 BAC -10.89% $13,351 $11,897 4 0% - -$1,454 -15.8% 6.6d -
84 SQQQ 12 65🔥 -11.19% $11,975 $10,635 29 31% - -$1,340 -33.6% 2.3d -
85 PANW 4 0 -11.45% $9,262 $8,202 14 36% - -$1,061 -27.2% 4.1d -
86 META 4 -11.86% $8,427 $7,427 9 22% - -$999 -28.8% 4.2d -
87 XOM 2 -12.23% $9,388 $8,240 6 17% - -$1,148 -7.4% 8.0d -
88 ISRG 3 -12.43% $10,200 $8,932 7 14% - -$1,268 -20.7% 5.1d -
89 SPXU 4 29🔥 -13.65% $9,071 $7,833 15 33% - -$1,238 -27.6% 4.2d -
90 PYPL 3 -14.30% $7,589 $6,504 10 30% - -$1,085 -32.8% 5.5d -
91 ACN 3 1 -16.90% $9,574 $7,956 17 35% - -$1,618 -14.7% 7.7d -
92 AMC 3 35🔥 -17.65% $5,157 $4,247 48 40% - -$910 -52.2% 1.7d -
93 RBLX 28 3🧊 -20.17% $18,129 $14,472 33 30% - -$3,657 -32.4% 3.5d -
94 ARKK 34 0🧊 -21.46% $20,632 $16,205 10 10% - -$4,428 -21.5% 3.1d -
95 CRWD 5 0 -22.17% $11,042 $8,594 20 30% - -$2,448 -28.2% 3.4d -
96 PLTR 62 2🧊 -22.70% $51,368 $39,708 24 25% - -$11,661 -34.2% 2.1d -
97 HOOD 29 27 -23.76% $23,070 $17,589 34 32% - -$5,481 -37.6% 1.7d -
98 RIVN 3 2 -25.32% $5,046 $3,768 29 31% - -$1,278 -55.2% 1.8d -
99 ADBE 3 2 -26.51% $7,792 $5,726 17 24% - -$2,066 -34.6% 4.7d -
100 ORCL 4 3 -30.80% $10,729 $7,425 28 29% - -$3,305 -29.3% 3.3d -
101 LCID 4 5 -37.56% $6,403 $3,998 39 26% - -$2,405 -57.4% 1.7d -
102 SOFI 5 7 -38.90% $12,254 $7,487 31 23% - -$4,767 -30.6% 2.3d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.