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Danny Dip
3

Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

Apr 6, 2026 May 6, 2026 (30d)

📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$11,561
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $11,421 (+$140)
+1.23%
Last Month ROI
30.0%
Win Rate
236
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

+1.2%
1 Month
+2.8%
3 Months
+2.3%
6 Months
+3.4%
YTD
+10.0%
1 Year

Equity Curve (Last Month)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)
Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.
Lookback Period = 20 bars
Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))
Uses closing prices only (not highs)
📁 getRecentHigh() @ lines 166-171

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100
Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.
Current Price = latest closing price
Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes
Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%
When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%
Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT
Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

DIP_LOOKBACK: 20
DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT: 3%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS: 14

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Month: Apr 6, 2026 May 6, 2026 (30 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite   60+ Good   40+ Fair   <40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot   60+ Active   40+ Moderate   <40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →
Rank Symbol Score Mom Return 1M Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund Action
1 INTC 54 65 +44.83% $19,210 $27,822 5 80% - +$8,612 -28.4% 2.9d -
2 MU 33 70🔥 +44.45% $12,239 $17,679 6 100% - +$5,440 -35.3% 2.8d -
3 TQQQ 31 54🔥 +25.72% $13,375 $16,815 3 100% - +$3,440 -40.6% 1.9d -
4 NET 22 69🔥 +24.52% $10,157 $12,647 6 83% - +$2,490 -32.2% 2.6d -
5 SLV 57 57 +17.69% $17,942 $21,116 4 75% - +$3,174 -14.0% 5.9d -
6 SOXL 53 31🧊 +16.70% $30,894 $36,053 8 63% - +$5,159 -35.0% 1.2d -
7 COIN 14 38🔥 +13.34% $9,551 $10,825 7 57% - +$1,274 -46.7% 1.3d -
8 GS 18 +13.30% $10,429 $11,816 2 100% - +$1,387 -18.8% 5.7d -
9 SNOW 2 40🔥 +11.84% $6,160 $6,889 7 57% - +$729 -40.8% 3.4d -
10 MRNA 6 34🔥 +10.81% $6,626 $7,342 5 60% - +$716 -66.5% 1.9d -
11 MS 22 +9.47% $11,867 $12,991 1 100% - +$1,124 -21.4% 5.4d -
12 AXP 11 +8.55% $9,592 $10,413 1 100% - +$820 -18.1% 7.3d -
13 PLTR 70 43🧊 +7.47% $42,773 $45,968 6 50% - +$3,195 -34.2% 2.1d -
14 SCHW 24 30 +7.39% $11,765 $12,634 3 67% - +$869 -13.5% 5.8d -
15 ARM 4 23 +7.26% $6,639 $7,121 7 43% - +$482 -64.8% 2.0d -
16 META 4 +7.20% $7,694 $8,248 1 100% - +$554 -28.8% 4.2d -
17 ORCL 13 26 +7.19% $10,011 $10,730 6 50% - +$720 -29.3% 3.3d -
18 PANW 4 25🔥 +6.20% $7,926 $8,418 3 67% - +$491 -27.2% 4.1d -
19 RBLX 30 29 +5.28% $14,078 $14,821 7 43% - +$743 -32.4% 3.5d -
20 AMZN 32 +5.24% $14,020 $14,754 1 100% - +$735 -17.3% 5.3d -
21 AAPL 21 +5.20% $11,467 $12,063 1 100% - +$596 -10.0% 5.6d -
22 V +5.04% $9,509 $9,988 1 100% - +$479 -9.6% 3.2d -
23 SLB 13 +5.04% $10,153 $10,665 1 100% - +$512 -22.1% 6.3d -
24 UNH 4 +4.97% $9,063 $9,513 1 100% - +$450 -24.8% 5.5d -
25 GLD 19 +4.88% $10,504 $11,017 1 100% - +$513 -6.1% 8.8d -
26 AVGO 46 +4.72% $21,016 $22,007 2 50% - +$992 -23.6% 3.3d -
27 CRM 4 19 +4.26% $8,563 $8,928 4 50% - +$365 -27.5% 4.8d -
28 NIO 32 16 +3.35% $16,001 $16,537 4 50% - +$536 -28.6% 2.0d -
29 CMCSA 4 17 +2.64% $8,782 $9,014 3 67% - +$232 -19.5% 5.8d -
30 ADBE 3 +1.87% $6,067 $6,180 2 50% - +$113 -34.6% 4.7d -
31 CVX 7 +1.84% $8,642 $8,801 2 50% - +$159 -14.4% 8.9d -
32 MRK 13 +1.76% $10,604 $10,791 2 50% - +$187 -17.9% 6.1d -
33 ARKK 40 +1.35% $18,173 $18,419 2 50% - +$245 -21.5% 3.1d -
34 PFE 30 +1.13% $12,183 $12,321 1 100% - +$138 -6.1% 5.6d -
35 MARA 4 13 +0.82% $8,885 $8,958 10 40% - +$73 -46.1% 1.0d -
36 SMCI 4 5 +0.66% $4,182 $4,210 5 40% - +$28 -80.5% 1.4d -
37 RIOT 5 9 +0.65% $4,658 $4,688 7 43% - +$30 -63.2% 23.1h -
38 USO 24 6 +0.41% $12,314 $12,364 4 50% - +$50 -13.1% 6.0d -
39 XLF +0.00% $10,835 $10,835 NO ENTRY - - - -7.7% 4.7d -
40 PM 6 +0.00% $10,092 $10,092 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 4.9d -
41 KO +0.00% $10,069 $10,069 NO ENTRY - - - -4.9% 10.1d -
42 WMT 28 +0.00% $13,010 $13,010 NO ENTRY - - - -6.9% 6.9d -
43 DIS 2 +0.00% $9,244 $9,244 NO ENTRY - - - -18.6% 5.7d -
44 CSCO 26 +0.00% $11,643 $11,643 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 10.6d -
45 XLK 3 +0.00% $9,111 $9,111 NO ENTRY - - - -12.2% 4.7d -
46 VRTX 4 +0.00% $9,475 $9,475 NO ENTRY - - - -20.8% 4.5d -
47 JNJ +0.00% $11,477 $11,477 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 9.4d -
48 IWM 10 +0.00% $10,542 $10,542 NO ENTRY - - - -11.7% 5.3d -
49 DIA +0.00% $10,226 $10,226 NO ENTRY - - - -3.2% 23.9h -
50 ABBV 15 +0.00% $11,502 $11,502 NO ENTRY - - - -16.8% 5.6d -
51 VTI +0.00% $11,302 $11,302 NO ENTRY - - - -4.5% 2.5d -
52 VOO +0.00% $11,290 $11,290 NO ENTRY - - - -4.2% 2.5d -
53 SPY +0.00% $11,256 $11,256 NO ENTRY - - - -4.3% 2.5d -
54 TLT +0.00% $9,688 $9,688 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.0d -
55 BAC 18 +0.00% $11,897 $11,897 NO ENTRY - - - -15.8% 6.6d -
56 MA 20 +0.00% $11,414 $11,414 NO ENTRY - - - -6.6% 6.7d -
57 COST +0.00% $9,554 $9,554 NO ENTRY - - - -9.0% 8.2d -
58 PEP +0.00% $9,195 $9,195 NO ENTRY - - - -13.1% 5.9d -
59 JPM 6 +0.00% $9,921 $9,921 NO ENTRY - - - -23.6% 6.3d -
60 PG +0.00% $10,878 $10,878 NO ENTRY - - - -3.7% 8.9d -
61 C 24 +0.00% $13,208 $13,208 NO ENTRY - - - -17.4% 5.5d -
62 GOOGL 36 +0.00% $17,189 $17,189 NO ENTRY - - - -12.7% 4.7d -
63 MCD +0.00% $10,874 $10,874 NO ENTRY - - - -3.0% 8.8d -
64 MDT 5 +0.00% $10,088 $10,088 NO ENTRY - - - -8.9% 6.9d -
65 QQQ +0.00% $11,120 $11,120 NO ENTRY - - - -4.7% 7.7d -
66 BRK-B +0.00% $11,824 $11,824 NO ENTRY - - - -3.1% 5.9d -
67 BLK 36 -0.05% $14,689 $14,682 1 0% - -$7 -9.1% 4.7d -
68 HD 2 -1.10% $9,291 $9,189 1 0% - -$102 -13.9% 6.6d -
69 ISRG 3 -1.35% $9,155 $9,031 1 0% - -$124 -20.7% 5.1d -
70 AMD 32 -1.36% $18,688 $18,434 2 50% - -$254 -37.8% 2.6d -
71 TSLA 27 0🧊 -2.75% $14,374 $13,978 3 33% - -$395 -32.0% 2.3d -
72 CRWD 5 0 -2.77% $9,447 $9,185 3 33% - -$262 -28.2% 3.4d -
73 TMO 2 -2.98% $8,842 $8,579 1 0% - -$263 -21.7% 5.2d -
74 LLY 34 -2.98% $16,347 $15,860 1 0% - -$487 -15.9% 4.1d -
75 BIIB 21 -2.99% $12,718 $12,338 1 0% - -$380 -22.4% 3.7d -
76 NVDA 4 -3.01% $9,473 $9,188 1 0% - -$285 -47.0% 3.2d -
77 IBM 27 -3.14% $12,640 $12,243 1 0% - -$397 -6.0% 4.0d -
78 GILD 7 -3.14% $10,569 $10,238 1 0% - -$332 -12.5% 9.3d -
79 NFLX 21 -3.15% $12,975 $12,567 1 0% - -$409 -15.4% 6.9d -
80 VZ 11 -3.27% $10,656 $10,308 1 0% - -$348 -6.7% 7.6d -
81 WFC 12 -3.30% $11,022 $10,658 1 0% - -$364 -13.1% 5.5d -
82 MSFT 18 -3.46% $11,516 $11,118 1 0% - -$398 -14.5% 6.5d -
83 BMY 2 -3.47% $8,805 $8,499 1 0% - -$306 -20.0% 5.8d -
84 ACN 3 0 -4.03% $8,607 $8,260 3 33% - -$347 -14.7% 7.7d -
85 AMGN 12 -4.15% $11,075 $10,615 1 0% - -$460 -12.0% 6.4d -
86 XLE 16 -4.23% $11,259 $10,783 1 0% - -$476 -4.4% 7.7d -
87 REGN 17 -5.24% $12,035 $11,404 2 0% - -$631 -23.1% 4.9d -
88 COP 8 -6.06% $10,827 $10,171 2 0% - -$656 -17.9% 6.2d -
89 DKNG 17 -6.16% $12,723 $11,939 2 0% - -$784 -45.9% 2.7d -
90 GME 3 -6.39% $8,676 $8,122 2 0% - -$554 -41.9% 2.0d -
91 RIVN 3 1 -6.58% $4,142 $3,869 4 25% - -$273 -55.2% 1.8d -
92 VXX 15 0 -7.13% $12,742 $11,833 3 33% - -$908 -45.0% 2.1d -
93 LCID 4 7 -8.01% $4,648 $4,276 10 30% - -$372 -57.4% 1.7d -
94 XOM 2 -8.14% $9,558 $8,780 2 0% - -$778 -7.4% 8.0d -
95 PYPL 3 -8.75% $7,238 $6,605 1 0% - -$633 -32.8% 5.5d -
96 OXY 31 0🧊 -9.20% $14,855 $13,488 3 33% - -$1,367 -10.3% 6.0d -
97 SOFI 4 1 -11.35% $8,376 $7,425 4 25% - -$951 -30.6% 2.3d -
98 HOOD 27 3🧊 -11.78% $18,881 $16,657 6 33% - -$2,224 -37.6% 1.7d -
99 SQQQ 10 1 -15.00% $11,853 $10,075 5 0% - -$1,778 -33.6% 2.3d -
100 SPXU 4 0 -15.95% $8,986 $7,553 3 0% - -$1,433 -27.6% 4.2d -
101 AMC 3 9 -16.62% $5,221 $4,353 10 20% - -$868 -52.2% 1.7d -
102 UVXY 5 6 -20.54% $10,376 $8,245 8 25% - -$2,131 -61.4% 1.4d -

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.