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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

πŸ›’ Swing Trader πŸ“… 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

πŸ“Š View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years
Feb 14, 2024 β†’ Feb 14, 2026 (731 days)
🎯 Asset Class: πŸ“ˆ Stocks 102 β‚Ώ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

πŸ“Š 2 Years Performance: We gave Danny Dip $10,000 and let him trade 102 stock symbols from Jan 1, 2024 to today. 🟒 LIVE

$11,483
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,000 (+$1,483)
+14.83%
2-Year ROI
47.7%
Win Rate
4,946
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+0.7%
1 Month
+0.4%
3 Months
+3.9%
6 Months
+1.6%
YTD
+3.1%
1 Year

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

βš™οΈ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

πŸ“œ Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED β€” These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

πŸ“Š Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
πŸ“ getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

πŸ“Š Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) Γ· Recent High) Γ— 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 β†’ Dip = -3%

πŸ“Š Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≀ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

πŸ“ˆ Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

β†’

πŸ“‰ Exit Conditions

β€’ TARGET: Price β‰₯ entry Γ— 1.05 (+5% gain)
β€’ STOP_LOSS: Price ≀ entry Γ— 0.97 (-3% loss)
β€’ MAX_HOLD: Hold time β‰₯ 14 days

βš™οΈ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

πŸ“– Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

πŸ† Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

πŸ“‰ Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

πŸ“Š All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

πŸ“… 2 Years: Feb 14, 2024 β†’ Feb 14, 2026 (731 days)
Rank Symbol Return Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund
1 PLTR +338.92% $10,000 $43,892 108 49% - +$33,892 -34.2% 2.1d βœ“ -
2 SOXL +335.01% $10,000 $43,501 187 48% - +$33,501 -35.0% 1.2d βœ“ -
3 HOOD +98.33% $10,000 $19,833 136 43% - +$9,833 -37.6% 1.7d βœ“ -
4 ARKK +93.74% $10,000 $19,374 58 53% - +$9,374 -21.5% 3.1d βœ“ -
5 AMD +86.10% $10,000 $18,610 88 43% - +$8,610 -37.8% 2.6d βœ“ -
6 INTC +84.06% $10,000 $18,406 87 43% - +$8,406 -28.4% 2.9d βœ“ -
7 AVGO +78.85% $10,000 $17,885 74 46% - +$7,885 -23.6% 3.3d βœ“ -
8 LLY +68.83% $10,000 $16,883 40 48% - +$6,883 -15.9% 4.1d βœ“ -
9 GOOGL +64.51% $10,000 $16,451 28 61% - +$6,451 -12.7% 4.7d βœ“ -
10 SLV +60.16% $10,000 $16,016 36 58% - +$6,016 -14.0% 5.9d βœ“ -
11 BLK +48.53% $10,000 $14,853 14 71% - +$4,853 -9.1% 4.7d βœ“ -
12 NIO +48.38% $10,000 $14,838 135 46% - +$4,838 -28.6% 2.0d βœ“ -
13 RBLX +43.03% $10,000 $14,303 70 49% - +$4,303 -32.4% 3.5d βœ“ -
14 TSLA +42.35% $10,000 $14,235 103 47% - +$4,235 -32.0% 2.3d βœ“ -
15 OXY +35.96% $10,000 $13,596 28 57% - +$3,596 -10.3% 6.0d βœ“ -
16 TQQQ +32.25% $10,000 $13,225 99 40% - +$3,225 -40.6% 1.9d βœ“ -
17 BAC +31.90% $10,000 $13,190 20 60% - +$3,190 -15.8% 6.6d βœ“ -
18 AMZN +30.33% $10,000 $13,033 30 50% - +$3,033 -17.3% 5.3d βœ“ -
19 SQQQ +28.62% $10,000 $12,862 108 42% - +$2,862 -33.6% 2.3d βœ“ -
20 WMT +27.47% $10,000 $12,747 11 64% - +$2,747 -6.9% 6.9d βœ“ -
21 C +24.21% $10,000 $12,421 27 56% - +$2,421 -17.4% 5.5d βœ“ -
22 IBM +22.66% $10,000 $12,266 15 53% - +$2,266 -6.0% 4.0d βœ“ -
23 NFLX +22.51% $10,000 $12,251 30 43% - +$2,251 -15.4% 6.9d βœ“ -
24 MU +22.42% $10,000 $12,242 78 42% - +$2,242 -35.3% 2.8d βœ“ -
25 SCHW +21.37% $10,000 $12,137 18 56% - +$2,137 -13.5% 5.8d βœ“ -
26 BIIB +20.84% $10,000 $12,084 28 54% - +$2,084 -22.4% 3.7d βœ“ -
27 ABBV +18.51% $10,000 $11,851 17 53% - +$1,851 -16.8% 5.6d βœ“ -
28 PFE +17.91% $10,000 $11,791 14 57% - +$1,791 -6.1% 5.6d βœ“ -
29 MA +17.06% $10,000 $11,706 10 60% - +$1,706 -6.6% 6.7d βœ“ -
30 CSCO +16.67% $10,000 $11,667 10 70% - +$1,667 -3.1% 10.6d βœ“ -
31 BRK-B +16.18% $10,000 $11,618 8 75% - +$1,618 -3.1% 5.9d βœ“ -
32 REGN +15.70% $10,000 $11,570 29 48% - +$1,570 -23.1% 4.9d βœ“ -
33 JNJ +14.77% $10,000 $11,477 5 80% - +$1,477 -3.1% 9.4d βœ“ -
34 AAPL +14.67% $10,000 $11,467 18 44% - +$1,467 -10.0% 5.6d βœ“ -
35 WFC +14.61% $10,000 $11,461 21 52% - +$1,461 -13.1% 5.5d βœ“ -
36 AMGN +14.23% $10,000 $11,423 17 53% - +$1,423 -12.0% 6.4d βœ“ -
37 VTI +13.02% $10,000 $11,302 4 75% - +$1,302 -4.5% 2.5d βœ“ -
38 VOO +12.90% $10,000 $11,290 4 75% - +$1,290 -4.2% 2.5d βœ“ -
39 SPY +12.56% $10,000 $11,256 4 75% - +$1,256 -4.3% 2.5d βœ“ -
40 PG +12.47% $10,000 $11,247 5 60% - +$1,247 -3.7% 8.9d βœ“ -
41 MS +12.21% $10,000 $11,221 26 50% - +$1,221 -21.4% 5.4d βœ“ -
42 XLF +11.87% $10,000 $11,187 6 67% - +$1,187 -7.7% 4.7d βœ“ -
43 QQQ +11.20% $10,000 $11,120 8 63% - +$1,120 -4.7% 7.7d βœ“ -
44 XLE +10.39% $10,000 $11,039 8 63% - +$1,039 -4.4% 7.7d βœ“ -
45 MSFT +9.64% $10,000 $10,964 13 54% - +$964 -14.5% 6.5d βœ“ -
46 MRK +9.30% $10,000 $10,930 17 47% - +$930 -17.9% 6.1d βœ“ -
47 IWM +9.03% $10,000 $10,903 9 56% - +$903 -11.7% 5.3d βœ“ -
48 MCD +8.74% $10,000 $10,874 6 67% - +$874 -3.0% 8.8d βœ“ -
49 USO +8.64% $10,000 $10,864 22 50% - +$864 -13.1% 6.0d βœ“ -
50 DKNG +7.71% $10,000 $10,771 80 39% - +$771 -45.9% 2.7d βœ“ -
51 CRWD +7.34% $10,000 $10,734 75 40% - +$734 -28.2% 3.4d βœ“ -
52 JPM +6.58% $10,000 $10,658 17 53% - +$658 -23.6% 6.3d βœ“ -
53 VZ +6.57% $10,000 $10,657 10 60% - +$657 -6.7% 7.6d βœ“ -
54 GILD +6.42% $10,000 $10,642 15 47% - +$642 -12.5% 9.3d βœ“ -
55 PM +6.24% $10,000 $10,624 10 50% - +$624 -3.7% 4.9d βœ“ -
56 GS +5.57% $10,000 $10,557 22 45% - +$557 -18.8% 5.7d βœ“ -
57 AXP +4.05% $10,000 $10,405 23 52% - +$405 -18.1% 7.3d βœ“ -
58 GLD +3.43% $10,000 $10,343 9 56% - +$343 -6.1% 8.8d βœ“ -
59 MDT +2.81% $10,000 $10,281 9 44% - +$281 -8.9% 6.9d βœ“ -
60 DIA +2.26% $10,000 $10,226 2 50% - +$226 -3.2% 23.9h βœ“ -
61 VXX +2.09% $10,000 $10,209 117 39% - +$209 -45.0% 2.1d βœ“ -
62 MARA +2.03% $10,000 $10,203 225 40% - +$203 -46.1% 1.0d βœ“ -
63 COP +1.07% $10,000 $10,107 25 48% - +$107 -17.9% 6.2d βœ“ -
64 VRTX +0.76% $10,000 $10,076 14 50% - +$76 -20.8% 4.5d βœ“ -
65 KO +0.69% $10,000 $10,069 4 50% - +$69 -4.9% 10.1d βœ“ -
66 NET -0.25% $10,000 $9,975 78 41% - -$25 -32.2% 2.6d βœ“ -
67 SLB -1.62% $10,000 $9,838 28 46% - -$162 -22.1% 6.3d βœ“ -
68 ORCL -2.20% $10,000 $9,780 53 40% - -$220 -29.3% 3.3d βœ“ -
69 SOFI -2.63% $10,000 $9,737 111 41% - -$263 -30.6% 2.3d βœ“ -
70 TLT -3.12% $10,000 $9,688 2 50% - -$312 -3.7% 8.0d βœ“ -
71 NVDA -3.30% $10,000 $9,670 74 36% - -$330 -47.0% 3.2d βœ“ -
72 COST -4.46% $10,000 $9,554 13 46% - -$446 -9.0% 8.2d βœ“ -
73 ISRG -4.55% $10,000 $9,545 22 36% - -$455 -20.7% 5.1d βœ“ -
74 DIS -4.65% $10,000 $9,535 15 33% - -$465 -18.6% 5.7d βœ“ -
75 V -5.04% $10,000 $9,496 7 29% - -$504 -9.6% 3.2d βœ“ -
76 ACN -5.19% $10,000 $9,481 25 44% - -$519 -14.7% 7.7d βœ“ -
77 HD -5.83% $10,000 $9,417 10 30% - -$583 -13.9% 6.6d βœ“ -
78 XOM -6.11% $10,000 $9,389 9 33% - -$611 -7.4% 8.0d βœ“ -
79 PEP -8.05% $10,000 $9,195 9 33% - -$805 -13.1% 5.9d βœ“ -
80 BMY -9.08% $10,000 $9,092 15 33% - -$908 -20.0% 5.8d βœ“ -
81 CMCSA -9.41% $10,000 $9,059 16 38% - -$941 -19.5% 5.8d βœ“ -
82 CVX -10.80% $10,000 $8,920 11 55% - -$1,080 -14.4% 8.9d βœ“ -
83 COIN -11.51% $10,000 $8,849 170 38% - -$1,151 -46.7% 1.3d βœ“ -
84 XLK -11.71% $10,000 $8,829 14 36% - -$1,171 -12.2% 4.7d βœ“ -
85 TMO -13.20% $10,000 $8,680 17 29% - -$1,320 -21.7% 5.2d βœ“ -
86 GME -13.23% $10,000 $8,677 106 42% - -$1,323 -41.9% 2.0d βœ“ -
87 SPXU -14.95% $10,000 $8,505 51 37% - -$1,495 -27.6% 4.2d βœ“ -
88 UNH -15.39% $10,000 $8,461 31 32% - -$1,539 -24.8% 5.5d βœ“ -
89 PANW -16.00% $10,000 $8,400 39 33% - -$1,600 -27.2% 4.1d βœ“ -
90 UVXY -16.47% $10,000 $8,353 187 37% - -$1,647 -61.4% 1.4d βœ“ -
91 CRM -17.54% $10,000 $8,246 32 38% - -$1,754 -27.5% 4.8d βœ“ -
92 META -18.47% $10,000 $8,153 35 40% - -$1,847 -28.8% 4.2d βœ“ -
93 SNOW -26.44% $10,000 $7,356 63 32% - -$2,644 -40.8% 3.4d βœ“ -
94 PYPL -26.51% $10,000 $7,349 33 42% - -$2,651 -32.8% 5.5d βœ“ -
95 ADBE -29.98% $10,000 $7,002 30 27% - -$2,998 -34.6% 4.7d βœ“ -
96 MRNA -38.42% $10,000 $6,158 126 40% - -$3,842 -66.5% 1.9d βœ“ -
97 RIOT -47.71% $10,000 $5,229 208 39% - -$4,771 -63.2% 23.1h βœ“ -
98 LCID -48.57% $10,000 $5,143 155 36% - -$4,857 -57.4% 1.7d βœ“ -
99 AMC -49.12% $10,000 $5,088 123 35% - -$4,912 -52.2% 1.7d βœ“ -
100 ARM -51.09% $10,000 $4,891 115 35% - -$5,109 -64.8% 2.0d βœ“ -
101 RIVN -53.74% $10,000 $4,626 139 36% - -$5,374 -55.2% 1.8d βœ“ -
102 SMCI -60.41% $10,000 $3,959 180 36% - -$6,041 -80.5% 1.4d βœ“ -

πŸ‘€ Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020β€”and made money in each recovery.