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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Jan 1, 2026 May 6, 2026 (124d)

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,709
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,322 (+$387)
+3.42%
Year to Date ROI
36.5%
Win Rate
1,016
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.2%
1 Month
+2.8%
3 Months
+2.3%
6 Months
+3.4%
YTD
+10.0%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 May 6, 2026 (124 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return YTD Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 MU 33 70🔥 +93.54% $9,135 $17,679 26 65% - +$8,545 -35.3% 2.8d -
2 INTC 54 65 +90.39% $14,613 $27,822 21 62% - +$13,209 -28.4% 2.9d -
3 ARM 4 23 +63.93% $4,344 $7,121 25 56% - +$2,777 -64.8% 2.0d -
4 SLV 57 57 +42.56% $14,812 $21,116 21 52% - +$6,304 -14.0% 5.9d -
5 AVGO 46 +36.30% $16,146 $22,007 15 60% - +$5,861 -23.6% 3.3d -
6 MRNA 6 34🔥 +32.75% $5,531 $7,342 28 50% - +$1,811 -66.5% 1.9d -
7 VXX 15 0 +25.96% $9,394 $11,833 24 50% - +$2,439 -45.0% 2.1d -
8 USO 24 6 +25.73% $9,834 $12,364 14 57% - +$2,530 -13.1% 6.0d -
9 NET 22 69🔥 +25.68% $10,063 $12,647 21 52% - +$2,584 -32.2% 2.6d -
10 TQQQ 31 54🔥 +23.08% $13,662 $16,815 18 50% - +$3,153 -40.6% 1.9d -
11 NIO 32 16 +22.13% $13,540 $16,537 16 56% - +$2,996 -28.6% 2.0d -
12 OXY 31 0🧊 +22.07% $11,050 $13,488 10 70% - +$2,439 -10.3% 6.0d -
13 GOOGL 36 +21.22% $14,180 $17,189 5 80% - +$3,009 -12.7% 4.7d -
14 SMCI 4 5 +20.89% $3,482 $4,210 27 48% - +$727 -80.5% 1.4d -
15 MS 22 +17.78% $11,030 $12,991 9 56% - +$1,961 -21.4% 5.4d -
16 AMZN 32 +16.04% $12,715 $14,754 6 83% - +$2,039 -17.3% 5.3d -
17 SOXL 53 31🧊 +15.96% $31,091 $36,053 37 43% - +$4,962 -35.0% 1.2d -
18 COIN 14 38🔥 +13.92% $9,502 $10,825 29 41% - +$1,323 -46.7% 1.3d -
19 COP 8 +12.87% $9,011 $10,171 9 56% - +$1,160 -17.9% 6.2d -
20 C 24 +10.79% $11,921 $13,208 9 56% - +$1,286 -17.4% 5.5d -
21 PFE 30 +9.72% $11,229 $12,321 3 100% - +$1,092 -6.1% 5.6d -
22 BIIB 21 +9.19% $11,300 $12,338 5 60% - +$1,038 -22.4% 3.7d -
23 GS 18 +8.54% $10,887 $11,816 6 50% - +$930 -18.8% 5.7d -
24 ABBV 15 +8.38% $10,612 $11,502 3 67% - +$889 -16.8% 5.6d -
25 WMT 28 +7.20% $12,136 $13,010 3 67% - +$874 -6.9% 6.9d -
26 SLB 13 +6.99% $9,968 $10,665 7 57% - +$697 -22.1% 6.3d -
27 RIOT 5 9 +6.99% $4,382 $4,688 35 43% - +$306 -63.2% 23.1h -
28 AMD 32 +6.59% $17,294 $18,434 17 41% - +$1,140 -37.8% 2.6d -
29 GME 3 +5.56% $7,694 $8,122 6 50% - +$428 -41.9% 2.0d -
30 LLY 34 +5.43% $15,043 $15,860 7 43% - +$817 -15.9% 4.1d -
31 AAPL 21 +5.20% $11,467 $12,063 1 100% - +$596 -10.0% 5.6d -
32 UNH 4 +5.20% $9,043 $9,513 5 60% - +$470 -24.8% 5.5d -
33 GLD 19 +5.00% $10,492 $11,017 8 50% - +$525 -6.1% 8.8d -
34 AXP 11 +4.97% $9,920 $10,413 6 50% - +$493 -18.1% 7.3d -
35 IBM 27 +4.65% $11,699 $12,243 9 44% - +$544 -6.0% 4.0d -
36 CMCSA 4 17 +4.62% $8,616 $9,014 5 60% - +$398 -19.5% 5.8d -
37 UVXY 5 6 +3.78% $7,944 $8,245 37 43% - +$300 -61.4% 1.4d -
38 BLK 36 +3.21% $14,225 $14,682 6 33% - +$457 -9.1% 4.7d -
39 V +2.02% $9,790 $9,988 3 67% - +$198 -9.6% 3.2d -
40 BRK-B +1.77% $11,618 $11,824 1 100% - +$206 -3.1% 5.9d -
41 GILD 7 +1.52% $10,084 $10,238 3 33% - +$153 -12.5% 9.3d -
42 NVDA 4 +1.43% $9,059 $9,188 7 43% - +$130 -47.0% 3.2d -
43 SCHW 24 30 +0.31% $12,595 $12,634 5 40% - +$39 -13.5% 5.8d -
44 XLK 3 +0.08% $9,104 $9,111 2 50% - +$7 -12.2% 4.7d -
45 ORCL 13 26 +0.01% $10,729 $10,730 20 40% - +$1 -29.3% 3.3d -
46 KO +0.00% $10,069 $10,069 NO ENTRY - - - -4.9% 10.1d -
47 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
48 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
49 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
50 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
51 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
52 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
53 COST +0.00% $9,554 $9,554 NO ENTRY - - - -9.0% 8.2d -
54 PEP +0.00% $9,195 $9,195 NO ENTRY - - - -13.1% 5.9d -
55 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
56 QQQ +0.00% $11,120 $11,120 NO ENTRY - - - -4.7% 7.7d -
57 CSCO 26 -0.20% $11,667 $11,643 2 50% - -$23 -3.1% 10.6d -
58 REGN 17 -0.30% $11,438 $11,404 6 33% - -$34 -23.1% 4.9d -
59 NFLX 21 -0.51% $12,631 $12,567 3 33% - -$64 -15.4% 6.9d -
60 DKNG 17 -1.05% $12,066 $11,939 16 38% - -$127 -45.9% 2.7d -
61 CVX 7 -1.34% $8,920 $8,801 3 33% - -$120 -14.4% 8.9d -
62 DIS 2 -1.44% $9,379 $9,244 2 50% - -$135 -18.6% 5.7d -
63 BMY 2 -1.48% $8,627 $8,499 3 33% - -$128 -20.0% 5.8d -
64 MDT 5 -1.88% $10,282 $10,088 2 50% - -$193 -8.9% 6.9d -
65 MRK 13 -2.04% $11,016 $10,791 4 25% - -$225 -17.9% 6.1d -
66 META 4 -2.12% $8,427 $8,248 6 33% - -$179 -28.8% 4.2d -
67 XLE 16 -2.32% $11,039 $10,783 3 33% - -$256 -4.4% 7.7d -
68 AMGN 12 -2.39% $10,875 $10,615 3 33% - -$260 -12.0% 6.4d -
69 HD 2 -2.42% $9,417 $9,189 4 25% - -$228 -13.9% 6.6d -
70 SNOW 2 40🔥 -2.44% $7,062 $6,889 22 36% - -$172 -40.8% 3.4d -
71 XLF -3.15% $11,187 $10,835 1 0% - -$352 -7.7% 4.7d -
72 PM 6 -3.19% $10,425 $10,092 6 33% - -$333 -3.7% 4.9d -
73 VZ 11 -3.27% $10,656 $10,308 1 0% - -$348 -6.7% 7.6d -
74 PG -3.29% $11,248 $10,878 1 0% - -$370 -3.7% 8.9d -
75 IWM 10 -3.31% $10,903 $10,542 1 0% - -$361 -11.7% 5.3d -
76 TSLA 27 0🧊 -3.41% $14,472 $13,978 11 36% - -$493 -32.0% 2.3d -
77 TMO 2 -4.12% $8,947 $8,579 4 25% - -$369 -21.7% 5.2d -
78 MSFT 18 -5.08% $11,713 $11,118 4 25% - -$595 -14.5% 6.5d -
79 JPM 6 -5.25% $10,471 $9,921 4 25% - -$550 -23.6% 6.3d -
80 MA 20 -5.34% $12,058 $11,414 3 33% - -$644 -6.6% 6.7d -
81 VRTX 4 -5.97% $10,076 $9,475 2 0% - -$602 -20.8% 4.5d -
82 XOM 2 -6.48% $9,388 $8,780 4 25% - -$608 -7.4% 8.0d -
83 CRM 4 19 -6.89% $9,588 $8,928 12 33% - -$661 -27.5% 4.8d -
84 PANW 4 25🔥 -9.11% $9,262 $8,418 11 36% - -$844 -27.2% 4.1d -
85 MARA 4 13 -9.69% $9,919 $8,958 40 35% - -$961 -46.1% 1.0d -
86 WFC 12 -9.80% $11,816 $10,658 6 17% - -$1,158 -13.1% 5.5d -
87 PLTR 70 43🧊 -10.51% $51,366 $45,968 17 29% - -$5,399 -34.2% 2.1d -
88 ARKK 40 -10.73% $20,632 $18,419 6 17% - -$2,214 -21.5% 3.1d -
89 BAC 18 -10.89% $13,351 $11,897 4 0% - -$1,454 -15.8% 6.6d -
90 ISRG 3 -11.46% $10,200 $9,031 4 0% - -$1,169 -20.7% 5.1d -
91 PYPL 3 -12.97% $7,589 $6,605 7 29% - -$984 -32.8% 5.5d -
92 ACN 3 0 -13.72% $9,573 $8,260 11 36% - -$1,313 -14.7% 7.7d -
93 AMC 3 9 -15.59% $5,157 $4,353 32 31% - -$804 -52.2% 1.7d -
94 SQQQ 10 1 -15.87% $11,975 $10,075 18 28% - -$1,900 -33.6% 2.3d -
95 CRWD 5 0 -16.44% $10,993 $9,185 14 29% - -$1,807 -28.2% 3.4d -
96 SPXU 4 0 -16.74% $9,071 $7,553 11 27% - -$1,519 -27.6% 4.2d -
97 RBLX 30 29 -18.24% $18,128 $14,821 24 29% - -$3,307 -32.4% 3.5d -
98 RIVN 3 1 -20.17% $4,847 $3,869 20 30% - -$978 -55.2% 1.8d -
99 ADBE 3 -22.52% $7,976 $6,180 9 11% - -$1,796 -34.6% 4.7d -
100 HOOD 27 3🧊 -25.33% $22,307 $16,657 22 27% - -$5,650 -37.6% 1.7d -
101 LCID 4 7 -33.22% $6,402 $4,276 27 22% - -$2,127 -57.4% 1.7d -
102 SOFI 4 1 -39.40% $12,253 $7,425 20 15% - -$4,827 -30.6% 2.3d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.