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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Nov 6, 2025 May 6, 2026 (180d)

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,817
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,556 (+$261)
+2.26%
Last 6 Months ROI
39.0%
Win Rate
1,371
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.2%
1 Month
+2.8%
3 Months
+2.3%
6 Months
+3.4%
YTD
+10.0%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Nov 6, 2025 May 6, 2026 (180 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 6M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 SLV 57 57 +84.74% $11,430 $21,116 26 62% - +$9,686 -14.0% 5.9d -
2 MU 33 70🔥 +81.90% $9,719 $17,679 34 56% - +$7,960 -35.3% 2.8d -
3 INTC 54 65 +72.34% $16,144 $27,822 29 52% - +$11,678 -28.4% 2.9d -
4 GOOGL 36 +47.49% $11,654 $17,189 10 80% - +$5,535 -12.7% 4.7d -
5 ARM 4 23 +47.15% $4,839 $7,121 33 48% - +$2,282 -64.8% 2.0d -
6 MRNA 6 34🔥 +33.59% $5,496 $7,342 36 47% - +$1,846 -66.5% 1.9d -
7 TQQQ 31 54🔥 +33.09% $12,635 $16,815 27 48% - +$4,181 -40.6% 1.9d -
8 OXY 31 0🧊 +31.95% $10,222 $13,488 12 75% - +$3,266 -10.3% 6.0d -
9 VXX 15 0 +26.58% $9,348 $11,833 32 47% - +$2,485 -45.0% 2.1d -
10 BIIB 21 +23.85% $9,962 $12,338 9 78% - +$2,376 -22.4% 3.7d -
11 NET 22 69🔥 +23.08% $10,276 $12,647 27 48% - +$2,372 -32.2% 2.6d -
12 COP 8 +19.38% $8,520 $10,171 11 64% - +$1,651 -17.9% 6.2d -
13 USO 24 6 +18.29% $10,452 $12,364 16 50% - +$1,912 -13.1% 6.0d -
14 SLB 13 +18.13% $9,028 $10,665 9 67% - +$1,637 -22.1% 6.3d -
15 C 24 +15.53% $11,432 $13,208 10 60% - +$1,775 -17.4% 5.5d -
16 MS 22 +14.15% $11,381 $12,991 10 50% - +$1,610 -21.4% 5.4d -
17 DKNG 17 +13.99% $10,474 $11,939 22 45% - +$1,465 -45.9% 2.7d -
18 ABBV 15 +13.79% $10,108 $11,502 4 75% - +$1,394 -16.8% 5.6d -
19 AMZN 32 +12.54% $13,110 $14,754 7 71% - +$1,644 -17.3% 5.3d -
20 ORCL 13 26 +12.05% $9,577 $10,730 28 43% - +$1,154 -29.3% 3.3d -
21 IBM 27 +11.91% $10,940 $12,243 10 50% - +$1,303 -6.0% 4.0d -
22 GLD 19 +11.47% $9,883 $11,017 10 60% - +$1,134 -6.1% 8.8d -
23 PFE 30 +8.43% $11,363 $12,321 6 67% - +$958 -6.1% 5.6d -
24 MRK 13 +8.20% $9,973 $10,791 6 50% - +$818 -17.9% 6.1d -
25 LLY 34 +8.04% $14,680 $15,860 9 44% - +$1,180 -15.9% 4.1d -
26 NIO 32 16 +7.69% $15,356 $16,537 26 46% - +$1,181 -28.6% 2.0d -
27 AVGO 46 +7.51% $20,470 $22,007 21 43% - +$1,537 -23.6% 3.3d -
28 WMT 28 +7.20% $12,136 $13,010 3 67% - +$874 -6.9% 6.9d -
29 GILD 7 +6.65% $9,599 $10,238 4 50% - +$638 -12.5% 9.3d -
30 CMCSA 4 17 +6.53% $8,461 $9,014 6 67% - +$553 -19.5% 5.8d -
31 AAPL 21 +5.20% $11,467 $12,063 1 100% - +$596 -10.0% 5.6d -
32 GS 18 +5.03% $11,251 $11,816 7 43% - +$566 -18.8% 5.7d -
33 TSLA 27 0🧊 +4.85% $13,332 $13,978 17 41% - +$647 -32.0% 2.3d -
34 REGN 17 +4.74% $10,888 $11,404 7 43% - +$516 -23.1% 4.9d -
35 QQQ +4.36% $10,655 $11,120 1 100% - +$465 -4.7% 7.7d -
36 NVDA 4 +3.43% $8,884 $9,188 12 42% - +$305 -47.0% 3.2d -
37 BLK 36 +3.21% $14,225 $14,682 6 33% - +$457 -9.1% 4.7d -
38 JPM 6 +2.43% $9,686 $9,921 6 50% - +$235 -23.6% 6.3d -
39 V +2.02% $9,790 $9,988 3 67% - +$198 -9.6% 3.2d -
40 AXP 11 +1.85% $10,223 $10,413 7 43% - +$189 -18.1% 7.3d -
41 BRK-B +1.77% $11,618 $11,824 1 100% - +$206 -3.1% 5.9d -
42 UNH 4 +1.25% $9,396 $9,513 6 50% - +$117 -24.8% 5.5d -
43 KO +0.83% $9,987 $10,069 1 100% - +$83 -4.9% 10.1d -
44 SOXL 53 31🧊 +0.63% $35,827 $36,053 45 42% - +$226 -35.0% 1.2d -
45 AMD 32 +0.62% $18,320 $18,434 26 38% - +$114 -37.8% 2.6d -
46 CVX 7 +0.38% $8,768 $8,801 4 50% - +$33 -14.4% 8.9d -
47 SCHW 24 30 +0.31% $12,595 $12,634 5 40% - +$39 -13.5% 5.8d -
48 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
49 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
50 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
51 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
52 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
53 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
54 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
55 CSCO 26 -0.06% $11,650 $11,643 3 67% - -$7 -3.1% 10.6d -
56 CRM 4 19 -0.28% $8,953 $8,928 15 40% - -$25 -27.5% 4.8d -
57 GME 3 -0.91% $8,197 $8,122 8 38% - -$75 -41.9% 2.0d -
58 VRTX 4 -1.29% $9,598 $9,475 3 33% - -$124 -20.8% 4.5d -
59 UVXY 5 6 -1.48% $8,368 $8,245 49 41% - -$124 -61.4% 1.4d -
60 MDT 5 -1.88% $10,282 $10,088 2 50% - -$193 -8.9% 6.9d -
61 XLE 16 -2.32% $11,039 $10,783 3 33% - -$256 -4.4% 7.7d -
62 AMGN 12 -2.39% $10,875 $10,615 3 33% - -$260 -12.0% 6.4d -
63 PEP -2.98% $9,477 $9,195 1 0% - -$282 -13.1% 5.9d -
64 XLK 3 -3.01% $9,394 $9,111 3 33% - -$283 -12.2% 4.7d -
65 XLF -3.15% $11,187 $10,835 1 0% - -$352 -7.7% 4.7d -
66 PM 6 -3.19% $10,425 $10,092 6 33% - -$333 -3.7% 4.9d -
67 VZ 11 -3.27% $10,656 $10,308 1 0% - -$348 -6.7% 7.6d -
68 IWM 10 -3.31% $10,903 $10,542 1 0% - -$361 -11.7% 5.3d -
69 TMO 2 -4.15% $8,950 $8,579 5 20% - -$371 -21.7% 5.2d -
70 DIS 2 -4.44% $9,674 $9,244 3 33% - -$430 -18.6% 5.7d -
71 BMY 2 -4.65% $8,914 $8,499 4 25% - -$414 -20.0% 5.8d -
72 SMCI 4 5 -5.14% $4,438 $4,210 37 38% - -$228 -80.5% 1.4d -
73 MA 20 -5.34% $12,058 $11,414 3 33% - -$644 -6.6% 6.7d -
74 NFLX 21 -5.83% $13,345 $12,567 7 29% - -$778 -15.4% 6.9d -
75 META 4 -5.86% $8,761 $8,248 7 29% - -$513 -28.8% 4.2d -
76 COST -5.92% $10,155 $9,554 2 0% - -$601 -9.0% 8.2d -
77 PG -6.19% $11,596 $10,878 2 0% - -$718 -3.7% 8.9d -
78 BAC 18 -6.37% $12,707 $11,897 5 20% - -$809 -15.8% 6.6d -
79 XOM 2 -6.48% $9,388 $8,780 4 25% - -$608 -7.4% 8.0d -
80 MSFT 18 -7.84% $12,063 $11,118 6 33% - -$946 -14.5% 6.5d -
81 HD 2 -8.15% $10,004 $9,189 6 17% - -$815 -13.9% 6.6d -
82 COIN 14 38🔥 -8.65% $11,850 $10,825 41 34% - -$1,025 -46.7% 1.3d -
83 WFC 12 -9.80% $11,816 $10,658 6 17% - -$1,158 -13.1% 5.5d -
84 ISRG 3 -11.46% $10,200 $9,031 4 0% - -$1,169 -20.7% 5.1d -
85 PYPL 3 -12.05% $7,510 $6,605 10 40% - -$905 -32.8% 5.5d -
86 SPXU 4 0 -13.69% $8,751 $7,553 15 33% - -$1,198 -27.6% 4.2d -
87 CRWD 5 0 -13.73% $10,647 $9,185 19 32% - -$1,462 -28.2% 3.4d -
88 ACN 3 0 -14.05% $9,610 $8,260 12 33% - -$1,350 -14.7% 7.7d -
89 SQQQ 10 1 -14.27% $11,752 $10,075 25 32% - -$1,677 -33.6% 2.3d -
90 ARKK 40 -14.35% $21,505 $18,419 12 25% - -$3,086 -21.5% 3.1d -
91 PANW 4 25🔥 -14.77% $9,877 $8,418 13 31% - -$1,459 -27.2% 4.1d -
92 SNOW 2 40🔥 -17.01% $8,301 $6,889 26 31% - -$1,412 -40.8% 3.4d -
93 RIOT 5 9 -19.32% $5,811 $4,688 51 35% - -$1,123 -63.2% 23.1h -
94 ADBE 3 -20.69% $7,792 $6,180 10 20% - -$1,612 -34.6% 4.7d -
95 PLTR 70 43🧊 -23.21% $59,862 $45,968 24 25% - -$13,894 -34.2% 2.1d -
96 RBLX 30 29 -24.79% $19,707 $14,821 29 28% - -$4,885 -32.4% 3.5d -
97 MARA 4 13 -26.36% $12,164 $8,958 59 32% - -$3,206 -46.1% 1.0d -
98 RIVN 3 1 -28.87% $5,440 $3,869 33 30% - -$1,570 -55.2% 1.8d -
99 AMC 3 9 -29.97% $6,216 $4,353 40 28% - -$1,863 -52.2% 1.7d -
100 HOOD 27 3🧊 -33.62% $25,093 $16,657 36 28% - -$8,436 -37.6% 1.7d -
101 SOFI 4 1 -41.19% $12,625 $7,425 30 23% - -$5,200 -30.6% 2.3d -
102 LCID 4 7 -42.41% $7,424 $4,276 38 24% - -$3,149 -57.4% 1.7d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.